Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs believes that the current AI investment cycle still has room for growth, comparing the surge in AI spending and valuations to the early stages of the tech boom in the late 1990s, rather than a speculative peak [1][2] Group 1: AI Investment Cycle - The current AI-related excitement is more similar to the tech boom from 1997 to 1998, rather than the peak in 1999 or 2000, indicating that the AI sector is still in a construction phase [1] - High returns on capital are not guaranteed, but the current trend suggests that the AI investment boom has ample room for advancement as long as there are no external shocks or funding constraints [1][2] Group 2: Market Sentiment and Valuations - Today's tech giants are generating significant free cash flow and engaging in stock buybacks and dividends, which was rare in 1999 [2] - Current capital market activities are much lower than during historical bubble periods, with the IPO market being more selective [2] - Goldman Sachs' perspective may boost market confidence in chip manufacturers, cloud service providers, and data center developers, which are seen as core to the current investment wave [2] Group 3: Market Trends and Predictions - The recent approximately 5% pullback in the U.S. stock market is viewed as a typical seasonal fluctuation within the AI cycle, not an abnormal signal of a trend reversal [2] - The market has experienced a strong rebound since April, but it is not considered excessive, with expectations of an additional 5-10% increase by year-end supported by favorable seasonal factors [2][3] - Institutional investors have not fully allocated their positions to AI themes, and capital flows are expected to become more favorable towards the end of the year, alongside a potentially more dovish monetary policy from the Federal Reserve next year [3]

Group 1: Company Performance and Earnings - Sanhe Construction Group (03822) surged over 70% after announcing a profit increase to at least HKD 40 million for the six months ending September 30, 2025, compared to HKD 3 million in the same period last year, driven by efficient project execution and final account settlements [1] - Yidu International Holdings (00259) rose over 7.76% as it expects a profit of approximately HKD 1.2 billion for the six months ending September 30, 2025, up from HKD 89 million in the previous year, primarily due to fair value changes in its equity stake in Nantong Jianghai Capacitor Co., Ltd. [2] - Kailaiying (06821) increased over 2.22% with a reported revenue growth of 11.82% for the first three quarters of 2025, expecting a full-year revenue growth of 13%-15% [3] Group 2: Market Trends and Sector Performance - Longpan Technology (02465) rose over 8% as demand for lithium hexafluorophosphate and lithium iron phosphate surged due to downstream operations, indicating a positive industry outlook [1] - Greenview China Real Estate (00095) increased over 20% after completing several financing adjustments that alleviated financial pressure and improved liquidity [2] - Dongyue Group (00189) rose over 7.05% amid a surge in the organic silicon sector, with reports of major polysilicon companies planning to form a consortium to eliminate excess capacity [4] Group 3: Stock Market Movements - China Gas (00384) rose over 3% as Beijing prepares for a new heating season with dropping temperatures [1] - Snap Inc (SNAP.US) increased over 9.73% after reporting a 10% revenue growth to USD 1.51 billion in Q3, slightly exceeding analyst expectations [8] - AstraZeneca (AZN.US) rose over 3.23% with a reported 12% revenue growth to USD 15.191 billion in Q3, benefiting from strong sales of key cancer and diabetes drugs [8]

