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豆粕ETF净值回升
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-10-27 11:15
Report Industry Investment Rating - The operation rating for CITIC Five Styles - Finance is ★☆☆, indicating a bullish bias but with limited operability in the market [3][4]. Core Viewpoints - As of the week ending October 24, 2025, the weekly returns of Tonglian All A (Shanghai, Shenzhen, Beijing), ChinaBond Composite Bond, and Nanhua Commodity Index were 3.42%, -0.03%, and 0.94% respectively. In the public - fund market, enhanced index strategies led the gains with a weekly return of 3.89%. Neutral strategies had more gains than losses. Among commodities, precious - metal ETFs pulled back, while soybean - meal and non - ferrous - metal ETFs had a slight rebound, and energy - chemical ETFs stabilized [4]. - All CITIC five styles closed up last Friday, with the growth style leading in returns. The style rotation chart showed that the cyclical and consumer styles weakened compared to the previous period, and the growth style had a significant increase in the indicator momentum. In the public - fund pool, financial and cyclical style funds had better excess performance in the past week. The deviation of products from the consumer style increased marginally, and the overall market congestion indicator continued to rise this week, with the growth and financial styles in a historically high - congestion range [4]. - In the neutral strategy, the stock - index basis showed a marginal recovery trend during the week. The IC contract recovered to around 0.5 times the standard deviation above the three - month average. The average premium rates of the spot - index ETFs corresponding to IC and IM were relatively high, in the top 80% quantile range of the past three months [4]. - Among Barra factors, the medium - and long - term momentum factor had a better return performance this week, with a weekly excess return of 1.70%. The residual volatility and ALPHA factors retreated, and the winning rates of the dividend and leverage factors improved. The cross - section rotation speed of factors continued to increase this week, currently in the top 80% quantile range of the past year [4]. - According to the latest scoring results of the style timing model, the growth and financial styles recovered marginally this week, while the cyclical and stable styles declined. The current signal favors the financial style. The return of the style timing strategy last week was 1.45%, and the excess return compared to the benchmark balanced allocation was - 0.98% [4]. Summary by Related Catalogs Fund Market Review Recent Market Returns - The weekly, monthly, quarterly, and semi - annual returns of Tonglian All A (Shanghai, Shenzhen, Beijing), ChinaBond Composite Bond (net), and Nanhua Commodity are presented in a chart [6]. - The maximum drawdowns of the main public - fund strategy indices in the past three months and their weekly returns are also shown in charts [6]. CITIC Style Index - The net - value trends of CITIC style indices (finance, cycle, consumption, growth, stability) from September 24 to October 23, 2025, are presented in a chart [8][9]. - The relative rotation chart of CITIC style indices shows the relative strength and relative - strength momentum of different styles in different time periods (recent week, last week, recent month, recent three months, recent six months, recent year) [10][11]. - The excess - return performance of fund style indices in different time periods is provided in a table [12]. - The fund - style congestion chart shows the congestion levels of cycle, growth, consumption, and finance styles from September 28 to October 26, 2025 [13]. Barra Factors - The style preference of Barra single factors is within the range of 0 - 1, with a higher value indicating a stronger preference. The excess - return performance of Barra single - factor style strategies and the net - value trends of Barra single - factor style excess since this year are presented in charts [14][16][18].
