Core Viewpoint - Leap Motor's Q3 2025 financial report shows mixed results, with revenue exceeding expectations but net profit declining due to increased expenses [1][4]. Revenue Performance - Total revenue for Q3 reached 19.45 billion, significantly surpassing market expectations of 18.33 billion, primarily due to the recognition of 2.5 billion in carbon credit income and a rebound in vehicle selling prices [1][4]. - The average selling price of vehicles increased to 112,000, up by 6,000 from the previous quarter, contrary to market expectations of a decline [1][4]. Profitability Metrics - The vehicle gross margin rose by 0.9 percentage points to 14.5%, exceeding the market expectation of 12.9%, driven by higher selling prices, carbon credit income, and economies of scale [1][4]. - Despite the positive gross margin, net profit fell to 150 million, below the market expectation of 200 million, due to increased operating expenses [2][4]. Expense Analysis - R&D expenses increased to 1.2 billion, reflecting ongoing investments in smart technology and channel expansion [1][2]. - Selling expenses rose to 950 million, exceeding market expectations, as the company expanded its retail channels and increased marketing efforts [2][4]. Future Outlook - For Q4 and 2026, the company aims for a gross margin of 14%-15% and a net profit of 500-1,000 million for the full year 2025, with projected sales of 580,000 to 650,000 vehicles [5][6]. - The company is implementing promotional strategies to boost sales, including cash subsidies on various models, and anticipates Q4 sales to reach 218,000 vehicles, a 25% increase from the previous quarter [6][4]. Competitive Positioning - Leap Motor's strategy focuses on high vertical integration and self-sourcing, aiming to enhance cost advantages and offer high-value models to price-sensitive consumers [9]. - The partnership with Stellantis is expected to strengthen Leap Motor's overseas expansion, leveraging Stellantis's brand and distribution channels in Europe [9].

Core Viewpoint - Zhaoyin International reports that Leap Motor (09863) maintains robust profitability in its automotive business for Q3, with a revenue increase of 37% quarter-on-quarter to 19.5 billion RMB, exceeding previous forecasts by 5% due to higher-than-expected average selling prices [1] Financial Performance - Q3 gross margin increased by 0.9 percentage points to 14.5% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The combined expense ratio for sales management and R&D decreased by 1.8 percentage points to 14.3%, aligning with forecasts [1] - Net profit remained stable at 150 million RMB, primarily influenced by non-automotive business factors [1] Future Outlook - Q4 profitability is expected to be more resilient, with a sales forecast increase of 20,000 units to 620,000 units for 2025, implying a 29% increase in Q4 sales volume to 224,000 units [1] - After considering potential carbon credit income of 500 million RMB, Q4 net profit is anticipated to increase 4.5 times quarter-on-quarter to 677 million RMB [1] - Strong sales momentum is projected to continue into 2026, with over 25,000 new orders from Europe in October and November 2025 [1] Sales Targets - Leap Motor's overseas sales target of 100,000 to 150,000 units for 2026 is deemed achievable [1] - Total sales are expected to grow by 52% year-on-year to 940,000 units in 2026, driven by the launch of the Lafa5 and four new models (two D series and two A series) [1] - The newly unveiled D19 model has received significantly higher pre-order volumes than management expectations, enhancing confidence in the A series models for the upcoming year [1]

Core Viewpoint - Zhaoyin International reports that Leap Motor (09863) maintains robust profitability in its automotive business for Q3, with revenue increasing by 37% quarter-on-quarter to RMB 19.5 billion, exceeding previous forecasts by 5% due to higher-than-expected average selling prices [1] Financial Performance - Q3 gross margin increased by 0.9 percentage points to 14.5% quarter-on-quarter [1] - Combined sales, management, and R&D expense ratios decreased by 1.8 percentage points to 14.3%, aligning with forecasts [1] - Net profit remained stable at RMB 150 million, primarily influenced by non-automotive business factors [1] Future Outlook - Q4 profitability is expected to be more resilient, with sales forecasted to increase by 29% quarter-on-quarter to 224,000 units, raising the 2025 sales forecast by 20,000 units to 620,000 units [1] - Anticipated net profit for Q4 could increase 4.5 times quarter-on-quarter to RMB 677 million, considering potential carbon credit income of RMB 500 million [1] - Strong sales momentum is projected to continue into 2026, with over 25,000 new orders from Europe in October-November 2025 [1] Sales Targets - Leap Motor's overseas sales target of 100,000 to 150,000 units for 2026 is deemed achievable [1] - Total sales are expected to grow by 52% year-on-year to 940,000 units in 2026, driven by the launch of the Lafa5 and four new models (two D series and two A series) [1] - The D19 model, unveiled on October 16, has received significantly higher pre-order volumes than management expectations, enhancing confidence in the A series models for the following year [1]

