Group 1 - City leaders are conducting safety inspections ahead of the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival to ensure safety measures are in place [1][2][3] - Emphasis on the "three managements and three musts" in crowded religious venues to enhance safety education and emergency drills [1] - Focus on food and fire safety in hotels and nursing homes, ensuring proper management of fire, electricity, and gas [1] Group 2 - Inspections at entertainment venues like cinemas to optimize evacuation plans and enhance employee emergency training [2] - The need for cultural tourism to meet contemporary spiritual needs while ensuring safety during peak visitor times [2] - Strict enforcement of safety responsibilities in energy supply companies and water source protection to guarantee public safety [2][3] Group 3 - Continuous safety management in public spaces, healthcare institutions, and sports training facilities is highlighted as a priority [3] - Emphasis on risk assessment and safety management in chemical and paper manufacturing companies [3] - Logistics companies are urged to focus on core safety risks and ensure effective hazard identification and management [4]

Consumption - Service consumption continues to decline, while durable goods consumption shows weakness[5] - Food and clothing consumption sees seasonal increases, but overall demand remains weak[5] - Movie attendance and box office revenue drop to historical lows, indicating reduced consumer interest[6] Investment - Real estate sector remains weak, with new home sales not showing sustained improvement despite policy optimizations in major cities[15] - Infrastructure investment shows marginal recovery, but overall funding remains below last year's levels[15] Trade and Export - Domestic export prices continue to decline, with a decrease of 2.1% in export freight rates, indicating a retreat from technical rush shipments[22] - Port activity increases with the upcoming Christmas stocking season, reflecting a rise in overseas demand[22] Production - Overall production heat is recovering, with significant increases in coal consumption and steel production rates[25] - The operating rate for PTA has rebounded significantly, driven by increased demand in the textile sector[27] Prices and Inflation - CPI remains stable, while PPI shows a general decline, with industrial prices mostly decreasing[37] - Cement prices have dropped by 2.0% due to weak construction demand, while copper and aluminum prices have increased by 1.4% and 1.8%, respectively[37] Liquidity - The 10-year government bond yield rises to 1.86%, the highest level in 2025, reflecting strong equity market performance and improved inflation data[39] - The overall liquidity remains stable, with a net injection of 196.1 billion yuan through reverse repos by the central bank[39] Risks - Trade uncertainties and escalating geopolitical risks pose significant threats to market stability[46]

9月17日上午，国新办举行"高质量完成'十四五'规划"系列主题新闻发布会，介绍中央企业高质量发展 情况。 记者获悉，"十四五"时期，中央企业承担了约80%的原油、70%的天然气、60%的电力供应，在能源保 供、粮食保障、物流运输等方面发挥了不可替代的作用。 产业协同带动方面，近年来，中央企业平均每年的采购量超过15万亿元，直接拉动产业链上下游、大中 小企业约200万户，间接辐射上下游企业近700万户。 来源：北京日报客户端 记者：吴娜 ...

Core Insights - The 10th "Belt and Road" Summit Forum was held in Hong Kong, attracting over 6,000 participants, including more than 90 leaders from countries involved in the initiative, highlighting Hong Kong's role as a key platform for "Belt and Road" cooperation [1][2] Group 1: Forum Overview - The forum has been a significant platform for trade and investment cooperation since its inception in 2016, with over 120 countries and regions participating and showcasing more than 2,800 projects [2] - The theme of this year's forum was "Cooperation for Change, Building the Future Together," introducing new elements focused on key projects and sustainable development [2] Group 2: Government Support - The Ministry of Commerce of China expressed continued support for Hong Kong's role in high-quality "Belt and Road" construction, emphasizing the need for deeper integration and cooperation in various sectors [3] - Hong Kong is encouraged to enhance its status as an international financial, shipping, and trade center, expanding trade and investment with "Belt and Road" countries [3] Group 3: Market Focus - The forum introduced a focus on the ASEAN market and included interactive elements with young business leaders, aiming to explore potential business opportunities [4] - Hong Kong has signed over 160 cooperation agreements with "Belt and Road" countries in the past three years, with trade volume exceeding $276 billion in 2022, an increase of approximately 80% since 2013 [4] Group 4: Infrastructure Development - The Cambodian Deputy Prime Minister highlighted the importance of the "Belt and Road" initiative in enhancing local infrastructure, with significant projects completed in the past decade [5] Group 5: Sustainable Development - The Hong Kong government aims to position the city as an international hub for green technology and finance, promoting global green transformation [7] - Efforts are being made to develop diverse digital solutions for "Belt and Road" economies, with a focus on artificial intelligence and other innovative technologies [7]

