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银河期货每日早盘观察-20251111
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-11-11 03:27
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Ratings The report does not explicitly mention industry investment ratings. 2. Core Views of the Report - **Financial Derivatives**: The stock index futures are expected to maintain a volatile upward trend, while the bond market sentiment is not weak, but the upward space of bond futures is limited [20][23]. - **Agricultural Products**: The protein meal has support in the near - term, while the long - term is under pressure. The sugar price is expected to be volatile. The oil and fat sector is in a bottom - grinding stage. Corn and its starch are in a strong - side volatile state. The pig price is expected to be under pressure, and peanuts are in a short - term bottom - shock state. Egg prices may have limited upside, and apple prices are mainly stable. Cotton prices are expected to be slightly stronger in the short - term [26][31][35][38][42][46][51][54]. - **Black Metals**: Steel prices are in a range - bound state. Coking coal and coke are expected to be adjusted in the short - term and offer buying opportunities after a pullback. Iron ore is considered from a bearish perspective, and ferroalloys' previous short positions can be reduced [57][60][63][64]. - **Non - ferrous Metals**: Precious metals are expected to strengthen in a volatile manner. Copper is in a short - term shock state. Alumina prices may rebound slightly but face pressure. Aluminum prices are expected to be stronger in a volatile state. Zinc requires attention to export volume, lead is in a range - bound state, and nickel prices are expected to weaken in a volatile manner [67][70][74][77][79][86][89][93]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Financial Derivatives - **Stock Index Futures**: The stock index futures followed the spot market to strengthen. The trading volume and open interest of some varieties changed. The market sentiment is optimistic, and the stock index is expected to maintain a volatile upward trend. The trading strategies include not chasing high, building long positions on dips, conducting IM/IC long 2512 + short ETF cash - and - carry arbitrage, and using bull spreads on dips [19][20][21]. - **Bond Futures**: Bond futures closed mostly higher on Monday. The market funds tightened, but the bond market showed resilience. The upward space of bond futures is limited. The trading strategies include waiting and holding short positions on the 30Y - 7Y term spread and considering long positions on the T - contract current - next quarter spread [22][23]. Agricultural Products - **Protein Meal**: The export prospects of US soybeans have improved, providing support. The domestic soybean meal has supply uncertainties, with strong near - term support and long - term pressure. Rapeseed meal is expected to be in a shock state [26]. - **Sugar**: Internationally, the sugar production in major producing areas is increasing, and the fundamentals are weak. Domestically, the sugar price is expected to be in a range - bound state, with limited downward space due to policy support [31]. - **Oil and Fat Sector**: In October, the palm oil inventory in Malaysia increased as expected. The oil and fat sector is in a bottom - grinding stage, and there may be a technical rebound in the short - term [34][35]. - **Corn/Corn Starch**: The US corn futures rebounded. The domestic corn spot price is strong, and the futures are in a strong - side volatile state [36][38]. - **Pigs**: The pig price is generally in a downward trend. The overall supply pressure still exists, and the pig price is expected to be under pressure [39][40]. - **Peanuts**: The peanut spot price is stable, and the 01 contract is in a short - term bottom - shock state. The 05 contract can be considered for short - term long positions [41][42]. - **Eggs**: The demand for eggs has improved slightly, but the supply of laying hens is still at a high level, and the upside space of egg prices is limited [44][46]. - **Apples**: New apples are gradually being stored, and the price is mainly stable. The inventory is expected to be lower than last year, but the current futures price is at a high level, so it is recommended to wait and see [49][51]. - **Cotton - Cotton Yarn**: The cotton picking is coming to an end. The supply is expected to increase, and the demand is in the off - season. The cotton price is expected to be slightly stronger in the short - term [53][54]. Black Metals - **Steel**: The supply of rebar is increasing, and the steel price is in a range - bound state. The supply and demand structure suppresses the steel price, but there is support at the bottom due to environmental protection [57]. - **Coking Coal and Coke**: The market drive is not obvious in the short - term, and it is expected to be adjusted in a volatile manner. In the medium - term, there are buying opportunities after a pullback [60]. - **Iron Ore**: The terminal demand is weakening, and the supply is at a high level. The iron ore price is expected to be in a high - level bearish operation [62][63]. - **Ferroalloys**: The supply and demand of ferroalloys are weakening at the margin, but the cost provides support. The previous short positions can be reduced [64]. Non - ferrous Metals - **Precious Metals**: The market's liquidity expectation has improved, and precious metals are expected to strengthen in a volatile manner [67]. - **Copper**: The short - term copper price is in a shock state. The supply is tightening, and the demand is warming up [70][71][73]. - **Alumina**: The supply and demand of alumina are still in significant surplus. The price may rebound slightly, but it faces pressure from the basis [77]. - **Electrolytic Aluminum**: There are still concerns about overseas supply, and the aluminum price is expected to be stronger in a volatile manner [79][81]. - **Cast Aluminum Alloy**: Affected by the cost and demand, the cast aluminum alloy price will maintain a strong - side volatile state with the aluminum price [85]. - **Zinc**: Attention should be paid to the export volume of zinc [86]. - **Lead**: The lead price is in a range - bound state, and it may decline with the increase of social inventory [89][90]. - **Nickel**: The cost of nickel has loosened, and the nickel price is expected to weaken in a volatile manner [93].
