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钢铁、芯片与技术未来︱21书评
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2026-02-27 05:47
编者按:2002年,英国经济学和技术史学家卡洛塔·佩雷斯的著作《技术革命与金融资本》英文版上市。这本书提 出了一个针对技术与金融相互依存、影响的"技术—经济范式",在演化与创新经济学领域产生了广泛影响力。 如此成就,唯有19世纪70年代至第一次世界大战期间美国和德国超越大英帝国的壮举可堪比拟。彼时正值本书定 义的第三次技术革命时期——钢铁、电力、重工业时代,这也是第一次全球化的开端。 作者认为,资本主义每隔约半个世纪,便经历一次由技术革命驱动的系统性转型。截至21世纪初,共经历了五次 技术革命:工业革命,蒸汽和铁路时代,钢铁、电力和重工业时代,石油、汽车和大规模生产时代,信息与通信 时代。这一转型并非线性上升,而是在金融繁荣与制度重构的循环中展开。她将这种循环分为两个阶段:导入期 与展开期。导入期又分为爆发与狂热两个阶段,金融资本主导并助推新技术爆发;但投机的狂热与制度的滞后必 然导致危机与崩盘。展开期则分为协调与成熟两个阶段,社会制度逐渐与新技术匹配,生产资本重新占据主导地 位,经济进入相对稳定与繁荣的"黄金时代"。 20多年过去,有观点认为,随着AI革命、开源创新、分布式金融和全球地缘政治竞争的出现,"技 ...
新加坡经济增长超预期显韧性
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2026-01-27 22:10
Economic Growth - Singapore's GDP growth for 2025 is projected at 4.8%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points from 4.4% in 2024, marking the strongest growth since 2021 [1] - The manufacturing sector is identified as the core engine of growth, with an annual output increase of 7.6% and a quarterly growth of 15% in Q4 [1] - The services sector is expected to grow by 4.1% in 2025, slightly lower than the 4.3% growth in 2024, with significant contributions from information and communication, finance, and professional services [2] Manufacturing Sector - The biopharmaceutical and electronics industries are highlighted as dual pillars of growth, benefiting from concentrated orders in tumor drugs and vaccines, as well as the AI development wave [1] - Integrated circuit exports are projected to increase by 32.1%, disk media products by 53.5%, and communication equipment by 81.4%, reflecting strong demand for high-end manufacturing driven by global AI infrastructure investments [1] Services Sector - The services sector shows a clear internal structural differentiation, with traditional consumer services like accommodation and food services growing only 3.2%, significantly lower than the previous year's 4.6% [2] - New emerging businesses such as digital trust and cross-border carbon credit management contributed over 300 million SGD to revenue, reinforcing Singapore's position as a leader in sustainable finance within ASEAN [2] Construction Sector - The construction industry is expected to grow by 4.2% in 2025, a significant decline from the 9.2% growth in 2024, yet still maintaining positive growth amid high interest rates and labor shortages [3] - The government has introduced a "Construction 4.0 Transformation Blueprint" to mandate the use of digital technologies in large projects, aiming to drive technological upgrades in the sector [3] Trade Performance - Non-oil domestic exports are projected to grow by 4.8%, aligning with GDP growth and significantly higher than the 0.2% growth in 2024 [4] - Electronic exports have maintained double-digit growth for four consecutive months, offsetting declines in other sectors such as petrochemicals and shipbuilding [4] Future Outlook - The Ministry of Trade and Industry forecasts a GDP growth range of 1% to 3% for 2026, reflecting a cautious approach amid external headwinds and internal transformation challenges [5] - The government plans to launch a new economic strategy review, focusing on enhancing supply chain resilience, deepening AI and advanced manufacturing integration, and expanding regional service trade networks [5]
哈萨克斯坦2025年GDP同比增长6.5%
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2026-01-12 11:57
Economic Growth - Kazakhstan's GDP is projected to grow by 6.5% year-on-year in 2025, driven by key sectors such as industry, transportation, construction, and trade [1] - The industrial production index is expected to increase by 7.4%, with manufacturing growing by 6.4% [1] - Notable growth is observed in specific sectors, including mechanical manufacturing, which is anticipated to rise by 12.9% [1] Transportation and Logistics - The transportation and logistics sector is expected to maintain a strong growth trajectory, with transportation and warehousing increasing by 20.4% year-on-year [1] - Rising freight volumes in rail and road transport are contributing to growth in related services such as freight forwarding and airport operations [1] Construction Sector - The construction industry