1. 情绪模型观点：市场情绪平稳，价量一致性高 位震荡 根据《从结构化视角全新打造市场情绪择时模型》文中提到的构建思路，目前我们用于构建市场情绪结构指标用到的细分指标如下表。 | 指标简称 | 含义 | 情绪指示方向 | | --- | --- | --- | | 行业间交易波动率 | 资金在各板块间的交易活跃度 | 正向 | | 行业交易拥挤度 | 极值状态判断市场是否过热 | 负向 | | 价量一致性 | 资金情绪稳定性 | 正向 | | 科创 50 成交占比 | 资金风险偏好 | 正向 | | 行业涨跌趋势性 | 刻画市场轮涨补涨程度，趋势衡量 | 正向 | | BSI | 价格体现买方和卖方力量相对强弱 | 正向 | | 主力买入力量 | 主力资金净流入水平 | 正向 | | PCR 结合 VIX | 从期权指标看市场多空情绪 | 正向或负向 | | 融资余额占比 | 资金对当前和未来观点多空 | 正向 | 在指标合成方法上，模型采用打分的方式， 根据每个分项指标所提示的情绪方向和所处布林轨道位置计算各指标分数，指标分数可分为（-1，0，1）三种情况，最终对各个指标分数等权求和。最终的情绪结构指标为求 ...

大众公用（600635）(01635)发布公告，上海大众公用事业(集团)股份有限公司2024年面向专业机构投资 者公开发行公司债券(第一期)(本期债券)将于2026年02月02日付息。本期债券简称"24公用01"，本期债 券票面利率(计息年利率)为2.85%，每手本期债券面值为1000元，派发利息为28.50元(含税)。 ...

根据调研日期截止日统计，近一个月（2025年12月27日至2026年1月26日），共有18家北交所公司获机 构调研，其中，星辰科技最受关注，参与调研的机构有31家。 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，近一个月共有18家北交所公司获机构调研，调研机构类型显示，券商共对 16家公司进行调研；基金调研11家；阳光私募调研5家；保险调研4家。 机构调研榜单中，星辰科技参与调研的机构合计达31家，最受关注；其次是铁拓机械、五新隧装、基康 技术，参与调研的机构分别有27家、23家、16家。 1 90.61 -1.51 电力设备 （文章来源：证券时报网） 市场表现方面，获机构调研的北交所公司近一个月平均上涨5.46%。其间股价上涨的有12只，涨幅居前 的有天润科技、特瑞斯、富士达等，分别上涨24.61%、18.46%、13.52%；从换手率来看，获调研的北 交所公司中，近一个月日均换手率平均值为6.40%，日均换手率居前的有天润科技、星辰科技、铁拓机 械等，日均换手率分别为16.01%、14.56%、12.93%。 截至1月26日收盘，北交所全部公司总市值均值为33.27亿元，近一个月获调研的公司总市值平均值为 42.05亿元，获 ...