有色偏强运行:有色日报-20251110
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-10 10:17
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Views - The overall performance of non-ferrous metals was strong. The recent decline of the US dollar index was beneficial for non-ferrous metals [6][7][8]. - For Shanghai copper, the price strengthened in the morning and then fluctuated around 86,500 yuan. The downstream purchasing willingness recovered as the copper price dropped, and the social inventory of electrolytic copper decreased on Monday. Technically, attention should be paid to the pressure at the 87,000 yuan mark [7]. - For Shanghai aluminum, the price increased with rising positions, approaching the high of last week. The domestic pricing power for aluminum was relatively strong, so the increase was less than that of copper. The social inventory of electrolytic aluminum increased slightly on Monday. Technically, attention should be paid to the pressure at last week's high [8]. - For Shanghai nickel, the price fluctuated strongly with a slight increase in positions. Although the non-ferrous metal sector rose as a whole, nickel showed weakness, reflecting the weakness of its fundamentals. The weekly decline of nickel ore port inventory slowed down, and the weekly inventory of nickel futures continued to rise. Technically, attention should be paid to the pressure at the 120,000 yuan mark [9]. Summaries by Relevant Catalogs 1. Industry Dynamics - **Copper**: On November 10, the social inventory of Mysteel electrolytic copper was 198,300 tons, a decrease of 4,300 tons from last Thursday [11]. - **Aluminum**: On November 10, the social inventory of Mysteel electrolytic aluminum was 616,000 tons, an increase of 9,000 tons from last Thursday [12]. - **Nickel**: On November 10, the price of SMM1 electrolytic nickel was 119,200 - 123,200 yuan/ton, with an average price of 121,200 yuan/ton, a rise of 300 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. The average premium of Jinchuan 1 electrolytic nickel was 3,600 yuan/ton, a rise of 600 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. The spot premium of domestic mainstream brands of electrowon nickel was in the range of -100 - 400 yuan/ton, and the spot premium increased significantly on Monday [13]. 2. Relevant Charts - **Copper**: The report presented charts on domestic visible inventory of electrolytic copper, LME copper注销仓单比例, overseas copper exchange inventory, SHFE warehouse receipt inventory, and other aspects [14][15][16]. - **Aluminum**: The report included charts on aluminum basis, aluminum price difference, domestic social inventory of electrolytic aluminum, overseas exchange inventory of electrolytic aluminum, alumina inventory, and aluminum rod inventory [38][28][29]. - **Nickel**: The report showed charts on nickel basis, LME nickel inventory and注销仓单比例, LME nickel trend, SHFE inventory, nickel ore port inventory, and nickel price difference [40][42][43].
