整理｜云酒头条团队 ▎商务部就白兰地反倾销调查再发声 7月5日，商务部贸易救济调查局负责人针对原产于欧盟的进口相关白兰地反倾销调查最终裁定中提到部分欧盟企业适用价格承诺，不会被征收反倾销税，做 出解释。反倾销实践中，如果调查机关接受涉案出口企业作出的价格承诺，即未来出口价格不低于某个水平，那么这些出口将不会被征收反倾销税。 1. 商务部就白兰地反倾销调查再发声 2. 汾酒获实用新型专利授权 3. 泸州老窖技改项目新进度 4. 刘淼率队拜访海尔集团 5. 河南省政协调研仰韶酒业 6. 水井坊：已试点推出小包装规格产品 7. 金徽酒会员中心将全新改版 8. 金种子馥合香产品部分市场停货 9. 仁怀酒协发布自律倡议 | 序号 | 公司名称 | 17 | 巴赫 · 加布里埃尔森有限公司 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | ( THS BACHE GABRIELSEN SAS ) | | | 马爹利股份有限公司 | 18 | 费朗干邑一人有限公司 | | 1 | ( Martell & Co ) | | (SASU COGNAC FERRAND ) | | | 法国轩尼诗公司 | | ...

Group 1 - The 2025 Ecological Civilization Guiyang International Forum focuses on the theme of "Sustainable Development SDGs Ten-Year Review and Outlook - International Contribution of Global Development Initiatives" [1] - The forum discusses the achievements of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) over the past decade and the pathways for implementing global development initiatives [1] Group 2 - The "Silk Road Partner Program" was officially launched at the forum, marking the beginning of China's ecological products reaching the world from Guizhou [3] - The program is driven by a three-dimensional approach of "Ecological Products + Cultural IP + Green Finance," aiming to create a standardized model for Chinese industries going global [3] - The initial focus of the program is on the Central Asian market, with plans to expand to ASEAN and Central and Eastern Europe, promoting Guizhou's unique ecological industries such as kiwi, tea, liquor, and traditional Chinese medicine [3] - The launch of the program is seen as a new starting point for sharing opportunities between China's ecological industries and countries along the Belt and Road, injecting new momentum into global sustainable development [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the food and beverage industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [4]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the trend towards health-conscious consumption, product innovation, and channel iteration as key drivers in the food and beverage industry [1]. - In the liquor segment, the report highlights the ongoing adjustments in management teams and anticipates a new cycle for the industry, suggesting that the sector is entering a phase of stabilization after a deep adjustment period [2]. - The beer and beverage sector is witnessing a diversification of products, with new offerings such as sugar-free drinks and unique flavors, which are expected to drive growth [3]. Summary by Sections Liquor Industry - The report identifies three main investment themes: 1. Leading brands with increasing market share, such as Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye 2. High-certainty regional brands benefiting from local market advantages 3. Elastic stocks that may benefit from recovery and increased risk appetite [1][2]. Beer and Beverage Sector - The report notes the upcoming launch of new beer products and the continued popularity of craft beers, suggesting that companies like Yanjing Beer and Zhujiang Beer are well-positioned for growth [3]. - In the beverage segment, the introduction of a new sugar-free drink by Dongpeng is highlighted, aligning with the health trend and expected to attract consumers [3]. Food Sector - The approval of D-allohexose as a new food ingredient is expected to accelerate growth in the sugar substitute market, with companies like Bailong Chuangyuan being potential beneficiaries [6]. - The report also mentions the entry of Meituan's discount supermarket "Happy Monkey," which is anticipated to enhance competition in the discount retail space [6].

