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波动率数据日报-20260112
Yong An Qi Huo· 2026-01-12 06:39
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The report is a daily report on volatility data, including the calculation methods of implied volatility indices and the meaning of the difference between implied volatility and historical volatility [3]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Implied Volatility Index, Historical Volatility and Their Spread Chart - The implied volatility index of financial options reflects the 30 - day implied volatility trend as of the previous trading day, and the implied volatility index of commodity options is weighted by the implied volatilities of the two - strike options above and below the at - the - money option of the main contract, reflecting the implied volatility change trend of the main contract [3]. - The difference between the implied volatility index and historical volatility indicates that a larger difference means the implied volatility is relatively higher than historical volatility, and a smaller difference means the implied volatility is relatively lower [3]. Implied Volatility Quantile and Volatility Spread Quantile Ranking Chart - Implied volatility quantile represents the current level of the implied volatility of a variety in history. A high quantile means the current implied volatility is high, and a low quantile means the implied volatility is low [5]. - The volatility spread is related to the implied volatility index and historical volatility [5].
风险偏好持续回升,股指大幅上涨
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2026-01-06 12:25
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - On January 6, 2026, all stock indices rose significantly. The trading volume of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets reached 2.8322 trillion yuan, an increase of 265 billion yuan from the previous day. The continuous increase in trading volume after the holiday is mainly due to the return of market liquidity and the rising expectation of policy benefits. The policy emphasizes the construction of a modern industrial system, which drives the significant rise of related industrial chain stocks. The margin trading balance and margin trading amount have both increased, indicating strong willingness of leveraged funds to enter the market and optimistic market sentiment. In the medium to long term, the expectation of policy benefits and the trend of net capital inflow are the main drivers for the upward movement of stock indices. With the implementation of policy benefits in 2026 and continuous net capital inflow, the risk appetite of the stock market will continue to rise. It is expected that the stock indices will fluctuate strongly in the short term. For options, since the current position PCR and implied volatility are within the normal range, a bull spread or ratio spread strategy with a mild bullish view can be adopted [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Option Indicators - On January 6, 2026, the 50ETF rose 1.92% to close at 3.235; the 300ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) rose 1.55% to close at 4.919; the 300ETF (Shenzhen Stock Exchange) rose 1.52% to close at 4.996; the CSI 300 Index rose 1.55% to close at 4790.69; the CSI 1000 Index rose 1.43% to close at 7864.90; the 500ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) rose 2.17% to close at 7.961; the 500ETF (Shenzhen Stock Exchange) rose 2.15% to close at 3.141; the ChiNext ETF rose 0.67% to close at 3.303; the Shenzhen 100ETF rose 1.08% to close at 3.553; the SSE 50 Index rose 1.90% to close at 3158.76; the STAR 50ETF rose 1.76% to close at 1.51; and the E Fund STAR 50ETF rose 1.89% to close at 1.46 [5]. - The trading volume PCR and position PCR of various options on January 6, 2026, and their changes compared with the previous trading day were provided, such as the trading volume PCR of SSE 50ETF options was 58.87 (previous day: 91.01), and the position PCR was 107.49 (previous day: 109.04) [6]. - The implied volatility of at - the - money options in January 2026 and the 30 - trading - day historical volatility of the underlying assets for various options were provided, such as the implied volatility of at - the - money SSE 50ETF options in January 2026 was 13.26%, and the 30 - trading - day historical volatility of the underlying asset was 11.68% [7]. 3.2 Related Charts - **SSE 50ETF Options**: Included charts of the SSE 50ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and implied volatility of at - the - money options for each term [9][11][13][17]. - **SSE 300ETF Options**: Included charts of the SSE 300ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and implied volatility of at - the - money options for each term [22][24][26][32]. - **SZSE 300ETF Options**: Included charts of the SZSE 300ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and implied volatility of at - the - money options for each term [35][37][39][41][45]. - **CSI 300 Index Options**: Included charts of the CSI 300 index trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and implied volatility of at - the - money options for each term [48][50][52][54][58]. - **CSI 1000 Index Options**: Included charts of the CSI 1000 index trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and implied volatility of at - the - money options for each term [61][64][66][68][72]. - **SSE 500ETF Options**: Included charts of the SSE 500ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and implied volatility of at - the - money options for each term [75][77][79][83]. - **SZSE 500ETF Options**: Included charts of the SZSE 500ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and implied volatility of at - the - money options for each term [88][90][92][97]. - **ChiNext ETF Options**: Included charts of the ChiNext ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and implied volatility of at - the - money options for each term [101][103][105][111]. - **Shenzhen 100ETF Options**: Included charts of the Shenzhen 100ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and implied volatility of at - the - money options for each term [114][116][118][124]. - **SSE 50 Index Options**: Included charts of the SSE 50 index trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and implied volatility of at - the - money options for each term [127][129][131][137]. - **STAR 50ETF Options**: Included charts of the STAR 50ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and implied volatility of at - the - money options for each term [140][142][144][148]. - **E Fund STAR 50ETF Options**: Included charts of the E Fund STAR 50ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and implied volatility of at - the - money options for each term [151][153][154].