商品期权周报-20251109
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-11-09 14:57
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the past week, the trading volume of commodity options increased slightly, with only the trading volume of the precious metals sector decreasing. Most varieties are in a volatility - reduction cycle, and it is advisable to move short - option positions to far - month contracts in advance to avoid end - of - contract risks [4]. - The options of the black sector showed increased volatility and trading volume. Affected by the decline in iron ore futures prices, the implied volatility of black options has risen. The previous policy - driven boost has basically been realized, and the market trading logic has returned to fundamentals. There is a lack of new macro - drivers, and the upward momentum of prices has been weakened. The implied volatility still has room to rise, and it is advisable to buy a bearish put spread portfolio to hedge against the downward market [4]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Market Overview - The trading volume of commodity options increased slightly last week, with the precious metals sector being the only one with a decline in trading volume. Energy and chemical products such as short - fiber, PTA, methanol, glass, crude oil, caustic soda, soda ash, and bottle chips are about to expire on Wednesday. Most varieties are in a volatility - reduction cycle [4]. - The options of the black sector showed increased volatility and trading volume. The implied volatility of black options has risen due to the decline in iron ore futures prices. The previous policy - driven boost has basically been realized, and the market trading logic has returned to fundamentals [4]. 3.2 Market Data 3.2.1 Market Overview - The table shows the quantitative data of commodity options, including the flat - value volatility, 60 - day quantile, Skew, and 60 - day quantile of various varieties such as corn, soybean meal, and crude oil [12]. 3.2.2 - 3.2.54 Option Data of Each Variety - For each variety (such as corn, soybean meal, etc.), the data includes the closing price, trading volume, open interest, trading volume PCR, open interest PCR, flat - value volatility, HV - 10 days, HV - 20 days, and Skew of the main contract, secondary - main contract, and all contracts [13][14][15] etc.
国际铜夜盘收涨0.01%,沪铝收跌0.46%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-07 23:11
Group 1 - International copper futures rose by 0.01% in the night session, while Shanghai copper fell by 0.03% [1] - Shanghai aluminum decreased by 0.46%, and Shanghai zinc dropped by 0.48% [1] - Shanghai lead increased by 0.40%, while Shanghai nickel declined by 0.31% [1] Group 2 - Night session alumina rose by 0.94%, whereas aluminum alloy fell by 0.43% [1] - Stainless steel in the night session decreased by 0.20% [1]
国投期货:企业微信图17624959943648.png(27024287)
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-11-07 10:40
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the document. 2. Report's Core View - No information provided in the document. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog - **Copper**: SMM 1 electrolytic copper average price is 86,015 with a rise of 20, and SMM flat - water copper premium/discount is 15 with a rise of 15 [1]. - **Aluminum**: SMM A00 aluminum average price is 21,540 with a rise of 180, and SMM A00 aluminum premium/discount is - 30 with no change; Alumina (Shanxi) price is 2,840 with no change, and Australian alumina FOB average price is 320 dollars with a rise of 3 dollars [1]. - **Lead**: SMM 1 lead ingot average price is 17,250 with a rise of 25, and SMM 1 lead ingot premium/discount to the current - month futures at 10:15 is - 170 with a fall of 45; Recycled refined lead average price is 17,200, recycled lead average price rises by 25, and the refined - scrap price difference is 50 with no change [1]. - **Zinc**: SMM 0 zinc ingot average price is 22,640 with a rise of 140, and SMM 0 zinc ingot premium/discount to the current - month futures at 10:15 is - 5 with a rise of 10 [1]. - **Tin**: SMM 1 tin average price is 283,700 with a rise of 900, and SMM 1 tin premium/discount to the current - month futures at 10:15 is 700 with a fall of 70; 40% tin concentrate (Yunnan) average price is 271,700 with a rise of 900, and the ratio of 40% tin concentrate (Yunnan) to SMM 1 tin is 95.77% [1]. - **Nickel**: 1 imported nickel average price is 119,825 with a rise of 350, and 1 imported nickel premium/discount to the Shanghai nickel contract average price is 400 with no change; SMM electrowon nickel average price is 119,500 with a rise of 350, and SMM electrowon nickel premium/discount average price is 75 with no change; 1 Jinchuan nickel average price is 122,425 with a rise of 500, and 1 Jinchuan nickel premium/discount to the Shanghai nickel contract average price is 3000 with a rise of 150 [1]. - **Silicon - related**: Oxygen - permeable 421 (Xinjiang) average price is 9,100 with a rise of 0.55, and its premium/discount to the current - month futures at 10:15 is 820 with a fall of 150; N - type polysilicon re - feedstock average price is 52.2 with no change, and N - type polysilicon dense material average price is 51 with no change [1]. - **Lithium - related**: Battery - grade lithium carbonate average price is 80,400 with no change, and its premium/discount to the current - month futures at 10:15 is - 1460 with a fall of 2920; Industrial - grade lithium carbonate average price is 78,200, the battery - industrial lithium carbonate price difference is 2200 with no change [1]. Analysts - Lang Duo, Chief Analyst, research direction: copper, tin,从业资格证号: F3047773, investment consulting number: Z0014087 [1]. - Liu Dongbo, Senior Analyst, research direction: aluminum, alumina, gold,从业资格证号: F3062795, investment consulting number: Z0015311 [1]. - Wu Jiang, Senior Analyst, research direction: nickel and stainless steel, silver, lithium carbonate,从业资格证号: F3085524, investment consulting number: Z0016394 [1]. - Sun Fangfang, Intermediate Analyst, research direction: lead, zinc,从业资格证号: F03111330, investment consulting number: Z0018905 [1]. - Zhang Xiurui, Intermediate Analyst, research direction: industrial (the description seems incomplete),从业资格证号: F03099436, investment consulting number: Z0021022 [1].