Core Viewpoint - The "Global Sustainable Development Investment Index Report" was officially released during the 2025 Ecological Civilization Guiyang International Forum, aiming to inject new momentum into global sustainable development [1][3]. Group 1: Report Overview - The report was jointly compiled by the International Financial Forum (IFF) and China Galaxy Securities (CGS), selecting samples from G20 members and 13 non-G20 countries with strong green finance practices [3]. - It explores new pathways for sustainable development investment, promoting technological upgrades and innovative reforms [3]. - Key trends identified include accelerated global sustainable development, declining global sustainability capacity, energy structure transformation, technology empowering productivity, and policy support for green transformation [3]. Group 2: Forum Highlights - The forum focused on the theme of "harmonious coexistence between humans and nature," summarizing the progress and challenges of the SDGs over the past decade and highlighting China's contributions [3]. - A roundtable discussion titled "From ESG Innovation to Achieving SDGs: How the Chinese Paradigm Reshapes the Global Green Economy" was held, featuring youth representatives sharing their understanding and real stories related to SDGs [5]. - The United Nations Development Programme emphasized the transformative potential of digital technologies, including artificial intelligence, in environmental governance [5]. Group 3: Initiatives and Future Directions - The "SRIA Silk Road Partnership Plan" was launched as a practical cooperation platform under the Belt and Road Initiative, focusing on ecological products and cultural exchange [7]. - The plan aims to promote unique ecological products from Guizhou, such as the prickly pear, through international certification and enhance cultural exchanges among Belt and Road countries [7]. - Guizhou Maotai Group announced significant investments in ecological protection, aiming to reduce carbon emissions and water consumption in its production chain by 20% and 30% respectively by 2030 [5].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The liquor industry is currently experiencing a bottoming phase, with a focus on the growth opportunities in the konjac segment. The food and beverage index increased by 0.6% from June 30 to July 4, ranking 19th among 28 sub-industries, underperforming the CSI 300 by approximately 0.9 percentage points. The meat products, liquor, and baked goods sub-industries showed relatively strong performance with increases of 1.2%, 1.2%, and 0.9% respectively [3][12][14] - The recent decline in liquor prices is attributed to the impact of e-commerce subsidies and restrictions on consumption due to the "ban on alcohol," which has compressed industry demand. However, liquor manufacturers are controlling market supply, leading to a temporary stabilization of liquor prices. Although there has been a slight accumulation of channel inventory, the overall inventory remains manageable due to a slowdown in shipments from manufacturers. The ongoing effects of the "ban on alcohol" are expected to continue, with increased pressure on liquor industry performance anticipated in the second quarter. The ban may accelerate industry consolidation and bottoming trends [3][12][14] - In the long term, the liquor industry is undergoing a transformation in consumer demand, with companies adapting by launching lower-alcohol products to cater to younger consumers and promoting family gatherings and casual drinking scenarios. Leading liquor companies maintain strong brand and channel competitiveness, which is expected to facilitate their transition during this industry transformation. Current low valuations and high dividend rates of leading liquor companies suggest they possess long-term investment value [3][12][14] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The food and beverage index increased by 0.6%, ranking 19th out of 28 sectors, underperforming the CSI 300 by approximately 0.9 percentage points. The leading sub-industries included meat products (+1.2%), liquor (+1.2%), and baked goods (+0.9%) [12][14] Upstream Data - As of July 1, the GDT auction price for whole milk powder was $3,859 per ton, down 5.5% month-on-month but up 19.9% year-on-year. The domestic fresh milk price was 3.0 yuan per kilogram, unchanged month-on-month but down 7.0% year-on-year. The domestic milk price is expected to continue its downward trend in the short to medium term [19][24] - On July 5, the price of pork was 20.4 yuan per kilogram, down 16.2% year-on-year, while the price of live pigs was 15.2 yuan per kilogram, down 16.5% year-on-year. The number of breeding sows was 40.42 million, up 1.2% year-on-year [27][28] Recommendations - Recommended stocks include Guizhou Moutai, Shanxi Fenjiu, Ximai Food, Wancheng Group, and Bairun Co. Guizhou Moutai is expected to deepen its reform process and emphasize sustainable development despite short-term demand pressures. Shanxi Fenjiu has high mid-term growth certainty, while Ximai Food is expected to improve profitability due to favorable raw material costs. Wancheng Group continues to expand its store count and target young consumers, and Bairun Co. is seeing improvements in its pre-mixed liquor segment [5][48]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a cautious outlook on the liquor industry, suggesting a bottoming opportunity for investment in high-end liquor brands and potential cyclical recovery in beer and yellow wine sectors [2][11][12]. Core Insights - The liquor industry is experiencing pressure on sales due to external risks and a need for demand improvement, with expectations for the price of original box Feitian Moutai to stabilize around 2000 RMB [2][11]. - The beer industry is showing signs of stabilization with a recovery in dining demand and potential for high-frequency sales tracking, suggesting a favorable outlook for the upcoming peak season [3][12]. - The yellow wine sector is witnessing a trend towards premiumization and market promotion efforts by leading brands, indicating a shift in consumer preferences [3][13]. - The snack food industry remains robust, driven by channel expansion and new product penetration, with expectations for continued high growth in Q2 [3][12]. - The soft drink sector is seeing demand improvement driven by health-oriented and functional beverages, with a positive outlook for brands like Dongpeng Beverage and Nongfu Spring [4][14]. - The seasoning industry is stabilizing at a low point, with growth relying on structural upgrades and increased demand from the restaurant sector [5][15]. Summary by Sections Liquor Industry - Feitian Moutai's original box price is stable between 1900-1950 RMB, with expectations for a price stabilization around 2000 RMB [2][11]. - The industry is under pressure, but the market's expectations for short-term performance have been adequately priced in, suggesting a potential for recovery [12]. Beer Industry - The beer sector is expected to stabilize with a recovery in dining demand and increased focus on non-drinking channels [3][12]. - The industry is positioned for a favorable performance in the upcoming peak season, with anticipated steady mid-year earnings [3][12]. Yellow Wine Industry - The trend towards premiumization is becoming a consensus among leading brands, with increased marketing efforts and a focus on younger consumers [3][13]. Snack Food Industry - The snack food sector is maintaining high growth due to channel expansion and new product introductions, with Q2 performance expected to continue the positive trend [3][12]. Soft Drink Industry - The soft drink market is improving, driven by health and functional beverages, with brands like Dongpeng Beverage and Nongfu Spring expected to perform well [4][14]. Seasoning Industry - The seasoning sector is stabilizing, with growth dependent on structural upgrades and increased demand from the restaurant industry [5][15].

