Market Overview - The engineering machinery sector experienced a decline of 1.32% on September 25, with Shanhe Intelligent leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3853.3, down 0.01%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13445.9, up 0.67% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Shanhe Intelligent's stock price fell by 7.98% to 13.38, with a trading volume of 1.44 million shares and a transaction value of 199.8 million [2] - Other notable declines included Huadong Heavy Machine down 5.25% and Wantong Hydraulic down 4.22% [2] - In contrast, Zhongji United and Changling Hydraulic saw slight increases of 1.11% and 0.82%, respectively [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The engineering machinery sector saw a net outflow of 785 million from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 714 million [2] - The table of capital flow indicates that individual stocks like Weiman Sealing and Xugong Machinery had varying levels of net inflow and outflow from different investor types [3]

Core Insights - Caterpillar showcased multiple dynamics at the BICES 2025 exhibition, highlighting its commitment to innovation and community support as it celebrates its 100th anniversary globally and 50 years in China [1] Group 1: Product Showcase - Caterpillar's booth covered 1,300 square meters, featuring significant products such as the 3101 hundred-ton large hydraulic excavator and the commemorative "Centennial Gray" 323GX excavator [4] - Shantui, under Caterpillar, launched the new 669G electric-driven loader, along with the 688G loader and 3110F wide-body dump truck, catering to a range of operational needs from large to mini-sized equipment, with some products customized for Chinese customers [7] Group 2: Community Engagement - The Caterpillar Foundation announced a commitment to donate up to $10 million over the next five years in China, focusing on vocational skills training and STEM education among other areas, building on a total of over $18 million donated in the past 25 years [8] - Caterpillar also presented new service solutions such as the Cat new power scheme and the Practical Fleet Management System, emphasizing its ongoing investment in product and service innovation alongside community contributions [8]

Market Overview - As of September 25, the three major A-share indices showed mixed results, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.01%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.67%, and the ChiNext Index up 1.58% [4] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 239.18 billion yuan, an increase of 44.6 billion yuan compared to the previous day [4] Sector Performance - The gaming, copper cable high-speed connection, controllable nuclear fusion, metal copper, film and television, and wind power equipment sectors saw significant gains [3] - Conversely, the precious metals, gas, port shipping, oil and gas extraction and services, engineering machinery, and logistics sectors experienced notable declines [3] Notable Stocks - In the gaming sector, companies like Kunlun Wanwei and Huanyu Century showed strong performance, with Kunlun Wanwei rising by 2.46% and Huanyu Century by 1.08% [5] - The copper sector also performed well, with companies such as Jingyi Co. and Luoyang Molybdenum Co. achieving significant gains [8] - The controllable nuclear fusion sector was active, with stocks like Hezhan Intelligent and Shanghai Electric hitting the daily limit [8] Policy Impact - On September 24, the Ministry of Commerce and other departments released guidelines to promote digital consumption, which includes 14 tasks aimed at supporting vertical e-commerce development and expanding specialized consumption channels [8]

Group 1 - The market is expected to favor high-performing but relatively low-positioned technology sectors and small-cap styles in September, with recommended style indices including Sci-Tech 50, CSI 1000, CSI 300 Dividend, and Hang Seng Technology [1] - The focus for A-shares in the next phase will be on companies with earnings that exceed expectations or those with pessimistic earnings forecasts, as the peak of mid-year earnings disclosures approaches [1] - Key sectors to watch include non-bank financials (securities), pharmaceuticals (chemical drugs), power equipment, machinery (automation and engineering), defense, and computers, based on multiple dimensions such as industrial profitability and inventory stages [1] Group 2 - The recent rise in gold prices is attributed to Trump's actions undermining the independence of the Federal Reserve, which could challenge the dollar's status as a reserve currency [3] - The electrolytic aluminum sector is expected to perform well in the second half of the year, with average profits projected to exceed 4,500 yuan per ton due to a tight supply-demand balance and favorable cost conditions [3] Group 3 - The domestic medical device industry is in a rapid development phase, with short-term impacts from medical insurance cost control, but long-term prospects remain positive due to innovation and import substitution [5] - AI applications in various industries are accelerating, with significant revenue growth expected, particularly in enterprise management, industrial manufacturing, and marketing [5] - The computer sector is anticipated to see continuous improvement in performance by the first half of 2025, with investment opportunities in AI software & hardware, trusted computing, and stablecoins [5] Group 4 - The short-term trend of the market is weak, with no significant influx of new capital observed [7] - The Shanghai Composite Index is experiencing a rebound after a decline, with expectations of stabilization as selling pressure decreases [11] - The market is entering a slow bull phase, with reduced volatility and healthy rotation of market hotspots, suggesting a focus on high positions and a strategy based on economic conditions [11]