股市强势?向切换,债市?端情绪不稳
Zhong Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-19 02:43
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Views of the Report - The direction of strength in the stock index futures market has switched again, and it is recommended to allocate cautiously with large - cap stocks performing better recently [1][9] - In the stock index options market, year - end behavior is conservative, and protective put options should be used to deal with risks [2][9] - In the treasury bond futures market, the sentiment of ultra - long - end bonds may remain unstable, and while the bond market is supported in the short term, caution is needed for ultra - long - end bonds [3][9][10] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Market Views 3.1.1 Stock Index Futures - On Thursday, the market failed to continue the Wednesday sentiment, with major broad - based indices weakening. The ChiNext Index dropped 2% and trading volume shrank. The allocation style became more conservative, with dividend and micro - cap structures outperforming. Industries such as airports, coal, and banks rose over 2%. High - dividend and consumer sectors were resilient. In the future, it is in a stage where both bullish and bearish factors are difficult to be falsified, and it is recommended to hold IC & dividend index [1][9] 3.1.2 Stock Index Options - The underlying market was volatile and differentiated. The total turnover of the options market was over 7.099 billion yuan, a 29.54% decrease from the previous day. Mid - term sentiment needs improvement, and the short - term market has turned defensive. Volatility of some ETFs increased. It is recommended to use protective put options [2][9] 3.1.3 Treasury Bond Futures - Treasury bond futures rose across the board. However, the ultra - long - end bonds showed instability, with the 30Y treasury bond yield rising about 0.9BP. The central bank conducted reverse repurchase operations, net injecting 6.97 billion yuan. The market's expectation of loose monetary policy may have increased. It is recommended to adopt different strategies for trends, hedging, basis, and yield curve [3][9][10] 3.2 Economic Calendar - It shows the economic data of China and the US from December 15 - 19, 2025, including China's reserve currency in November, the US non - farm payrolls change in November, and the core CPI in November [11] 3.3 Important Information and News Tracking - **Domestic Macro**: The National Development and Reform Commission will take measures to expand effective investment, including in emerging industries and productive service industries, and address issues in private investment [12] - **Non - ferrous Metals**: Tungsten concept stocks rose. The rise in tungsten prices is due to supply - demand factors and future expectations, and the increase in tungsten powder prices is related to the tight supply of tungsten concentrates [12] - **Energy and Chemicals**: The European Parliament approved a plan to phase out Russian natural gas imports by the end of 2027. The US EIA crude oil inventory decreased last week, while gasoline inventory increased [13] 3.4 Derivatives Market Monitoring - **Stock Index Futures Data**: Not detailed in the provided content - **Stock Index Options Data**: Not detailed in the provided content - **Treasury Bond Futures Data**: Not detailed in the provided content
股指短线仍存震荡整固需求
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-12-09 11:25
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Today, all stock indices fluctuated and slightly declined. The total trading volume of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets throughout the day was 1.92 trillion yuan, a decrease of 134 billion yuan compared to the previous day. The Political Bureau meeting pointed out that in 2026, a more proactive fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy will continue to be implemented. The expectation of policy benefits continues to ferment, driving up the market's risk appetite. However, near the end of the year, the power of capital to drive the market to break through is insufficient, and there is still a need for short - term shock consolidation. Currently, the stock indices remain within the previous shock range. Subsequently, as more policy details are introduced at the Central Economic Work Conference, the expectation of policy benefits will gradually become the main line of