【导读】"双十"基金经理三季度调仓动作和后市观点 中国基金报记者 曹雯璟 伴随基金三季报密集披露，一批长期业绩出众的"双十"（投资年限超过10年且任职基金经理 以来年化收益超10%）投资老将调仓动作和后市观点，受到投资者关注。 多位"双十"基金经理表示，基本面和流动性的良性互动刚刚开始，将驱动市场长期趋势发生 反转。展望后市，A股市场有望形成"价值股搭台、成长股唱戏"格局，不同风格轮动表现，驱 动市场走出向上行情；关注AI、机器人、创新药、芯片、有色、化工等板块。 周蔚文： 增配有色金属、工程机械、化工板块 人工智能产业链是重点布局方向 Wind数据显示，中欧基金基金经理周蔚文拥有近19年投资经验，截至10月27日，其任职基 金经理以来年化回报近15%。由他管理的中欧新蓝筹自2008年成立以来业绩高达 870.53%，同类排名第一，近一年、近三年业绩分别排在前7%和前10%分位。 根据三季报，中欧新蓝筹三季度利润为37.43亿元，股票仓位为77.55%，主要布局有色金 属、工程机械、化工板块、人工智能产业链等方向。 中欧新蓝筹的前三大重仓股为新易盛、中际旭创、万华化学，工业富联、兴业银锡、天孚通 信、新泉股份 ...

Core Points - The Shanghai Composite Index (SSE) has surpassed the 4000-point mark for the first time in nearly a decade, reaching a high of 4010.73 points on October 28, 2023, with the last occurrence being on August 18, 2015 [1][2] - The recent surge is attributed to a combination of policy support and increased market activity, with daily trading volumes exceeding 2 trillion yuan since mid-August [2][5] - The current market environment is characterized by a shift towards technology-driven growth, with sectors such as TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) leading the charge [5][6] Market Performance - On October 28, the SSE opened strong, briefly crossing 4000 points, but closed at 3988.22 points, down 0.22% for the day. The Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index also experienced slight declines [2] - The trading volume for the day reached 2.17 trillion yuan, with 2366 stocks rising [2] Historical Context - This marks the third time the SSE has crossed the 4000-point threshold, with previous instances occurring in May 2007 and April 2015. The current TTM (Trailing Twelve Months) P/E ratio remains above 20, similar to the 2015 level, but significantly lower than the 40+ ratio seen in 2007 [3][5] Sector Analysis - The current rally is driven by technology sectors, particularly semiconductors, AI, and renewable energy, contrasting with the previous reliance on financial and real estate sectors during past rallies [5][6] - Notable stock performances include N Yicai-U, N Heyuan-U, and N Bibet-U, which saw increases of 198.72%, 213.49%, and 74.41% respectively on their debut [9] Policy Developments - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) announced reforms aimed at enhancing investor protection and promoting the growth of the capital market, including the launch of a new framework for the ChiNext board [7][8] - The CSRC's recent measures include 23 initiatives focused on protecting small and medium investors, indicating a commitment to improving market stability and investor confidence [8]