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 紫金矿业当日成交额达263亿元，位居A股第一。 | | 601899 紫美矿业 | | | | 39.50 | | +1.94 +5.17% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 已收市 CNY | | | | | | ■ 南 ▲ 自选 + ▼ | | | 港(2899):42.060(+4.06%) | | | H/A :- 4.60% | 行情分析 | | 深度分析 | | | 委书 | -97.25% 委美 | | -102万 | 主力流入 | | 1512720 万元 | | | 25 | 39.54 | 197 | | 主力流出 | | 1551621 万元 | | | 英四 | 39.53 | 459 | | 主力净流 | | 38900 万元 | | | 卖三 | 39.52 | 750 | | | | | | | 英二 | 39.51 | 343 | | (万元) | 流入 | | SER | | 委一 | 39.50 | 1029222 | | 超大 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the US dollar bond market is "Underperform" [1][6] Core Viewpoints - The US economy shows signs of growth, with the Q3 2025 real GDP annualized quarterly growth rate revised up to 4.4%, driven by export growth, reduced negative impacts of inventory changes, and consumer resilience. However, inflation remains sticky, with the core PCE at 2.9%, above the Fed's 2% target. The market expects the Fed to keep rates unchanged in January, with the first rate cut likely in June - July [2] - Geopolitical risks and fiscal concerns have led to an increase in US Treasury yields. The 10 - year yield has exceeded the high since August last year, reaching above 4.3%. The long - term concern lies in the US fiscal situation, with a budget deficit to GDP ratio of about 6% [4] - European pension institutions' consideration of selling US Treasuries has caused market fluctuations, but the actual possibility of large - scale selling is low. The market is currently in a multi - factor game, and it is recommended to adopt a "short - duration core + steepening satellite" configuration [3][4] Summary by Directory US Macroeconomic and Liquidity - The November PCE price index in the US was in line with expectations, with the PCE price index rising 2.8% year - on - year and 0.2% month - on - month. Core PCE also rose 2.8% year - on - year and 0.2% month - on - month. Personal spending remained robust in November, but the savings rate declined, which may pressure long - term consumption [1] - The Q3 2025 real GDP annualized quarterly growth rate was revised up to 4.4%, the fastest in two years. The core PCE remained at 2.9%, above the Fed's target. The market expects the Fed to keep rates unchanged in January, with a nearly 97% probability, and the first rate cut likely in June - July [2] Exchange Rate - No specific content in the provided text directly elaborates on exchange rate analysis, but it is likely related to the impact of US Treasury yield changes on the US dollar index and other non - US currencies [53] Chinese - Issued US Dollar Bonds - The text shows various charts related to the returns, yields, and spreads of Chinese - issued US dollar bonds since 2023, including breakdowns by level and industry [64] Rating Actions - In the past two weeks, the three major international rating agencies took 11 rating actions on Chinese - issued US dollar bond issuers, including 2 rating revocations, 2 upgrades, 2 downgrades, and 5 initial ratings [76]

这是第一个，第二个，就是说在我们看来的话，其实有一个就是年前积压的一些银行配置 力量，其实在逐渐逐渐的入场。就之前我们其实也跟各位老师讨论过这个问题，就是说 2025 年的年末的银行配置量肯定是弱于往年的，对吧？那么 20256 年的年初的第一二个 星期，银行的这个配置量其实也是在不断的就方向不是很明确，但是，有增加的迹象。这 一点，其实在我们看来，跟这个，就是银行，几点吧，就是银行在 2026 年的一些银行在 2026 年的这个 KPI，它增长的速度不是很明确。 以及银行的这个负债端，它可能有一定的波动有关。所以说在去年年底到今年年初，其实 出现一个很明显的状态，就是银行资产不是特别敢配，但是负债，就是包括存单这些的利 率又下不太去，就出现这样一个现象。所以说，但是在 2026 年的 1 月中旬以后，在我们 看来的话，其实，随着你银行在 2026 年整体的这个 KPI 更加明确，那么你银行的经事就 是要开始赔债。只是说我们在此之前的时候可能相对来说，也要说明，就是我们可能也有 一点误判，就是我们觉得银行可能看到这个 KPI 明确之后，他可能还要再确认一个多星期， 就比如说月底才会有比较强的一个发力。 但是现 ...