the market, and the capital inflow is expected to continue, driving the stock indices to have a spring market. In general, the expectation of policy benefits is gradually fermenting, and the stock indices will be mainly fluctuating strongly in the short term. [3] - Regarding options, considering the long - term upward trend of the stock indices, a bull spread or ratio spread with a moderately bullish approach can be adopted. [3] 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Option Indicators - On December 9, 2025, the 50ETF fell 0.70% to close at 3.142; the 300ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) fell 0.51% to close at 4.708; the 300ETF (Shenzhen Stock Exchange) fell 0.54% to close at 4.783; the CSI 300 Index fell 0.51% to close at 4598.22; the CSI 1000 Index fell 0.57% to close at 7380.58; the 500ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) fell 0.74% to close at 7.224; the 500ETF (Shenzhen Stock Exchange) fell 0.80% to close at 2.844; the ChiNext ETF rose 0.54% to close at 3.188; the Shenzhen 100ETF fell 0.29% to close at 3.467; the SSE 50 Index fell 0.71% to close at 2997.96; the Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF fell 0.42% to close at 1.41; the E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF fell 0.36% to close at 1.37. [5] - The trading volume PCR and position PCR of various options on December 9, 2025, and their changes compared with the previous trading day are provided in detail, such as the trading volume PCR of SSE 50ETF options being 79.26 (previous day: 78.66), and the position PCR being 101.14 (previous day: 107.67). [6] - The implied volatility of at - the - money options in December 2025 and the 30 - trading - day historical volatility of the underlying assets for various options are presented, for example, the implied volatility of at - the - money options of SSE 50ETF options in December 2025 is 11.44%, and the 30 - trading - day historical volatility of the underlying asset is 11.04%. [7][8] 3.2 Relevant Charts - The report provides a series of charts for different types of options, including the trends, volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curves, and at - the - money implied volatility of different terms for options such as SSE 50ETF options, SSE 300ETF options, etc. [9][20][33]
场内ETF资金动态:昨日标普消费上涨
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-03 03:48
Market Performance - As of December 3, 2025, the three major A-share indices showed slight declines, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.09% to 3894.22 points, the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.19% to 13031.26 points, and the ChiNext Index down 0.5% to 3055.92 points [1] ETF Performance - On December 2, 2025, the leading ETF was the S&P Consumer ETF (159529), which increased by 2.53%, while other notable gainers included the Hang Seng Dividend ETF (520550) at 1.70%, Hong Kong Dividend ETF (513630) at 1.57%, and the Hong Kong Dividend ETF (159545) at 1.56% [2][3] - The largest decline was seen in the Media ETF (512980), which fell by 2.30%, followed by the S&P Biotechnology ETF (159502) at -2.20%, Entertainment ETF (516190) at -2.12%, and Film ETF (516620) at -2.08% [3] Trading Volume - The highest trading volume on December 2, 2025, was recorded for the Hang Seng Internet ETF (513330) at 47.41 million shares, followed closely by the A500 ETF (512050) at 47.08 million shares, and the Hang Seng Technology ETF (513130) at 45.01 million shares [4] Trading Amount - The A500 ETF (512050) had the highest trading amount on December 2, 2025, totaling 5.413 billion yuan, with the next highest being the CSI A500 ETF (159338) at 4.434 billion yuan, and the A500 ETF (159361) at 4.378 billion yuan [5] Fund Flows - The largest net subscription on December 2, 2025, was for the S&P Dividend ETF (562060) with a net inflow of 368 million yuan, followed by the Industrial Nonferrous ETF (560860) at 282 million yuan, and the Broker ETF (512000) at 249 million yuan [6] - The highest net redemption was for the 500 ETF (510500) at 574 million yuan, with significant redemptions also seen in the Chemical ETF (159870) at 382 million yuan, and the CSI 300 ETF (159919) at 342 million yuan [7]
场内ETF资金动态:昨日巴西ETF上涨
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-28 04:01