Core Viewpoint - The performance of SANY Heavy Industry (06031.HK) during its IPO was disappointing compared to other newly listed stocks, which saw significant gains, indicating a lack of market interest in SANY's shares [1][2]. Group 1: IPO Performance - SANY Heavy Industry's stock price barely increased after its IPO, only rising a few percentage points in the morning, contrasting sharply with other new listings like Dipo Technology (01384.HK), which doubled in price [1]. - The high IPO price of SANY at HKD 21.3 left little room for appreciation in the secondary market, with a discount of only about 10% compared to its A-share price [2]. - In comparison, Cambridge Technology (06166.HK) had a much lower H-share issuance price, leading to a 40% increase on its first day of trading [2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The low participation of retail investors in SANY's IPO, with a subscription rate of 52.93 times but only 10% of shares allocated to the public, limited the potential for post-IPO price increases [2]. - Institutional investors accounted for a significant portion of the shares, which may stabilize the stock price but also indicates a lack of retail interest [2]. - The simultaneous listing of four new stocks highlighted the varying levels of market enthusiasm for different sectors, with technology and consumer stocks performing well, while SANY's traditional engineering machinery sector lagged [2][3]. Group 3: Industry Context - SANY Heavy Industry operates in a traditional and cyclical engineering machinery sector, which is heavily influenced by macroeconomic conditions, limiting its growth potential [3]. - For investors interested in the engineering machinery sector, it may be more beneficial to consider established companies in the Hong Kong market, such as Zoomlion Heavy Industry and China National Heavy Duty Truck Group, which have shown better long-term performance [3].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the initiation of deep reforms in the ChiNext board, aimed at providing more precise and inclusive financial services for emerging industries and innovative enterprises [1] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission announced that the first batch of newly registered companies will be listed on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, with the reform effects becoming increasingly evident [1] - The new five-year plan emphasizes technological self-reliance and quality improvement in economic development, with a focus on enhancing "new quality productivity" [1] Group 2 - The Double Innovation Leader ETF (588330) has shown a significant upward trend since its low point on April 8, with a cumulative increase of 95.62%, outperforming major indices such as the ChiNext Index and the Sci-Tech Innovation Index [5][6] - The ETF is designed to capture high-growth companies in strategic emerging industries, including new energy, photovoltaics, semiconductors, and medical devices, reflecting the importance of technological self-reliance [4] - The ETF's investment threshold is relatively low, allowing investors to start with less than 100 yuan, making it an accessible option for capturing technology market trends [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that there is a significant demand for computing power, which is currently outstripping supply, particularly following OpenAI's recent actions and the launch of ChatGPT Atlas on October 22, leading to a noticeable increase in token consumption [1] - OpenAI's recent financing efforts are expected to accelerate AI computing infrastructure, with other manufacturers likely to follow suit [1] - The computing hardware market is projected to grow rapidly, with high-end components such as 1.6T optical modules expected to see increased demand due to the anticipated release of NVIDIA's Rubin series chips and Google's TPU7 [1] Group 2 - The optical module market is expected to maintain a high level of prosperity, supported by ongoing investments in computing infrastructure both domestically and internationally [1] - As of October 24, the communication ETF (515880) ranks first in its category with a scale of 10.299 billion, where "optical modules + servers + copper connections + optical fibers" account for over 80% of the portfolio, indicating a strong fundamental outlook for computing hardware [2] - Optical modules alone represent over 50% of the ETF, suggesting potential investment opportunities in related sectors [1]

Core Insights - The optical module CPO continues to strengthen, with the optical module content exceeding 51% in the AI sector of the ChiNext board, which is rising against the market trend [1] - The largest and most liquid AI ETF on the ChiNext board (159363) has reached a new high since its listing, with a trading volume approaching 200 million yuan [1] - Institutions predict that the optical module market will maintain high growth momentum through 2026, driven by the commercialization of AI applications by major overseas companies like OpenAI [1] Market Performance - The stock price of Zhongji Xuchuang, a leading optical module company, has reached a historical high during intraday trading [1] - The ChiNext AI ETF (159363) has a recent scale exceeding 3.5 billion yuan, with an average daily trading volume of over 800 million yuan in the past month, leading among seven ETFs tracking the ChiNext AI index [1] Industry Outlook - First Shanghai Securities indicates that the current industry is in a positive cycle of "capital expenditure expansion, commercialization, and performance realization," which will continue to support the growth of the computing power industry chain [1] - The ETF focuses on leading optical module companies, with over 70% of its portfolio allocated to computing power and more than 20% to AI applications, effectively capturing the AI theme market [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the investment strategy of the Ruiyuan Growth Value Mixed Securities Investment Fund, focusing on sectors such as internet technology, optical modules, PCB, chips, and innovative pharmaceuticals, while maintaining a positive outlook on artificial intelligence despite market concerns [1] Group 1: Investment Focus - The fund has prioritized investments in internet technology, optical modules, PCB, chips, and innovative pharmaceuticals during the third quarter [1] - There is a focus on domestic companies within the PCB, optical module, and chip sectors, indicating a trend towards localization [1] Group 2: Market Sentiment - The significant short-term gains in the artificial intelligence sector have led to market divergence and concerns regarding the effectiveness of large capital expenditures by tech giants [1] - Despite these concerns, the industry is viewed as being in the early stages of development, suggesting potential for future growth [1] Group 3: Innovative Pharmaceuticals - The valuation of innovative pharmaceuticals is currently high, but the trend of Chinese innovative drug companies moving towards globalization remains unchanged [1] - The fund prefers companies with first-in-class and best-in-class potential, focusing on those with differentiated innovative drugs [1]