因子轮动速度边际回升
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-10-20 12:42
Report Investment Rating - The report gives a "★☆☆" rating to CITIC's five-style stability, indicating a slightly bullish view with limited operability in the market [5]. Core Viewpoints - In the week ending October 17, 2025, Tonglian All A (Shanghai, Shenzhen, Beijing), ChinaBond Composite Bond, and Nanhua Commodity Index had weekly returns of -3.39%, 0.21%, and -1.14% respectively. In the public fund market, equity long strategies retreated, pure bonds outperformed, neutral strategy products showed mixed performance, and among commodities, precious metal ETFs rose while non-ferrous metal ETFs declined, and energy chemical and soybean meal ETFs continued to weaken [5]. - Among CITIC's five styles, the financial style rose last week while others fell. The style rotation chart shows that the growth and consumption styles weakened marginally in terms of relative strength, and the financial style increased significantly in terms of indicator momentum. In the public fund pool, cyclical style funds had better excess performance in the past week, and other style funds underperformed the index on average. The product's deviation from cyclical and consumption styles increased marginally, and the overall market congestion indicator increased marginally this week, with the cyclical style currently in a historically high congestion range [5]. - In the neutral strategy, the stock index basis showed a marginal recovery trend last week. The IM contract rebounded from below the -2 standard deviation of the three - month average to within one standard deviation, and the premium rates of the corresponding spot index ETFs of IH and IF were in the top 20% quantile range of the past three months [5]. - Among Barra factors, the residual momentum factor had better performance in the past week with a weekly excess return of 2.49%, while the momentum and capital flow factors had excess drawdowns. The win - rates of the profitability and leverage factors improved. The cross - section rotation speed of factors increased significantly this week and is currently in a relatively high quantile range in the past year [5]. - According to the latest scoring results of the style timing model, the consumption and financial styles recovered marginally this week, the cyclical style declined, and the current signal favors the stable style. The return of the style timing strategy last week was 0.52%, with an excess return of 1.45% compared to the benchmark equal - weighted allocation [5]. Summary by Directory Fund Market Review - In the public fund market, equity long strategies had a drawdown in the past week, pure bonds had better returns, neutral strategy products showed mixed performance, precious metal ETFs in commodities had large increases, non - ferrous metal ETFs had a return correction, and energy chemical and soybean meal ETFs' net values continued to weaken [5]. - Among CITIC's five styles, the financial style rose last week while others fell. Cyclical style funds had better excess performance in the public fund pool, and other style funds underperformed the index on average. The product's deviation from cyclical and consumption styles increased marginally, and the overall market congestion indicator increased marginally this week, with the cyclical style in a historically high congestion range [5]. - In the neutral strategy, the stock index basis recovered marginally last week, and the premium rates of the corresponding spot index ETFs of IH and IF were in the top 20% quantile range of the past three months [5]. - Among Barra factors, the residual momentum factor had a weekly excess return of 2.49%, the momentum and capital flow factors had excess drawdowns, and the win - rates of the profitability and leverage factors improved. The factor cross - section rotation speed increased significantly and is in a relatively high quantile range in the past year [5]. - According to the style timing model, the consumption and financial styles recovered marginally this week, the cyclical style declined, and the style timing strategy had a return of 0.52% last week, with an excess return of 1.45% compared to the benchmark [5]. Recent Market Returns - The weekly, monthly, quarterly, and semi - annual returns of Tonglian All A (Shanghai, Shenzhen, Beijing), ChinaBond Composite Bond (net), and Nanhua Commodity are presented in the report, along with data on the establishment scale of public funds in the past year, the maximum drawdown of major public fund strategy indices in the past three months, and the weekly returns of major public fund strategy indices [7]. CITIC Style Index - The net value trends of CITIC's financial, cyclical, consumption, growth, and stable style indices are shown, as well as the relative rotation chart of these style indices, which reflects the relative strength and momentum of different styles in different time periods [8][9]. - The excess return performance of CITIC style - based fund style indices in different time periods (weekly, monthly, quarterly, semi - annual, annual) is presented, along with the congestion levels of different styles (excluding the stable style due to data limitations) [10][11]. Barra Factors - The preference levels of Barra single - factors (ranging from 0 - 1) are shown, indicating the degree of preference for different factors. The excess return performance of Barra single - factor style strategies in different time periods (weekly, monthly) is also presented, as well as the excess net value trends of Barra single - factor styles since this year [13][14][17].