锌期货日报-20251107
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-07 06:14
Report Information - Report Title: Zinc Futures Daily Report [1] - Date: November 7, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Zhang Ping, Peng Jinglin, Yu Feifei [3][4] Market Review - **Futures Market Performance**: The main contract of SHFE zinc, 2512, closed at 22,675 yuan/ton, up 65 yuan or 0.29%, with reduced trading volume and increased open interest, which rose by 528 lots to 113,005 lots. The domestic zinc ore supply is on a downward trend due to seasonal production cuts in northern mines and some mines' active production control after completing their annual plans. The zinc ore TC is expected to weaken. The LME zinc inventory increased by 175 tons to 33,825 tons, and the 0 - 3 Back structure weakened to $98.23/ton. The domestic market has basically shifted to quoting the December contract. With continuous zinc ingot exports, the domestic social inventory has decreased, and the spot premium has remained firm. The Shanghai market quoted a premium of 50 yuan/ton for the December contract, the Tianjin market quoted a discount of 40 yuan/ton compared to the Shanghai market, and the Guangdong market quoted a discount of 95 yuan/ton for the December contract. Against the backdrop of the realized increase in exports, the supply - demand pattern has improved marginally. The focus of the fundamentals has shifted to the impact of the tight - mine logic on the zinc price, which provides some support. The SHFE zinc has rebounded weakly from the low level, and the upper track of the short - term Bollinger Band forms resistance [7]. Industry News - **Price Information on November 6, 2025**: The mainstream transaction price of 0 zinc was concentrated between 22,595 - 22,695 yuan/ton, and that of Shuangyan was between 22,595 - 22,715 yuan/ton. The mainstream transaction price of 1 zinc was between 22,525 - 22,625 yuan/ton. In the morning, the market quoted a premium of 90 - 100 yuan/ton to the SMM average price. In the second trading session, the ordinary domestic zinc was quoted at a premium of 50 - 60 yuan/ton for the 2512 contract, Baiyin was quoted at a premium of 20 yuan/ton for the 2512 contract, and the high - end brand Shuangyan was quoted at a premium of 50 - 80 yuan/ton for the 2512 contract [8]. - **Regional Market Conditions**: In the Ningbo market, the mainstream brand 0 zinc was traded at around 22,565 - 22,655 yuan/ton, with a premium of 15 yuan/ton for the 2512 contract and a premium of 70 yuan/ton for the Shanghai spot. In the Tianjin market, 0 zinc was traded at 22,450 - 22,630 yuan/ton, and Zijin was traded at 22,620 - 22,700 yuan/ton. The 0 zinc was quoted at a discount of 0 - 100 yuan/ton for the 2512 contract, and Zijin was quoted at a premium of 70 yuan/ton for the 2512 contract. In the Guangdong market, 0 zinc was traded at 22,440 - 22,550 yuan/ton, with a discount of 95 yuan/ton for the 2512 contract and a discount of 40 yuan/ton for the Shanghai spot. The price difference between Shanghai and Guangdong has widened [8].
