Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Neutral" rating for both the real estate and building materials sectors [2][4]. Core Views - The real estate sector is currently in a "bottoming" phase, with new home and second-hand home transaction areas still showing negative year-on-year growth, although the decline is narrowing compared to 2024. New construction starts and development investments continue to decline, and funding is tight, indicating an ongoing deleveraging cycle. The overall loss level of the industry has further expanded compared to the second quarter, suggesting that the fundamentals remain weak. Future policy support and stabilization of the industry are expected to drive market trends [4][28]. - The building materials sector, particularly cement, is benefiting from a dual advantage of cost and policy due to the elimination of high-energy, low-efficiency capacities. The sector is expected to see stable support from urban village renovations and the acceleration of affordable housing construction. Current valuations are at historical lows, making certain stocks attractive for defensive and long-term investment [4][50]. Summary by Sections Real Estate Sector - As of November 13, 2025, the Shenwan Real Estate Index has increased by 2.07% over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 1.32 percentage points, ranking 20th among 31 sectors. Year-to-date, the index has risen by 11.37% [13][17]. - The report highlights that the industry is transitioning from a high-leverage, high-turnover model to one focused on quality, service, and sustainability, with urban renewal expected to unlock potential in existing stock [4][28]. Building Materials Sector - The Shenwan Building Materials Index has risen by 2.63% over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 1.3 percentage points, ranking 17th among 31 sectors. Year-to-date, the index has increased by 23.38% [29][32]. - The cement industry is expected to see a significant increase in profitability due to the implementation of carbon trading regulations and the elimination of inefficient capacities. The sector is supported by ongoing construction projects and a favorable valuation environment [4][50]. Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies with strong fundamentals and high dividend yields, such as Poly Developments (600048), China Merchants Shekou (001979), and Binhai Group (002244) in the real estate sector, and Conch Cement (600585) and Huaxin Cement (600801) in the building materials sector [4][53].

Group 1: Economic Overview - Zimbabwe has a rapidly growing population exceeding 15 million and a significant mineral wealth, including 16.5 million tons of diamond reserves, 13 million tons of gold reserves, 2.8 billion tons of platinum group resources, and 200 million tons of lithium [1] - The economy is highly dollarized, with over 80% of transactions conducted in US dollars due to rapid currency depreciation [1] Group 2: Cement Supply and Demand - There is a severe shortage of cement in Zimbabwe, with a production of 1.35 million tons in 2022 against a demand of 1.86 million tons, necessitating substantial imports from countries like Zambia [2] - The supply structure is simple and stable, with only three clinker plants operating in the country [3] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - PPC leads the market with a cement production capacity of 1.4 million tons, followed by Khayah (formerly Lafarge) with a capacity of 900,000 tons [3] Group 4: Pricing and Profitability - Due to the cement shortage, prices are high, with the import price of cement in 2023 reaching approximately $111 per ton, primarily sourced from Zambia [4] - High prices have resulted in significant profitability, with an expected EBITDA of $46 per ton for the fiscal year 2025 [4] Group 5: Market Correlation - The market prices in the Central African region, particularly between Zambia, Malawi, and Zimbabwe, show strong correlation due to substantial cement exports from Zambia to these countries [5]

Group 1: Economic Activity Index - The China High-Frequency Economic Activity Index (YHEI) reached 1.28 on November 11, 2025, an increase of 0.09 from November 4 [1][4] - Industrial indicators such as the "Coastal Coal Freight Index" and "Imported Dry Bulk Freight Index" rose by 0.26 and 0.14 respectively, contributing significantly to the YHEI increase [1][4] Group 2: Price Indices - In October, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.2% year-on-year, up 0.5 percentage points from the previous month [2][41] - Core CPI rose by 1.2% year-on-year, marking the sixth consecutive month of growth [2][41] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) fell by 2.1% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month [3][42] Group 3: Monetary Policy - As of November 11, the central bank net withdrew 627.5 billion yuan through open market operations [6][7] - The central bank's reverse repurchase operations amounted to 823.7 billion yuan, with 1-week reverse repo rates at 1.4% [6][7] Group 4: Interest Rates and Financing - The overnight interbank rate rose by 19 basis points to 1.55% over the past week [11][12] - The 1-year and 10-year government bond yields increased by 1.22 and 1.35 basis points to 1.4% and 1.81% respectively [11][17] Group 5: Real Estate Market - New housing transaction areas in first, second, and third-tier cities decreased by 0.31%, 22.66%, and 0.54% respectively [33][35] - Second-hand housing transactions showed a divergence, with first and second-tier cities declining while third-tier cities increased by 16.93% [33][37] Group 6: Global Economic Indicators - The US dollar index fell by 0.73 points to 99.48, while the RMB appreciated by 26 basis points to 7.1207 against the dollar [44][45] - The S&P Commodity Index rose by 1.79% to 4004.03, with energy and industrial metals indices increasing by 2.52% and 0.86% respectively [44]