多只资产配置产品发行,黄金ETF流入明显:海外创新产品周报20251020-20251020
Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report regarding industry investment rating. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The US ETF market has seen the issuance of multiple asset - allocation products. The inflow of gold ETFs is significant, and precious - metal stock ETFs have performed significantly better than precious - metal ETFs. - In the US ordinary public - offering fund market, the outflow of domestic stock funds remains around $20 billion, while the inflow of bond products is stable, slightly exceeding $10 billion [3]. Summary by Relevant Catalog 1. US ETF Innovation Products: Multiple Asset - Allocation Products Issued - Last week, 22 new products were issued in the US, including various types such as downside protection, leverage, theme, allocation, and rotation products [6]. - There were 7 new downside protection products, including Calamos' laddered downside protection products linked to Bitcoin. Arrow Funds also issued a Bitcoin strategy product [6]. - 4 single - stock leverage products were issued, linked to Figma, Futu, JD.com, and Lemonade [7]. - GMO issued a dynamic asset - allocation ETF, with 40 - 80% invested in stocks and the rest in fixed - income and liquid alternative assets, based on GMO's 7 - year asset return forecast [7]. - AlphaDroid issued two strategy products, a momentum strategy and an industry rotation product [8]. - American Century issued 2 fundamental active ETFs, for small - cap value and small - cap growth [8]. - Pictet issued 3 stock ETFs, entering the US ETF market, with one using an AI strategy and two being theme products [8]. 2. US ETF Dynamics 2.1 US ETF Funds: Significant Inflow into Gold ETFs - In the past week, US ETFs maintained a high - speed inflow of nearly $50 billion, with domestic stocks inflowing over $25 billion and commodity ETFs mainly composed of gold also having a large inflow [9]. - The inflow of US broad - based stock products was stable last week, and the gold ETF GLD ranked second in the inflow of all products. Among bond products, comprehensive products had relatively more inflows, while high - yield bonds and alternative bond products had outflows [9]. 2.2 US ETF Performance: Precious - Metal Stock ETFs Significantly Outperform Precious - Metal ETFs - Due to frequent global situation changes this year, precious - metal ETFs led by gold have continuously risen significantly, and precious - metal - related stock ETFs such as gold - mining stocks have had significantly higher increases, with many products rising around 150% [3]. 3. Recent Capital Flows of US Ordinary Public - Offering Funds - In August 2025, the total amount of non - money public - offering funds in the US was $22.98 trillion, an increase of $0.41 trillion compared to July 2025. The S&P 500 rose 1.91% in August, and the scale of domestic stock products increased by 1.62%, with the redemption pressure easing [14]. - According to weekly ICI statistics, the outflow of US domestic stock funds last week remained around $20 billion, while the inflow of bond products was stable, slightly exceeding $10 billion [14].
金融工程周报:动量因子延续强势-20250922
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-09-22 11:34
Report Investment Rating - The operation rating for CITIC Five-Style - Growth is ★☆☆, indicating a bullish bias but with limited operability in the market [5] Core Viewpoints - In the week ending September 19, 2025, the weekly returns of Tonglian All A (Shanghai, Shenzhen, Beijing), ChinaBond Composite Bond, and Nanhua Commodity Index were -0.27%, -0.03%, and 0.24% respectively. The growth and cyclical styles of CITIC Five-Style closed up, while the others closed down. The growth style continued to strengthen in terms of indicator momentum [5] - Among public funds, the ordinary stock strategy performed well with a weekly return of 0.48%. The convertible bond strategy in the bond strategy weakened, and the pure bond strategy's return rebounded. The net value of the soybean meal ETF declined by 2.68%, and the return of the precious metal ETF slightly corrected [5] - In the neutral strategy, the basis of IH, IF, and IC contracts was within 1 standard deviation of the three - month average, and the IM contract was below -1 standard deviation of the three - month average, indicating that the hedging cost was still at a relatively high level [5] - The short - term momentum factor had a good performance with a weekly excess return of 1.84%. The leverage and ALPHA factors continued to weaken, and the winning rate of the dividend factor rebounded month - on - month [5] - According