专题：2025基金年终大盘点：冠军基年内狂飙233%，主动权益重获主导，全行业规模逼近36万亿新高 2025年以来，权益市场整体上行，带动百亿级主动权益类基金普遍实现业绩增长，但内部业绩分化显 著。截至去年12月31日，全市场共有34只规模超过百亿的主动权益类基金，仅2只基金全年收益为负， 32只基金收益为正。 | 数据来源：Wind 截止 | | --- | 至20251231 从规模看，易方达蓝筹精选以364.13亿元位居榜首，中欧医疗健康A以329.53亿元紧随其后。兴全合润 A、富国天惠精选成长A、睿远成长价值A、永赢先进制造智选A规模均超过200亿元，其余产品规模多 集中于100亿元至190亿元区间，例如泉果旭源三年持有A、兴全合宜A、诺安成长A等规模均超过180亿 元。 从2025年回报表现来看，科技成长主题基金领跑市场。 永赢基金旗下任桀管理的永赢科技智选A以233.29%的年内涨幅摘得桂冠，最新规模达115.21亿元；中 航基金韩浩管理的中航机遇领航A以168.92%的涨幅位居第二，最新规模为132.31亿元；中欧基金冯炉 丹管理的中欧数字经济A则以143.07%的涨幅位列第三。 另一方面，部 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent draft guidelines from the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) propose a performance evaluation mechanism for fund managers, emphasizing a tiered adjustment of performance compensation based on the past three years' performance against benchmarks and fund profitability [1][2]. Performance Evaluation Mechanism - Fund managers' performance compensation can be adjusted in four scenarios: a decrease of no less than 30% if performance is more than 10% below the benchmark with negative profitability, a decrease if performance is more than 10% below the benchmark with positive profitability, no increase if performance is less than 10% below the benchmark with negative profitability, and a reasonable increase if performance significantly exceeds the benchmark with positive profitability [1][2]. Current Fund Performance - Among 20 actively managed billion-level equity funds, 8 funds outperformed their benchmarks by over 10%, while 6 funds underperformed by over 10% as of December 9 [2]. Notable Fund Performances - The top-performing fund, Galaxy Innovation Growth A, managed by Zheng Weishan, achieved an excess return of 49.38% over three years, with a total return of 243% and an annualized return of 20.58% since its management began in May 2019 [4][5]. - Other notable funds include Dachen High Growth A, managed by Liu Xu, with a total return of 417.29% and an annualized return of 17.16% over 10 years, and Xingquan Business Model Preferred A, managed by Qiao Qian, with a total return of 203.42% and an annualized return of 16.11% over 7 years [5][7][8]. Investment Strategies - Zheng Weishan's strategy focuses on heavily investing in technology stocks, maintaining a high concentration in top holdings, while Liu Xu adopts a diversified approach across various sectors, balancing between well-known blue-chip stocks and smaller companies [5][7][9]. - Qiao Qian employs a flexible trading strategy with shorter holding periods and a diversified sector allocation, aiming to balance long-term investment judgments with short-term market fluctuations [9][10]. Implications of New Guidelines - The proposed guidelines aim to address the issue of fund managers' compensation being disconnected from performance, encouraging a stronger link between fund performance and manager remuneration [1][2][10].

