第三，要遵循未来产业特征和发展规律，强化支持政策的针对性。未来产业是由前沿技术驱动的前瞻性 新兴产业，高度不确定性是其区别于新兴产业、传统产业最显著的特征。为降低产业投资回报的不确定 性，解决早期投资、长期投资严重匮乏问题，要发展创业投资，建立未来产业投入增长和风险分担机 制，鼓励各类经营主体和社会资本投资未来产业。为降低发展路径选择的不确定性，解决未来产业技术 路线难把握、市场用户接受程度不高、配套制度不完善等问题，要探索多元技术路线、典型应用场景、 可行商业模式、市场监管规则，通过有组织地复制推广好经验好做法，降低全社会探路成本。为降低产 业生态不完善带来的不确定性，特别是解决经营主体少、产业链上中下游协作网络不健全等问题，要推 动创新资源向企业集聚，创新监管方式，培育壮大科技领军企业，促进中小企业专精特新发展，培育独 角兽企业，加快构建良好产业生态。 [ 责编：袁晴 ] 第一，要增强抢占发展先机的紧迫感，强化未来产业布局的前瞻性。纵观近现代历史，科技革命是产业 变革的先导，每一次科技革命都会孕育出一批重塑全球竞争格局的新产业，引发大国兴衰。科技革命是 厚积薄发、长期积累的结果，产业变革是量变到质变的过程 ...

人民财讯11月26日电，中共北京市委关于制定北京市国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议发 布。其中提出，发展壮大高精尖产业。统筹传统产业提升、新兴产业发展、未来产业布局，巩固壮大实 体经济根基。推动重点产业提质升级，扩大新一代信息技术、医药健康等产业集群优势，培育人工智 能、绿色先进能源和低碳环保等一批新产业（300832）集群。实施产业创新工程，推动新技术新产品新 场景大规模应用，加快集成电路、机器人和智能制造、智能网联汽车、空天技术等战略性新兴产业发 展。完善未来产业投入增长和风险分担机制，培育第六代移动通信、量子科技、生物制造、脑机接口等 新增长点。围绕重点产业链健全安全风险评估、预警和应对机制，推进关键装备、软件、工艺、材料国 产化替代，提升战略性资源供应保障能力，增强产业链供应链韧性和安全水平。加强质量品牌建设。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is a critical period for China's modernization, focusing on restructuring economic growth logic, shifting from optimizing traditional industries to "extraordinary" technological breakthroughs, and emphasizing quality over quantity in strategic priorities [5][6]. Group 1: Economic Growth Logic - The plan reflects a shift in industrial policy from enhancing traditional industries to prioritizing technological advancements, aiming to achieve the long-term goal of modernization by 2035 [6][10]. - The economic growth baseline is set to achieve a nominal GDP growth rate of around 4% annually from 2025 to 2035 to double the economic output compared to 2020 [9][10]. Group 2: Industrial Strategy - The strategy emphasizes the transformation of traditional industries as a priority, with a focus on upgrading sectors like mining, metallurgy, and chemicals to enhance global competitiveness [10][11]. - Four strategic emerging industries (new energy, new materials, aerospace, low-altitude economy) and six future industries (quantum technology, biomanufacturing, hydrogen and nuclear fusion energy, brain-computer interfaces, embodied intelligence, sixth-generation mobile communication) are outlined for development [10][11]. Group 3: Reform and Governance - The plan highlights fiscal and financial reforms as key measures to enhance macroeconomic governance, aiming to unlock growth potential through systemic reforms [12][13]. - Over 300 reform tasks are set to be completed by 2029, focusing on market-oriented reforms, nurturing new productive forces, and improving social welfare systems [13][14]. Group 4: Service Sector Development - The service sector is identified as having significant growth potential, with a consumption gap of nearly 3 trillion yuan compared to developed countries [12]. - Systematic solutions are proposed to stimulate consumption and investment, including increasing public service spending and enhancing the supply of quality consumer goods [12][13].

