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中东停火黄金单日暴跌46美元!避险退潮下的现货黄金机遇
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-25 08:51
Group 1 - International spot gold experienced a significant drop of $46.05, reaching $3322.93 per ounce, marking a decline of 1.37% and hitting a two-week low [1] - Spot silver also fell below the $36 mark, trading at $35.83 per ounce [1] - Domestic gold futures in China dropped by 1.10% to 772.22 yuan per gram, while major jewelry brands saw a decrease of 14 yuan to 998 yuan per gram, falling below the 1000 yuan threshold [1] Group 2 - The unexpected announcement of a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran led to a rapid withdrawal of funds from safe-haven assets, directly causing the drop in gold prices [2] - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's hawkish stance on interest rates reduced the probability of a rate cut in September to below 35%, resulting in a stronger dollar index and increased holding costs for gold, further contributing to the price decline [3] Group 3 - Despite short-term pressures, the underlying logic for international spot gold remains unchanged, with ongoing geopolitical risks and a potential spike in oil prices if the Strait of Hormuz is blocked, which could reignite demand for gold as a safe haven [4] - Global central bank gold reserves have risen to 22%, the highest level since 1965, with China increasing its holdings to 2300 tons over the past eight months, indicating a continued trend that may influence future gold prices [4] - The demand for silver is expected to remain robust, with projected photovoltaic silver consumption reaching 140 million ounces by 2025, a year-on-year increase of 12% [4]
黄金价格暴跌原因深度解析:2025年6月市场情绪影响
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-19 11:02
Market Sentiment and Gold Price Dynamics - The international gold market experienced significant volatility in June 2025, with a 0.84% drop in August gold futures and a 1.27% decline in spot gold prices on June 13, indicating a structural shift in market sentiment [1] - Key drivers include a revision in Federal Reserve policy expectations due to stronger-than-expected U.S. non-farm payroll data, leading to a decrease in anticipated interest rate cuts and a rise in the U.S. dollar index and Treasury yields, which negatively impacted gold's value [1] - Global risk appetite has increased, with positive economic data and easing geopolitical tensions prompting investors to shift from safe-haven assets like gold to riskier assets such as stocks and bonds, resulting in a decline in gold ETF holdings for three consecutive weeks [2][3] - Inflation expectations have been rebalanced, with U.S. April CPI data falling short of expectations, reducing demand for gold's inflation-hedging properties and slowing central bank gold purchases [4] Industry Pain Points and Company Solutions - Investors face three main pain points in gold trading: hidden costs eroding returns, with an average industry spread of $0.5 per ounce and some platforms charging high commissions, leading to trading costs exceeding 10% over time [6] - The company, Jinsheng Precious Metals, addresses these issues through a fully compliant design and technological innovation, offering a transparent cost structure with zero commission on London gold/silver trading and spreads as low as $0.3 per ounce, significantly lowering participation barriers for small investors [6] - The company utilizes a dual-platform system (MT4/MT5) for rapid order execution, achieving speeds of ≤0.05 seconds, and has demonstrated effective risk mitigation during market volatility, as evidenced by minimal price deviation during significant market events [6] - A bank-level risk control system is in place, with client funds independently held at Hang Seng Bank and robust security measures, which received high praise during compliance checks by five ministries in 2025 [6] Scenario-Based Investment Strategies - In a volatile gold market, the company offers scenario-based services to help investors hedge risks, addressing issues such as order execution delays and weak risk control systems [7] - For short-term traders, the company provides 24/7 customer support