性及完整性做任何保证。本报告不构成个人投资建议,也未针对个别投资者特殊的投资目标 财务状况或需要,投资者需自行判断本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况,根 此投资,责任自负。本报告仅向特定客户推送,未经国贸期货授权许可,任何引用、转载以 三方传播的行为均构成对国贸期货的侵权,我司将视情况追究法律责 险,入市需谨慎。 ITG国贸期货 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 | 7 国贸 期货 瓶片短纤数据日报 | | | | 国贸期货研究院 | 投资咨询号:Z0017251 2026/2/6 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 能源化工研究中心 陈胜 | 从业资格号:F3066728 | | 指标 | 2026/2/4 | 2026/2/5 | 变动值 | | | PTA现货价格 | 5140 | 5100 | -40 | | | MEG内盘价格 | 3675 | 3649 | -26 | 现货资讯: | | | | | | 短纤:短纤主力期货跌48到6564。现货市场:涤 | | PTA收盘价 | 5218 | 5144 | -74 | 纶短纤生产工 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market experienced fluctuations with the chemical sector leading the gains, as the China Petroleum and Chemical Industry Index rose by 1.8% [1] - Key stocks in the sector, such as Zhejiang Longsheng, Huafeng Chemical, and Luxi Chemical, saw significant increases, with gains exceeding 6%, 5%, and 4% respectively [1] - The E Fund Chemical Industry ETF (516570) has attracted substantial capital inflow, with a cumulative net inflow exceeding 1.4 billion yuan over the past 15 trading days [1] Group 2 - Guojin Securities noted a rising trend in prices for multiple chemical products, with policy changes like the cancellation of export tax rebates accelerating export activities [1] - The supply-demand dynamics in the industry are improving, indicating strong profit recovery potential for leading companies and products at price bottoms [1] - The China Petroleum and Chemical Industry Index focuses on sub-industries with clear supply-demand improvements, making it sensitive to price increase expectations [1] Group 3 - The E Fund Chemical Industry ETF (516570) offers a low management fee rate of 0.15% per year, facilitating cost-effective investment opportunities in the chemical sector [1]

Group 1 - The overall A-share market continued to decline, but the chemical sector rebounded significantly after a low opening, with the Chemical ETF (516020) rising over 2% in early trading, leading the A-share ETF market [1] - According to GF Securities, the chemical industry is a typical cyclical sector that usually follows a five-year cycle consisting of four stages: "profit upturn - capacity expansion - profit bottoming - capacity clearance/demand expectation improvement." The firm is optimistic about the chemical sector's prospects due to negative capital expenditure growth, anti-involution measures, global interest rate cuts, and domestic demand expansion [1] - China Merchants Bank Securities forecasts that the chemical industry's prosperity will be at a low point in 2025, but by 2026, the current round of industry expansion will be nearing its end. Anti-involution measures are expected to catalyze a recovery in industry profits, while new materials will benefit from rapid downstream demand growth, potentially initiating a new phase of high growth [1] Group 2 - The Chemical ETF (516020) and its connected fund (012537) track the CSI segmented chemical industry theme index, with component stocks covering popular themes such as AI computing power, anti-involution, robotics, and new energy. Nearly 50% of the portfolio is concentrated in large-cap leading stocks, including Wanhua Chemical and Salt Lake Industry, providing opportunities for strong performers [1] - The remaining 50% of the portfolio is diversified across leading stocks in sub-sectors such as phosphate fertilizer and phosphate chemicals, fluorine chemicals, and nitrogen fertilizers, aiming to capture investment opportunities within the chemical sector comprehensively [1]

每经记者｜黄胜 每经编辑｜金冥羽 记者|黄胜 编辑|金冥羽 杜波 校对|许绍航 2月6日，三大指数探底回升全线翻红，创业板指早盘一度跌近2%。超4000只个股上涨，锂电、中药、化工、电网、油气等方向涨幅居前。 | Wind热门概念指数 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 伊电电 化学纤 磷化工 氟化工 化学原 维生素 特高压 细矿 | | | 动力电 | | 5.38% 3.70% 3.43% 3.16% 3.12% 2.94% 2.86% 2.78% 2.76% | | | | | 伊电正 | 钢离子 固态电 锂电池 钾电负 铝产业 PEEK材 小金属 磷酸铁 | | | | 2.71% 2.58% 2.57% 2.54% 2.52% 2.45% 2.45% 2.42% 2.44% | | | | | 黄金珠 化学制 光通信 字树机 电池回 宁德时 西藏振 开线充 | | | 中级 | | 2.38% 2.35% 2.24% 2.26% 2.19% 2.18% 2.14% 2.14% | | | 2.09% | | 储能 稀有金 高速铜 航运 首发经 腾讯平 Kimi | ...

