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麦格理:把小米集团-W剔出亚洲区推荐股名单 目标价降至61港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-20 09:27
Core Viewpoint - Macquarie has downgraded the target price for Xiaomi Group-W (01810) from HKD 69.32 to HKD 61, while maintaining an "Outperform" rating, but has removed the stock from its recommended list in the Asia-Pacific region, anticipating a decrease in the company's profitability in the second half of the year [1] Financial Performance - Xiaomi's second-quarter gross profit exceeded expectations by 1%, benefiting from an expansion in gross margin, but operating expenses increased, leading to an operating profit that fell short of expectations by 15% [1] - The company is expected to see flat quarterly revenue due to the seasonal weakness in IoT products offsetting growth in smartphone and electric vehicle sales [1] Sales Forecast - Macquarie has reduced its forecast for Xiaomi's electric vehicle sales by 24,000 units, reflecting slower-than-expected production ramp-up at the new factory [1] - The quarterly gross margin is anticipated to contract by 0.7 percentage points due to intensified competition in the smartphone market and rising memory costs [1] - The gross margin for electric vehicles is expected to decline by 0.5 percentage points, influenced by the delivery of the YU7 model [1]
麦格理:把小米集团-W(01810)剔出亚洲区推荐股名单 目标价降至61港元
智通财经网· 2025-08-20 09:24
该行指,小米第二季毛利胜预期1%,受惠毛利率扩张,但经营开支上升导致经营溢利逊预期15%。麦 格理料小米智能手机及电动车销售增长被物联网季节性疲弱抵销,季度收入将按季持平。该行下调对小 米电动车销量预测2.4万辆,反映新厂房投产慢于预期。该行料小米季度毛利率按季收缩0.7个百分点, 受智能手机竞争加剧及内存加价影响。电动车毛利率料按季跌0.5个百分点,受YU7交付影响。 麦格理发布研报称,下调对小米集团-W(01810)目标价,由69.32港元降至61港元,维持"跑赢大市"评 级,但把该股剔出该行亚洲区推荐股份名单,预期公司下半年盈利较上半年减少,料今年第三季毛利率 承压,因手机竞争加剧、成本趋升及IoT产品季节性放缓。 ...
开始反击美国?莫迪誓言“印度制造”:将捍卫印度利益,绝不妥协
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-20 07:50
Core Viewpoint - Indian Prime Minister Modi vows to continue promoting the "Make in India" initiative and emphasizes protecting farmers' interests, positioning himself as a "wall" against external pressures [1][14]. Group 1: Trade Relations and Responses - Modi's statements are perceived as a response to Trump's punitive tariffs on Indian goods, which have reached 50%, marking a rare extreme in global trade history [3]. - The tariffs have triggered a global chain reaction, with India leading a coalition of 11 emerging economies, including Brazil and South Africa, to reach a consensus on trade strategies [3][21]. - The consensus includes establishing local currency settlement channels, sharing energy supply chains, and coordinating retaliatory tariff measures, collectively representing 22% of global GDP [21]. Group 2: Economic Impact - Following the imposition of tariffs, the Indian rupee depreciated significantly, foreign capital fled, and GDP growth forecasts were adjusted downwards by 1 percentage point [18]. - Modi's counteractions included canceling defense procurement from the U.S. and exploring transactions in yuan for oil purchases from Russia, potentially undermining the dollar's dominance in oil trade [19]. Group 3: Diplomatic Engagements - Modi plans to visit China for the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit, marking his first official visit in seven years, and will also host Putin in New Delhi [23]. - The timing of these diplomatic engagements coincides with a period of reduced U.S. sanctions pressure, providing an opportunity for India and China to align their positions on shared challenges such as energy security and de-dollarization [25].
