来源：深圳商报 公告显示，聂腾云，男，1976年1月出生，中专学历。聂腾云于1999年创立上海韵达货运有限公司，目 前担任公司董事长兼总裁（总经理）。截至目前，聂腾云直接持有公司股份80361697股，通过上海罗颉 思投资管理有限公司间接持有公司股份1067572918股，聂腾云、陈立英夫妇为公司实际控制人，上海罗 颉思为公司控股股东，系聂腾云、陈立英夫妇控制的企业。公司股东聂樟清、陈美香系聂腾云的父母。 聂毅鹏，2001年1月出生，硕士学位。2025年4月起于睹煜（上海）信息服务有限公司任职，兼任上海盈 颉实业有限公司总经理、上海源迈实业有限公司执行董事兼总经理。 截至目前，聂毅鹏未持有公司股份。聂毅鹏系聂腾云、陈立英夫妇之子，聂毅鹏与聂腾云、陈立英及其 一致行动人上海罗颉思、聂樟清、陈美香、玄元科新135号私募基金、玄元科新136号私募基金存在关联 关系。除此以外，聂毅鹏与其他持有公司5%以上股份的股东、董事、高级管理人员无关联关系。 在激烈的竞争之下，韵达股份业绩承压，今年前三季度，公司实现营业收入374.93亿元，同比增长 5.59%；归属母公司股东的净利润为7.3亿元，同比大幅下滑48.15%；扣非 ...

Investment Rating - The report recommends "Buy" for the express delivery sector, specifically highlighting SF Holding and Zhongtong Express as favorable investment opportunities [2][4]. Core Views - The express delivery sector shows a year-on-year growth of 6% in the development scale index for November, with major companies benefiting from price increases due to reduced competition [2]. - The logistics sector is advised to focus on smart logistics, with Hai Chen Co. recommended due to improved demand [3]. - The aviation sector is experiencing a slight increase in flight volumes, with recommendations for China National Aviation and Southern Airlines based on profit elasticity from supply-demand optimization [4]. - The shipping sector sees a stable demand for container transport, with COSCO Shipping announcing new ship orders valued at 7.88 billion yuan [5]. - The road and rail sector shows a mixed performance, with a slight decline in truck traffic but a stable outlook for coal transportation [6]. Summary by Sections 1. Transportation Market Review - The transportation index decreased by 1.5% during the week of December 6-12, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.4% [13]. 2. Industry Fundamentals Tracking 2.1 Shipping and Ports - The container shipping index CCFI is at 1118.07 points, a 0.3% increase week-on-week but a 24.8% decrease year-on-year [22]. - The oil shipping index BDTI is at 1383.6 points, down 1.7% week-on-week but up 48.8% year-on-year [40]. 2.2 Aviation and Airports - The average daily flights increased by 2.9% year-on-year, with domestic flights up by 1.99% and international flights up by 7.78% [4]. - In October 2025, civil aviation passenger volume reached 67.84 million, a year-on-year increase of 8% [60]. 2.3 Rail and Road - National railway passenger volume in October 2025 was 410 million, a 10.14% increase year-on-year [81]. - National road freight volume was 3.706 billion tons, a slight increase of 0.08% year-on-year [86]. 2.4 Express Delivery and Logistics - The total express delivery volume for the week of December 1-7 was approximately 3.979 billion pieces, a 1.7% increase year-on-year [2].

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 12 14 年 月 日 交通运输 快递、民航"反内卷"整治持续，VLCC 受制裁名单再扩大 周观点：中央经济工作会议 12 月 10 日至 11 日在北京举行，会议明确"制 定全国统一大市场建设条例，深入整治'内卷式'竞争"。继续看好快递、 航空在"反内卷"整治下的投资机会。快递反内卷线：快递行业份额逐步 向头部快递集中，反内卷政策下恶性价格战得到有效遏制，头部快递份额、 利润同步提升，有望迎来双击。快递出海线：快递出海，天地广阔，海外 电商 GMV 爆发式增长，带动快递业务量迅猛增长，相关标的为极兔速递。 看好"反内卷"整治下航空板块中长期景气度：运力供给维持低增速、需 求持续恢复，供需缺口缩小叠加油价中枢下移及"反内卷"政策继续推进， 静待票价持续修复、航司盈利不断改善。 行情回顾：本周交通运输板块行业指数下跌 1.55%，跑输上证指数 1.21 个百分点（上证指数下跌 0.34%）。从申万交通运输行业三级分类看，仅 公路货运板块上涨，涨幅为 4.76%；跌幅前三名分别为公交、高速公路、 铁路运输板块，对应跌幅分别为-4.97%、-2.49% ...