is projected to grow by 15.9%, with new housing area reaching 20.1 million square meters, a 5.1% increase year-on-year [1] - Increased investment in education, healthcare, and infrastructure is effectively driving growth in the construction sector [1] Trade Performance - Total trade volume is expected to grow by 8.9%, continuing the previous growth trend, with wholesale trade showing significant increases [2] - Key commodities such as food, machinery, pharmaceuticals, automobiles, and dairy products are experiencing rapid sales growth, indicating sustained market demand [2] Agriculture and Communication - The agriculture, forestry, and fishing sectors are projected to grow by 5.9%, while the information and communication sector is expected to increase by 3.6% [3] - In 2024, Kazakhstan's GDP is anticipated to grow by 5% [3]
在乌兹别克斯坦中企数量达4731家
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-11-25 16:43
Core Insights - As of November 1, Uzbekistan has a total of 17,595 foreign enterprises, with an increase of 407 in October, representing a growth rate of 2.4%, and a year-on-year increase of 2,298 enterprises, which is a 15% growth [1] Group 1: Foreign Investment Overview - The majority of foreign enterprises are wholly-owned, totaling 13,391, with a year-on-year increase of 2,355 [1] - Joint ventures account for 4,204 enterprises, showing a significant decrease of 57 compared to the previous year [1] Group 2: Country Breakdown - The top ten countries investing in Uzbekistan are led by China with 4,731 enterprises (713 joint ventures), making up 26.88% of the total, with an increase of 181 in October and a year-on-year increase of 1,455 [1] - Russia follows with 3,177 enterprises (898 joint ventures), accounting for 18%, with an increase of 27 in October and a year-on-year increase of 117 [1] - Other notable countries include Turkey (2,090), Kazakhstan (1,185), Afghanistan (683), South Korea (636), UAE (396), Tajikistan (379), India (356), and Kyrgyzstan (344), all showing varying degrees of growth in October [1] Group 3: Industry Distribution - The trade sector has the highest number of foreign enterprises, totaling 6,286, which is over 33.3% of the total [1] - This is followed by the industrial sector with 3,647 enterprises, construction with 1,358, and information and communication with 1,354 [1]
全新品牌“奕境”正式发布,重构智慧新能源市场格局
Zhong Guo Qi Che Bao Wang· 2025-11-21 01:40
Core Insights - The new electric vehicle brand "Yijing" was officially launched by Dongfeng and Huawei at the Huawei QianKun Ecological Conference, marking a new collaborative model in the automotive industry [1][3] - The brand aims to focus on the high-quality family vehicle market, with a mission to create the best cars for family users, emphasizing safety, intelligence, and ecological collaboration [3][9] Group 1: Brand Development - "Yijing" is the first brand under Dongfeng that involves deep user participation in its creation, reflecting a user-centered philosophy [3] - The name "Yijing" symbolizes a collective wisdom from users, representing a future of smart automotive development and a commitment to user expectations [3] Group 2: Strategic Collaboration - The partnership between Dongfeng and Huawei is characterized as a "dual-core drive," pooling resources and investing 10 billion yuan to create a unified team for collaborative operations [4][9] - Huawei provides its comprehensive product development and operational capabilities, ensuring seamless integration across the entire value chain from product definition to manufacturing [4] Group 3: Manufacturing and Technology - Dongfeng leverages over 50 years of manufacturing experience and insights from 60 million users to establish a leading smart factory for "Yijing" [5] - The development team focuses on meticulous product details, including safety measures like fire prevention in battery systems and precision in design [5] Group 4: Historical Context and Future Plans - The establishment of "Yijing" is a culmination of a 15-year partnership between Dongfeng and Huawei, evolving from initial explorations in smart technology to a comprehensive collaboration [7][8] - The brand plans to launch its first model at the Beijing Auto Show in April 2026, with a commitment to introduce at least one new model annually thereafter [9]