and real-time market sentiment analysis to capitalize on key trading opportunities, resulting in significant monthly returns for savvy investors [8] - For long-term investors, the company promotes a gold investment academy to analyze central bank gold purchasing trends and recommend maintaining a 10%-15% gold allocation to reduce portfolio volatility [8] - The company supports cross-border arbitrage by facilitating real-time transactions in multiple currencies, capturing price discrepancies for high-net-worth clients seeking overseas asset allocation [8] Trend Outlook and Company Value Proposition - Despite short-term market pressures, the long-term fundamentals for gold remain intact, with ongoing central bank purchases providing a bottom support and persistent geopolitical uncertainties enhancing gold's safe-haven appeal [9] - For investors, selecting a compliant, cost-transparent, and technologically reliable trading platform is crucial for navigating market cycles, with Jinsheng Precious Metals positioned as a stabilizing force against short-term volatility and a long-term wealth preservation tool [9] - The company emphasizes that the value of gold lies not in chasing short-term fluctuations but in building a reliable hedge against economic cycles, advocating for transparency in trading, cost visibility, and systematic risk control in precious metal investments [9]
巨富金业:避险退潮与央行购金博弈,黄金白银15分钟级别多单布局
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-16 09:03
Group 1: Fundamental Analysis of Spot Gold - The core viewpoint is that a significant trade agreement between China and the U.S. has led to a major easing of tariffs, resulting in a sharp decline in spot gold prices [2] - Following the agreement on May 12, 2025, spot gold prices fell nearly $80, reaching a low of $3245.85 per ounce, and continued to decline to $3137.33 per ounce by May 15, representing a drop of over 9% from April highs [2] - The decline in gold prices is attributed to reduced risk aversion due to trade easing, with funds moving from gold to the stock market, alongside a rebound in the U.S. dollar index to 101.04 and a rise in the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to 4.536%, increasing the holding cost of gold [2] - There is a divergence between the physical and financial markets, with brand gold jewelry prices falling to 975-992 yuan per gram, while demand for gold bars increased by 29.81% in the first quarter, indicating stable consumer decision-making [2] - The outlook remains uncertain due to ongoing U.S.-China trade dynamics, but geopolitical risks and global central bank gold purchases (with China increasing holdings for six consecutive months) provide medium to long-term support for gold prices, with institutions predicting a rise to $3500.00-$3700.00 by year-end [2] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Spot Gold - The recent price movements in the spot gold market have shown volatility, with a low of $3120.57 followed by a V-shaped recovery, currently priced around $3238.00 per ounce [3] - Technical analysis indicates a bearish arrangement in the 15-minute moving average, suggesting a higher probability of short-term price increases [3] - A trading strategy is recommended, advising investors to consider going long if prices fall to the support level of $3215.50, with a stop-loss set at $3190.00 and a take-profit target at the resistance level of $3265.00 [3] Group 3: Technical Analysis of Spot Silver - The spot silver market did not break the key support level of $31.630 as expected, instead rebounding strongly after testing this support, with current prices around $32.660 [5] - The 15-minute short-term chart shows a bullish arrangement in the moving averages, indicating a high probability of continued price increases in the short term [5] - A specific trading guideline suggests waiting for a price drop to the support level of $32.550 to go long, with a stop-loss at $32.290 and a take-profit target at the resistance level of $32.920 [5]
金价大跳水!品牌金饰价格回落至千元以内,较年内高点已跌去上百元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-15 19:22