Core Viewpoint - The Fujian Provincial Government has issued an action plan to accelerate the comprehensive green transformation of the economy and society, focusing on sustainable development and low-carbon initiatives. Group 1: Strategic Industries and Innovation - The plan aims to cultivate national-level strategic emerging industry clusters in areas such as optoelectronic information, integrated circuits, and new energy, while establishing specialized parks like the Xiamen Biomedicine Port [1][9] - It emphasizes innovation in future industries, targeting breakthroughs in data intelligence, hydrogen energy, advanced materials, and health and new medicine, to create leading areas for future industries [1][9] Group 2: Energy Transition - The plan includes significant development of non-fossil energy, with a target for non-fossil energy consumption to reach over 30% by 2030 [6][10] - It outlines the promotion of offshore wind power projects and the safe development of nuclear power, including the construction of the Zhangzhou and Ningde nuclear power projects [6][10] Group 3: Digital Economy and Green Transformation - The action plan aims for over 71% of key business processes to be fully digitalized by 2026, enhancing the digital economy's role in supporting green transformation [3][9] - It includes initiatives for digital technology to empower green transformation applications [3][9] Group 4: Green Infrastructure and Construction - The plan promotes the development of prefabricated buildings and green building materials, aiming for prefabricated buildings to account for 40% of new urban construction by 2030 [3][12] - It emphasizes the importance of green transportation infrastructure, including the promotion of low-carbon transport tools and the establishment of charging facilities [11][12] Group 5: Resource Efficiency and Circular Economy - The action plan focuses on enhancing resource utilization efficiency and promoting a circular economy, with initiatives for waste recycling and the development of "waste-free" industries [14][15] - It sets a target to double the recovery rate of scrapped vehicles by 2027 compared to 2023 [14][15] Group 6: Green Consumption and Lifestyle - The plan encourages the adoption of green lifestyles and the promotion of green products, aiming to enhance the supply of environmentally friendly goods [15][18] - It includes measures to incentivize green consumption and expand the scope of government green procurement [15][18] Group 7: Policy and Financial Support - The action plan outlines the establishment of a carbon emissions trading market and the reform of natural resource asset usage systems to support green transformation [19][20] - It emphasizes the need for financial mechanisms to support green investments, including the use of special bonds for low-carbon projects [18][20]

