Core Viewpoint - The 2025 Government Work Report emphasizes that "consumption upgrade leads to industrial upgrade," highlighting the importance of both consumption and industrial upgrades as key drivers of economic development [1] Group 1: Consumption Upgrade - Recent trends show continuous adjustments in China's consumption structure, quality requirements, modes, and concepts [2] - In 2024, the proportion of service consumption in residents' per capita consumption expenditure reached 46.1% [2] - Consumers are increasingly demanding higher quality, functionality, brand, and experience from products, shifting from basic functions to more comprehensive needs [2] - The consumption model is transitioning from offline dominance to an integrated online and offline approach, with innovative consumption scenarios gaining popularity [2] - Consumer attitudes are evolving towards a preference for smart, energy-efficient, and health-oriented products, reflecting a shift from "no change unless broken" to "seeking quality and novelty" [2] Group 2: Industrial Upgrade Driven by Consumption - Demand is the strongest market driver, with consumption representing the ultimate demand that reflects people's needs for a better life [3] - Changes in consumer demand signals will gradually influence production, prompting companies to adjust supply structures and enhance technological innovation [3] - Consumption-led industrial upgrades focus on directly addressing final demand, leading to clearer and more efficient upgrade goals [3] Group 3: Key Directions for Industrial Upgrade - Three key areas for industrial upgrade driven by consumption include: 1. Intelligent development of industries, with increased demand for smart products driving high-tech manufacturing [4] 2. Green development, where the growth of green consumption accelerates the transition to green production methods and promotes the development of green industries [4] 3. Integrated development, requiring cross-industry collaboration to meet diverse consumer needs through new technologies and consumption models [4] Group 4: Conditions for Successful Upgrade - China possesses favorable conditions for consumption upgrade to lead industrial upgrade, emphasizing the need for simultaneous efforts on both supply and demand sides [5] - Enhancing residents' consumption capacity and ensuring sustainable consumption upgrade are prerequisites for industrial upgrade [5] - A supportive environment is essential for achieving a virtuous cycle between consumption and industrial upgrades, including improving consumption infrastructure and reducing market entry barriers [5]

Group 1: Economic Growth and Service Industry Performance - In the first quarter, Tai'an's service industry achieved a value-added of 50.56 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7.2%, surpassing the provincial average by 1.2 percentage points, ranking second in the province [1] - The value-added of Tai'an's technology service industry grew by 15.7%, indicating a deep integration of modern services and digital economy, contributing significantly to the city's modernization efforts [3] - The number of large-scale service enterprises in Tai'an has exceeded 600, achieving a continuous high growth for two consecutive years, with a first-quarter revenue growth of 12.7%, outperforming the provincial average by 4.5 percentage points [6] Group 2: Digital Transformation and Technological Advancements - Shandong Zhengtu Technology Co., Ltd. has provided digital transformation solutions to over 200 enterprises, enhancing their comprehensive benefits by nearly 400 million yuan annually through the use of cloud computing, IoT, AI, and big data [2] - The integration of intelligent coal blending systems at Shiheng Special Steel Group has improved blending accuracy to over 98%, saving over 10 million yuan in coal costs annually [2] Group 3: Consumer Services and Tourism Development - The retail, accommodation, and cultural tourism sectors in Tai'an are upgrading towards higher quality and diversification, with significant improvements in urban services and consumer experiences [4] - In the first quarter, domestic tourism revenue reached 19.01 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.63%, with 1.27 million visitors to the Tai Mountain scenic area, reflecting a growth of 12.57% [5] Group 4: Policy Support and Strategic Initiatives - Tai'an has implemented a three-year action plan for modern service industry development, focusing on technology services, modern finance, software, and information technology services [2] - The city aims to enhance the empowerment of new industrialization and modern agriculture through the development of productive service industries, while also stimulating consumption and expanding domestic demand [7]

Core Viewpoint - Jiangmen aims to achieve a modern service industry added value exceeding 130 billion yuan by 2027, with an average annual growth rate of 5% [1] Group 1: Production-oriented Service Industry - Jiangmen will support the construction of innovative platforms such as the Jiangmen Neutrino Laboratory and the Jiangmen Dual Carbon Laboratory [1] - The city will implement the "Artificial Intelligence +" initiative, establishing several AI and robotics industrial parks [1] - Jiangmen plans to enhance the capabilities of the Shenzhen International Arbitration Court Jiangmen Center and the Overseas Chinese Public Legal Service Center [1] - The city aims to develop a multi-modal transport hub at the Pearl West International Logistics Center and accelerate the construction of a national cold chain logistics base [1] - Jiangmen will collaborate with Hong Kong and Macau to establish inspection and testing centers in key industrial clusters [1] Group 2: Life-oriented Service Industry - Jiangmen will create national-level night culture and comprehensive consumption gathering areas, aiming to develop the first 10 billion yuan business circle in the city [2] - The city will support the integration of agriculture, culture, and tourism in the Kaiping-Taishan area as a provincial pilot project [2] - Jiangmen will focus on developing industries related to smart health care, anti-aging, rehabilitation aids, and elderly care service robots [2] - The city will promote investment from Hong Kong and Macau in new or operational elderly care institutions [2] - Jiangmen plans to host the 15th National Games and develop sports-related industries, establishing a new high ground for sports economy in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area [2]

以下文章来源于申万宏源宏观 ，作者赵伟 屠强等 申万宏源宏观 . 申万宏源证券研究所 | 宏观研究部 作者： 赵伟 申万宏源证券首席经济学家 屠强 资深高级宏观分析师 贾东旭 高级宏观分析师 联系人： 屠强、耿佩璇 摘要 事 件： 2025年一季度GDP同比5.4%、预期5.2%、前值5.4%。3月，社零当月同比5.9%、预期4.4%、前值 4%；固定资产投资累计同比4.2%、预期4%、前值4.1%；房地产开发投资累计同比-9.9%、预期-10.2%、 前值-9.8%；新建商品房销售面积累计同比-3%、前值-5.1%；工业增加值当月同比7.7%、预期5.9%、前值 5.9%。 核心观点：2024年表现强劲的"旧结构"继续发力，但"新结构"也在蓄势恢复。 一季度经济超预期，主要源于2024年强势领域的支撑延续，但"新动能"的贡献也在提速。 一季度实际 GDP同比5.4%，高基数下仍持平2024年Q4。结构上，二产增加值增速大幅反弹构成主要支撑（+0.7pct至 5.9%），主因出口走强、制造业投资保持高位、消费提速的影响。但2024年表现较弱的消费当前明显提 速，是新的积极变化。此外，服务业投资增速（4.8%） ...