Group 1 - The international gold price has experienced a significant decline, breaking through key levels of $3300 and $3200 per ounce, with a recent drop to $3120 per ounce, reflecting a weekly decline of over 4% [1][5] - Major financial institutions, such as Citigroup, have drastically lowered their gold price forecasts, reducing the three-month target from $3500 to $3150 per ounce, a decrease of 10% [5] - The decline in gold prices is attributed to improved US-China tariff negotiations, which have reduced market risk aversion and led to a phase of consolidation in the gold market [5] Group 2 - Despite the recent downturn, many analysts believe that gold prices may maintain high volatility in the medium to long term due to geopolitical tensions and global economic uncertainties, with central banks continuing to purchase gold [6] - The People's Bank of China reported an increase in gold reserves, reaching 73.77 million ounces by the end of April 2025, indicating sustained demand for gold [6] - UBS maintains a price forecast of $3500 per ounce for the next two years, with a potential peak of $3600, supported by the expectation of continued monetary easing by the Federal Reserve [8] Group 3 - The World Gold Council emphasizes the strategic importance of gold as a safe-haven asset amid increasing correlations and volatility in stocks and bonds, suggesting a long-term investment approach rather than speculative trading [9] - It is recommended that investors allocate 10% to 15% of their portfolios to gold, adjusting based on market conditions and individual risk tolerance [9]
巨富金业:中美关税协议重击金市,黄金白银技术面交易策略解析
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-15 07:22
Group 1: Spot Gold Fundamentals - The announcement of a significant tariff adjustment agreement between China and the U.S. on May 12, 2025, led to a sharp decline in the spot gold market, with prices dropping nearly $80 to a weekly low of $3245.85 per ounce [2] - Following the agreement, COMEX gold futures fell below the $3200 mark, reaching a one-month low of $3180.70 per ounce, indicating a market reaction to reduced trade risks [2] - The decline in gold prices is attributed to the easing of trade tensions, which diminished gold's safe-haven appeal, as investors shifted their risk appetite towards equities and other risk assets [2] Group 2: Physical Gold vs. Financial Market - There is a noticeable divergence between physical gold and financial markets, with brands like Chow Tai Fook showing less price volatility compared to the financial market, reflecting stable consumer purchasing decisions [3] - In Q1 2025, global gold jewelry consumption decreased by 21% to 380 tons, while investment demand surged by 170%, with China's demand for gold bars and coins reaching 124 tons, marking the second-highest quarterly level in history [3] Group 3: Spot Gold Technical Analysis - The spot gold market in Asia continued to decline, breaking the key support level of $3201.00, with current market quotes around $3185.00 per ounce [4] - Technical analysis suggests a high probability of further price declines, with a trading strategy recommending short positions if prices rebound to the resistance level of $3215.40, with stop-loss set at $3245.40 and take-profit at $3170.00 [4] Group 4: Spot Silver Technical Analysis - The spot silver market also followed expectations, breaking below the lower boundary of the consolidation range at $32.510, reaching the target of $32.110, with current quotes around $32.200 per ounce [6] - Technical indicators suggest a continued likelihood of price declines, with a recommendation to short if prices rebound to the resistance level of $32.510, setting stop-loss at $32.950 and take-profit at $31.950 [6]
金价坐上“过山车” 大起大落后能否上车?
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-04-08 04:29
金价坐上"过山车" 大起大落后能否上车? 中新网北京4月8日电(记者 左雨晴) 4月3日以来,国际金价坐上"过山车",出现大起大落。 3日,伦敦金现价格一度飙至3167.74美元/盎司,COMEX黄金价格更突破3200美元关口,均创下历史新 高,但随后在日内转跌。 至4月7日早盘,伦敦金现和COMEX黄金自3月21日以来首次跌破3000美元关口。随后,COMEX黄金日 内转涨,一度上冲至3084.4美元/盎司,收盘时再度回落至2998.8美元/盎司。 受国际金价影响,7日,周大福等多家品牌金饰价格降至918元/克,较前一日下跌14元/克,较3日高点 下跌44元/克。 "对等关税"引发金价波动 市场普遍认为,美国所谓"对等关税"政策,是导致黄金等资产下跌的关键。 比黄金价格波动更剧烈的,还有白银。 4月3日-4日,COMEX白银跌近15%,伦敦现货白银跌超12%。直到7日盘中,白银价格才回调至30美元/ 盎司。 同是具有避险属性,白银价格波动为何会远大于黄金? 王有鑫表示,与黄金不同,白银除了具有避险属性,还是重要的工业金属,在电子、光伏、新能源等领 域有着广泛的应用。由于所谓"对等关税"政策将对全球贸易和工业 ...