Core Viewpoint - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is a critical period for China's modernization, focusing on restructuring economic growth logic, shifting from optimizing traditional industries to "extraordinary" technological breakthroughs, and emphasizing fiscal and financial reforms to alleviate fiscal constraints and promote growth towards the 2035 vision [2][3]. Group 1: Key Tasks and Economic Context - The "15th Five-Year Plan" serves as a transitional phase, linking the "14th Five-Year Plan" and the 2035 modernization goals, requiring both strategic continuity and innovation [4]. - The plan addresses significant changes in the global landscape, domestic economic transformation, and the impact of a new technological revolution, which collectively shape the macro context for the plan [4][5]. Group 2: Economic Growth Baseline and Targets - To double the economic output by 2035 compared to 2020, the nominal GDP growth rate must average around 4% from 2025 to 2035, while per capita GDP must grow at approximately 3.9% [6][7]. - The plan sets ambitious targets for economic growth, reflecting a commitment to high-quality development and the integration of rapid economic growth with long-term stability [7]. Group 3: Industrial Policy and Technological Innovation - The plan prioritizes the transformation of traditional industries, emphasizing quality upgrades in sectors like mining, metallurgy, and chemicals to enhance global competitiveness [7][8]. - It outlines strategic emerging industries and future industries, including new energy, aerospace, and quantum technology, establishing a gradient development framework [7][8]. - Technological modernization is highlighted as a key support for China's modernization, with a focus on breakthroughs in critical core technologies across various sectors [8][9]. Group 4: Service Sector Development - The service sector is identified as having significant growth potential, with a notable gap in consumer spending compared to developed countries, indicating a potential market of nearly 3 trillion yuan [9]. - Systematic solutions for expanding domestic demand include increasing public service spending and enhancing the supply of quality consumer goods and services [9]. Group 5: Fiscal and Financial Reforms - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes reforms aimed at enhancing macroeconomic governance, with over 300 reform tasks to be completed by 2029 across various sectors [10][11]. - Key reform areas include market-oriented reforms, fostering new productive forces, and achieving green transitions, with a focus on establishing a unified national market [11][12]. - Financial reforms are crucial for improving local fiscal sustainability, addressing challenges in local government financing, and ensuring a clear division of responsibilities between central and local governments [12][13].

Core Viewpoint - The core focus of the article is on the "15th Five-Year Plan" which emphasizes high-quality development as the central theme for China's economic and social development in the upcoming five years, building on the previous "14th Five-Year Plan" [1][2]. Economic Development Strategy - The "15th Five-Year Plan" outlines seven strategic tasks aimed at promoting sustained and healthy economic development, which include building a modern industrial system, enhancing technological self-reliance, and optimizing regional economic layouts [2][3]. - The plan stresses the importance of economic construction as a priority, reflecting the party's long-standing commitment to economic development [3]. Technological Innovation - The plan prioritizes the establishment of a modern industrial system and emphasizes the need for innovation in key technologies to overcome reliance on external sources [4][5]. - It aims to foster new pillar industries, particularly in sectors like renewable energy, aerospace, and advanced materials, to drive economic growth [3][4]. Financial Support and Policy - Financial systems are urged to enhance support for major strategic areas and weak links, with a focus on providing comprehensive financial services for technological innovation [2]. - The government plans to optimize fiscal resource allocation to ensure effective use of funds in high-quality development areas [2][7]. Market and Economic Structure - The plan emphasizes the construction of a strong domestic market and the need to break down barriers to create a unified national market [6][8]. - It calls for the enhancement of the socialist market economy to ensure sustainable high-quality development [6]. Agricultural and Rural Development - The plan highlights the importance of modernizing agriculture and rural areas, ensuring that rural populations benefit from modernization efforts [9]. - It aims to establish mechanisms to prevent poverty and ensure sustainable development in rural regions [9]. Regional Coordination - The plan includes measures to promote regional coordinated development, emphasizing infrastructure connectivity and collaboration across administrative boundaries [10]. - It aims to create a framework for sustainable cooperation among different regions to leverage their respective advantages [10].

Core Viewpoint - High-quality development is the primary task for building a modern socialist country and is the theme for the 14th Five-Year Plan period [1] Group 1: High-Quality Development - The focus should be on accelerating high-level technological self-reliance and developing new productive forces, achieving substantial breakthroughs in technological innovation and economic structure optimization [1] - A strong domestic market should be built to promote a consumption-driven economic model, ensuring a dynamic balance between supply and demand at a higher level [1] Group 2: Supply-Side Insights - Emphasis on leading the construction of a modern industrial system through technological innovation, capturing opportunities from the new round of technological revolution [2] - The manufacturing sector's reasonable proportion is crucial, with China's manufacturing share currently around 25%, which is still about 10 percentage points higher than the global average [2] Group 3: Demand-Side Strategies - Building a strong domestic market is essential, with a focus on combining investments in physical assets and human capital [3] - Increasing public service spending and enhancing human resource development are necessary to adapt to demographic changes and ensure sustainable economic growth [3] Group 4: Consumer Spending - Improving the resident consumption rate is linked to increasing resident income, which can be achieved through urban and rural income growth plans and reallocating investment funds to public services [4]