Market Overview - The three major A-share indices experienced slight increases, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.21% to 3883.46 points, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 0.72% to 12967.66 points, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.71% to 3052.87 points [1] ETF Performance - The top-performing ETF on November 27, 2025, was the Brazil ETF (520870), which saw a gain of 3.17%. Other notable performers included the Brazil ETF (159100) with a 2.64% increase, the S&P Biotechnology ETF (159502) rising by 2.58%, and the China-Korea Chip ETF (513310) up by 2.08% [2][3] - The largest decline was observed in the Software 30 ETF (562930), which fell by 1.90%. Other ETFs with significant declines included the Online ETF (159793) down by 1.69%, and the Film and Television ETFs (516620 and 159855) both decreasing by 1.63% [2][3] Trading Volume - The highest trading volume on November 27, 2025, was recorded for the Hang Seng Internet ETF (513330) at 62.04 million shares. Other ETFs with high trading volumes included the Hang Seng Technology ETF (513130) at 60.22 million shares, and the Hang Seng Index Technology ETF (513180) at 54.56 million shares [4] Trading Amount - The largest trading amount was for the Hong Kong Securities ETF (513090), with a transaction value of 7.009 billion yuan. Other ETFs with significant trading amounts included the A500 ETF (512050) at 6.103 billion yuan, and the HK Innovation Drug ETF (513120) at 5.444 billion yuan [5] Fund Flows - The largest net subscription on November 27, 2025, was for the 50 ETF (510050), with a net subscription amount of 658 million yuan. Other notable subscriptions included the A500 ETF (512050) at 580 million yuan, and the ChiNext 50 ETF (159949) at 270 million yuan [6] - The largest net redemption was for the ChiNext ETF (159915), with a redemption amount of 717 million yuan. Other significant redemptions included the 500 ETF (510500) at 553 million yuan, and the AI ChiNext ETF (159382) at 516 million yuan [7]
晨会纪要:对近期重要经济金融新闻、行业事件、公司公告等进行点评-20251106
Xiangcai Securities· 2025-11-06 02:08
Macro Insights - The U.S. federal government has entered its 35th day of a shutdown, matching the longest shutdown record in U.S. history, with no agreement reached between the Democratic and Republican parties on a temporary funding bill [2] - The State Council announced a nine-day holiday for the Spring Festival in 2026, leading to a significant increase in online travel bookings for both New Year's and Spring Festival periods, particularly for popular tourist destinations [2] Real Estate Market - Since 2019, the proportion of existing residential sales has increased from 10% to 33% at the beginning of this year, with over 30 provinces and cities in China implementing pilot programs for existing home sales [3] Financial Engineering - From October 27 to October 31, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3954.79, with increased trading volume compared to the previous week. The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13378.21, also with increased trading volume [6] - The 50ETF saw a weekly decline of 1.00%, while the Southern CSI 500ETF increased by 0.91% during the same period [8] - The average daily trading volume of 50ETF options decreased, while total open interest increased, indicating a mixed sentiment in the options market [7] Investment Strategy - The market showed a divergence in performance among different ETFs, with the 50ETF underperforming and the 500ETF showing strength. The PCR indicators reflected this divergence, with a decrease in put option holdings for the weaker ETFs [8][9] - The overall market sentiment appears to be cautious, with expectations of continued volatility but stable implied volatility levels, suggesting a potential strategy of shorting on rallies [9]
波动率数据日报-20251105
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-11-05 06:11
