【 摘要 】浙商证券廖静池称，展望后市，科技成长板块在经历三周的强势期之后，"跟随"权重 指数节奏进入高位震荡整理。招商银行陈峤认为，短期黄金回调动能仍在累积，中长期看，黄金 基本面逻辑稳固，牛市趋势未改。 一、焦点锐评 1．黄金、白银史诗级暴跌 1月30日，在亚市早盘传出特朗普将提名凯文·沃什任美联储主席的消息后贵金属即转跌，现货白 银价格一度暴跌36%，创出历史最大日内跌幅；现货黄金价格一度下跌超过12%，盘中跌穿每盎 司4700美元，遭遇40年来单日最大跌幅。沃什在美联储任职期间一贯对通胀保持警惕，经常支持 更高利率。但去年他转而呼应特朗普观点。 【解读】招商银行陈峤分析称，短期看，在本月极端单边行情落地后，市场回调动能仍在累积， 后续调整走势或进一步延续，建议交易型投资者保持警惕，防范市场波动风险。中长期看，黄金 基本面逻辑稳固，牛市趋势未改。当下市场更多聚焦于美元信用重塑与全球秩序重构，与1970- 1974年布雷顿森林体系瓦解时的黄金牛市更为类似。 二、权益市场 1.富国基金：从"结构牛"走向"全面牛" A股 | 万得全A | 6783.79 -1.59% | | 5. 78% | 5. 83% ...

私募开年密集调研 机构2026年进攻方向，或可从其1月调研路径窥得端倪。据私募排排网统计，1月有近660家私募参与A 股调研活动，合计调研频次超1700次。分行业来看，计算机、机械设备、医药生物和电子等板块备受关 注。在一些业内人士看来，尽管2025年科技板块整体涨幅显著，但从产业趋势和企业盈利情况来看，现 在远未行至"泡沫阶段"，尤其是半导体和AI应用值得重点挖掘。 私募排排网最新统计数据显示，2026年1月共有659家私募参与A股公司调研活动，覆盖了28个申万一级 行业中的332只标的，合计调研频次达1719次。 1月16日，丹羿投资创始人朱亮则调研了通富微电。据公开资料，通富微电是集成电路封装测试服务提 供商，开源证券研究报告分析称，算力产业已开启"军备竞赛"，国产算力跨越式发展的背景下，本土AI 算力芯片蓬勃发展，相关产业链迎来发展窗口，通富微电有望深度受益。 AI基建与应用受关注 私募机构认为，在AI产业高速发展的过程中，机会将持续涌现，科技仍将是2026年不可忽视的投资主 线之一。 畅力资产董事长宝晓辉分析称，作为AI产业的基建，半导体设备领域值得关注。具体来看，当前AI行 业的发展逻辑已发生转变 ...

Group 1 - In 2025, the new "National Nine Articles" and the "1+6" reform of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board drove a moderate development of the Shanghai and Shenzhen new stock market, with a total of 90 new stocks listed, an increase of 13 from 2024 [1][7] - The fundraising scale significantly increased, with total funds raised reaching 124.24 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 98.25%, and large IPOs in the second half contributed 72% of the total fundraising [1][18] - The average fundraising amount per new stock was 13.80 million yuan, up 69.62% year-on-year, with the Sci-Tech Innovation Board leading at an average of 20.03 million yuan [1][24] Group 2 - In the primary market, the offline subscription yield remained stable compared to 2024, but accounts with a scale of 5 billion yuan and above saw a significant increase in yield [2][31] - The average first-day closing price increase was 227.90%, maintaining a high level, with no stocks experiencing a loss on the first day [2][41] - The Sci-Tech Innovation Board had the highest average first-day closing price increase, while industries such as non-ferrous metals and social services performed notably well [2][50] Group 3 - In the secondary market, timing remained a key factor for improving investment returns and success rates, with new stocks listed during market sentiment lows or upward cycles performing better [2][8] - The average investment return in the secondary market was 14.53%, a slight decrease from 2024, but the investment success rate increased to 33.33% [2][8] - The ChiNext Board outperformed in both investment returns and success rates, with industries like electronics and social services leading [2][8]

作为中国2026年主场外交的重要节点，广州担负本场重要国际会议可以说有底气、有实力，不仅从从容 容，而且游刃有余。 过去一年，广州不仅作为十五运会的主赛区，向世界呈现出广州"简约、安全、精彩"高质量承办重大赛 事的能力，广州连续主办广交会的水准也已经有目共睹。以第138届广交会为例，广州从硬件到软件， 从贸易对接到消费体验，不断创新便利化服务，向世界交出满意答卷。为保障会议圆满成功，广州遵 循"简洁、高效、节俭"原则推进各项筹备。致力于国际一流标准的全流程服务，广州还特别推出"APEC 广州一卡通"，方便参会代表体验公共交通、游览公园与文博场馆；在酒店配套外币兑换、离境退税等 服务，力求让每位来宾感到宾至如归。 2月1日，APEC2026年第一次高官会及相关会议在广州盛大开幕，来自成员经济体、秘书处、工商咨询 理事会等约1000名代表齐聚羊城，紧扣"建设亚太共同体，促进共同繁荣"的年度主题与"开放、创新、 合作"三大优先领域，全面启动各领域合作，为年底的领导人非正式会议奠定基础。这也是APEC"中国 年"的首场正式活动。 APEC"中国年"的首场正式活动落地广州，意蕴深长。广州和深圳作为粤港澳大湾区这一超级城 ...