Core Conclusions - The public fund market in 2025 saw an increase in both scale and share, with significant changes in structure, as fixed income and active equity funds experienced net redemptions, while fixed income+ and index equity funds were net subscribed [1][3] - Global equity markets strengthened, with domestic stocks outperforming bonds, leading to overall gains in funds, particularly in active funds outperforming passive products, with notable performance in technology and cyclical theme funds [1][2] - For 2026, it is expected that equities will continue to have upward potential, with a recommendation to maintain a balanced allocation between growth and reversal strategies, while flexibly seizing short-term opportunities [1][4] Market Development: Total Growth and Structural Changes - The total scale of public funds surpassed 35 trillion yuan, with stock funds growing by over 1 trillion yuan, indicating a robust market expansion [13] - The number of public funds increased to 13,300, with significant growth in stock and REITs funds, while money market and alternative investment funds saw a decline [13][25] - Active equity funds grew by 21%, with a notable recovery in new fund launches, particularly in technology theme funds, which saw a growth rate exceeding 50% [1][2][29] Performance Analysis: Strong Equity and Weak Bonds - The performance of various asset classes showed that equities outperformed bonds, with gold reaching new highs and equity assets experiencing a broad rally [2][9] - Active funds outperformed passive funds, with specific themes such as TMT, cyclical, and advanced manufacturing showing strong results [9][2] - Fixed income+ funds demonstrated superior performance, particularly those with high allocations to fixed income and convertible bonds [9][20] Investment Strategies: Balanced Allocation and Trend Following - The report suggests a balanced allocation strategy for equity funds, emphasizing the importance of flexibility in capturing phase-specific market opportunities [4][3] - For fixed income funds, the emergence of the fixed income+ era is highlighted, with a focus on asset and strategy characteristics based on risk preferences [5][39] - The report advocates for a global multi-asset allocation approach, emphasizing the value of overseas and commodity funds, with recommendations to follow QDII quotas and focus on mutual recognition funds and southbound ETFs [6][32]

Core Viewpoint - The new guidelines for fund manager compensation will significantly tie salaries to performance, marking a shift towards a performance-driven culture in the public fund industry [2][6]. Summary by Relevant Sections Performance-Based Compensation - The new regulations require fund managers' performance pay to be closely linked to three-year performance metrics, with mandatory salary reductions of at least 30% for products that underperform their benchmarks by over 10% and incur losses [2][6]. - This change indicates a decline in the reliance on the "star fund manager" phenomenon, emphasizing that performance will now be the primary measure of success in the industry [2][6]. Impact on Fund Managers - A number of prominent fund managers, particularly those managing actively managed equity funds exceeding 20 billion, are at risk of salary reductions due to poor performance over the past three years [2][7]. - Specific funds that have crossed the performance threshold include: - E Fund Blue Chip Selection: underperformed by 28.6% with a cumulative loss of 6.2% [3][10]. - E Fund Quality Selection: underperformed by 28.9% with a cumulative loss of 7.5% [3][10]. - Other funds managed by Liu Yanchun and Liu Gesong also show significant underperformance [5][10]. Cultural Shift in the Industry - The new guidelines represent not just a salary adjustment but a cultural transformation within the industry, encouraging absolute return strategies and a focus on risk management and positive returns rather than merely relative rankings or asset growth [5][11]. - The emphasis will shift towards a more rational evaluation of fund managers' past performances, moving away from blind admiration for top performers to a focus on their long-term profitability [6][11]. - The era of high salaries disconnected from performance is coming to an end, prompting both fund managers and investors to reassess the meaning of "performance" in terms of actual returns [6][11].