方案提出，加快构建以股权投资为主、"股贷债保"联动、直接融资和间接融资协同发力，覆盖企业全生 命周期的多渠道、广覆盖、接力式的综合金融服务体系，为实体经济赋能。持续推进"基金入洛""险资 入洛"，设立总规模10亿元的洛阳市天使投资基金，引进培育长期资本、耐心资本，加大上市公司培育 力度。 人民财讯9月2日电，洛阳市人民政府日前印发《洛阳市加快服务业高质量发展工作方案》。其中提出， 2025年新增各类创新平台150家，年度网络零售额增长10%，国家物流数据开放互联试点工作完成，新 兴服务业占全部服务业比重超过60%；到2027年，服务业发展速度位居全省前列，大力提升服务业对经 济增长、税收贡献、民生改善的作用，构建优质高效、特色鲜明、竞争力强的服务业高质量发展体系。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Jiangsu province has effectively implemented policies to develop a high-quality service industry, achieving a stable growth rate and contributing significantly to the regional economy [1][2][10]. Policy Coordination and Support - The provincial government has enhanced policy coordination and financial support, creating a robust policy framework that promotes service industry growth [2][4]. - A comprehensive policy toolbox has been established, including specific regulations and action plans for various sectors such as software and digital culture [3][4]. Financial Assistance - Financial initiatives like the "Su Service Loan" have provided nearly 20 billion yuan to over 5,400 small and medium-sized enterprises in the modern service sector, alleviating financing challenges [4]. - The province has also coordinated significant loans for technology enterprises, injecting financial resources into the technology service sector [4]. Infrastructure and Business Environment - Efforts to optimize the business environment include streamlining land approval processes and enhancing tax incentives for high-tech enterprises [5]. - Legal services for private enterprises have been improved, with initiatives aimed at providing comprehensive legal support [5]. Innovation and New Business Models - The service industry has seen significant advancements in digital technology and innovative service models, leading to the emergence of new business dynamics [6][7]. - The digital economy has experienced rapid growth, with investments in information transmission and software services increasing by 14% [7]. Consumer Market Dynamics - Consumer demand has been stimulated through targeted initiatives, resulting in a notable increase in tourism and cultural consumption [9]. - The province has successfully integrated sports events with tourism, enhancing overall consumer engagement [9]. Private Sector Resilience - The private service sector has shown strong growth, with private enterprises accounting for 83.1% of the province's service industry, and their revenue increasing by 10.4% year-on-year [12]. - Significant investments in major projects have bolstered the service sector, with 380 key projects planned, totaling 660.8 billion yuan [10]. Brand Development and Public Services - Initiatives to enhance brand recognition and public services have been implemented, focusing on quality improvement and community health services [13]. - The province is advancing its digital health services, with a significant number of medical institutions adopting new technologies [13]. Future Outlook - Jiangsu plans to continue implementing policies aimed at accelerating the high-quality development of the service industry, with a focus on innovation and consumer engagement [14].

Core Viewpoint - The insurance company Hongkang Life has triggered a stake acquisition in Honghua Smart Energy by purchasing 458,000 shares, representing approximately 5.00005% of the company's H-shares, marking the first announcement of such an acquisition in 2024 [1][5]. Group 1: Insurance Capital Movements - Since the beginning of 2025, a total of 11 insurance institutions have made stake acquisitions in listed companies, surpassing the 8 institutions from the entire year of 2024 [6]. - The participating insurance institutions include Ping An Life, China Life, Taikang Life, Xinhua Life, and Lianan Life, with a total of 22 stake acquisitions recorded in 2025 after excluding related party acquisitions of the same company [6]. - The main sectors targeted by these stake acquisitions include banking, infrastructure, new energy, electricity, and pharmaceuticals [6]. Group 2: Reasons for Stake Acquisitions - The ongoing trend of stake acquisitions by insurance capital is expected to continue due to two main reasons: the pressure of "asset scarcity" from declining market interest rates, necessitating a focus on equity asset allocation for favorable investment returns [6]. - Additionally, from an accounting perspective, including stake acquisition targets in FVOCI (Fair Value Through Other Comprehensive Income) asset measurement helps mitigate the impact of stock price fluctuations on profits [6][7]. Group 3: Characteristics of Acquired Stocks - Most of the stake acquisition targets by insurance capital exhibit high dividend characteristics, with a focus on FVOCI stocks and long-term equity investments [7]. - FVOCI stocks primarily contribute dividend income to investment returns, while long-term equity investments consider multiple factors such as ROE, dividend ratio, and dividend yield [7]. - The shift in accounting standards and the strengthening of state-owned enterprise market value assessments may lead insurance capital to replicate the "insurance capital + undervalued state-owned enterprise" strategic synergy model [7].