6363公里长江溯源骑行完成 台铃实地验证电动车长续航性能
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-08-20 07:01
Core Insights - The article highlights the successful completion of the "Hello Yangtze" expedition by Tailin, covering 6363 kilometers across 31 cities in 32 days, showcasing the company's commitment to long-range performance and user trust [1][2] Group 1: Expedition Overview - Tailin's expedition involved a challenging journey from Shanghai to the source of the Yangtze River at an altitude of 5096 meters, navigating diverse terrains and extreme weather conditions [1] - The riders faced significant physical challenges, including altitude sickness and harsh weather, which tested their endurance and determination [1] Group 2: User Trust and Feedback - User feedback during the expedition emphasized the reliability of Tailin products, with riders reporting no accidents despite adverse conditions, reinforcing the brand's credibility [2] - The company values real user experiences over theoretical data, indicating a strong focus on customer satisfaction and product performance in real-life scenarios [2] Group 3: Product Philosophy - Tailin defines "authentic long-range" not merely as theoretical specifications but as a commitment to meeting genuine user needs through rigorous product testing in real-world conditions [2] - The expedition serves as a testament to Tailin's dedication to user-centric design and the exploration of product capabilities under extreme conditions [2]
大和:升小米集团-W目标价至76港元 次季收入及经调整纯利大致符预期
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-20 06:57
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that Xiaomi Group-W (01810) reported second-quarter revenue and adjusted earnings that were broadly in line with market expectations [1] - The gross margin for Xiaomi's electric vehicle segment reached 26.4% in the second quarter, driven by higher average selling prices and economies of scale, with expectations for further increase to 28% in the third quarter [1] - The potential for Xiaomi's automotive business to achieve breakeven on a quarterly or monthly basis in the second half of the year is highlighted [1] Group 2 - Based on the revised gross margin forecasts for electric vehicles, the earnings per share estimates for Xiaomi for 2025 to 2027 have been raised by 2% to 9% [1] - The rating remains "Buy," with the target price increased from HKD 72 to HKD 76 [1] - In the smartphone segment, due to a limited number of product launches, the outlook for Xiaomi's third-quarter shipment volume has become more cautious, with an expected shipment of 42.2 million units and an annual total of 172 million units, compared to the company's target of 170 to 175 million units [1]
大和:升小米集团-W(01810)目标价至76港元 次季收入及经调整纯利大致符预期
智通财经网· 2025-08-20 06:52
手机方面,由于发布的产品有限,该行对小米第三季的出货量转趋审慎,预期第三季的出货量为4,220 万部,全年的出货量为1.72亿部,相对于小米全年1.7亿至1.75亿部的目标。 智通财经APP获悉,大和发布研报称,小米集团-W(01810)第二季收入及经调整盈利大致符合市场预 期。在SU7 Ultra等的较高平均售价及规模经济的带动下,小米第二季电动车毛利率达到26.4%,该行预 期第三季电动车毛利率将进一步上升至28%。这将有可能使小米汽车业务在下半年实现单季或单月盈亏 平衡。基于电动车毛利率预测获上调,上调小米2025至27年每股盈测2%至9%。重申"买入"评级,并将 目标价由72港元上调至76港元。 ...