华润建材科技(01313)午前跌近3%，截至发稿，跌2.31%，报1.69港元，成交额732.64万港元。 消息面上，近期华润建材科技发布2025年三季度业绩，长江证券表示，从公司层面上看，华润建材科技 2025年前3季度水泥和熟料合计销量3943万吨，同比下降10%，水泥销量降幅大于行业，体现出公司积 极维护市场价格体系的自律担当;价格232元/吨，同比下降6元/吨。财务层面上看，前三季度公司综合毛 利率为16.9%，较2024年同期的15.2%增加1.7个百分点。毛利率增加主要由于水泥产品销售成本较2024 年同期下降所致，但部分被骨料及其他分部的毛利率下降所抵消。 长江证券认为，就目前反内卷来看，水泥行业更多是围绕超产治理进行布局，有望出清一部分产能;更 重要在于，若严格按照备案产能生产，有望对生产秩序进行一定优化，真实产能利用率或一定改善。对 于过往产能利用率偏高的广东区域，边际供需改善带来的价格弹性值得期待。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，华润建材科技(01313)午前跌近3%，截至发稿，跌2.31%，报1.69港元，成交额 732.64万港元。 长江证券认为，就目前反内卷来看，水泥行业更多是围绕超产治理进行布局，有望出清一部分产能;更 重要在于，若严格按照备案产能生产，有望对生产秩序进行一定优化，真实产能利用率或一定改善。对 于过往产能利用率偏高的广东区域，边际供需改善带来的价格弹性值得期待。 消息面上，近期华润建材科技发布2025年三季度业绩，长江证券表示，从公司层面上看，华润建材科技 2025年前3季度水泥和熟料合计销量3943万吨，同比下降10%，水泥销量降幅大于行业，体现出公司积 极维护市场价格体系的自律担当;价格232元/吨，同比下降6元/吨。财务层面上看，前三季度公司综合毛 利率为16.9%，较2024年同期的15.2%增加1.7个百分点。毛利率增加主要由于水泥产品销售成本较2024 年同期下降所致，但部分被骨料及其他分部的毛利率下降所抵消。 ...

Core Insights - The report by Zhiyan Consulting highlights the significant growth in China's cement and clinker exports, with a notable increase in both quantity and value in September 2025 compared to the previous year [1]. Group 1: Export Data - In September 2025, China's cement and clinker export volume reached 1 million tons, representing a year-on-year increase of 136.6% [1]. - The export value for the same period was $4.5 million, showing a year-on-year growth of 87.5% [1]. Group 2: Industry Analysis - Zhiyan Consulting is recognized as a leading industry consulting firm in China, specializing in in-depth industry research and providing comprehensive consulting services [1]. - The firm has over a decade of experience in the industry research field, offering tailored solutions to support investment decisions [1].

Core Viewpoint - The profitability of the cement sector, particularly for companies like Huaxin Cement, is showing strength in overseas markets, especially in Africa, while domestic demand and prices are weakening compared to Q2 [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Huaxin Cement's stock rose over 3%, currently up 2.88% at HKD 19, with a trading volume of HKD 27.71 million [1] - The company reported a 1.1% quarter-on-quarter increase in revenue for Q3 2025, attributed mainly to contributions from overseas business [1] - Huaxin Cement's overall overseas cement profitability remains strong, with significant recovery in regions like Central Asia that were weak last year [1] Group 2: Industry Insights - The cement industry's domestic demand and pricing have shown a decline compared to Q2, indicating a potential softening in the market [1] - The focus on limiting overproduction is seen as a key factor for improving supply and demand dynamics in the industry [1] - There are plans for Huaxin Cement's overseas assets to be independently listed, which could enhance valuation and accelerate future overseas acquisitions [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Huaxin Cement (06655) has seen a stock price increase of over 3%, currently trading at 19 HKD with a transaction volume of 27.71 million HKD [1] - According to the report from Guotai Junan, the profitability of the cement sector in Q3 2025 is primarily driven by overseas expansion, particularly in regions like Africa, where companies such as Huaxin Cement exhibit significant profitability advantages [1] - Domestic demand and pricing have shown a decline compared to Q2, indicating a weakening trend, while the focus remains on limiting overproduction to improve supply-demand dynamics in the industry [1] Group 2 - Huaxin Cement reported a 1.1% quarter-on-quarter increase in revenue for Q3, attributed mainly to contributions from overseas operations [1] - Guotai Junan believes that the company's overall overseas cement profitability remains strong, with significant recovery in regions like Central Asia that were previously weak, and the impact of domestic price declines during the off-season is minimal [1] - Following the unexpected consolidation of operations in Nigeria, there are plans for independent listings of overseas assets, which are expected to enhance valuation and accelerate future overseas acquisitions [1]

