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国泰君安期货商品研究晨报:黑色系列-20250812
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-08-12 01:59
Report Industry Investment Ratings - No specific industry investment ratings are provided in the report. Core Views - The report provides trend forecasts for various commodities in the black series, including iron ore, rebar, hot-rolled coils, ferrosilicon, silicomanganese, coke, coking coal, and logs, with investment advice such as "oscillating repeatedly," "broadly oscillating," and "bullishly oscillating" [5][10][14]. Summary by Commodity Iron Ore - **Trend Forecast**: Oscillating repeatedly [5]. - **Fundamental Data**: The previous day's futures closing price was 796.5 yuan/ton, up 6.5 yuan or 0.82% from the previous day; the previous day's position was 271,889 lots, a decrease of 36,188 lots; spot prices of imported and domestic ores all increased [6]. - **Macro and Industry News**: On August 9, according to the National Bureau of Statistics, the national consumer price index was flat year-on-year in July [6]. - **Trend Intensity**: -1 [6]. Rebar and Hot-Rolled Coils - **Trend Forecast**: Broadly oscillating due to sector sentiment resonance [10]. - **Fundamental Data**: The previous day's futures closing prices of RB2510 and HC2510 were 3,250 yuan/ton and 3,465 yuan/ton, up 1.09% and 1.29% respectively; spot prices in various regions showed different degrees of increase or remained unchanged [10]. - **Macro and Industry News**: In late July 2025, the steel inventory of key steel enterprises decreased by 5.6% month-on-month; in July, automobile production and sales decreased month-on-month but increased year-on-year; in late July, the average daily output of key steel enterprises' crude steel decreased by 7.4% month-on-month, pig iron decreased by 4.5% month-on-month, and steel increased by 0.5% month-on-month; according to the weekly data of Steel Union on August 7, the output of rebar increased by 10.12 tons, hot-rolled coils decreased by 7.9 tons, and the total inventory of the five major varieties increased by 23.47 tons [11][12]. - **Trend Intensity**: 1 for both rebar and hot-rolled coils [12]. Ferrosilicon and Silicomanganese - **Trend Forecast**: Broadly oscillating [14]. - **Fundamental Data**: The previous day's futures closing prices of ferrosilicon 2509 and 2510 were 5,830 yuan/ton and 5,820 yuan/ton respectively; the previous day's futures closing prices of silicomanganese 2509 and 2510 were 6,100 yuan/ton and 6,112 yuan/ton respectively; spot prices of ferrosilicon and silicomanganese in Inner Mongolia were 5,450 yuan/ton and 5,800 yuan/ton respectively [14]. - **Macro and Industry News**: On August 8, the price of 72 ferrosilicon in Qinghai decreased by 100 yuan/ton, and the price of 75 ferrosilicon in Gansu increased by 50 yuan/ton; the price of 6517 silicomanganese in the north was 5,850 - 5,950 yuan/ton, and in the south was 5,900 - 6,000 yuan/ton; as of August 8, the total manganese ore inventory increased by 8.83 tons month-on-month [15]. - **Trend Intensity**: 0 for both ferrosilicon and silicomanganese [16]. Coke and Coking Coal - **Trend Forecast**: Bullishly oscillating [17]. - **Fundamental Data**: The previous day's futures closing prices of JM2509 and J2509 were 1,106.5 yuan/ton and 1,681 yuan/ton, up 3.5% and 1.7% respectively; most spot prices remained unchanged [17]. - **Macro and Industry News**: On August 9, according to the National Bureau of Statistics, the national consumer price index was flat year-on-year in July [18]. - **Trend Intensity**: 0 for both coke and coking coal [19]. Logs - **Trend Forecast**: Oscillating repeatedly [20]. - **Fundamental Data**: The closing prices, trading volumes, and positions of the 2509, 2511, and 2601 contracts showed different degrees of increase or decrease; most spot prices remained unchanged [21]. - **Macro and Industry News**: On August 9, according to the National Bureau of Statistics, the national consumer price index was flat year-on-year in July [23]. - **Trend Intensity**: 1 [23].