Core Viewpoint - The article provides an overview of the updated active fund manager pool information for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting various metrics such as investment style, stock allocation, industry preferences, turnover rates, and fund sizes. Group 1: Fund Manager Information - The article includes a detailed summary of fund managers categorized by their investment styles, such as value and growth, along with their respective fund names and codes [4][5][6]. - Key metrics for each fund manager include their experience, stock allocation percentages, and the concentration of holdings [11][12][21][22]. Group 2: Fund Characteristics - The article discusses the importance of analyzing fund characteristics such as investment style, industry preference, and stock concentration when evaluating fund performance [34][36][48][53]. - It emphasizes that different investment styles exhibit varying performance over time, with value and growth styles alternating in strength [36][48]. Group 3: Fund Performance Metrics - The article outlines critical performance metrics such as stock allocation, turnover rates, and fund sizes, which are essential for assessing fund managers' effectiveness [43][59][61]. - It notes that a higher stock allocation typically leads to greater volatility in fund performance [45]. Group 4: Fund Manager Insights - The article highlights the significance of fund managers' insights in their reports, which include reflections on past performance and future market outlooks [62][63]. - It points out that the depth and detail of these insights can vary significantly among fund managers, impacting investor understanding [63].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - Based on fund holdings, consumption - related funds can be classified into five types, with most fund managers adopting the "segmented track (mainly liquor)" strategy [3]. - Consumption - related funds can generate relatively stable excess returns in the long - term compared to the sector index, are relatively good at stock - picking in certain industries, and it's difficult to identify their stock - picking ability for consumer stocks compared to all - industry funds [3]. - When comparing consumption - related funds with different style characteristics from seven dimensions, high turnover may lead to high returns recently, high - ROE style funds usually have high dividend attributes, etc. [3]. - To screen the observation list of consumption - related funds, quantitative indicators such as excess performance momentum, performance in favorable and unfavorable environments, stock - picking ability, etc. can be referred to [3]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Classification of Consumption - Related Funds - The classification method is based on the fund's full - position data and heavy - position stock data in a certain sector. For consumption funds, some Hong Kong stocks are additionally included. Most of the top 10 consumption - related funds in terms of scale have some commonalities in allocation [6]. - Consumption - related funds are classified into five types: consumption + satellite, sector rotation, segmented track, consumption rotation, and consumption equilibrium, with "segmented track (mainly liquor)" being the most commonly adopted strategy [3]. 3.2 Holding Characteristics: Can Consumption - Related Funds Create Positive Excess Returns? - As a whole, consumption - related funds have similar performance to the consumption sector index before 2025, and have achieved certain excess returns compared to the index since this year [22]. - Consumption - related funds are relatively good at stock - picking in industries such as household appliances, textile and apparel, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, etc., and have prominent excess returns in some industries during certain periods [23][26]. - It's difficult to determine whether consumption - related fund managers have stronger stock - picking ability for consumer stocks compared to all - industry funds [28]. - Consumption - related funds prefer to allocate liquor in food and beverage, and their individual - stock allocation is relatively stable. They had positions in new - consumption stocks earlier [36]. - Through cluster analysis, different types of consumption - related funds can be identified, such as those focusing on agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, those focusing on liquor investment, etc. [39] 3.3 Comparison of Consumption - Related Funds with Different Style Characteristics - In terms of turnover trading, high - turnover consumption - related funds have better short - term performance recently, and some liquor - themed funds with low turnover have return drag. In the long - term, both high - and low - turnover funds have excellent performers [42][44]. - In terms of holding style, funds with high ROE generally have high dividend attributes. Different segmented tracks have significant differences in market - value styles [48][52]. - In terms of holding popularity, the structure of market - preferred stocks in the consumption sector has changed significantly, and there are excellent performers in various types of products [53]. - In terms of left - and right - side investment, consumption - related funds are generally on the right side of the market median, and there are excellent performers on both sides [59]. - In terms of stock - picking ability, by calculating the skewness, kurtosis, and mean/standard deviation of stock - picking returns, funds with strong stock - picking ability can be found [60][62]. - In terms of adaptability to different market environments, different types of products show different adaptability results, and there are products with strong performance in favorable or unfavorable environments [63][65]. - In terms of segmented - track rotation, there are both products with good and poor rotation effects among consumption - related funds [71]. 