Group 1 - The market indices have shown a strong performance, but individual stocks may not reflect this trend, indicating a potential disconnect between indices and stock performance due to the registration system [1] - Concerns about tariffs have led to market exits, but the core stocks in the Shanghai Composite Index, particularly those with domestic focus, are less affected by export-related tariffs [3] - The upcoming market outlook is optimistic, with expectations for a rise towards 3500 points, supported by sectors like banking, liquor, and insurance, although caution is advised regarding increasing positions [5] Group 2 - The market is likely to continue its upward trend, with a tendency for rebounds in the face of negative sentiment, as seen in past events [7] - The performance of key sectors such as insurance, liquor, securities, and real estate will be crucial for supporting the banking sector's growth [5] - The overall market strategy should focus on position management, ensuring profits during rises and maintaining reserves during declines [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the food and beverage industry, particularly highlighting the long-term investment value of leading traditional consumer companies after adjustments [1][6]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes that leading companies in traditional consumption have adjusted and now possess long-term investment value from a dividend and yield perspective. It suggests that many food stocks with new consumption characteristics have already reflected expectations, and future performance will diverge based on actual results. The focus is on companies with genuine long-term competitiveness and improvement potential [1][6]. - In the liquor sector, slow macroeconomic recovery and limited consumption scenarios are expected to continue exerting pressure on sales and financial statements. Key recommendations include Guizhou Moutai, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Luzhou Laojiao, with a watch on Wuliangye, Jiansu, and Yingjia Gongjiu [1][6]. - For mass-market products, cost advantages are expected to support profitability, and emerging categories are anticipated to grow. The report recommends leading companies in mature sectors like dairy and beer, and highlights growth opportunities in new retail formats driven by consumer trends towards self-indulgence, health, and convenience [1][6]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Insights on Food and Beverage - The food and beverage sector saw a 0.62% increase last week, with liquor up by 1.20%. However, it underperformed the broader market by 0.79 percentage points, ranking 20th among 31 sub-sectors [5][41]. 2. Market Performance of Food and Beverage Sectors - The report indicates that the food and beverage industry underperformed the Shenwan A index by 0.54 percentage points, with sub-sectors like liquor slightly outperforming while others like snacks and beverages lagged behind [41][42]. 3. Liquor Pricing Updates - Moutai's bottle price is reported at 1850 yuan, up 50 yuan week-on-week, while the box price is 1935 yuan, up 65 yuan. Wuliangye's price remains stable at approximately 905 yuan, and Guojiao 1573 is stable at around 860 yuan [7][23]. 4. Mass-Market Products Outlook - The report anticipates flat demand for mass-market products in the upcoming mid-year reports, with continued cost advantages. It highlights the dairy sector's potential for revenue and profit improvement due to supply-demand rebalancing and policy support [8][11]. 5. Key Company Updates - China Feihe expects a revenue of 9.1 to 9.3 billion yuan for H1 2025, a decline of 8% to 9% year-on-year, primarily due to inventory adjustments and reduced government subsidies [11]. 6. Important Announcements - The report includes various announcements regarding management changes and financial updates from companies like Yanghe and Jinzhongzi, indicating ongoing adjustments within the industry [12][13].

没喝过它，你都不好意思说自己懂酒！ 当外地人挤破头抢价格飞天的贵价酒时，传承自 【 茅台标准制定者&中国酱香之父· 罗庆忠 】 的 【 罗庆忠酒·品评级1965 】 用 21年老酒、 三香秘技勾调 功力 诠释着茅台镇至本真的酱香，成为茅台镇老饕们口中的私藏！ 很多人可能不认识这位老先生，不知道 " 罗庆忠 " 这三个字的含金量有多高！ 奠定茅台国酒之位、茅台辉煌50年 ，离不开 "一代宗师、 酱香之父"罗庆忠先 生！ 在中国酱酒行业， 罗庆忠这个名字本身就是一座里程碑 。 他是 茅酒标准制定者！ 罗老于 1965 年参与茅台酒"三香定型"（酱香、醇甜、窖底）的科研突破， 正式将茅酒的香型命名为"酱 香型" ，也 奠定了 现代茅台酒生产 的质量标准。 为了把毕生所掌握的 嫡传古法酿造 和 "三香阴阳勾调法" 秘技传承给子孙 1985 年， 在茅台镇7.5平方公里内的土滩坝， 罗老创建了与茅酒同根同祖的 华成烧坊 （华成酒业集团前身） 为何 这瓶酒，能杀出重围，成为酱酒圈的"黑马"？ 三香定型限定酒款，品评级好酒 这款 罗庆忠酒·品评级1965 最开始生产出来其实是 专门给业内专家品评 ，不对外开放的，没点关系， ...

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