to the latest score of the style timing model, the growth style rebounded this week, while the consumption and stable styles weakened, and the current signal favored the growth style [5] Summary by Directory Fund Market Review - The ordinary stock strategy in the public fund market performed well with a weekly return of 0.48%. The convertible bond strategy in the bond strategy weakened, and the pure bond strategy's return rebounded. The net value of the soybean meal ETF declined by 2.68%, and the precious metal ETF's return slightly corrected [5] - The financial - style funds in the public fund pool had excellent excess performance with a weekly excess return of 3.14%. The product's deviation from the growth style increased marginally, and the overall market indicator of the crowding degree declined slightly this week. The financial style was in a historically high - crowding range [5] Equity Market Strategy - In the neutral strategy, as of last Friday, the basis of IH, IF, and IC contracts was within 1 standard deviation of the three - month average, and the IM contract was below -1 standard deviation of the three - month average, indicating a relatively high hedging cost. The premium rates of the spot index ETFs corresponding to IH and IF were in the high quantile range of the past three months, while those of IC and IM were in the medium quantile range [5] - The short - term momentum factor had a weekly excess return of 1.84%. The leverage and ALPHA factors continued to weaken, and the winning rate of the dividend factor rebounded month - on - month. The cross - section rotation speed of factors rebounded month - on - month and was currently in the low - to - medium quantile range of the past year [5] - According to the style timing model, the growth style rebounded this week, the consumption and stable styles weakened, and the signal favored the growth style. The return of the style timing strategy last week was -1.72%, and the excess return compared to the benchmark balanced allocation was -0.71% [5]
贵金属ETF收益反弹
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-08-11 14:30
Report Investment Rating - The operation rating for the CITIC five-style - Cycle is ★☆☆ [4] Core Viewpoints - As of the week ending August 8, 2025, the weekly returns of Tonglian All A (Shanghai, Shenzhen, Beijing), ChinaBond Composite Bond, and Nanhua Commodity Index were 1.94%, 0.03%, and -0.36% respectively. In the public fund market, index enhancement strategies led in returns with a weekly increase of 1.65%. In the equity product segment, market neutral strategies generally had more gains than losses. For bonds, convertible bond returns rebounded, but the growth of short - and medium - to long - term pure bond funds slowed compared to the previous week. Among commodity funds, energy and chemical ETFs remained weak, while precious metals saw a rebound in returns, with the net value of silver ETFs rising significantly by 3.84% [4] - In the CITIC five - style, the style index closed up last Friday, with the cycle style leading in returns, rising 3.49%. The style rotation chart showed a slight recovery in the relative strength of the financial and cycle styles, and all five styles strengthened in terms of indicator momentum. Among the public fund pools, the excess returns of consumer - style funds recovered in the past week, with a weekly excess return of 1.06%, while the average return of cycle - style funds did not outperform the benchmark. From the trend of fund style coefficients, some consumer - style funds shifted towards the growth style. Currently, the market congestion is in the historically high - congestion range [4] - In terms of Barra factors, the ALPHA factor had a better return performance in the past week, with a weekly excess return of 0.34%. The returns of the valuation and residual volatility factors weakened. In terms of win - rate, the reversal - type factors strengthened marginally, while the profitability and liquidity factors declined slightly. This week, the cross - sectional rotation speed of factors increased compared to the previous week and is currently in the historically low - quantile range [4] - According to the latest scoring results of the style timing model, the cycle and financial styles recovered this week, while the consumer style declined. The current signal favors the cycle style. The return of the style timing strategy last week was 0.77%, with an excess return of - 1.02% compared to the benchmark balanced allocation [4] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Fund Market Review - In the public fund market, index enhancement