大越期货锰硅早报-20250812
Da Yue Qi Huo· 2025-08-12 01:59
交易咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】1091号 2025-08-12锰硅早报 大越期货投资咨询部 胡毓秀 从业资格证号:F03105325 投资咨询证号:Z0021337 联系方式:0575-85226759 重要提示:本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务,其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用,不构成对任何人的投 资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户;市场有风险,投资需谨慎。 每日观点 锰硅2509: 1.基本面:上周硅锰市场在成本、供应、需求等多方面因素的共同作用下,呈现出高位震荡的态势。预计短期内,这种震 2 荡态势仍将维持。后续需持续密切关注锰硅期货盘面的走势变化以及河钢招标定价情况;中性。 2.基差:现货价6000元/吨,09合约基差-100元/吨,现货贴水期货。偏空。 3.库存:全国63家独立硅锰企业样本库存221800吨;全国50家钢厂库存平均可用天数15.49天。中性。 4.盘面:MA20向上,09合约期价收于MA20上方。偏多。 5.主力持仓:主力持仓净空,空增。偏空。 6.预期:预计本周锰硅价格震荡运行;SM2509:6000-6200震荡运行。 0吨 2000000吨 ...
永安期货铁合金早报-20250812
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-08-12 01:20
4500 5500 6500 7500 8500 9500 01/01 02/01 03/01 04/01 05/01 06/01 07/01 08/01 09/01 10/01 11/01 12/01 72%FeSi:市场价:内蒙古(日) 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 10000 01/01 02/01 03/01 04/01 05/01 06/01 07/01 08/01 09/01 10/01 11/01 12/01 72%FeSi:市场价:青海 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 10000 01/01 02/01 03/01 04/01 05/01 06/01 07/01 08/01 09/01 10/01 11/01 12/01 72%FeSi:市场价:宁夏 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 4500 5500 6500 7500 8500 9500 01/01 02/01 03/01 04/01 05/01 06/01 07/0 ...
黑色建材日报-20250812
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-08-12 01:02
黑色建材日报 2025-08-12 钢材 黑色建材组 陈张滢 从业资格号:F03098415 交易咨询号:Z0020771 0755-23375161 chenzy@wkqh.cn 郎志杰 从业资格号:F3030112 0755-23375125 langzj@wkqh.cn 万林新 从业资格号:F03133967 0755-23375162 wanlx@wkqh.cn 赵 航 从业资格号:F03133652 0755-23375155 zhao3@wkqh.cn 螺纹钢主力合约下午收盘价为 3250 元/吨, 较上一交易日涨 37 元/吨(1.151%)。当日注册仓单 95557 吨, 环比增加 579 吨。主力合约持仓量为 161.2625 万手,环比增加 515 手。现货市场方面, 螺纹钢天津 汇总价格为 3340 元/吨, 环比增加 20/吨; 上海汇总价格为 3360 元/吨, 环比增加 20 元/吨。 热轧板卷 主力合约收盘价为 3465 元/吨, 较上一交易日涨 37 元/吨(1.079%)。 当日注册仓单 69461 吨, 环比减 少 1454 吨。主力合约持仓量为 137.5009 万手,环 ...
铁合金周报:煤炭走强提振,合金重心抬升-20250811
Zhong Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-08-11 15:07
煤炭走强提振 合金重心抬升 ——铁合金周报20250811 研 究 咨 询 部 :彭博涵 联 系 方 式 :0371-58630083 电 子 邮 箱 :pengbh_qh@ccnew.com 执 业证书 编 号 :F3076814 投资咨询 编 号 :Z0016415 供应:增幅扩大,同比转正 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1-1 1-14 1-27 2-9 2-22 3-7 3-20 4-2 4-15 4-28 5-11 5-24 6-6 6-19 7-2 7-15 7-28 8-10 8-23 9-5 9-18 10-1 10-14 10-27 11-9 11-22 12-5 12-18 12-31 硅铁周产量:万吨 2022 2023 2024 2025 30.00 35.00 40.00 45.00 50.00 55.00 60.00 硅铁月产量:万吨 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 数据来源:Mysteel 中原期货 • 136家独立硅铁企业周产量10.91万吨(环比+4.5%,同比+7.3%) • 2025年7月硅铁产量44.67万吨(环比+7.8 ...