铜铝双引擎驱动长期逻辑,大成有色ETF(159980.SZ)连续4日获资金净流入,跟踪指数配置价值凸显!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-06 06:07
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the Dachen Nonferrous ETF (159980.SZ) is experiencing significant inflows and reaching new highs in share volume, indicating strong investor interest in nonferrous metals [1][2] - The IMCI index, which the Dachen Nonferrous ETF tracks, shows strong medium to long-term allocation value, driven by the supply-demand fundamentals of copper and aluminum [2][5] Group 2 - Copper is facing a structural supply shortage due to declining ore grades, insufficient capital expenditure, and production disruptions, while demand is bolstered by new technologies and AI, leading to an annual demand increase of nearly 1 million tons [3] - Aluminum demand is surging due to the global data center construction boom, with projected capacity needs tripling by 2030, significantly increasing aluminum requirements for cooling systems and power facilities [4] - The IMCI index focuses on copper and aluminum, which together account for approximately 65% of its weight, benefiting from rigid supply and new demand dynamics [5]
国投期货企业微信图表17623199442485.png(27024287)
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-11-05 12:28
Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View The report presents the average prices and price changes of various non - ferrous metals and related products, including electrolytic copper, aluminum, alumina, lead, zinc, tin, nickel, silicon, and lithium carbonate, along with their spot - futures spreads and changes [1]. 3. Summary by Metal Category Copper - SMM 1 electrolytic copper average price is 85335, down 1255; SMM flat - water copper premium is - 5, up 40 [1]. Aluminum - SMM A00 aluminum average price is 21300, down 140; SMM A00 aluminum premium is - 20, down 10. Alumina (Shanxi) average price is 2840, unchanged; Australian alumina FOB average price is 318 dollars, unchanged [1]. Lead - SMM 1 lead ingot average price is 17325, up 75; SMM 1 lead ingot premium to the current - month futures at 10:15 is - 125, up 45. Recycled refined lead average price is 17275, up 100; refined - scrap spread is 50, down 25 [1]. Zinc - SMM 0 zinc ingot premium to the current - month futures at 10:15 has a change of 20, while the average price data is not fully shown [1]. Tin - SMM 1 tin average price is 281300, down 4100; SMM 1 tin premium to the current - month futures at 10:15 is 520, up 150. 40% tin concentrate (Yunnan) average price is 269300, down 4100; the ratio of 40% tin concentrate (Yunnan) to SMM 1 tin is 95.73% [1]. Nickel - 1 imported nickel average price is 119950, down 1000; 1 imported nickel premium to Shanghai nickel contract is 400, unchanged. SMM electrowon nickel average price is 119650, down 950; SMM electrowon nickel premium is 100, up 50. 1 Jinchuan nickel average price is 122350, down 800; 1 Jinchuan nickel premium to Shanghai nickel contract is 2800, up 200 [1]. Silicon - The average price of a certain silicon - related product is 9050, unchanged; its premium is 1490, up 190 [1]. Polysilicon - N - type polysilicon re - feedstock average price is 80500, down 400; N - type polysilicon dense material average price is 3320, up 1140 [1]. Lithium Carbonate - Industrial - grade lithium carbonate average price is 78300, the difference between electric - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 2200, unchanged. Battery - grade lithium carbonate average price data is not fully shown; battery - grade lithium carbonate premium to the current - month futures at 10:15 has a change, but the specific price data is not fully shown [1].
有色震荡企稳
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-05 09:54
Report Overview - Report Date: November 5, 2025 [4] - Report Type: Daily Report on Non-ferrous Metals [4] 1. Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core Views Copper - Today, copper prices dived in the morning and stabilized and rebounded during the day, with a slight decline in open interest. Recently, the global macro - atmosphere has weakened, putting significant pressure on copper prices, but the intraday market sentiment has improved. At the industrial level, as copper prices declined, the downstream restocking willingness has recovered, and the spot premium has strengthened. Technically, attention should be paid to the support at 85,000 [6]. Aluminum - Today, aluminum prices first declined and then rose, with a decrease in open interest, indicating an increase in the short - term willingness of long - position holders to close their positions. Recently, the macro - atmosphere has weakened, and the non - ferrous sector has declined collectively, but aluminum prices are relatively resistant to decline. At the industrial level, the inventory of downstream aluminum rods has decreased, while the inventory of mid - stream electrolytic aluminum has slightly increased. Technically, attention should be paid to the support of the 5 - day moving average [7]. Nickel - Today, nickel prices first declined and then rose, regaining the 120,000 mark in the afternoon. Recently, non - ferrous metals have seen an increase in open interest during the decline and a decrease during the rebound, showing a significant difference in volume - price relationship compared with copper and aluminum. The weakness at the industrial level has made funds more inclined to short - allocate nickel to hedge long positions in non - ferrous metals. Technically, continuous attention should be paid to the long - short game at the 120,000 mark [8]. 