3.4 Observation List of Consumption - Related Funds - The screening of the observation list refers to quantitative indicators such as excess performance momentum, performance in favorable and unfavorable environments, stock - picking ability, left - and right - side investment ability, and segmented - track rotation effect. Other factors such as the fund manager's tenure and fund scale are also considered [75]. - The observation list includes funds like E Fund Long - Term Value, Cathay Pacific Consumption Optimization, Changxin Multi - Benefit, etc. [3][76]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has experienced a significant rally, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a nearly four-year high, yet over 2,700 funds have not recovered to their levels from October 2022, indicating a divergence between index performance and fund recovery [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index surpassed its October 2022 high, marking a significant milestone, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext also reached their annual peaks [1]. - The total trading volume of the two markets exceeded 2 trillion yuan for the first time in 114 trading days, with sectors like metals and AI hardware leading the gains [1]. - Despite the overall positive performance, more than 2,700 funds have unit net values below their levels from October 2022, highlighting a significant disparity in fund performance [2][3]. Group 2: Fund Performance Discrepancies - The phenomenon of "index rising, fund lagging" is particularly evident in equity funds, where funds heavily invested in traditional sectors like consumption and finance have struggled to recover [3]. - Notably, eight large-cap equity funds managed by prominent fund managers are facing challenges in net value recovery, becoming a focal point of investor discussions [5]. - For instance, the E Fund Consumer Industry fund managed by Xiao Nan has seen a unit net value drop of 0.50 yuan to 3.468 yuan, with a year-to-date return of -3.48% [6][9]. Group 3: Underlying Issues - The persistent "deep pit effect" from last year's market adjustments has left some funds with significant net value gaps, making recovery difficult [13]. - Funds that are misaligned with market trends, particularly those heavily invested in underperforming sectors, have also faced slow recovery rates [13]. - The E Fund Consumer Industry fund, for example, has over 60% of its top holdings in sectors like liquor and home appliances, which have underperformed compared to the AI hardware sector [13]. Group 4: Implications for Investors and Fund Managers - The current market conditions serve as a warning for investors to look beyond short-term returns and assess funds' maximum drawdown and recovery capabilities [14]. - For fund managers, large fund sizes may hinder flexibility in adjusting portfolios to align with market shifts, posing a challenge in a structurally changing market [14]. - Analysts suggest that as the A-share market enters a phase of normalized structural trends, the ability of fund managers to recover net values will become a key competitive factor [14].

Market Performance - The A-share market showed strong performance on August 13, with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking the high point from October 8 of the previous year, reaching a nearly four-year high [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index also reached their annual peaks, with total trading volume exceeding 2 trillion yuan for the first time in 114 trading days [1] - Over 2,700 stocks rose, led by growth sectors such as non-ferrous metals and AI hardware [1] Fund Performance - Despite the strong market indices, not all funds benefited, with over 2,700 out of more than 13,000 funds having unit net values below the level of October 8 of the previous year [1] - Notably, eight large-cap equity funds managed by well-known fund managers are facing issues with "net value recovery lag" [1] Specific Fund Analysis - The E Fund Consumer Industry fund (110022.OF) saw its unit net value drop by 0.50 yuan to 3.468 yuan, with a year-to-date return of -3.48%, despite a scale of 168.54 billion yuan [3][4] - The Invesco Great Wall New Emerging Growth A fund (260108.OF) experienced a net value decline of 0.29 yuan to 1.745 yuan, with a year-to-date return of -0.17% and a scale of 188.54 billion yuan [7][9] - The Fortune Select Growth A fund (161005.OF) had a slight net value drop of 0.11 yuan to 2.623 yuan, but achieved a year-to-date return of 8.22% [10] - The E Fund Blue Chip Select fund (005827.OF) reported a net value decrease of 0.08 yuan to 1.880 yuan, with a