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of a strong domestic economic foundation for building a financial powerhouse in China, highlighting the need for comprehensive policies to boost domestic demand and optimize support for new industries [6][7][8] - The manufacturing sector is experiencing a decline in PMI, indicating weakening production and demand, with specific industries like food processing and aerospace remaining in a high prosperity zone while others face pressure [11][12][13] - The real estate sector is projected to hit a bottom in 2026, with historical patterns suggesting a cyclical rather than a trend-based issue, and the report discusses the implications of rental yields and mortgage rates on property prices [30][31][32][34] Macro Economic Analysis - The report outlines macroeconomic policies focusing on enhancing domestic circulation and expanding domestic demand, with specific measures including a 500 billion yuan investment guarantee plan for private investment [6][7] - It notes that the central bank will maintain a moderately loose monetary policy in 2026, with potential for further rate cuts and liquidity support [7][8] - Fiscal policies are aimed at stimulating consumption and investment, with a focus on service sectors and adjustments in real estate financing [8] Industry Insights - The automotive industry is highlighted with significant growth in FSD paid user penetration, reaching over 12%, and a fivefold increase in global humanoid robot shipments expected in 2025 [53][54] - The chemical industry is experiencing stable prices for refrigerants despite seasonal downturns, with companies like Juhua and Haohua Technology announcing performance increases for 2025 [4] - The food and beverage sector shows resilience in demand, particularly for brands like Moutai, indicating a clear trend of improvement at the bottom [4] Investment Strategy - The report suggests maintaining positions in the market despite volatility, advocating for a focus on theme-based investments that align with macroeconomic conditions [23][25] - It emphasizes the importance of sector rotation, recommending investments in steel, building materials, media, chemicals, and communication sectors [39][41] - The report also discusses the performance of "quantitative fixed income+" funds, noting their rapid growth and the strategies employed within this category [49][50][51]

（央视财经《经济信息联播》）当前，A股上市公司2025年业绩披露已经进入密集窗口期，数据显示，仅1月30日一天，就有646家上市公司披露2025年业绩 预告。截至1月31日，A股5400多家上市公司中，已经有近3000家披露了2025年业绩预告。上市企业密集发布"成绩单"，其中"含金量"如何？ 在已披露业绩预告的上市公司中，共有1092家公司业绩预喜，占比为37%。其中，1046家公司归母净利润同比增速下限超过50%，603家同比增速下限超 100%。所谓"同比增速下限"，是指公司在业绩预告中给出的最低增长预期。 具体来看，AI产业趋势的积极影响进一步向产业链扩散：半导体板块全年盈利在低基数背景下实现大幅增长，同比增长超300%。通信板块全年盈利同比增 长超200%，元件板块同比增长约140%，电子板块同比增长近70%。 中国银河证券首席策略分析师 杨超：半导体产业链业绩表现突出，随着人工智能的发展，AI服务器与数据中心建设提速，端侧设备增长拉动了配套芯片需 求。国内关键技术突破加快，龙头企业盈利逐步兑现。 受益于我国制造业优势及出口订单增长等因素，汽车板块预喜比例超50%，全年盈利同比增长约140%，机械设 ...

计算机 行 业 研 究 周观点：SpaceX 申请部署百万颗卫星，剑指太空算 2026 年 02 月 01 日 ——行业周报 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -14% 0% 14% 29% 43% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 计算机 沪深300 相关研究报告 《AWS 和谷歌拉开"云涨价"序幕， 重视 AI 基建产业链 —行业点评报告》 -2026.1.28 《周观点：SpaceX 有望引领太空革命 —行业周报》-2026.1.25 《阿里全面发力 Agent，争夺 AI 超级 入口—行业点评报告》-2026.1.18 刘逍遥（分析师） liuxiaoyao@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790520090001 市场回顾：本周（2026.1.26-2026.1.30），沪深 300 指数上涨 0.08%，计算机 指数下跌 4.77%。 该项目不是传统的通信卫星扩容，而是主要服务于 SpaceX 的太空数据中心规 划。SpaceX 计划将其用于构建一个具备超大规模计算能力的轨道数据中心系 统，直接面向人工智能模型推理、机器学习、边缘计算及相关应用。卫星轨道 倾角为 3 ...