铁合金周报:持续复产中-20250811
Zi Jin Tian Feng Qi Huo· 2025-08-11 11:18
Report Industry Investment Ratings - Manganese Silicide: Core view - Neutral; Month spread - Neutral; Spot - Bearish; Steel production - Bullish; Inventory - Bearish; Cost - profit - Neutral [3] - Ferrosilicon: Core view - Bearish; Month spread - Neutral; Spot - Neutral; Steel & Magnesium production - Neutral; Inventory - Bearish; Cost - profit - Neutral [4] Core Views - Manganese Silicide: This week, the market fluctuated after a rally. Supply increased, demand from the steel industry improved slightly, and the overall cost rose. The spot market had average trading volume, and the inventory of warehouse receipts and valid forecasts continued to decline [3]. - Ferrosilicon: The market fluctuated this week. The spot trading atmosphere was poor. Supply increased and was still in the process of resuming production. Demand from the steel industry increased slightly, while the production of magnesium decreased, and export volume remained weak. The cost was expected to rise in the long - term [4]. Summary by Directory Manganese Silicide Manganese Ore - Port inventory totaled 438.5 million tons, with a significant differentiation between northern and southern regions. Tianjin Port's inventory decreased to 353.5 million tons, lower than last year's level, while Qinzhou Port's inventory increased slightly to 84.5 million tons, higher than last year's level [10]. - Jupiter announced the shipment price for manganese ore to China in September 2025. Port manganese ore prices declined slightly [15]. Supply - As of August 8, the weekly production of manganese silicide increased to 195,800 tons, with daily average production rising in Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, Yunnan, Guizhou, and Guangxi [28]. Demand - As of August 8, the weekly demand of Mysteel sample enterprises increased slightly to 125,200 tons. The weekly production of five major steel products increased to 869,210 tons, and the proportion of rebar increased [38]. Price - The spot market had average trading volume, and prices fluctuated with the market. The price in Inner Mongolia was around 5,820 yuan/ton, and in Tianjin, it was 5,950 yuan/ton. HeSteel's first inquiry price for the tender was 6,000 yuan/ton [49]. Cost - Profit - As of August 7, the immediate profit of manganese silicide was low. Although the profit improved in the short - term after the market rally, the overall price fluctuated greatly, and the continuous increase in chemical coke compressed the profit margin [54]. Month Spread - As of August 8, the September - January spread of manganese silicide was - 80 yuan/ton, showing a significant decline compared to the previous period [61]. Warehouse Receipts - As of August 7, the total of manganese silicide warehouse receipts and valid forecasts was 387,000 tons, and the overall trend continued to decline [63]. Ferrosilicon Supply - As of August 8, the weekly production increased to 109,100 tons. The production in Inner Mongolia increased significantly, while that in Ningxia decreased slightly, and the production in Shaanxi remained unchanged [67]. Demand - The demand from steel mills increased slightly. The total consumption of ferrosilicon by Mysteel sample steel mills was 20,300 tons, slightly higher than the historical average [70]. - The production of magnesium decreased slightly, and the export price of magnesium remained stable [78]. Cost - Profit - As of August 7, the point - to - point profit of ferrosilicon worsened, but the overall profit was good. Only Shaanxi had significant losses, while Ningxia had relatively high profits [98]. Month Spread - As of August 7, the September - January spread of ferrosilicon was - 178 yuan/ton, showing a significant decline compared to the previous period and was at a historically low level [100]. Warehouse Receipts - As of August 7, the total of ferrosilicon warehouse receipts and valid forecasts was 107,300 tons, showing a significant decline compared to the previous period but still at a high level [103]. Supply - Demand Balance Forecast Manganese Silicide - From October 2024 to December 2025, the total supply and demand showed fluctuations. There were periods of surplus and shortage, and the year - on - year growth rates of production and consumption also changed over time [105]. Ferrosilicon - From October 2024 to December 2025, the total supply and demand also fluctuated. There were periods of surplus and shortage, and the year - on - year growth rates of production and consumption changed over time [106].
永安期货铁合金早报-20250811
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-08-11 06:37
供应 需求 800 1300 1800 2300 01/01 02/01 03/01 04/01 05/01 06/01 07/01 08/01 09/01 10/01 11/01 12/01 硅铁:72%FeSi:出口价格:天津港 (美元/吨) 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 800 1300 1800 2300 01/01 02/01 03/01 04/01 05/01 06/01 07/01 08/01 09/01 10/01 11/01 12/01 硅铁:75%FeSi:出口价格:天津港 (美元/吨) 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 -2500 -1500 -500 500 1500 01/01 02/01 03/01 04/01 05/01 06/01 07/01 08/01 09/01 10/01 11/01 12/01 硅铁-硅锰主力合约价差(元/吨) 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 01/01 02/01 03/01 04/01 05/01 06/01 07/01 08/ ...