大行评级|大和:上调小米目标价至76港元 下半年汽车业务或实现单季或单月盈亏平衡
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-20 05:47
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that Xiaomi's Q2 revenue and adjusted profit largely met market expectations [1] - The gross margin for electric vehicles reached 26.4% in Q2, driven by higher average selling prices and economies of scale, with expectations for an increase to 28% in Q3 [1] - Xiaomi's electric vehicle business may achieve breakeven on a quarterly or monthly basis in the second half of the year [1] Group 2 - Due to a limited number of product launches, the company is cautious about Xiaomi's Q3 shipment volume, projecting it to be 42.2 million units, with an annual total of 172 million units [1] - This annual projection is slightly below Xiaomi's target of 170 to 175 million units [1] - Based on the revised gross margin forecast for electric vehicles, the company has raised its earnings per share estimates for Xiaomi for 2025 to 2027 by 2% to 9% [1] - The target price for Xiaomi has been increased from HKD 72 to HKD 76, maintaining a "buy" rating [1]
高盛:降小米集团-W目标价至65港元 次季业绩大致符预期
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-20 05:43
Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that Xiaomi Group-W (01810) Q2 performance is largely in line with expectations, with a 30% year-on-year revenue growth and a 75% increase in adjusted net profit, exceeding the bank's forecasts by 7% to 13% [1] Financial Performance - Revenue increased by 30% year-on-year, driven by strong performance in AIoT, which grew by 45%, surpassing Goldman Sachs and market predictions by 2% and 8% respectively [1] - Adjusted net profit rose by 75% year-on-year, exceeding Goldman Sachs' expectations [1] Product Performance - Electric vehicle sales offset weak smartphone sales, indicating a shift in product demand [1] Forecast Adjustments - Revenue forecasts for Xiaomi from 2025 to 2027 remain largely unchanged, but adjusted net profit forecasts have been lowered by 1% to 4% due to increased R&D investments and taxes [1] - Target price has been reduced from HKD 69 to HKD 65, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Stock Performance - Over the past three months, Xiaomi's stock performance has aligned closely with index trends, with a year-to-date increase of 54% [1] - Concerns about the slowdown in AIoT sales growth and the gradual increase in electric vehicle manufacturing capacity have been noted, despite a slight rise in delivery volumes in August [1]
高盛:降小米集团-W(01810)目标价至65港元 次季业绩大致符预期
智通财经网· 2025-08-20 05:41
Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reported that Xiaomi Group-W (01810) second-quarter performance was largely in line with expectations, with a year-on-year revenue growth of 30% [1] Revenue Performance - Revenue increased by 30% year-on-year, driven by strong performance in Artificial Intelligence of Things (AIoT), which grew by 45%, exceeding Goldman Sachs and market forecasts by 2% and 8% respectively [1] - Electric vehicle sales offset weak smartphone sales, contributing positively to overall revenue [1] Profitability - Adjusted net profit increased by 75% year-on-year, surpassing Goldman Sachs' and market forecasts by 7% to 13% [1] - Due to increased R&D investment and higher income tax, adjusted net profit forecasts were revised down by 1% to 4% [1] Target Price and Rating - The target price was lowered from HKD 69 to HKD 65, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Stock Performance - Over the past three months, Xiaomi's stock performance has been in line with index trends, with a year-to-date increase of 54% [1] - Concerns regarding the downward revision of smartphone revenue/gross margin estimates have been noted, as the company has consistently provided lower forecasts than the market since early 2025 [1] Future Outlook - There are worries about a slowdown in AIoT sales growth in the second half of the year due to diminishing incremental benefits from China's national subsidy program [1] - Since July, the increase in electric vehicle manufacturing capacity has been relatively slow, although there was a slight rise in delivery volumes in August [1] - Following two years of exceeding expectations and upward adjustments, the forecast adjustments for revenue and earnings per share have been moderate [1]
高盛:小米次季业绩基本符合预期 目标价下调至65港元
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-08-20 03:37
Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that Xiaomi's Q2 performance largely meets expectations, with a year-on-year revenue growth of 30% and a strong performance in AIoT, which grew by 45%, exceeding both the bank's and market forecasts by 2% and 8% respectively [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Revenue increased by 30% year-on-year, driven by strong AIoT sales [1] - Adjusted net profit grew by 75% year-on-year, surpassing Goldman Sachs' and market forecasts by 7% to 13% [1] - Despite weak smartphone sales, electric vehicle sales helped offset the decline [1] Group 2: Stock Performance - Xiaomi's stock performance has been in line with index trends over the past three months, but has risen 54% year-to-date [1] - Concerns over reduced smartphone revenue and gross margin estimates have led to a downward adjustment in forecasts since early 2025 [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - The bank maintains its revenue forecasts for Xiaomi from 2025 to 2027, but adjusts the net profit forecast down by 1% to 4% due to increased R&D investments and taxes [1] - Target price is revised from HKD 69 to HKD 65, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]