Group 1 - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and sales for the first half of 2025, achieving revenue of 24.25 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 174%, and sales of 222,000 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 156% [1] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 14.23 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 165% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 42%, with sales of 134,000 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 152% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 53% [1] - The gross profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 14.1%, an increase of 13.0 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 30 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [1] Group 2 - The B series has become a new driver for sales growth, with the B10 model contributing significantly to sales since its launch, achieving sales of 31,000 units in Q2 2025, accounting for 23.2% of total sales [2] - The B01 model, launched in July, continued the high cost-performance characteristics, securing 10,132 orders within 72 hours of its launch, indicating strong future sales potential [2] - The company expects to achieve over one million vehicle sales next year, driven by both domestic and overseas markets, with the D series expected to enhance gross profit margins [2] Group 3 - The company launched the Leap 3.5 architecture in March 2025, featuring advanced integrated control architecture and supporting high-level autonomous driving capabilities [3] - The company has maintained strong cost control, enabling the integration of laser radar into vehicles priced below 150,000 yuan, and has reserved over 1.5 EFLOPS of computing power [3] - The company has revised its revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025-2027, increasing revenue estimates from 62.6 billion yuan to 65.3 billion yuan for 2025, and net profit estimates from 200 million yuan to 700 million yuan for 2025 [3]

Core Insights - Leap Motor reported a significant revenue increase of 174% year-on-year, reaching 24.25 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with a net profit of 30 million yuan, marking its first positive half-year profit [1][2] - The company raised its annual sales guidance from 500,000-600,000 units to 580,000-650,000 units, with a target of 170,000-180,000 units for Q3 [1][4] - Leap Motor aims to achieve a sales target of 1 million units in 2026, supported by new model launches and existing series [1][3] Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of 2025 was 24.25 billion yuan, a 174% increase from 8.85 billion yuan in the same period of 2024, driven by a significant rise in vehicle deliveries [2] - The total delivery volume reached 221,664 units, a 155.7% increase year-on-year, making Leap Motor the top-selling new energy vehicle brand in China [2] - The gross margin improved to 14.1%, up from 1.1% in 2024, nearing levels of competitors like Tesla and Li Auto [2][3] Research and Development - R&D expenditure for the first half of 2025 was 1.89 billion yuan, a 54.9% increase from 1.22 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting increased investment in smart driving technology [3] - The company plans to enhance its smart driving capabilities, aiming to reach a leading position in the domestic market by the end of 2025 [3] Market Strategy - Leap Motor plans to launch multiple new models in the second half of 2025, including the B05 at the Munich Auto Show and the D series, which will debut in Q1 2026 [5] - The company is focusing on maintaining a competitive edge in the domestic market while targeting 50,000-80,000 units in overseas sales without raising the current overseas sales target [5][6] - Leap Motor has initiated local assembly projects in Malaysia and plans to establish local production in Europe for its B series models [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 88.93 HKD [7][8] Core Insights - The company achieved record sales and reported its first half-year profit, with H1 2025 revenue reaching 24.25 billion HKD, a year-on-year increase of 174.15%, and a net profit of 0.33 billion HKD, marking a turnaround from losses [1][2] - The company is expected to maintain high revenue growth from 2025 to 2027, driven by strong sales momentum, competitive models across four major platforms, accelerated overseas market expansion, and strategic partnerships [1][5] Revenue Performance - In Q2 2025, the company sold 134,000 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 152% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 53%, with July sales exceeding 50,000 units [2] - The sales structure is improving, with B/C platform vehicles accounting for 57.6% and 24.4% of sales in Q2 2025, while the lower-priced T03 model's share decreased to 18.0% [2] Profitability - The company achieved a gross margin of 14.1% in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 13.0 percentage points, and a net profit margin of 1.1% in Q2 2025, reflecting improved cost management and sales structure [3][4] - The report anticipates stable gross margins moving forward, with Q2 2025 net profit expected to continue its upward trend [3] Future Outlook - A strong new vehicle cycle is anticipated in 2025-2026, with multiple new models set to launch across various platforms [4] - The company is expanding its domestic and international presence, with plans to increase its store coverage and accelerate localization efforts in overseas markets [4] - Strategic collaborations and self-manufactured core components are expected to enhance revenue and profitability [4] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings forecast has been revised upward, with projected sales of 640,000, 1,030,000, and 1,416,000 vehicles for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting growth rates of 6.69%, 28.75%, and 37.16% [5][12] - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are set at 74.53 billion, 128.73 billion, and 170.75 billion HKD, with corresponding net profits expected to reach 1.13 billion, 5.24 billion, and 8.25 billion HKD [5][15]