Core Viewpoint - Zhonglian Heavy Industry's net profit attributable to shareholders for H1 2025 reached 2.765 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.84% [1] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.355 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.29% [1] - The company's profitability continues to recover, with various product gross margins improving [1] Revenue Breakdown - For H1 2025, revenue from the crane machinery, concrete machinery, and earth-moving machinery segments was 8.374 billion, 4.869 billion, and 4.293 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 1.24%, 15.66%, and 22.11% [1] - Overseas market revenue reached 13.815 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.66%, with rapid growth in markets such as the Middle East, Southeast Asia, and Australia/New Zealand [1] Strategic Developments - The company has established a humanoid robot training ground and developed the Zhongke Cloud Valley embodied intelligence platform, which includes a comprehensive toolchain for data collection, processing, labeling, model training, evaluation, and inference deployment [1] - The embodied intelligence initiative is expected to create a new growth driver for the company [1] Investment Outlook - The 6-month target price for A-shares is set at 9.32 yuan, and for Hong Kong shares at 7.64 yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating [1]

Group 1 - The China Central Enterprises Innovation-Driven Index rose by 0.04% as of September 25, 2025, with notable increases in stocks such as Yunnan Copper (up 5.34%) and Lightway Technology (up 4.83%) [3] - The Central Enterprises Innovation-Driven ETF (515900) showed a recent price of 1.55 yuan, with a cumulative increase of 7.89% over the past three months, ranking in the top quarter among comparable funds [3] - The trading volume for the Central Enterprises Innovation-Driven ETF was 439.54 million yuan, with an average daily trading volume of 24.01 million yuan over the past year, leading among comparable funds [3] Group 2 - In August, the construction machinery operating rate was 43.42%, with excavator sales showing a recovery trend and double-digit growth in both domestic and international markets [4] - The demand for construction machinery is expected to continue growing due to favorable downstream factors such as hydropower projects and urban renewal actions, alongside a reduction in global tariff disruptions [4] - The Central Enterprises Innovation-Driven ETF saw a significant growth of 1.15 billion yuan in scale over the past three months, ranking in the top quarter among comparable funds [4] Group 3 - The top ten weighted stocks in the Central Enterprises Innovation-Driven Index as of August 29, 2025, include Hikvision, State Grid NARI, and Chang'an Automobile, collectively accounting for 33.39% of the index [4]

Core Insights - The article highlights the increasing investment and trade opportunities between Shandong Province and the UAE, particularly focusing on the emirate of Ras Al Khaimah as a new strategic hub for Shandong enterprises [1][9]. Group 1: Investment Opportunities - Ras Al Khaimah offers significant investment advantages, including its strategic location near the Strait of Hormuz, which is crucial for global oil and gas transportation, and the largest dry bulk port in the Middle East, Saqr Port, which can save up to 25 days in shipping time to Europe [1]. - The emirate's free trade zone allows businesses to operate without import/export duties and offers a 5% tax on local sales, making it an attractive destination for Shandong companies looking to expand [2][3]. - The UAE's free trade zones also provide exemptions from corporate and personal income taxes, no foreign exchange controls, and ease of capital movement, creating a favorable environment for re-export trade [3]. Group 2: Trade Growth - Bilateral trade between China and the UAE reached $101.8 billion in 2024, marking an increase of over 800 times since diplomatic relations were established in 1984, with Shandong being a key player in this growth [9]. - Shandong's exports to the Middle East grew by 60% in the first seven months of 2025, with imports increasing by 87.9%, indicating a robust trade relationship [9]. - The establishment of over 30 companies in the Middle East by Shandong enterprises, with a total investment of $560 million, reflects the region's importance as a destination for Shandong's overseas business expansion [9]. Group 3: Infrastructure Development - Shandong enterprises are actively setting up overseas warehouses and logistics centers in the UAE, with significant investments in facilities like the 50,000 square meter warehouse in Jebel Ali Free Zone, which began operations in April 2022 [11]. - The establishment of the China-Arab Shandong Industrial Park in Ras Al Khaimah, with an investment of $360 million, aims to attract various industries, including manufacturing and logistics, further enhancing Shandong's presence in the region [15]. - The demand for industrial and logistics assets in Dubai and Abu Dhabi surged by 185% in the first half of 2024, driven by key sectors such as manufacturing and logistics, indicating a growing market for Shandong's investments [8]. Group 4: Sector-Specific Initiatives - The Shandong vegetable industry is also making strides in the UAE, with plans to invest in an agricultural technology center in Al Ain, focusing on sustainable practices and advanced technology to enhance agricultural productivity [17]. - The "Shouguang model" of agricultural innovation is being tested in Abu Dhabi, aiming to provide solutions for agricultural transformation in extreme climates, showcasing Shandong's commitment to diversifying its investment portfolio [17].