Group 1: Volatility Index Explanation - The implied volatility index of financial options reflects the 30 - day implied volatility trend as of the previous trading day. The implied volatility index of commodity options is obtained by weighting the implied volatilities of the two - strike options above and below the at - the - money option of the main contract month, reflecting the implied volatility change trend of the main contract [2] - The difference between the implied volatility index and historical volatility: a larger difference indicates that the implied volatility is relatively higher than historical volatility, while a smaller difference means the opposite [2] Group 2: Volatility Data Visualization - There are charts showing the implied volatility (IV), historical volatility (HV), and their differences (IV - HV) for various financial and commodity options, including 300 - stock index, 50ETF, 1000 - stock index, 500ETF, and many commodity options such as silver, gold, soybean meal, corn, etc [3] Group 3: Quantile Ranking of Volatility - Implied volatility quantiles represent the current implied volatility level of a variety in history. A high quantile means the current implied volatility is high, and a low quantile means it is low [4] - There are rankings of implied volatility quantiles and historical volatility quantiles for different options, such as 300 - stock index with a quantile of 0.89, 50ETF with a quantile of 0.49, etc [4][5]
波动率数据日报-20251014
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-10-14 07:07
Report Summary Core View - The report provides daily volatility data, including implied volatility indices, historical volatility, and their spread trends for various financial and commodity options [3]. Details by Category Implied Volatility Index and Historical Volatility - Financial option implied volatility indices reflect the 30 - day implied volatility (IV) trend as of the previous trading day, while commodity option implied volatility indices are weighted by the IV of the two - strike prices above and below the at - the - money option of the main contract, showing the IV change trend of the main contract [3]. - The difference between the implied volatility index and historical volatility (HV) indicates the relative level of IV to HV, with a larger difference meaning higher IV relative to HV and vice versa [3]. Implied Volatility and Historical Volatility Charts - The report presents charts showing the IV, HV, and IV - HV spreads for multiple options such as 300 Index, 50ETF, 1000 Index, 500ETF, and various commodity options like corn, sugar, cotton, etc. [4]. Implied Volatility Quantile and Volatility Spread Quantile Ranking - Implied volatility quantiles represent the current level of a variety's IV in history. A high quantile means the current IV is high, and a low quantile means it is low. Volatility spread is the difference between the implied volatility index and historical volatility [5]. - The report shows the ranking of implied volatility quantiles and historical volatility quantiles for different options, including 300 Index, 50ETF, corn, PTA, etc. [6]
YiwealthSMI|万家天哥抖音演绎“教父”狂收13万赞!
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-09-29 07:36
Group 1 - The top three funds in the August 2025 Social Media Index are still led by Wanjia Fund, China Europe Fund, and Huaxia Fund, with new entrants including China Merchants Fund and Yongying Fund [1] - The content on Douyin includes a series by Wanjia Fund that adapts classic film scenes, receiving over 130,000 likes, and Huaxia Fund's work that tells warm stories, garnering over 68,000 likes [1] - The focus of the content remains on investor education, covering macro policy interpretations, market hot topic analyses, and product knowledge dissemination [1] Group 2 - The high-engagement videos in August cover diverse topics including brand promotion, product marketing, and investor education, with innovative approaches to enhance content appeal [2] - Tianhong Fund's video on the World Robot Games achieved the highest viewership, while Jiashi Fund's live stream attracted over one million users [2] - The WeChat public account content primarily attracts users through red envelope giveaways and product promotions [2] Group 3 - The Yiwealth Social Media Index tracks and analyzes the performance of 160 funds and asset management institutions across five social media platforms, reflecting their influence and brand impact [5] - The index incorporates various metrics such as fan accumulation and content creation to generate a comprehensive ranking [5] Group 4 - The top funds in the Douyin Index include Yifangda Fund, Wanjia Fund, and Chang'an Fund, with scores of 86.01, 85.75, and 85.61 respectively [10] - The Video Account Index ranks China Europe Fund and Wanjia Fund as the top two, with scores of 82.64 and 82.17 [13] - The Wealth Account Index shows Yongying Fund leading with a score of 87.47, followed by other funds like Tianhong Fund and Yifangda Fund [21]