【环球财经】新加坡三季度就业增长提速 企业招聘意愿回升
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-10-30 05:21
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that Singapore's labor market is performing better than expected, supported by continuous economic growth, with an increase in total employment and stable low unemployment and layoff rates [1][2]. Group 2 - In Q3 2025, total employment (excluding foreign domestic workers) increased by 24,800, significantly higher than the 10,400 increase in Q2 and the 22,300 increase in the same period last year, driven by both resident and non-resident employment [1]. - Resident employment growth is mixed, with strong increases in financial services and health and social services, while sectors like information and communication, professional services, and wholesale trade show weak performance, particularly with a significant decline in wholesale trade employment [1]. - The overall unemployment rate remained stable at 2.0% in September, with resident unemployment at 2.8% and citizen unemployment at 3.0%, all consistent with the previous quarter and within normal ranges for non-recession periods [1]. - The number of layoffs in Q3 remained stable at 3,500, with a layoff rate of 1.4 per 1,000 employees, similar to the previous quarter's figures, primarily due to business restructuring or structural adjustments [1]. Group 3 - Looking ahead to Q4 2025, recruitment sentiment has slightly improved, with 44.1% of surveyed companies indicating a willingness to hire, which is a slight increase from the previous quarter [2]. - However, the proportion of companies planning to increase salaries has decreased slightly to 19.3%, indicating that wage growth is expected to slow down due to cost pressures, and some outward-facing industries may see an increase in layoffs [2].
新加坡数字经济规模显著提升
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-10-23 21:37
Core Insights - Singapore's digital economy is experiencing robust growth, projected to reach SGD 128.1 billion in 2024, accounting for 18.6% of GDP, up from 14.9% in 2019 [2] - The growth is driven by advancements in the information and communication sector and the digital transformation of traditional industries, particularly finance, trade, and manufacturing [2] Group 1: Digital Economy Growth - The digital economy's value is significantly contributed by the finance and insurance sector, which is reshaping its ecosystem through innovations like smart risk control and blockchain [2] - Wholesale trade and manufacturing are also leveraging IoT and big data analytics to enhance supply chain efficiency and production [2] Group 2: SME Digitalization - In 2024, 95.1% of SMEs in Singapore adopted at least one digital technology, an increase from 94.5% in 2023, with the average number of technologies used rising from 2 to 2.3 [3] - The government has supported over 90,000 SMEs in their digital transformation, resulting in an average cost reduction of 50% [3] Group 3: AI Adoption - AI usage among SMEs surged from 4.2% in 2023 to 14.5% in 2024, while non-SMEs increased from 44% to 62.5% [3] - 84% of enterprises are utilizing generative AI tools for content creation and customer service, with specific AI solutions in fields like medical imaging and intelligent customer service reaching a 52% application rate [3] Group 4: Workforce Impact - 73.8% of employees in Singapore use AI tools in their daily work, with some job efficiencies improving by over 30% [4] - The digital economy is expected to create 214,000 jobs in 2024, with significant growth in AI, data science, and cybersecurity roles [4] Group 5: Skills Demand - Demand for programming languages like Python and SQL in job postings increased by 25%, while traditional web development skills saw a 9% decline [5] - Educational institutions are adapting their curricula to include AI ethics and quantum computing, addressing the evolving skills gap [5] Group 6: Future Directions - Singapore plans to deepen its "Smart Nation 2.0" strategy, focusing on enhancing digital infrastructure resilience, expanding cross-border digital cooperation, and fostering an AI safety ecosystem [6] - The government aims to invest SGD 5 billion over the next five years to support research and innovation in strategic fields like quantum computing and biomedical engineering [6]