Group 1 - The A-share market opened lower, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.03% and the ChiNext Index down 0.56%. Active sectors included industrial metals and controllable nuclear fusion, while sectors like photolithography machines, port shipping, and semiconductors saw significant declines [1] - CITIC Securities suggests that the next wave of investment opportunities will focus on resources, new productive forces, and overseas expansion. Resource stocks are expected to shift from cyclical to dividend attributes due to supply constraints and global geopolitical tensions, leading to a restructured valuation system [1] - The report emphasizes the globalization of China's manufacturing leaders, which is anticipated to convert market share advantages into pricing power and profit margin improvements, resulting in market capitalization growth that surpasses domestic economic fundamentals [1] Group 2 - Guotai Junan Securities believes that a bull market driven by the recovery of China's profit fundamentals may be in the making. The easing of liquidity constraints is expected to create new market scenarios, with opportunities in Hong Kong stocks that may experience a rebound after stagnation [2] - The report highlights that cyclical opportunities in manufacturing (non-ferrous metals, machinery, chemicals) will become a mid-term focus, preparing for a transition into a genuine bull market [2] - Recommendations include focusing on upstream resources (copper, aluminum, oil, gold), capital goods (engineering machinery, heavy trucks, lithium batteries, wind power equipment), and raw materials (basic chemicals, fiberglass, paper, steel) as they benefit from improved domestic conditions and overseas interest rate cuts [2]

国元证券近日发布机械行业周报：2025年9月15日至9月19日，上证综指上涨-1.30%，深 证成指上涨1.14%，创业板指上涨2.34%。其中申万机械设备上涨2.23%，相较沪深300指数 跑赢2.67pct，在31个申万一级行业中排名第5。细分子行业来看，申万通用设备/专用设备/ 轨交设备Ⅱ/工程机械/自动化设备分别涨1.56%/1.14%/-1.56%/6.10%/2.93%。 以下为研究报告摘要： 报告要点： 机械设备板块：当前时点，出口端我们认为无论从供给端还是需求端看国内龙头企业仍 具备较强竞争优势。据中国工程机械工业协会对叉车主要制造企业统计，2025年8月当月销 售各类叉车118087台，同比增长19.4%。其中国内销量70174台，同比增长19.3%；出口量 47913台，同比增长19.6%。2025年1—8月，共销售叉车976026台，同比增长12.9%；其中国 内销量616256台，同比增长11.3%；出口359770台，同比增长15.7%。我们看好后续工程机 械行业仍将维持稳步增长态势。 投资建议 低空经济：基建方面，我们建议关注深城交、苏交科、华设集团及纳睿雷达；整机方 面，建议关注 ...

晨会纪要（2025/09/25） 编辑人 崔健 022-28451618 SAC NO：S1150511010016 cuijian@bhzq.com 渤海证券研究所晨会纪要（2025.09.25） 金融工程研究 主要指数多数震荡调整，两融余额继续上升——融资融券周报 行业研究 钢铁稳增长方案发布，刚果（金）延长钴出口禁令——金属行业周报 人形机器人催化频出，继续关注产业落地进展——机械设备行业周报 证 券 研 究 报 告 晨 会 纪 要 请务必阅读正文之后的声明 渤海证券股份有限公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 1 of 6 晨会纪要（2025/09/25） 上周（9 月 17 日-9 月 23 日）A 股市场主要指数多数震荡调整，其中科创 50 涨幅最大，上涨了 3.63%；上 证综指跌幅最大，下跌了 1.04%。此外，深证成指上涨 0.43%，创业板指上涨 0.89%，沪深 300 下跌 0.08%， 上证 50 下跌 0.96%，中证 500 下跌 0.14%。 9 月 23 日，沪深两市两融余额为 24,089.97 亿元，较上周增加 241.89 亿元。其中融资余额为 23,922.51 亿元， 较上 ...