基本面暂无亮点,关注钢招定价指引
Zhong Hui Qi Huo· 2025-08-11 02:32
Report Summary 1. Report's Industry Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - **Silicon Manganese (SM)**: The fundamental contradictions of SM are relatively limited. With the new round of demand release, short - term demand resilience remains. Total inventory shows a downward trend but the absolute level is still high. The price will fluctuate with market sentiment. Short - term cost has strong support, and the downward space is relatively limited. It is advisable to operate within the range or stay on the sidelines and avoid excessive short - selling. The reference range for the main contract is [5884, 6210] [4][5]. - **Silicon Iron (SF)**: The fundamentals are showing signs of weakening. Alloy factory inventories are continuously accumulating and at a high level for the same period. Delivery inventory has stopped increasing and started to decline, but the absolute level is still high. There is no obvious short - term driver, and the price will follow market sentiment. In the medium term, the fundamentals will gradually return to a loose state, and the price may be under pressure. The reference range for the main contract is [5584, 5960] [53][54]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Silicon Manganese - **Supply**: National output has increased for twelve consecutive weeks. Northern production areas have stable operations, with a slight resumption in southern Guizhou and Yunnan maintaining an over 85% operating rate. As of August 8, the national SM output was 195,825 tons, a week - on - week increase of 5,005 tons, and the operating rate was 43.43%, a week - on - week increase of 1.25% [4][11][13]. - **Demand**: Weekly hot metal production was 2.4032 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 0.39 million tons, while rebar production and apparent demand increased week - on - week. The new round of steel procurement has started, and the procurement volume and price of a leading steel mill have both increased, providing rigid support for alloy demand. As of August 8, the weekly SM demand was 125,200 tons, a week - on - week increase of 1,485 tons [4][14][18]. - **Inventory**: The total enterprise inventory was 161,500 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 2,500 tons; the number of warehouse receipts decreased by 1,809 to 76,045; the delivery inventory (including forecasts) continued to decline to 384,500 tons, with a slower decline rate [4][23]. - **Cost and Profit**: Port manganese ore prices were strong. Multiple foreign mines' September quotes increased slightly, leading to strong price - holding sentiment among manganese ore merchants. The supply of manganese ore decreased significantly, mainly from South Africa and Australia. The arrival volume of South African manganese ore was 259,000 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 41.8%. The actual arrival volumes of Gabon and Australian ores were still low. The port inventory is expected to remain low in the short term. Some regions have started the sixth round of coke price increases, but the chemical coke price in production areas has not yet followed [4]. - **Market Price**: As of August 7, the closing price of the SM main contract was 6,064 yuan/ton, and the spot price in Jiangsu was 6,000 yuan/ton, with a basis of - 64 yuan/ton. The spot prices in main production areas increased by 70 - 100 yuan/ton [7][8]. Silicon Iron - **Supply**: National output continued to increase this week, with the operating rate at a low level for the same period. Except for Inner Mongolia, the operating rates in other production areas were relatively stable. Inner Mongolia's production increased by 12.8% week - on - week, and the daily output was at a relatively high level for the same period. As of August 8, the weekly SF output was 109,100 tons, a week - on - week increase of 4,700 tons, and the operating rate was 34.32%, a week - on - week increase of 0.56% [53][59]. - **Demand**: The demand for SF from five major steel products was 20,266.3 tons, a week - on - week increase of 344.3 tons. In August, a new round of demand was released, and most steel mills' procurement volume and price increased. The inquiry price for a leading steel mill's August SF procurement was 5,700 yuan/ton, an increase of 100 yuan/ton from last month, and the procurement quantity was 2,835 tons, an increase of 135 tons from the previous round. Non - steel demand: the domestic magnesium market has been strong recently, and the magnesium ingot price in Fugu has risen to 17,000 yuan/ton [53][62][66]. - **Inventory**: The total enterprise inventory was 71,800 tons, a week - on - week increase of 6,200 tons; the number of warehouse receipts decreased by 2,396 to 19,646; the delivery inventory (including forecasts) was 107,100 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 7,900 tons [53][67]. - **Cost and Profit**: The semi - coke market was stable, with some enterprises slightly increasing prices. The cost line in production areas moved up slightly, and the spot profit declined compared to the previous period. The immediate costs in Inner Mongolia and Ningxia were 5,499 yuan/ton and 5,352 yuan/ton respectively; the production profits were - 49 yuan/ton and 48 yuan/ton respectively [53][69][71]. - **Market Price**: As of August 7, the closing price of the SF main contract was 5,834 yuan/ton, and the spot price in Jiangsu was 5,600 yuan/ton, with a basis of - 234 yuan/ton [57].