strategies led in returns with a weekly increase of 1.65%. Market neutral strategies in equity products generally had more gains than losses. Convertible bond returns rebounded, but the growth of short - and medium - to long - term pure bond funds slowed compared to the previous week. Energy and chemical ETFs remained weak, while precious metals saw a rebound in returns, with the net value of silver ETFs rising significantly by 3.84% [4] Equity Market Style - The CITIC five - style index closed up last Friday, with the cycle style leading in returns, rising 3.49%. The relative strength of the financial and cycle styles slightly recovered, and all five styles strengthened in terms of indicator momentum. The excess returns of consumer - style funds recovered in the past week, with a weekly excess return of 1.06%, while the average return of cycle - style funds did not outperform the benchmark. Some consumer - style funds shifted towards the growth style, and the market congestion is in the historically high - congestion range [4] Barra Factors - The ALPHA factor had a better return performance in the past week, with a weekly excess return of 0.34%. The returns of the valuation and residual volatility factors weakened. The reversal - type factors strengthened marginally, while the profitability and liquidity factors declined slightly. The cross - sectional rotation speed of factors increased compared to the previous week and is currently in the historically low - quantile range [4] Style Timing Model - The cycle and financial styles recovered this week, while the consumer style declined. The current signal favors the cycle style. The return of the style timing strategy last week was 0.77%, with an excess return of - 1.02% compared to the benchmark balanced allocation [4]
金融工程周报:能化ETF涨幅领先-20250728
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-07-28 12:02
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - There is no information provided regarding the industry investment rating in the report. 2. Core View of the Report - As of the week ending July 25, 2025, the weekly returns of Tonglian All A (Shanghai, Shenzhen, Beijing), ChinaBond Composite Bond Index, and Nanhua Commodity Index were 2.11%, -0.48%, and 2.73% respectively. In the public - fund market, the returns of stock - bond strategies were differentiated in the past week. Among equity strategies, passive index - type products led in returns, and market - neutral strategy products mostly rose. In bond strategies, the pure - bond fund index showed a significant decline. In the commodity market, energy - chemical ETFs were strong with a weekly increase of 6.00%, non - ferrous metal ETFs rebounded, and precious - metal ETFs continued the upward trend of net value [3]. - Among the CITIC five - style indices, all style indices closed up last Friday. The cycle and growth styles led in returns. The style rotation chart showed that the relative strength of the cycle and stable styles increased significantly, while the momentum of the consumption style decreased slightly. In the public - fund pool, the average returns of financial and consumption - style funds significantly outperformed the index in the past week, with excess returns of 1.14% and 0.23% respectively. The excess returns of cycle and growth - style funds continued to shrink. The stable style strengthened slightly, and the cycle style declined. In terms of crowding, the growth and cycle styles rebounded marginally, while the consumption and financial styles remained in the historically high - crowding range [3]. - Among Barra factors, the residual volatility factor performed well in the past week, with an excess return of 0.60%. The returns of momentum and valuation factors weakened marginally, and the excess return of the profitability factor continued to shrink. In terms of winning rate, the growth factor declined, and the capital - flow factor strengthened slightly. This week, the cross - sectional rotation speed of factors rose from the historically low - quantile range to the middle range. According to the latest scoring results of the style timing model, the financial style weakened marginally this week, and the consumption style recovered. The current signal favors the consumption style. The return of the style timing strategy last week was 0.36%, and the excess return compared to the benchmark balanced allocation was - 1.59% [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Index Performance - Tonglian All A (Shanghai, Shenzhen, Beijing) had a weekly return of 2.11%, the ChinaBond Composite Bond Index had a return of - 0.48%, and the Nanhua Commodity Index had a return of 2.73% as of July 25, 2025 [3]. 