在乌兹别克斯坦中企已达4420家
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-09-23 02:56
Core Insights - As of September 1, Uzbekistan has a total of 16,946 foreign enterprises, with 337 new additions in August [1] - The top three countries investing in Uzbekistan are China, Russia, and Turkey, with China leading at 4,420 enterprises [1] Group 1: Foreign Enterprises Overview - Total foreign enterprises in Uzbekistan: 16,946, with 8,000 being joint ventures and 12,802 being wholly foreign-owned [1] - In August, 337 new foreign enterprises were established, including 50 joint ventures and 287 wholly foreign-owned enterprises [1] Group 2: Country Distribution - The leading countries by the number of foreign enterprises are: - China: 4,420 (170 new in August) - Russia: 3,141 (48 new in August) - Turkey: 2,025 (43 new in August) - Kazakhstan: 1,151 (2 new in August) - Afghanistan: 682 (11 new in August) - South Korea: 628 (6 new in August) - UAE: 377 (8 new in August) - Tajikistan: 365 (8 new in August) - India: 341 (9 new in August) - USA: 340 (5 new in August) [1] Group 3: Regional Distribution - Tashkent city has the highest concentration of foreign enterprises, totaling 10,800, which accounts for 63.8% of the total [1] - Other regions include Tashkent region with 2,100 enterprises, Samarkand region with 629, and Fergana region with 570 [1] Group 4: Industry Distribution - The trade sector has the highest number of foreign enterprises, exceeding 6,000 [1] - Other sectors include industrial enterprises (3,500), construction (1,282), and information and communication (1,239) [1]
【环球财经】巴西二季度GDP增长0.4% 为连续第16个季度增长
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-04 05:38
Economic Overview - Brazil's GDP grew by 0.4% in Q2 2025, marking the 16th consecutive quarter of positive growth and the highest level since the series began in 1996, with a total economic output of 3.2 trillion reais [1] - The growth rate in Q2 was lower than the 1.3% recorded in Q1, indicating a moderate slowdown, but still exceeded market expectations of 0.3%. Year-on-year, the economy grew by 2.2% [1] Sector Performance - The services sector grew by 0.6%, reaching a historical high and serving as the main driver of overall economic growth, particularly in financial services, information and communication, and transportation and storage [1] - The industrial sector saw a 0.5% increase, primarily driven by mining, especially in oil and gas extraction, although manufacturing, electricity, and construction experienced slight declines [1] - Agriculture experienced a minor decline of 0.1% quarter-on-quarter but showed a significant year-on-year growth of 10.1%, benefiting from strong soybean and corn harvests earlier in the year [1] Demand Side Analysis - Government consumption decreased by 0.6%, while household consumption increased by 0.5%. Investment fell by 2.2%, mainly due to weaknesses in construction and capital goods production [1] - On the external front, exports grew by 0.7%, while imports declined by 2.9% [1] Industry Insights - The manufacturing and construction sectors, closely tied to credit, are under significant pressure, while the resilience of the services sector and household consumption plays a crucial supporting role [2]
【环球财经】意大利8月企业信心指数整体稳定
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-08-28 17:46
Core Insights - The Italian National Institute of Statistics (ISTAT) reported that the business confidence index in Italy remained stable as of August 2025 [1] Industry Analysis - Business confidence in Italy showed a divergent trend across sectors: confidence in manufacturing, construction, and retail sectors declined, while the confidence in the market services sector significantly improved [1] - The decline in confidence in certain sectors was attributed to negative factors such as poor production or business expectations, inventory accumulation, and unfavorable order trends [1] - The recovery in market services confidence was primarily driven by positive developments in the transportation and warehousing, as well as information and communication industries [1]