商品价格大涨推动下，开年以来，A股有色金属行业成为最闪耀的板块。数据显示，上周五（1月30 日）暴跌之前，有色金属板块个股1月平均涨幅39.9%，远超全A个股平均涨幅8.18%。有16只个股 的月涨幅超过50%，其中，湖南白银（002716.SZ）单月8次涨停，累计涨超200%，白银有色 （601212.SH）、盛达资源（000603.SZ）也在1月股价翻倍，兴业银锡（000426.SZ）、西部黄 金（601069.SH）等个股涨幅超80%。 2026.02. 01 本文字数：2711，阅读时长大约4分钟 作者 | 第一财经 魏中原 1月，A股市场以有色金属为代表的分化表现收尾，申万有色金属行业以22.59%的月度涨幅高居榜 首，成为开年最亮眼的主线。然而，有色行情在1月30日急转直下，板块内个股大面积跌停。与此同 时，开年以来持续飙升的国际黄金、白银，在当日出现史诗级暴跌，跌幅均创近40年以来最大日跌 幅。 这场由资金疯狂追捧黄金、白银现货，传导至股票市场催生的行情，在创下近十年同期最高涨幅纪录 后迅速释放情绪，背后折射出市场对极端估值与盈利兑现之间的重新权衡。随着2月行情拉开帷幕， 资金从"疯抢黄金股"转 ...

Group 1 - The core view of the report emphasizes the importance of "rebalancing" in the investment strategy for 2026, highlighting the dual focus on AI technology, overseas equipment, and global pricing resources as the main consensus among institutional investors [1][2] - The report indicates that the share of technology and overseas sectors in A-share profits (excluding finance) is approaching 40% by Q4 2025, suggesting a significant shift in the profit structure towards high-end technology and manufacturing, which is expected to reshape the A-share profit landscape and drive a new upward cycle in 2026-2027 [1][2] - The report outlines a transition from "new triumphing over old" in 2025 to "new and old dancing together" in 2026, where "new" refers to AI technology moving downstream and "old" refers to traditional industries stabilizing and growing through overseas business [2][3] Group 2 - The report highlights that global pricing resources, particularly gold, are experiencing a shift in asset allocation due to narratives of de-globalization and financialization, with a notable increase in trading sentiment driven by interest rate cuts and a weak dollar [2][3] - It is noted that the pricing of resource commodities is becoming increasingly differentiated, with financial attributes of resource pricing outperforming those based on commodity attributes [2][3] - The report stresses the need to be cautious of the assumption that the dollar will remain weak throughout 2026, as there may be a return to commodity attributes and a decline in financial attributes, making supply-demand fundamentals more critical for resource price increases [3] Group 3 - Observations from Q4 2025 indicate a significant increase in institutional holdings in sectors such as non-ferrous metals, communications, basic chemicals, non-bank financials, and machinery, while reductions were noted in pharmaceuticals, computing, electronics, media, and power equipment [9][10] - The report identifies a divergence in institutional investment in the AI industry chain, with a decrease in holdings in sectors with weaker earnings visibility, while sectors with strong earnings visibility, such as optical modules, saw increases [10][11] - The report also notes that institutional investors are increasingly favoring resource commodities that benefit from price increases, particularly in the non-ferrous and chemical sectors, indicating a strategic shift towards these areas [10][11]

Group 1 - The A-share market showed a significant upward trend in January 2026, with major indices rising, particularly the Sci-Tech 50 and CSI 500, while the Shanghai Composite Index increased by 3.8% [5][10] - Market trading volume increased significantly, with a record high of 3.99 trillion yuan on January 14, 2026, reflecting a recovery in investor sentiment [10][18] - The performance of various sectors was mixed, with non-ferrous metals and media leading gains, while banking and home appliances lagged behind [15][18] Group 2 - The report suggests maintaining a "growth + value" strategy in the Hong Kong stock market, as the overall trend is positive due to earnings recovery, improved liquidity, and low valuations [3][4] - The report emphasizes that small-cap stocks typically outperform during the spring market, driven by increased risk appetite and the influx of retail investors [71][88] - Key sectors to focus on include electronics, power equipment, machinery, non-ferrous metals, and communications, which are expected to perform well in February 2026 [3][4][73] Group 3 - The spring market is anticipated to be characterized by a focus on growth and cyclical sectors, with historical data indicating that these sectors often perform well during this period [73][88] - The report highlights that the consumer sector may receive policy support, as the government emphasizes domestic demand and market expansion [88][89] - Earnings forecasts for 2025 show improvement across various industries, particularly in non-ferrous metals, steel, and media, indicating a positive outlook for these sectors [61][81]