Macro Strategy - The report highlights the investment value of the GF CSI Media ETF (512980.SH), which is closely tracking the CSI Media Index (399971.SZ) and has a management fee of 0.5% per year and a custody fee of 0.1% per year. As of January 16, 2026, the ETF has a circulation scale of 10.759 billion yuan and an annualized return of 29.47% with a volatility ratio of 0.89, indicating reasonable risk control capabilities [1][12] - The underlying index focuses on AI applications, with a significant weight of 31.43% in GEO concept stocks, including key companies like BlueFocus, Yanshan Technology, and Kunlun Wanwei. The top ten weighted stocks account for 51.52% of the index, indicating a high concentration of component stocks [1][12] - The report emphasizes that the current media bull market is driven by AI technology transformation and the assetization of data factors, contrasting with the previous bull market driven by mobile internet traffic. The media sector's valuation is at a historical low, providing a high margin of safety for investors [1][12] Non-Bank Financial Industry - The report indicates that the non-bank financial sector is experiencing an upward trend in market conditions, with public fund holdings in the sector increasing to 2.42% by the end of 2025, up 0.82 percentage points from the previous quarter. However, the sector remains underweight compared to the market [5][16] - The report recommends key stocks such as China Life, Ping An, New China Life, China Pacific Insurance, and CITIC Securities, highlighting their potential to benefit from the improving market environment [5][16] - The average daily trading volume of equity funds reached 34.444 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 155%, indicating a significant improvement in market activity [5][16] Real Estate Industry - The report notes that the real estate market is gradually stabilizing, with a narrowing decline in sales and construction metrics compared to 2024. The total development investment in 2025 was 8.3 trillion yuan, down 17.2% year-on-year, while the new construction area was 5.9 million square meters, down 20.4% [6][18][19] - Sales figures show a cumulative sales area of 8.8 million square meters, down 8.7% year-on-year, with a cumulative sales amount of 8.4 trillion yuan, down 12.6%. The decline in sales is narrowing, particularly in first-tier cities [6][18][19] - Investment recommendations include China Resources Land, China Merchants Shekou, and New City Holdings, with a focus on property management companies like China Resources Mixc Life and Greentown Service [6][18][19] Environmental Industry - The report discusses the growth potential of the waste incineration sector, particularly in Southeast Asia and India, where an estimated 500,000 tons per day of waste incineration capacity is expected, corresponding to an investment scale of approximately 250 billion yuan [7][20] - Companies like Weiming Environmental and Sanfeng Environment are highlighted for their overseas expansion and operational stability, with significant revenue increases driven by high electricity prices and processing fees in international markets [7][20] - The report emphasizes the importance of cost control in overseas projects, with potential for significant profit margins compared to domestic projects, particularly in Indonesia where new projects are expected to yield higher returns [7][20]

Company Overview - Xcel Energy (NASDAQ:XEL) is a major utility company in the United States, providing electricity and natural gas services to millions of customers, with a strong commitment to clean energy and sustainability [1] - The company competes with other significant utility firms such as Duke Energy and NextEra Energy in the energy sector [1] Stock Performance - As of January 23, 2026, Xcel Energy's stock was trading at $74.44, with a price target set at $95 by Stephen D'Ambrisi from RBC Capital, indicating a potential upside of approximately 27.62% [2] - Currently, XEL is trading at $74.59, reflecting a slight decrease of about 1.68% or $1.28, with a daily fluctuation between a low of $74.35 and a high of $75.67 [4] - Over the past year, XEL has seen a high of $83.01 and a low of $65.21, indicating some volatility in its stock price [4] Market Position - Xcel Energy's market capitalization is approximately $44.12 billion, highlighting its significant presence in the utility sector [5] - The stock has a trading volume of 990,345 shares on the NASDAQ exchange, indicating active trading and interest from investors and analysts [5] Recognition and Reputation - Xcel Energy has been recognized as one of the World's Most Admired Companies by Fortune magazine for the twelfth consecutive year, underscoring its sustained excellence and strong industry reputation [3][6]

Core Viewpoint - The Irish energy regulator warns that rapidly growing energy demand, primarily driven by data centers, may lead to "power shortage events" within the next two to five years [1] Group 1: Energy Demand Growth - The Commission for Regulation of Utilities (CRU) released a risk prevention plan assessing the potential for power shortages due to a significant increase in electricity demand beyond historical trends [1] - The anticipated growth in demand is largely attributed to the expansion of data center loads, alongside increased electricity needs for heating, transportation, and seasonal peaks [1] Group 2: Supply and Demand Gap - CRU indicates that there may be a "gap" between electricity supply and demand, although this gap is not considered "imminent" and can be identified and addressed in advance [1] - A CRU spokesperson stated that if maximum demand forecasts materialize, "power shortage events" are likely to occur within the next two to five years [1] Group 3: Mitigation Measures - Recent measures have been implemented to mitigate potential shortages, including the reserve of emergency generation capacity and new grid connection policies for large users like data centers [1] - The predicted generation shortfall has been alleviated by these measures [1] Group 4: Government Response - The Social Democrats' climate spokesperson, Jennifer Whitmore, emphasized that the report serves as a warning regarding the risks associated with the government's management of data centers [1] - There is an urgent need for the government to adopt a comprehensive strategic approach to address the challenges posed by resource-intensive infrastructure [1]

（编辑 丛可心） 证券日报网讯 1月23日，广安爱众发布公告称，公司预计2025年年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润 为-52，000.00万元到-30，000.00万元，归属于母公司所有者的扣除非经常性损益后的净利润为13， 500.00万元到16，500.00万元。 ...