Group 1 - The technology sector continues to rebound due to favorable policies, with the "self-reliance and self-improvement in technology" being included in the "14th Five-Year Plan" goals [1] - The ChiNext 50 Index (399673) rose by 0.86%, with notable increases in constituent stocks such as Zhuosheng Microelectronics (300782) up 3.95% and Xinyisheng (300502) up 3.47% [1] - The ChiNext 50 ETF (159681) closely tracks the ChiNext 50 Index, which consists of 50 stocks with high trading volume, reflecting the overall performance of well-known, large-cap, and liquid companies in the ChiNext market [1] Group 2 - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the ChiNext 50 Index accounted for 69.36% of the index, including companies like CATL (300750) and Zhongji Xuchuang (300308) [2]

Market Overview - The A-share market opened lower but rose throughout the morning, with the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing the 4000-point mark for the first time in ten years, closing at 4005.44 points, up 0.21% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets exceeded 1.35 trillion yuan, with 3057 stocks rising and 2142 stocks falling [2] Sector Performance - The artificial intelligence and cloud computing sectors led the gains, while the gold and coal sectors experienced significant declines [2] - The optical module sector saw a resurgence, with related indices rising over 4% [3] Key Companies in Optical Modules - Zhongji Xuchuang (300308) reached a new high, rising over 5% to 528.33 yuan per share, with a market cap of 587 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of over 300% [4] - Xinyi Sheng (300502) increased nearly 4% to 420.01 yuan per share, with a market cap of 417.5 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of over 400% [5] - Tianfu Communication (300394) rose 2.59% to 194.98 yuan per share, with a market cap of 151.6 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of over 200% [6] - Other companies like Lian Te Technology (301205) surged over 12% [8] Human-Robot Sector - The humanoid robot sector showed strength, with Sanhua Intelligent Control (002050) rising over 6% to 50.68 yuan per share, achieving a market cap of 207.6 billion yuan [11] Domestic Software Sector - Kingsoft Office's stock rose over 8% to 343.14 yuan per share, with a market cap of 158.9 billion yuan [15] - The company reported a 25.33% year-on-year increase in revenue for Q3 2025, reaching 1.521 billion yuan, and a 35.42% increase in net profit [17] Banking Sector - Agricultural Bank's stock reached a new historical high, rising nearly 1% to 8.31 yuan per share, with a market cap of 2808 billion yuan [19] - Postal Savings Bank rose 1.33% to 6.09 yuan per share, while other banks like CITIC Bank and Everbright Bank saw declines [19] Precious Metals Sector - The precious metals sector faced notable declines, with stocks like Shengda Resources (000603) and Zhaojin Mining (000506) dropping over 2% [21]

Market Overview - On October 28, the A-share market opened lower but rebounded, with the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing the 4000-point mark for the first time in ten years, closing at 4005.44 points, up 0.21% [2][3] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets exceeded 1.35 trillion yuan, with 3057 stocks rising and 2142 stocks falling [5] Sector Performance - The artificial intelligence and cloud computing sectors led the gains, while the gold and coal sectors experienced significant declines [5] - Notable sectors with strong performance included two-way integration, glass fiber, lithium battery electrolyte, optical modules, and optical chips [5][6] Key Stocks - New Yisheng's stock rose nearly 4%, with a current price of 420.01 yuan per share and a market capitalization of 417.5 billion yuan, reflecting a year-to-date increase of over 400% [9] - Tianfu Communication's stock increased by 2.59%, currently priced at 194.98 yuan per share, with a market cap of 151.6 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of over 200% [10] - Lian Te Technology surged over 12%, with other companies like Dekeli, Cambridge Technology, and Shijia Photon also showing significant gains [12] Optical Module Sector - The optical module market is experiencing rapid growth driven by the increasing demand for AI computing power, with leading companies expected to maintain strong profitability and competitive advantages [14] Robotics Sector - The humanoid robot sector saw significant gains, with Sanhua Intelligent Control's stock rising over 6% to a record high of 50.68 yuan per share, with a market cap of 207.6 billion yuan [16] Domestic Software Sector - Kingsoft Office's stock rose over 8% to 343.14 yuan per share, with a market cap of 158.9 billion yuan, following a strong Q3 report showing a 25.33% year-on-year increase in revenue [21][23] - Other application software stocks like Geer Software and Tax Friend recorded gains of 10% [24] Banking Sector - The banking sector showed mixed performance, with Agricultural Bank reaching a new historical high of 8.31 yuan per share, up nearly 1% [26][29] - Postal Savings Bank and Industrial and Commercial Bank also saw slight increases, while other banks like CITIC Bank and Everbright Bank experienced declines [28][29] Precious Metals Sector - The precious metals sector faced declines, with stocks like Shengda Resources and Zhaojin Gold dropping over 2% [30][31] - International gold prices showed volatility, with spot gold trading at approximately $1991.42 per ounce [32]