3. Industry Dynamics Copper - On November 5, the average price of SMM1 electrolytic copper was reported at 85,335 yuan/ton. According to copper enameled wire enterprises, as copper prices have fallen, the downstream order volume has increased recently, and the enameled wire orders have improved compared with last week [10]. Nickel - On November 5, the price of SMM1 electrolytic nickel was in the range of 119,400 - 122,500 yuan/ton, with an average price of 120,950 yuan/ton, a decrease of 850 yuan/ton compared with the previous trading day. The mainstream spot premium quotation range of Jinchuan 1 electrolytic nickel was 2,700 - 2,900 yuan/ton, with an average premium of 2,800 yuan/ton, an increase of 200 yuan/ton compared with the previous trading day. The spot premium quotation range of domestic mainstream brand electrowon nickel was - 100 - 300 yuan/ton [11]. 4. Related Charts Copper - Charts include copper basis, electrolytic copper domestic visible inventory (social inventory + bonded area inventory), LME copper cancelled warrant ratio, overseas copper exchange inventory, SHFE warrant inventory, etc. [12][13][14] Aluminum - Charts include aluminum basis, aluminum monthly spread, electrolytic aluminum domestic social inventory, electrolytic aluminum overseas exchange inventory (LME + COMEX), alumina inventory, aluminum rod inventory, etc. [26][28][30] Nickel - Charts include nickel basis, LME nickel inventory and cancelled warrant ratio, SHFE inventory, LME nickel trend, nickel ore port inventory, etc. [39][41][44]
铜领跌有色
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-04 10:17
Report Information - Report Date: November 4, 2025 [4] - Report Type: Daily Report on Non-ferrous Metals [4] - Report Industry: Non-ferrous Metals [1] Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. Core Views - **Copper**: Today, copper prices decreased with a reduction in positions, showing an accelerated downward trend in the afternoon. The domestic macro environment weakened, leading to declines in both commodities and the stock market. At the industrial level, as copper prices dropped significantly, the downstream replenishment willingness may increase. Technically, copper prices fell below the 10-day moving average, indicating strong downward momentum [6]. - **Aluminum**: Today, aluminum prices decreased with a reduction in positions, but rebounded significantly at the end of the session. The domestic macro environment weakened, causing declines in commodities and the stock market. The rebound at the end of the session recovered the afternoon losses, demonstrating its resistance to decline. At the industrial level, electrolytic aluminum showed a slight inventory build-up on Monday. Technically, attention should be paid to the support of the 5-day moving average [7]. - **Nickel**: Today, Shanghai nickel prices decreased with an increase in positions, and the main contract price fell below the 120,000 yuan mark. The domestic macro environment weakened, resulting in declines in commodities and the stock market. The weakness at the industrial level made funds more inclined to short nickel to hedge long positions in non-ferrous metals. Technically, attention should be paid to the long-short game at the 120,000 yuan mark [8]. Summary by Catalog 1. Industry Dynamics - **Copper**: Glencore plans to gradually shut down its Horne smelter in Quebec, Canada, due to high environmental upgrade and operating costs. Glencore operates the Horne smelter (with a rough smelting capacity of 200,000 tons) and the CCR copper refinery in Quebec. The Horne smelter processes copper concentrate into copper anodes, which are then further processed into copper cathodes by the CCR refinery. On November 3, Mysteel's electrolytic aluminum social inventory was 203,000 tons, an increase of 13,800 tons from last Thursday [10]. - **Nickel**: On November 4, the price of SMM1 electrolytic nickel was 120,300 - 123,300 yuan/ton, with an average price of 121,800 yuan/ton, a decrease of 200 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. The mainstream spot premium quotation range for Jinchuan 1 electrolytic nickel was 2,500 - 2,700 yuan/ton, with an average premium of 2,600 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous trading day. The spot premium/discount quotation range for domestic mainstream brand electrowon nickel was -200 - 300 yuan/ton [11]. 2. Related Charts - **Copper**: The report includes charts on copper basis, copper monthly spread, domestic visible inventory of electrolytic copper (social inventory + bonded area inventory), overseas copper exchange inventory, LME copper cancelled warrant ratio, and SHFE warrant inventory [12][13][14] - **Aluminum**: The report includes charts on aluminum monthly spread, average price of aluminum premium/discount in the Yangtze River spot market, domestic social inventory of electrolytic aluminum, overseas exchange inventory of electrolytic aluminum (LME + COMEX), alumina inventory, and aluminum rod inventory [25][26][30] - **Nickel**: The report includes charts on nickel basis, LME inventory, LME nickel trend, nickel monthly spread, SHFE inventory, and nickel ore port inventory [36][38][40]