黑色建材日报-20250811
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-08-11 01:21
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Views of the Report - Last Friday, the overall atmosphere in the commodity market declined slightly, and the prices of finished steel products showed a weak and oscillating trend. With the landing of the Politburo meeting and the cooling of the "anti - involution" sentiment, the market sentiment became more rational, and the futures market trend started to weaken. If the subsequent demand cannot be effectively restored, steel prices may not maintain the current level, and the futures prices may gradually return to the supply - demand logic. It is recommended to continuously monitor the recovery progress of terminal demand and the support of cost factors for finished steel prices [3]. - For iron ore, the current supply is in the traditional off - season of overseas mines, and the pressure is not significant. The steel mill profitability rate continues to rise, and although the short - term increase in hot metal may be limited, there is no sign of a rapid decline. It is necessary to pay attention to the change in terminal demand and the possible risks on the raw material side [6]. - Regarding manganese silicon and ferrosilicon, the "anti - involution" has not changed the over - supplied industrial pattern of manganese silicon. In the future, attention should be paid to the possible marginal weakening of demand. For ferrosilicon, it is expected that there will be a marginal weakening of demand in the future. It is recommended that speculative funds wait and see, while hedging funds can seize hedging opportunities according to their own situations [10][11]. - For industrial silicon, the problems of over - capacity, high inventory, and insufficient effective demand still exist. Although the demand in August can provide some support, it is necessary to pay attention to the resumption of production in major production areas. For polysilicon, it is expected to increase production in August, and the inventory is likely to accumulate. It is recommended that both long and short positions participate with caution [14][16]. - For glass, it is expected to oscillate in the short term. In the long term, if there are substantial policies in the real estate sector, the futures prices may continue to rise; otherwise, supply - side contraction is required for a significant increase. For soda ash, it is expected to oscillate in the short term, and there are still supply - demand contradictions in the long term. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term and look for short - selling opportunities in the long term [18][19]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Steel - **Price and Position Information**: The closing price of the rebar main contract was 3213 yuan/ton, down 18 yuan/ton (- 0.55%) from the previous trading day. The registered warehouse receipts were 94,978 tons, a net increase of 1487 tons. The position of the main contract was 1.61211 million lots, a net decrease of 16,057 lots. The summary price of rebar in Tianjin was 3320 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day; in Shanghai, it was 3340 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan/ton. The closing price of the hot - rolled coil main contract was 3428 yuan/ton, down 12 yuan/ton (- 0.34%) from the previous trading day. The registered warehouse receipts were 70,915 tons, unchanged. The position of the main contract was 1.392227 million lots, a net decrease of 36,360 lots. The summary price of hot - rolled coils in Lecong was 3450 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan/ton; in Shanghai, it was 3450 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan/ton [2]. - **Fundamentals**: Rebar showed a pattern of both supply and demand increasing this week, and social inventory has accumulated for two consecutive weeks, with the increase further expanding this week. Hot - rolled coils showed a pattern of both supply and demand decreasing, and inventory accumulation was significant. Currently, the inventories of both rebar and hot - rolled coils are on the rise, steel mill profits are good, and production remains high, but the demand - side support is insufficient [3]. Iron Ore - **Price and Position Information**: The main contract of iron ore (I2509) closed at 790.00 yuan/ton, with a change of - 0.38% (- 3.00), and the position changed by - 27,288 lots to 308,100 lots. The weighted