Core Viewpoint - The 15th Five-Year Plan emphasizes the importance of technological self-reliance and innovation as key drivers for China's economic and social development, aiming to enhance the overall effectiveness of the national innovation system and promote high-quality development [2][4]. Group 1: Technological Innovation - The 15th Five-Year Plan aims to significantly improve the level of technological self-reliance and innovation, focusing on breakthroughs in key core technologies such as integrated circuits, advanced materials, and biomanufacturing [3][5]. - There is a strong emphasis on the integration of technological innovation and industrial innovation, with a call for a new type of national system to support decisive breakthroughs in critical areas [3][6]. - The plan highlights the need for a coordinated approach to education, technology, and talent development, fostering a robust ecosystem for innovation [4][6]. Group 2: Future Industries - The plan outlines the necessity to cultivate and expand emerging and future industries, including renewable energy, aerospace, and quantum technology, to drive economic growth [5][6]. - It advocates for the implementation of large-scale application demonstration actions for new technologies and products, aiming to accelerate the development of emerging industries [5]. - The exploration of diverse technological routes and viable business models is essential for positioning future industries as new economic growth points [5][6]. Group 3: Talent Development - The 15th Five-Year Plan emphasizes the importance of nurturing top-tier innovative talent and establishing a global influence in education and scientific research [4]. - It calls for a comprehensive mechanism to promote the development of education, technology, and talent, ensuring a synergistic relationship between technological innovation and talent cultivation [4]. - The plan aims to optimize the talent structure and promote regional coordination in talent development, addressing the need for strategic scientists and skilled professionals [4].

Group 1: Key Achievements and Goals - The "14th Five-Year Plan" achieved significant milestones, marking a strong start for the new journey towards the second centenary goal[5] - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is positioned as a critical phase in achieving socialist modernization, emphasizing continuity in guiding ideology and urgency in addressing uncertainties[6] - The implicit economic growth target for the "15th Five-Year Plan" is around 5%, with a focus on maintaining growth within a reasonable range to reach the per capita GDP level of moderately developed countries by 2035[7][21] Group 2: Technological and Economic Strategies - The plan emphasizes enhancing self-reliance in technology, with specific measures to boost productivity and foster innovation in key sectors such as integrated circuits and advanced materials[8][36] - The strategy includes a focus on balancing supply and demand, with a significant emphasis on boosting domestic consumption and investing in human capital[9][41] - The plan aims to maintain reasonable investment growth, particularly in public services and infrastructure, with an estimated investment demand exceeding 5 trillion yuan for urban infrastructure upgrades[10][57] Group 3: Fiscal and Market Reforms - The plan highlights the need for sustainable fiscal policies and the activation of existing resources to enhance macroeconomic governance[11] - It calls for the establishment of a unified national market, addressing barriers to competition and promoting a more integrated economic environment[10][65] - The emphasis on expanding high-level openness and balancing imports and exports is aimed at fostering a more resilient economic structure[10][62]

Group 1: Economic Outlook - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the need for high-quality development amidst increasing external challenges and uncertainties, including geopolitical conflicts and economic protectionism[3] - The plan sets a qualitative goal for economic growth to remain within a reasonable range, with significant achievements in high-quality development[3] - Despite external pressures, China's economic foundation remains solid, with strong resilience and potential for long-term growth[9] Group 2: Policy Directions - The plan outlines 12 key tasks focusing on optimizing supply, expanding demand, ensuring safety, and balancing fairness[3] - A more proactive macroeconomic policy is highlighted, with an emphasis on developing diverse financial instruments and strengthening financial regulation[20] - The plan aims to enhance the initial income distribution mechanism, promoting a market-driven approach to compensation based on contribution[24] Group 3: Investment and Consumption - The inbound tourism market is recovering, with 15.89 million foreign visitors from January to August 2025, a 52.1% increase year-on-year, indicating a potential boost in consumer spending[17] - Infrastructure investment is expected to rise due to industrial transfers and population movements, particularly in western and northeastern regions[18] - The plan stresses the importance of consumer spending, with initiatives to cultivate international consumption centers and expand inbound consumption[17]

Group 1 - The "15th Five-Year Plan" aims for significant improvements in China's economic, technological, defense, and international influence by 2035, with a target of reaching a per capita GDP equivalent to that of moderately developed countries, estimated to be around $20,000 [1][2] - In 2024, China's GDP is projected to exceed 130 trillion yuan, reaching approximately 134.9 trillion yuan, with a per capita GDP of $13,445, marking a continuous increase above $13,000 for two consecutive years [2] - Achieving the per capita GDP target requires a substantial increase in economic growth, with a projected annual nominal growth rate of 5% over the next decade to reach $23,000 by 2035 [2] Group 2 - The upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan" is seen as a crucial period for transitioning from the previous plan, with expectations of maintaining stable growth despite challenges such as aging population and declining total population [3] - The focus will shift from factor input-driven growth to enhancing total factor productivity, emphasizing the need for an efficiency revolution driven by "new quality productivity" to counteract demographic and international challenges [3] - China plans to upgrade key industries, estimating an additional market space of around 10 trillion yuan over the next five years, while fostering emerging industries such as quantum technology, biomanufacturing, and hydrogen energy to become new growth points [4]