Group 1 - The chemical ETF (159870) shows strong recovery, indicating a consensus among investors, with noticeable market rotation before the holiday, particularly in cyclical sectors [1] - Local government meetings prioritize green development, with ongoing monitoring and transformation of high-energy-consuming industries, driving the chemical industry's upgrade [1] - The price of disperse dyes has increased by 1,000 yuan, supported by rigid downstream demand and low cost share, with strict safety and environmental regulations leading to fragile supply, suggesting a significant price increase across the dye industry chain [1] - The global fertilizer market is entering a high-price and tight balance phase, with continuous supply disruptions in overseas nitrogen and phosphorus fertilizers pushing prices higher, while potassium fertilizers are expected to exceed demand expectations [1] Group 2 - Since 2022, the overall profit of the chemical industry has been on a downward trend, with a cumulative profit decline of 8% year-on-year for chemical raw materials and products manufacturing from January to October 2025, and a 52% drop compared to the same period in 2022 [2] - The industry’s PPI index is expected to fall below zero in Q3 2024, indicating a bottoming out of the industry’s economic conditions, with a capacity utilization rate of 72.5%, down 3.5 percentage points year-on-year [2] - Northeast Securities highlights the electronic gas sector, noting that electronic specialty gases are critical for semiconductor manufacturing, requiring high purity standards and concentrated downstream applications in integrated circuits, which account for nearly 80% of global demand [2]

2月6日，天际股份涨5.08%，截至发稿，报38.49元/股，成交8.67亿元，换手率4.57%，总市值192.98亿 元。 资料显示，天际新能源科技股份有限公司位于广东省汕头市潮汕路金园工业城12-12片区，成立日期 1996年3月30日，上市日期2015年5月28日，公司主营业务涉及将现代科学技术与传统陶瓷烹饪相结合的 陶瓷烹饪家电、电热水壶的研发、生产和销售。研发、生产、销售六氟磷酸锂。主营业务收入构成为： 六氟磷酸锂67.27%，次磷酸钠12.80%，小家电产品7.86%，四羟甲基磷化物4.69%，其他化工产品 4.21%，氟硼酸钾2.52%，双磷酸0.63%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示，国泰基金旗下1只基金重仓天际股份。国泰中证2000ETF（561370）四季度持有股数2200 股，占基金净值比例为0.33%，位居第四大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮盈赚取约4092元。 国泰中证2000ETF（561370）成立日期2023年9月13日，最新规模3129.37万。今年以来收益7.67%，同 类排名993/5564；近一年收益49.57%，同类排名1049/4288；成立以来收益50.71%。 国泰 ...

Core Viewpoint - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is expected to provide clear direction and policy support for the capital market, with a focus on traditional industry upgrades, emerging industry demand expansion, and thematic investments in frontier industries [1] Macro Analysis: Opportunities in Financial Assets - The liquidity environment is expected to remain relatively loose both globally and domestically, providing opportunities across various financial assets, with a particular emphasis on the A-share equity market [2] - Current A-share market valuations are considered reasonable based on historical rolling returns, suggesting that the market is not overly expensive [2] - Two core supporting factors for the A-share market include a friendly liquidity environment and an anticipated upward trend in the profit cycle due to improved supply-demand dynamics [2] Trend Assessment: Technological Self-Reliance - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes technological self-reliance as a strategic task, highlighting the importance of technological innovation and productivity improvement for sustainable economic development [4] Insight into Opportunities: Three Structural Directions - The "15th Five-Year Plan" outlines three key investment directions: 1. Traditional industries such as chemicals, shipbuilding, and metallurgy are expected to enhance profitability through supply-side policies and optimization [5][6] 2. Emerging industries like artificial intelligence and energy storage are projected to experience sustained demand growth, leading to rapid development [6] 3. Frontier industries, including embodied intelligence and quantum technology, are seen as having significant growth potential and should be monitored for breakthroughs in basic scientific research [6] Rational Layout: Understanding Industry Trends - Investors are advised to recognize industry trends and avoid frequent timing based on short-term fluctuations, particularly in the high-growth and high-volatility technology sector [7] - The investment strategy should focus on understanding industry development trends and adjusting strategies only when substantial changes occur in the underlying fundamentals [7]