3.2 Public - Fund Market Performance - **Equity Strategies**: Passive index - type products led in returns, and market - neutral strategy products mostly rose [3]. - **Bond Strategies**: The pure - bond fund index showed a significant decline [3]. - **Commodity Market**: Energy - chemical ETFs had a weekly increase of 6.00%, non - ferrous metal ETFs rebounded, and precious - metal ETFs continued the upward trend of net value [3]. 3.3 CITIC Five - Style Index Performance - **Return Performance**: All style indices closed up last Friday. The cycle and growth styles led in returns [3]. - **Relative Strength and Momentum**: The relative strength of the cycle and stable styles increased significantly, while the momentum of the consumption style decreased slightly [3]. - **Fund Excess Return**: The average returns of financial and consumption - style funds significantly outperformed the index in the past week, with excess returns of 1.14% and 0.23% respectively. The excess returns of cycle and growth - style funds continued to shrink [3]. - **Style Trend**: The stable style strengthened slightly, and the cycle style declined [3]. - **Crowding**: The growth and cycle styles rebounded marginally, while the consumption and financial styles remained in the historically high - crowding range [3]. 3.4 Barra Factor Performance - **Factor Return**: The residual volatility factor had an excess return of 0.60%. The returns of momentum and valuation factors weakened marginally, and the excess return of the profitability factor continued to shrink [3]. - **Winning Rate and Momentum**: The growth factor declined in terms of winning rate, and the capital - flow factor strengthened slightly [3]. - **Factor Rotation Speed**: The cross - sectional rotation speed of factors rose from the historically low - quantile range to the middle range [3]. 3.5 Style Timing Strategy - According to the latest scoring results of the style timing model, the financial style weakened marginally this week, and the consumption style recovered. The current signal favors the consumption style. The return of the style timing strategy last week was 0.36%, and the excess return compared to the benchmark balanced allocation was - 1.59% [3].
新能源及有色金属日报:特朗普顾问再次批评鲍威尔拒绝降息的行为-20250709
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-07-09 05:22
Report Industry Investment Rating - Gold: Cautiously bullish [8] - Silver: Cautiously bullish [9] - Arbitrage: Short the gold-silver ratio at high levels [9] - Options: On hold [9] Core View - The "Big and Beautiful" bill has passed, the U.S. debt ceiling will still expand, Trump has repeatedly called for replacing the Fed Chairman, and a relatively loose monetary policy is needed to support it, so gold is expected to remain relatively strong [8][9] - The gold-silver ratio is at a high level, and some so-called safe-haven demand may flow to silver, but due to the relatively high volatility of silver itself, more attention should be paid to position control and stop-loss protection when operating, and the silver price is expected to maintain a volatile and strong pattern [9] Market News and Important Data - Trump's chief trade advisor Peter Navarro criticized Powell for refusing to cut interest rates, saying it could be his third major policy mistake in six years, and if he continues the tight monetary policy route at the July 29 Fed meeting, he will become the worst Fed Chairman in history [1] Futures Quotes and Trading Volume - On July 8, 2025, the Shanghai Gold main contract opened at 771.66 yuan/gram, closed at 776.22 yuan/gram, up 0.64% from the previous trading day's close, with a trading volume of 187,574 lots and an open interest of 179,131 lots. The night session opened at 774.98 yuan/gram and closed at 769.52 yuan/gram, down 0.65% from the afternoon close [2] - On July 8, 2025, the Shanghai Silver main contract opened at 8,856 yuan/kilogram, closed at 8,953 yuan/kilogram, down 1.31% from the previous trading day's close, with a trading volume of 418,168 lots and an open interest of 338,144 lots. The night session opened at 8,940 yuan/gram and closed at 8,908 yuan/gram, down 0.10% from the afternoon close [2] U.S. Treasury Yield and Spread Monitoring - On July 8, 2025, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield closed at 4.40%, up 0.05% from the previous trading day, and the 10-year and 2-year spread was 0.52%, up 2 basis points from the previous trading day [3] Position and Trading Volume Changes of Precious Metals on the SHFE - On July 8, 2025, on the Au2502 contract, the long position