Consumption Trends - Consumer spending shows a divergence with weak goods consumption and strong service consumption, particularly in travel and cinema during the summer[1] - Automotive retail sales have slightly declined, while wholesale volumes have increased, indicating seasonal and promotional impacts on consumption[9] - Food prices continue to drop, with agricultural products seeing an expanding year-on-year decline, particularly affecting premium products like Moutai liquor[9] Investment Insights - As of August 2, 2025, the cumulative issuance of new special bonds reached CNY 2.8 trillion, marking the second-highest issuance pace since 2022, with July alone contributing CNY 616.94 billion[17] - New housing transactions in 30 cities have shown a seasonal rebound, but the year-on-year decline in average transaction area has widened from 14.8% to 15.4%[17] Price and Production Dynamics - Consumer prices are on a downward trend, with industrial prices also showing marginal declines, leading to a cooling of price increase expectations[36] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) has seen a slight decrease, with the South China price index dropping by 1.1% week-on-week, reflecting a shift in market supply and demand expectations[36] Import and Export Activity - Port operations have slowed due to typhoon impacts, with a year-on-year decline in the number of ships docking at ports[21] - Domestic export freight rates have decreased by 2.3% compared to the previous week, while import rates have slightly increased by 1.1%[21] Liquidity Conditions - Funding rates have decreased, with R007 down by 20.7 basis points and DR007 down by 22.8 basis points, indicating a trend towards a more accommodative liquidity environment[39] - The 10-year government bond yield has fallen by 2.7 basis points to 1.71%, reflecting easing pressures in the funding market[39]

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints - In the week from July 20th to July 26th, among the 49 updated high - frequency indicators in Guojin Securities' fixed - income fundamental monitoring system, the number of "bullish" and "bearish" indicators is 27 and 22 respectively. "Bullish" factors are mainly reflected in the start - up rates of most industries, real estate transaction areas, consumption, travel, exports, and most agricultural product prices, while "bearish" factors are mainly shown in coal consumption, crude steel production, real estate prices, industrial product inventory and demand, etc. [2][17] - The signals released by the ten interest rate synchronous indicators are mainly "bearish", accounting for 6/10. Compared with last week, the US dollar index sent a "bearish" signal. [3][19] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Fundamental Thermometer - **Overview**: Among the 49 updated high - frequency indicators, 27 are "bullish" and 22 are "bearish" for the bond market. [2][17] - **High - frequency Indicator Tracking**: - **Absolute Value Tracking**: Many indicators are monitored, such as economic growth (e.g., daily coal consumption and crude steel production), industrial production (e.g., start - up rates of various industries), real estate (e.g., housing and land transaction areas), infrastructure, inventory, consumption, travel, and inflation. The qualitative judgment for each indicator is provided, with some being "bullish" and some "bearish". [14] - **Monthly Year - on - Year Tracking**: Similar to the absolute value tracking, various economic aspects are covered, and the year - on - year changes and qualitative judgments for each indicator are presented. [16] 3.2 Interest Rate Synchronous Indicators - **Overview**: The signals released by the ten interest rate synchronous indicators are mainly "bearish", with a proportion of 6/10. The US dollar index sent a "bearish" signal compared with last week. [3][19] - **Specific Indicators**: - **Enterprise Medium - and Long - Term Loan Balance Growth Rate**: 8.3%, lower than the previous value of 8.4%, "bullish". [3][18][19] - **Building Materials Composite Index**: 113.9, higher than the previous value of 111.3, "bearish". [3][18][19] - **BCI: Enterprise Recruitment Prospective Index**: 49.1%, lower than the previous value of 50.5%, "bullish". [3][18][19] - **Unemployment Benefit Eligibility Internet Search Index Year - on - Year (6MMA)**: 105.2%, lower than the previous value of 105.7%, "bearish". [3][18][19] - **PMI New Export Orders Trend Value**: - 0.25%, lower than the previous value of - 0.24%, "bullish". [3][18][19] - **PMI Supply - Demand Balance Trend Value**: 0.17%, higher than the previous value of 0.16%, "bearish". [3][18][19] - **Durable Goods Price**: 0.943, lower than the previous value of 0.944, "bullish". [3][18][19] - **Bill Financing**: 14.7 trillion, lower than the previous value of 15.1 trillion, "bearish". [3][18][19] - **US Dollar Index**: 97.5, lower than the previous value of 98.4, "bearish". [3][18][19] - **Copper - Gold Ratio**: 17.0, higher than the previous value of 16.6, "bearish". [3][18][19]