Core Insights - The construction materials industry has shown signs of improvement in revenue and profit during the first three quarters of 2025, with a total revenue of 432.25 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 3.1%, which is a narrowing of the decline compared to the 2024 full year by 11.7 percentage points. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 24.44 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.8%, reversing the 49.1% decline seen in 2024 [2][13] - The cement industry has demonstrated significant profit recovery, with a total revenue of 181.23 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 8.4%, while net profit attributable to shareholders surged by 148.8% to 9.13 billion yuan. Notably, Huaxin Cement and Conch Cement have shown strong performance, contributing significantly to the industry's profit [2][13] - The fiberglass sector has also reported growth, with eight sample companies achieving a total revenue of 49.21 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.5%, and a net profit of 4.87 billion yuan, up 121.4%. The recovery in pricing has started to reflect positively on profits [3][13] - The consumer building materials segment remains under pressure, with a total revenue of 110.75 billion yuan, a slight decline of 0.9%, and a net profit of 8.21 billion yuan, down 6.9%. However, companies like Keda Manufacturing and Sankeshu are showing promising growth due to their unique market strategies [3][13] Industry Summaries Cement Industry - The cement industry has seen a gradual release of profit elasticity, with significant improvements in profitability. The overall revenue for the sector was 181.23 billion yuan, with a notable profit increase driven by companies like Huaxin Cement and Conch Cement, which leverage cost and scale advantages [2][13] Fiberglass Industry - The fiberglass industry has experienced revenue and profit growth across most companies, with a total revenue of 49.21 billion yuan and a net profit of 4.87 billion yuan. The pricing recovery initiated by leading firms has started to yield positive results [3][13] Consumer Building Materials - The consumer building materials sector is facing challenges, with a revenue of 110.75 billion yuan and a net profit of 8.21 billion yuan. However, certain companies are thriving due to strategic positioning and market demand [3][13] Investment Recommendations - Investment opportunities are suggested in the fiberglass and cement sectors, focusing on leading companies such as Huaxin Cement, Conch Cement, and China Jushi. Additionally, companies with alpha attributes in consumer building materials like Keda Manufacturing and Sankeshu are recommended for consideration [4][13]

Core Insights - The A-share market is experiencing a dual growth trend with emerging industries and traditional sectors both showing positive performance amid favorable macro policies and challenges such as weak global economic growth and insufficient domestic demand [1][2][5] Emerging Industries - New generation information technology, new energy, and new materials are leading the A-share market, with companies in these sectors showing strong performance [2] - In the first three quarters, 588 companies on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board achieved a total revenue of 1.01 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.6% [2] - Key technological breakthroughs are driving the performance of technology companies, with significant advancements in biomedicine, high-end equipment, and communication sectors [2][3] Traditional Industries - Traditional industries are also innovating and improving efficiency, with companies like Midea Group and BYD showing growth in smart home and electric vehicle sales, respectively [5][6] - The steel and cement industries are optimizing supply-demand balances, with companies like Nanjing Steel and Anhui Conch Cement reporting significant profit increases due to improved pricing and cost management [7] R&D Investment - Increased R&D investment is providing strong internal momentum for technology companies, with the R&D intensity for the ChiNext, Sci-Tech Innovation Board, and Beijing Stock Exchange reaching 4.54%, 11.22%, and 4.42% respectively [4] - Companies like Zhongrun Optical are focusing R&D efforts on new product innovation, leading to substantial growth in core technology competitiveness [4] Investor Return Awareness - Companies are enhancing their awareness of investor returns, with an increase in cash dividend announcements and share buybacks, reflecting a commitment to shareholder value [8][9] - As of October 31, 2023, 1,033 companies announced cash dividend plans totaling 734.9 billion yuan, with 89 companies planning dividends exceeding 1 billion yuan [8] Future Outlook - Despite external uncertainties, many companies maintain an optimistic outlook for future growth, supported by proactive strategies and scientific planning [10]