changed by 79 lots compared with the previous day, and the short position changed by 46 lots. The total trading volume of the Shanghai Gold contract on the previous trading day was 245,162 lots, down 7.74% from the previous trading day [4] - On the Ag2502 contract, the long position decreased by 231 lots, and the short position decreased by 170 lots. The total trading volume of the Shanghai Silver contract on the previous trading day was 715,924 lots, down 5.78% from the previous trading day [4] Precious Metals ETF Position Tracking - On the previous trading day, the gold ETF position was 946.51 tons, down 1.15 tons from the previous trading day, and the silver ETF position was 14,935.15 tons, up 66.41 tons from the previous trading day [5] Precious Metals Arbitrage Tracking - On July 8, 2025, the domestic premium of gold was -0.23 yuan/gram, and the domestic premium of silver was -665.35 yuan/kilogram. The price ratio of the main contracts of gold and silver on the SHFE was about 86.70, down 0.27% from the previous trading day, and the price ratio of gold and silver in the overseas market was 90.59, up 0.58% from the previous trading day [6] Fundamental Analysis - On July 8, 2025, the trading volume of gold on the Shanghai Gold Exchange T+d market was 28,986 kilograms, up 3.63% from the previous trading day, and the trading volume of silver was 319,210 kilograms, down 41.92% from the previous trading day. The delivery volume of gold was 13,086 kilograms, and the delivery volume of silver was 21,270 kilograms [7]
金融工程周报:能化ETF净值升幅显著-20250616
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-06-16 11:37
Report Industry Investment Rating - The report gives a one-star rating (★☆☆) for the CITIC Five-Style - Financial, indicating a bullish bias but with limited operability in the market [3]. Core Viewpoints - In the public fund market, the returns of equity and bond strategies showed slight differentiation in the past week. The energy and chemical ETF had a significant net value increase, while the non-ferrous metal ETF had a slight decline. The financial and cyclical styles of the CITIC Five-Style recorded positive returns, and the style timing model signals a preference for the financial style this week [3]. - Among the Barra factors, the residual volatility factor performed well in the past week, and the factor cross-sectional rotation speed increased slightly this week. The style timing strategy had a return of 0.44% last week, with an excess return of 0.66% compared to the benchmark balanced allocation [3]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Recent Market Returns - As of the week ending June 13, 2025, the weekly returns of the Tonglian All-A (Shanghai, Shenzhen, Beijing), ChinaBond Composite Bond, and Nanhua Commodity Index were -0.41%, 0.17%, and 2.14% respectively [3]. - In the public fund market, equity strategies showed mixed performance, with index enhancement strategies slightly回调 and market neutral strategies under slight pressure. Bond strategies saw better performance in medium - and long - term pure bonds, and the convertible bond index weakened slightly. Commodity strategies had significant increases in the energy and chemical ETF and the soybean meal ETF [3]. CITIC Style Index - Last Friday, the returns of the CITIC Five-Style index were differentiated, with the financial and cyclical styles recording positive returns. The style rotation chart showed a slight decline in the consumer and stable styles in terms of relative strength, and the cyclical style strengthened marginally in terms of indicator momentum [3]. - Only growth-style funds outperformed the index in the public fund pool in the past week, with an excess return of 0.15%. Some financial-style funds shifted towards consumer and cyclical styles [3]. Barra Factors - In the past week, the residual volatility factor had a weekly excess return of 0.82%. The scale factor's excess return continued to compress, and the leverage and growth factors' returns strengthened slightly. The medium - and long - term momentum and growth factors had better performance in terms of win - rate [3]. - The factor cross - sectional rotation speed increased slightly this week and is currently in the medium - to low - percentile range of history [3]. Style Timing Model - According to the latest score of the style timing model, the financial style rebounded this week, while the consumer and cyclical styles declined, and the current signal favors the financial style. The style timing strategy's return last week was 0.44%, with an excess return of 0.66% compared to the benchmark balanced allocation [3].