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】669号 中信期货研究|能源化⼯策略⽇报 2026-02-06 美伊谈判前后油价延续⾼波动，烧碱下 ⾏持续性待观察 央视新闻报道，美伊谈判将于2月6日在阿曼举行，谈判前油价高波动 仍在延续，本轮核问题谈判结果将对短期油价形成方向性指引。路透显示 海外柴油裂解价差重回弱势，炼厂毛利相对承压。路透报道俄罗斯对中国 出口的原油折扣幅度继续加大，市场存在对印度购买减量的担忧。伊朗及 俄罗斯地缘局势、OPEC+二季度产量预期等供应端因素仍是2月原油市场关 注的核心，目前地缘溢价仍存，短期重点关注美伊谈判动向及印度对俄罗 斯石油购买进展。 板块逻辑： 油价高波动下化工品市场有所分化，PX及PTA存在终端需求支撑不足 的阶段性压力，纯苯及苯乙烯在3月后的去库预期支撑下价格震荡偏强。 近期液氯价格上调，烧碱下行空间打开，但考虑节前液氯价格可能向下调 整，烧碱以震荡看待。 原油：供应压力仍在，地缘主导节奏 沥青：沥青原料供应扰动有望缓解 高硫燃油：燃油期价等待美伊谈判进展 低硫燃油：低硫燃油跟随原油震荡 甲醇：沿海利空显著，甲醇区间震荡 尿素：预售订单支撑，尿素震荡整理 乙二醇：近端到货偏 ...

日度报告——综合晨报 美国雇主 1 月裁员创纪录，国内三大股指普 跌 [T报ab告le_日R期an：k] 2026-02-06 宏观策略（外汇期货(美元指数)） 美国雇主 1 月裁员创纪录 美国 1 月雇主裁员创纪录，劳动力市场明显走弱，市场风险偏好 走低，美元回升 宏观策略（股指期货） 三大股指普跌，股市持续缩量 MPOA 预测马棕 1 月产量下降超 14%，2 月前 5 日马棕出口小幅 下降 综 海外科技股回调形成对 A 股科技股的压制，同时贵金属再度回 调，拖累指数。当前阶段最核心因素在于股市成交持续缩量， 我们预计年前行情逐渐清淡。 合 黑色金属（螺纹钢/热轧卷板） 晨 Mysteel 五大品种库存周环比增加 59.24 万吨 报 临近春节假期，五大品种累库比较明显加速，卷板开始累库， 螺纹表需明显回落到 147 万吨左右。当前累库对于现货仍形成压 力，但基本面矛盾级别依然不算大，钢价震荡运行。 宏观策略（黄金） 美伊将继续谈判 金价下跌，白银大跌 20%，地缘政治紧张局势缓和，中美领导 人通电话，美伊将开启谈判，此前下跌调整并未结束，市场做 多情绪下降，美股持续回调风险资产普跌。 农产品（豆油/菜油 ...

在功能产业提档升级方面，督促企业主动服务国家和省市重大战略，积极承担并实施好新型工业化强 市、北方内河航运中心、世界文化旅游名城、乡村振兴等领域重点项目。围绕我市加快构建更加完善的 公路、铁路、港口、航运、水利等现代基础设施体系，推动企业增强建设运营与综合服务能力。 在对外合作实现突破方面，统筹市管企业资源资本优势，加大招商引资工作力度，重点围绕京津冀、长 三角、大湾区等地区，加强与央企省企、知名民企、科研院所等合资合作，积极引进一批优质项目，延 伸拉长产业链条，实现合作共赢、融合发展。 在新兴产业培育壮大方面，着眼产业链延伸和价值提升，推动企业加强产业基础能力建设，培育壮大战 略性新兴产业，发展成为重要支柱产业，多渠道开展投资融资、产业培育、资本整合，助力培育新的利 润增长点。 在未来产业超前布局方面，遵循科技创新及产业发展规律，指导企业融合资本、人才、技术、数据要 素，积极融入创新网络，加快布局人工智能、算力、低空经济等未来产业，为建设现代化产业体系提供 新动力。 "十五五"开局的关键节点，济宁市国资委锚定高质量发展目标，在推动市管企业产业布局优化与结构升 级上，绘就了清晰而坚定的发展蓝图。 "'十五五' ...