year-to-date return of 7.87% [12] - The Qian Guo Xu Yuan Three-Year Holding A fund (016709.OF) saw a minor net value drop of 0.01 yuan to 0.820 yuan, with a year-to-date return of 9.23% [15] - The Silver Hua Wealth Theme A fund (180012.OF) and the GF Stable Growth A fund (270002.OF) both experienced a net value decline of 0.008 yuan, with year-to-date returns of 2.71% and 4.58%, respectively [18] Market Insights - The decline in the E Fund Consumer Industry fund is attributed to the significant drop in liquor stocks in the fourth quarter of last year and a sluggish recovery in the consumer sector this year [4] - Fund managers express concerns over slow domestic demand recovery and low inflation, but maintain confidence in the long-term economic outlook [9][14] - The current market environment highlights a divergence between index performance and fund net values, signaling a need for investors to assess funds' maximum drawdown and recovery capabilities [18]

Core Viewpoint - The performance of the Invesco Great Wall Emerging Growth Fund has lagged behind the CSI 300 Index, with a year-to-date return trailing by 6 percentage points and a three-year decline of nearly 30%, reflecting a significant disconnect between the fund manager's investment style and market trends [2][3]. Group 1: Fund Performance - As of July 28, 2025, the fund's net value growth rate has fallen behind the CSI 300 Index by 6 percentage points, with a cumulative decline of approximately 30% over the past three years [3]. - The fund's top holdings, including Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye, have not seen a deterioration in fundamentals, but the market's valuation premium has vanished, with the liquor sector's price-to-earnings ratio dropping from 40 times in 2021 to around 20 times currently [2][3]. Group 2: Market Trends - The shift in market focus towards emerging industries such as AI and low-altitude economy has diminished the attractiveness of traditional blue-chip stocks, leading to a structural underperformance of the fund [2][3]. - The stock price of Kweichow Moutai has fluctuated around 1400 yuan since peaking at 2600 yuan in February 2021, while stocks like CATL have surged over 200% during the same period [3]. Group 3: Fund Management Strategy - The fund manager's decision not to invest proprietary funds into the fund has raised concerns about confidence in future performance, contrasting with other leading public funds that have announced buybacks at market lows [4][5]. - The fund manager maintains a narrative of confidence in economic recovery, citing that once asset prices stabilize, domestic demand will rebound, but this strategy risks missing short-term opportunities and could lead to further investor attrition [5][6]. Group 4: Investment Style and Challenges - The fund's portfolio remains heavily weighted in traditional blue-chip stocks, despite some adjustments towards consumer upgrade targets, which has been characterized as "overly defensive" by industry experts [5][6]. - The broader public fund industry faces challenges in adapting to rapidly changing market dynamics, particularly for large fund managers with over 50 billion in assets under management, as they navigate the balance between investment philosophy and evolving market styles [5][6].

Core Viewpoint - The article provides a comprehensive overview of the updated active fund manager pool information, focusing on various metrics such as investment style, stock allocation, industry preference, turnover rate, valuation of major holdings, concentration of holdings, and fund size [3][32]. Group 1: Fund Manager Information - The article lists various fund managers along with their respective funds, categorized by investment style such as value, growth, and balanced [2][4]. - It highlights the experience of fund managers, indicating that many have been in the industry for several years, which is crucial for navigating different market cycles [39][41]. Group 2: Fund Metrics - The article discusses key metrics to consider when evaluating funds, including stock allocation, which typically ranges from 85% to 90% for active funds [43][44]. - It emphasizes the importance of industry preference, noting that fund managers often focus on specific sectors where they have expertise [48][50]. - The concentration of holdings is also addressed, with a higher concentration indicating greater potential volatility [53]. Group 3: Valuation and Performance Indicators - The article mentions the valuation of major holdings, suggesting that growth-style funds tend to have higher valuations compared to value-style funds [58]. - It discusses turnover rates, indicating that a turnover rate below 200% is considered low for active funds, which can be influenced by changes in fund size [61][62]. - Fund size is highlighted as a critical factor, with larger funds potentially facing challenges in achieving excess returns due to management difficulties [63][68]. Group 4: Fund Reports and Insights - The article outlines the types of periodic reports available for funds, with annual reports containing the most comprehensive information [32]. - It suggests focusing on factors that impact fund performance, such as investment style, industry preference, and the fund manager's insights on market conditions [32][66].