Core Viewpoint - The recent financial guidance from major North American Cloud Service Providers (CSPs) indicates a significant increase in capital expenditures, reflecting strong growth potential in AI infrastructure [1] Group 1: Market Reactions - Baidu (BIDU.US) shares rose nearly 6%, while Alibaba (BABA.US) shares increased over 3% following the news [1] Group 2: Capital Expenditure Projections - TrendForce has revised the 2025 global capital expenditure growth rate for the eight major CSPs from 61% to 65% [1] - The total capital expenditure for these CSPs is expected to exceed $600 billion in 2026, representing a 40% year-on-year increase [1] Group 3: Individual CSP Insights - Google has raised its 2025 capital expenditure forecast to $91-93 billion to meet the surging demand for AI data centers and cloud computing [1] - Meta has also increased its 2025 capital expenditure estimate to $70-72 billion, with significant growth anticipated in 2026 [1] - Amazon has adjusted its 2025 capital expenditure forecast to $125 billion [1] - Microsoft has not disclosed complete annual details but expects its 2026 capital expenditure to exceed that of 2025 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recent financial guidance from major North American cloud service providers (CSPs) indicates a strong growth trajectory in capital expenditures, driven by increasing demand for AI infrastructure, with a projected total capital expenditure exceeding $600 billion by 2026, reflecting a 40% year-on-year increase [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Baidu (BIDU.US) saw a nearly 6% increase in stock price, while Alibaba (BABA.US) rose over 3% [1] Group 2: Capital Expenditure Projections - TrendForce has revised the 2025 capital expenditure growth rate for the top eight CSPs from 61% to 65% [1] - The total capital expenditure for these CSPs is expected to exceed $600 billion in 2026, representing a 40% year-on-year growth [1] Group 3: Individual CSP Insights - Google has raised its 2025 capital expenditure forecast to $91-93 billion to meet the surging demand for AI data centers and cloud computing [1] - Meta has also increased its 2025 capital expenditure estimate to $70-72 billion, with significant growth anticipated in 2026 [1] - Amazon has adjusted its 2025 capital expenditure forecast to $125 billion [1] - Microsoft has not disclosed complete annual details but anticipates that its capital expenditure for the fiscal year 2026 will exceed that of 2025 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Alibaba's stock price has seen a significant increase, with a rise of over 4% in late trading, attributed to recent developments in its Taobao Flash Sale business and upcoming financial results [1] Group 1: Company Developments - Taobao Flash Sale has undergone a rebranding, with the Ele.me app officially renamed to "Taobao Flash Sale" as of November 3, currently in a gray testing phase [1] - On November 5, job postings indicated that Taobao Flash Sale and Ele.me are merging, with multiple "same position recruitments" being conducted [1] - As of November 6, data from Tmall's Double 11 event shows that Taobao Flash Sale has generated over 100 million new users' orders during the shopping festival [1] Group 2: Financial Expectations - East Asia Securities has projected that Alibaba will announce its second fiscal quarter results in mid-November, with an expected overall revenue growth rate slowing to 4% year-on-year [1] - Cloud business revenue is anticipated to accelerate growth to over 30%, representing a potential highlight for the company [1] - The Chinese e-commerce business revenue is expected to increase by 12% year-on-year, primarily benefiting from the contributions of the Flash Sale business [1] - Increased investments in the delivery and flash sale businesses, along with a significant rise in capital expenditures related to AI infrastructure, may continue to pressure the adjusted profit margin in the short term [1]

Group 1 - The market has experienced a significant style switch since November, with brokerages suggesting a focus on technology, consumer, and core asset sectors as the year-end approaches in a bullish environment [1] - As of October 31, the Hang Seng Technology PE-TTM stands at 22.9 times, which is at the 29th percentile historically, indicating that Hong Kong stocks are not highly valued [1] - Cumulative southbound capital inflow since 2025 has exceeded 1.1 trillion yuan, primarily driven by institutional forces such as public funds and insurance capital, with expectations for net inflows to surpass 1.5 trillion yuan next year [1] Group 2 - In Q3, actively managed equity funds increased their positions in the technology sector while reducing exposure to blue-chip sectors like banking, indicating a shift in institutional behavior [1] - The technology growth narrative is believed to remain intact, with Hong Kong's technology, consumer, and core assets being viewed as scarce opportunities [1] - The AI industry trend is accelerating, with the fundamentals of the Hang Seng Technology index appearing favorable [1] Group 3 - The "Magnificent 7" tech giants, including Apple, Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, Tesla, and Nvidia, are recognized for their robust growth and innovation, establishing them as core assets in the US tech sector [1] - Companies like Xiaomi, Lenovo, BYD, SMIC, Alibaba, Tencent, and Meituan are highlighted for their potential benefits from AI and market opportunities in the coming years [1]

Core Viewpoint - The market has experienced a significant style switch since November, with brokerages suggesting a focus on technology, consumption, and core asset industries as the year-end approaches in a bullish market environment [1] Market Valuation - As of October 31, the Hang Seng Technology PE-TTM stands at 22.9 times, which is in the 29th percentile historically [1] - Hong Kong's broad market valuation is notably low compared to global indices, with Hang Seng Technology valuations lower than the S&P 500 by 95%, Nasdaq by 88%, DAX by 79%, Nikkei 225 by 73%, and Nifty by 72% since 2005 [1] Capital Inflows - Since 2025, southbound capital inflows have exceeded 1.1 trillion yuan, primarily driven by institutional forces such as public funds and insurance capital [1] - It is anticipated that net inflows from southbound capital will exceed 1.5 trillion yuan next year [1] - In Q3 2025, both long and short-term foreign capital consistently flowed into Hong Kong's technology sector, indicating a growing consensus among foreign investors [1] Institutional Behavior - Data from China Aviation Securities indicates that in Q3, actively managed equity funds increased their positions in technology while reducing exposure to blue-chip sectors like banking [1] Investment Opportunities - Most brokerages believe that the technology growth trend is not over and still presents investment value, particularly in Hong Kong's technology, consumption, and core asset sectors [1] - The acceleration of the AI industry both domestically and internationally is expected to open new growth avenues for technology stocks, with potential for increased capital investment in the AI sector [1] Magnificent 7 in Hong Kong - The "Magnificent 7" in the Hong Kong market includes Xiaomi, Lenovo, BYD, SMIC, Alibaba, Tencent, and Meituan, which are seen as core technology assets attracting investor attention [2] Company-Specific Insights - **Xiaomi**: Expected to benefit from AI applications and successful entry into the smart electric vehicle market, with a focus on new product launches and growth in smart hardware [3] - **Lenovo**: Anticipated growth in PC and smartphone demand driven by AI investments and expansion in emerging markets, particularly in the Middle East [4] - **BYD**: Projected to achieve global sales of 4.27 million vehicles in 2024, with a focus on smart vehicle technology and international expansion [4] - **SMIC**: Positioned as a major beneficiary of global supply chain restructuring, with strong demand for localized production [5] - **Alibaba**: Expected to lead in cloud services driven by AI demand, with a focus on enhancing e-commerce market share through innovative applications [5] - **Tencent**: Anticipated to leverage AI in social advertising and gaming, with a focus on enhancing product offerings through AI integration [6] - **Meituan**: Expected to benefit from growth in the local consumption market and improvements in profitability across various business segments [6]