欧美12月PMI表现如何。 本周全球市场风云变幻，美联储宣布年内第三次降息，AI板块抛售潮再起。 市场方面，美股涨跌互现，道指周涨1.05%，纳指周跌1.62%，标普500指数周跌0.63%。欧洲三大股指 分化，英国富时100指数周跌0.19%，德国DAX 30指数周涨0.66%，法国CAC 40指数周跌0.57%。 数据方面，市场焦点或将集中于两项因政府停摆而推迟发布的关键数据：定于16日公布的11月非农就业 报告，以及18日出炉的11月消费者物价指数（CPI）。此前公布的11月ADP私营部门就业数据显示，就 业人数减少3.2万人，远逊于市场预期，这一数据预示着非农就业报告存在下行风险。此外，12月标普 全球制造业及服务业采购经理人指数（PMI）初值、11 月零售销售数据也将分别于16日和17日公布。 美国财政部将于17日拍卖130亿美元20年期国债，并于18日拍卖240亿美元5年期通胀保值债券 （TIPS）。虽然流动性担忧有所缓解，新一轮拍卖仍将考验投资者对长期国债的需求意愿。 财报方面，值得关注的企业包括美光科技、联邦快递、耐克、嘉年华等。 原油与黄金 受地缘政治和全球原油供应持续过剩的拖累，国际油价结 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the shipping industry, specifically recommending China Power, China Shipbuilding, and China Ship Defense, while also highlighting Yangtze River and Songfa shares as potential investments [4]. Core Insights - The report indicates an improvement in new ship orders during November and December, reinforcing the logic of the replacement cycle. The strong second-hand ship prices are positively influencing the new ship market [4]. - The report notes that VLCC (Very Large Crude Carrier) freight rates have exceeded expectations, with a current average of $114,420 per day, despite a slight week-on-week decline of 1%. The report anticipates significant upward potential for both charter rates and second-hand ship prices [4]. - The report emphasizes the resilience of the railway freight volume and highway truck traffic, suggesting steady growth in these sectors [4]. Summary by Sections Shipping Market - VLCC freight rates have shown a 110% increase in Q4 compared to Q3, with one-year charter rates rising by 23%. The report highlights that the second-hand ship prices have yet to reflect these changes [4]. - The Suezmax crude oil tanker rates have decreased by 4% to $71,888 per day, while Aframax rates increased by 3% to $62,987 per day [4]. Air Transportation - The report discusses the unprecedented challenges in the aircraft manufacturing chain and the ongoing trend of aging aircraft globally. It predicts a significant improvement in airline profitability as the industry approaches a turning point [4]. - Recommended airlines include China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, and Spring Airlines, among others, due to their strong demand and supply dynamics [4]. Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is entering a new phase of competition, with three potential scenarios outlined: price stabilization leading to profit recovery, continued competitive pressure, and potential mergers and acquisitions [4]. - Companies to watch include Shentong Express, YTO Express, and ZTO Express, with a focus on their performance in the upcoming annual reports [4]. Road and Rail - The report cites data from the Ministry of Transport indicating that from December 1 to December 7, national railway freight volume was 80.19 million tons, a decrease of 2.35% week-on-week [4]. - The report suggests that the highway sector will benefit from two main investment themes throughout 2025: high dividend yields and potential value management catalysts [4].

Core Viewpoint - J&T has achieved profitability in Thailand and is confident in its growth potential in the Southeast Asia market, with expectations of parcel volume growth outpacing the industry average by 2026 [2][3] Group 1: Company Performance - J&T has ranked number one in Thailand, with parcel volume equal to the total volume of the second to fourth players combined [2][3] - The company has achieved a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 40% in parcel volume over the past three years, currently serving 200,000 customers, including 20,000 non-e-commerce customers [3] - J&T has successfully reduced costs by 10% per annum since 2022, with a 30% cost reduction achieved by using self-owned trucks compared to leased ones [3] Group 2: Market Outlook - Management is optimistic about the growth potential in Thailand, particularly in e-commerce penetration and per capita parcel volume [2] - J&T expects its parcel volume growth in the Southeast Asia market to exceed the industry average by 2026 [2] - The company is also exploring new markets such as Brazil and the Middle East, indicating good potential for expansion [2] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Major competitors in Thailand include Lazada Logistics and Shopee, but J&T believes its higher density network leads to better delivery efficiency and cost advantages [3] - J&T's largest customer in Southeast Asia is TikTok, while Shein is the largest customer in South America and the Middle East [2]