position of iron ore was 916,400 lots. The spot price of PB fines at Qingdao Port was 770 yuan/wet ton, with a basis of 28.02 yuan/ton and a basis ratio of 3.43% [5]. - **Fundamentals**: In terms of supply, the overseas iron ore shipment volume decreased, with both Australian and Brazilian shipments declining. The shipment volume from non - mainstream countries increased, and the arrival volume increased. In terms of demand, the daily average hot metal production was 240.32 tons, a decrease of 0.39 tons. Port inventory fluctuated slightly, and steel mill imported ore inventory increased slightly. Terminal data showed that the apparent demand for five major steel products weakened, and inventory increased [6]. Manganese Silicon and Ferrosilicon - **Price Information**: On August 8, the main contract of manganese silicon (SM509) oscillated, closing down 0.30% at 6046 yuan/ton. The spot price of 6517 manganese silicon in Tianjin was 5950 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day, with a premium of 94 yuan/ton over the futures. The main contract of ferrosilicon (SF509) closed down 1.06% at 5772 yuan/ton. The spot price of 72 ferrosilicon in Tianjin was 5900 yuan/ton, down 100 yuan/ton from the previous day, with a premium of 128 yuan/ton over the futures [8]. - **Market Analysis**: In the short term, it is recommended that investment positions wait and see, while hedging positions can participate opportunistically. The over - supplied industrial pattern of manganese silicon has not changed, and there may be a marginal weakening of demand in the future. For ferrosilicon, there has been no significant change, and it is expected that there will be a marginal weakening of demand [9][11]. Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon - **Industrial Silicon**: The closing price of the main contract of industrial silicon (SI2511) was 8710 yuan/ton, up 0.64% (+ 55). The weighted contract position changed by - 1995 lots to 533,795 lots. The spot price of non - oxygen - blown 553 in East China was 9100 yuan/ton, unchanged; the basis of the main contract was 390 yuan/ton. The price of 421 was 9700 yuan/ton, unchanged; the basis of the main contract was 190 yuan/ton. The price is expected to oscillate weakly [13][14]. - **Polysilicon**: The closing price of the main contract of polysilicon (PS2511) was 50,790 yuan/ton, up 1.36% (+ 680). The weighted contract position changed by - 15,312 lots to 360,328 lots. The average spot price of N - type granular silicon was 44.5 yuan/kg, unchanged; the average price of N - type dense material was 46 yuan/kg, unchanged; the average price of N - type re - feeding material was 47 yuan/kg, unchanged. The basis of the main contract was - 3790 yuan/ton. It is expected to increase production in August, with inventory likely to accumulate. It is recommended that both long and short positions participate with caution [15][16]. Glass and Soda Ash - **Glass**: The spot price in Shahe was 1181 yuan, unchanged; in Central China, it was 1190 yuan, unchanged. As of August 7, 2025, the total inventory of national float glass sample enterprises was 61.847 million weight boxes, a net increase of 2.348 million weight boxes (+ 3.95%) from the previous period, and a year - on - year decrease of 8.18%. The inventory days were 26.4 days, an increase of 0.9 days from the previous period. It is expected to oscillate in the short term and follow macro - sentiment in the long term [18]. - **Soda Ash**: The spot price was 1235 yuan, down 20 yuan from the previous day. As of August 7, 2025, the total inventory of domestic soda ash manufacturers was 1.8651 million tons, an increase of 13,300 tons (0.72%) from Monday. The downstream demand was tepid, mainly for rigid - demand procurement. It is expected to oscillate in the short term, and there are still supply - demand contradictions in the long term [19].
硅铁、锰硅产业链周度报告:硅铁、锰硅产业链周度报告-20250810
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-08-10 08:15
硅铁&锰硅产业链周度报告 国泰君安期货研究所 黑色金属 李亚飞 投资咨询从业资格号: Z0021184 金园园 (联系人)从业资格号:F03134630 日期: 2025年8月10日 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint 硅铁&锰硅观点:市场情绪与基本面博弈,合金走势震荡 | 基本面 | 条目 | | 硅铁(宁夏) | | | 锰硅(内蒙古) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 当期值 | 环比 | 同比 | 当期值 | 环比 | 同比 | | 供应 | 周产量(周) | 10.91 | 4.50% | 7.28% | 19.58 | 2.62% | -7.21% | | | 进口数量(6月) | 2.07 | 52.46% | 190.74% | 0.07 | 61.76% | -84.37% | | 需求 | 出口数量(6月) | 3.47 | -5.35% | 16.06% | 0.12 | -74.72% | -33.19% | ...