Core Insights - MSCI announced changes to its indices, including the addition of 17 new A-shares and the removal of 16 existing ones, effective after the market close on November 24, 2025 [1] - The MSCI Global Standard Index added 69 stocks and removed 64, with notable new additions including CoreWeave, Nebius Group, and Insmed [2] - The adjustments are based on objective quantitative metrics such as market capitalization and liquidity, with historical data indicating that these changes have a manageable impact on the overall market [2] A-Share Adjustments - New A-share additions include companies like 十里科技 (601777.SH), 东阳光 (600673.SH), and 长川科技 (300604.SZ) [1] - The removed A-shares include 中直股份 (600038.SH), 伯特利 (603596.SH), and 东阿阿胶 (000423.SZ) [1] - The complete list of new and removed A-shares reflects a strategic shift in MSCI's index composition [1] Hong Kong Stock Adjustments - In addition to A-shares, MSCI also added 9 Hong Kong stocks, including 紫金黄金国际 and 广发证券, while removing 4 stocks such as 北控水务集团 [1] - The inclusion of these Hong Kong stocks indicates MSCI's ongoing commitment to enhancing its index offerings in the region [1] Emerging Market Index Changes - The largest new additions to the MSCI Emerging Markets Index include Barito Renewables Energy, 紫金黄金国际, and 广发证券 [2] - These changes highlight the growing importance of renewable energy and financial services in emerging markets [2]

Core Insights - MSCI announced the results of its November index review, which includes the addition of 17 new stocks to the MSCI China A-share index and the removal of 16 stocks, effective after the market close on November 24, 2025 [1] - The review also included changes to the MSCI China Index, adding 9 Hong Kong stocks and removing 4 [4] A-Share Index Adjustments - New additions to the MSCI China A-share index include stocks such as Qianli Technology (601777.SH), Dongyangguang (600673.SH), and Changchuan Technology (300604.SZ) [4] - Stocks removed from the index include Zhongzhi Co., Ltd. (600038.SH), Berteli (603596.SH), and Dong'e Ejiao (000423.SZ) [4] Hong Kong Stock Adjustments - New Hong Kong stocks added to the MSCI China Index include Zijin Mining International, GF Securities, and Ganfeng Lithium [4] - Stocks removed from the Hong Kong index include Beikong Water Group, China Everbright Bank, and China Resources Pharmaceutical [4] Global Index Adjustments - The MSCI Global Standard Index (ACWI) added 69 stocks and removed 64, with notable new additions including CoreWeave, Nebius Group, and Insmed [5] - The largest new additions to the MSCI Emerging Markets Index include Barito Renewables Energy, Zijin Mining International, and GF Securities [5] Adjustment Frequency and Impact - MSCI conducts four routine adjustments annually, with the May and November reviews typically having a larger impact compared to the February and August reviews [6] - Adjustments are based on objective quantitative indicators such as market capitalization and liquidity, with historical analysis indicating that the overall market impact of these adjustments is manageable [6]

Group 1 - A-shares main indices collectively rebounded, with the ChiNext index rising by 1.1% and the STAR Market 50 index increasing by 0.4% [1] - Amazon Web Services (AWS) and OpenAI signed a $38 billion computing power cooperation agreement, which will utilize NVIDIA's latest GPU resources for various AI tasks [1] - The infrastructure from this agreement is expected to be fully deployed by the end of 2026, potentially accelerating the global AI computing infrastructure development [1] Group 2 - Longzhong Securities indicated that the AI industry continues to evolve, with high demand for computing infrastructure likely to persist [1] - The ongoing AI wave is driving rapid growth in cloud services for domestic and international cloud vendors, leading to increased capital expenditure to meet the rising demand for AI computing power [1] - The STAR Market 50 index consists of 50 stocks with high market capitalization and liquidity, predominantly in the semiconductor sector, which accounts for over 65% [1]