"地铁有严格的运行时间表，能够确保准时发车和到站，可以避免地面道路交通拥堵对快递投递时效的 影响。"河南顺丰中转管理部运营规划组经理夏小闯说。 2025年，河南顺丰与郑州地铁公司开展合作，在不调整列车发车时间和停站时间、不影响乘客出行、保 障公共卫生安全的基础上，进一步升级"无人车+地铁"多式联运方案，延伸快递包裹"乘坐"地铁专列的 运输线路。自11月19日起，河南顺丰在郑州地铁2号线港区北站至二里岗站区间试行"轨道+快递"联运。 □本报记者 胡舒彤 "快件包裹从河南顺丰郑州港区转运中心出发到管城回族区二里岗站附近顺丰营业店，通过无人车转运 至地铁站点，交由地铁专列运输至目的地，较原地面运输模式提前40分钟。"夏小闯说。 12月12日，河南顺丰无人车稳稳地停在郑州地铁2号线港区北站A口。地铁工作人员熟练地从无人车上 卸下快递笼车，从垂梯下到站厅，通过安检后再通过垂梯直达站台列车首部位置。 目前，河南顺丰通过郑州地铁5号线、1号线、3号线在郑州东西方向同步启用同城快件"无人车+地铁"模 式，整体快件投递时效提升约2小时。此外，郑州至许昌、长葛等地的即日件，也借助郑许地铁线实 现"半日达"。 约40分钟后，这批" ...

截至发稿，韵达股份市值为199亿元。 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——实施城乡居民增收计划、降准降息等工具灵活高效运用、增加普通高中学 位……深度解读中央经济工作会议 每经AI快讯，韵达股份（SZ 002120，收盘价：6.88元）12月12日晚间发布公告称，公司第八届第二十 四次董事会会议于2025年12月12日以通讯表决的方式召开。会议审议了《关于董事会换届选举第九届董 事会非独立董事的议案》等文件。 （记者 曾健辉） 2025年1至6月份，韵达股份的营业收入构成为：快递服务业务占比98.6%，其他占比1.23%，物料销售 占比0.17%。 ...

【解剖大盘】 在美联储助力之下，美股标普500和道指周四创下收盘纪录新高，在指数这一块，美股确实控制得非常 好，每次下跌之后总有办法能让它上来，而在过热的时候总会适时出利空降温。所以，除非发生危机， 不要轻言美股会走弱，都是波段性的。这其中的逻辑比较复杂，但大差不差。港股昨日已经先调了，重 磅会议也开完了，今天上涨也是必然，收盘涨1.75%。 社融数据出来了，央行：今年前11个月社会融资规模增量为33.39万亿元，人民币贷款增加15.36万亿。 11月末，广义货币(M2)余额336.99万亿元，同比增长8%。狭义货币(M1)余额112.89万亿元，同比增长 4.9%。整体看保持稳定，政府债券市核心拉动力量，不过居民信贷还是偏弱。M1和M2剪刀差低于M2 增速，短期资金活跃度有待提升。 2025年12月15日，中国人民银行将以固定数量、利率招标、多重价位中标方式开展6000亿元买断式逆回 购操作，期限为6个月(182天)。到年底，给市场注入流动性。接下来到年底，大方向偏向乐观，资金会 提前布局，保险和证券出现异动，如中国太保（601601）(02601)、中国人寿（601628）(02628)及光大 证券(06 ...

【解剖大盘】 在美联储助力之下，美股标普 500 和道指周四创下收盘纪录新高，在指数这一块，美股确实控制得非常 好，每次下跌之后总有办法能让它上来，而在过热的时候总会适时出利空降温。所以，除非发生危机， 不要轻言美股会走弱，都是波段性的。这其中的逻辑比较复杂，但大差不差。港股昨日已经先调了，重 磅会议也开完了，今天上涨也是必然，收盘涨 1.75%。 社融数据出来了，央行：今年前 11个月社会融资规模增量为 33.39 万亿元，人民币贷款增加 15.36 万 亿。11 月末，广义货币(M2)余额 336.99 万亿元，同比增长 8%。狭义货币(M1)余额 112.89 万亿元，同 比增长4.9%。整体看保持稳定，政府债券市核心拉动力量，不过居民信贷还是偏弱。M1和 M2 剪刀差 低于M2 增速，短期资金活跃度有待提升。 2025 年 12 月 15 日，中国人民银行将以固定数量、利率招标、多重价位中标方式开展 6000亿元买断式 逆回购操作，期限为 6 个月（182天）。到年底，给市场注入流动性。接下来到年底，大方向偏向乐 观，资金会提前布局，保险和证券出现异动，如中国太保（02601）、中国人寿（02628） ...