Core Insights - Leap Motor has emerged as a leading player in the new energy vehicle sector, achieving significant growth in revenue and profitability during a traditionally slow sales season [2][3][5] - The company reported a remarkable increase in sales volume, reaching 221,700 units in the first half of the year, and aims to sell between 580,000 to 600,000 units by year-end [3][10] - Leap Motor's strategy focuses on cost control and self-research, allowing it to offer competitive pricing and advanced features, which has resonated well with consumers [7][8][19] Financial Performance - Leap Motor's revenue surged to 15.4 billion yuan, with a gross margin increase from 1.1% to 14.1% year-on-year, marking a significant turnaround to profitability [7][8] - The company achieved its first half-year net profit, becoming the second new force in the industry to do so after Li Auto [2][3] Market Strategy - The company plans to challenge the sales limit of 750,000 units per month and aims for a target of 1 million units by next year, which is considered a survival threshold [4][10][14] - Leap Motor is expanding its product lineup, with new models in the B series and plans for the A and D series to cover a broader price range [15][16] Competitive Landscape - The current market environment is characterized by aggressive pricing strategies, and Leap Motor is capitalizing on this by penetrating the 150,000 yuan segment effectively [7][19] - The company is also expanding its presence in overseas markets, with plans for local assembly in Malaysia and partnerships to enhance its global footprint [18][19] Future Outlook - Leap Motor's management is optimistic about continued growth, with expectations of significant sales increases in the upcoming months [9][10] - The company is positioning itself to become a top-tier player in the global automotive industry, with ambitious long-term sales targets [11][13][19]

Core Viewpoint - Zhaoyin International Research reports that Leap Motor (09863) achieved a net profit of 163 million RMB in Q2, exceeding expectations by 115 million RMB, driven by strong sales momentum expected to continue until 2026 due to new model launches and overseas production expansion [1] Financial Performance - Leap Motor's net profit forecast for the next two years has been raised by 220% and 129% to 927 million RMB and 3.3 billion RMB respectively [1] - The target price has been increased from 72 HKD to 80 HKD while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Sales Guidance - Management guidance indicates Q3 sales will reach 170,000 to 180,000 units, with average monthly sales in August and September expected to be between 60,000 and 65,000 units, surpassing previous expectations [1] - The sales forecast for 2025 has been raised to 600,000 units based on the company's Q3 sales guidance [1] Product Outlook - The B01 sedan is anticipated to receive a positive market response, and the success of the C16 model has increased confidence in the upcoming D series models [1]

Core Insights - Zhaoyin International Research reports that Leap Motor (09863) achieved a net profit of 163 million RMB in Q2, exceeding the firm's expectations by 115 million RMB [1] - The firm anticipates strong sales momentum to continue until 2026, driven by new model launches and overseas production expansion [1] - The net profit forecasts for Leap Motor for the next two years have been raised by 220% and 129%, reaching 927 million RMB and 3.3 billion RMB respectively [1] - The firm maintains a "Buy" rating and has increased the target price from 72 HKD to 80 HKD [1] Sales Guidance - Management has guided that Q3 sales are expected to reach between 170,000 to 180,000 units, with average monthly sales in August and September projected at 60,000 to 65,000 units, both exceeding the firm's expectations [1] - The sales forecast for 2025 has been raised to 600,000 units based on the company's Q3 sales guidance [1] Model Performance - The firm believes that the B01 sedan is likely to receive a positive market response, and the success of the C16 model has increased confidence in the upcoming D series models [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company maintains a "Buy" rating for Leap Motor, raising the target price to HKD 83.0, indicating a potential upside of 22% [1] Group 1: Sales and Profitability - Leap Motor's revenue for Q2 reached RMB 14.23 billion, a year-on-year increase of 166% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 42% [2] - The gross margin improved to 13.6%, up 10.8 percentage points year-on-year, although it decreased by 1.3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2] - The company achieved an operating profit of RMB 61.37 million, marking its first positive result, exceeding both internal and market expectations [2] - Net profit for Q2 was RMB 16.3 million, returning to profitability after Q1 [2] Group 2: Sales Guidance and Future Outlook - The company has raised its sales guidance for 2025, expecting Q3 vehicle sales to be between 170,000 and 180,000 units, and adjusting the annual sales target to a range of 580,000 to 650,000 units [2] - With the growth in sales volume and the completion of model transitions, there is potential for further improvement in gross margin in the second half of the year, with an annual gross margin expected to reach 14%-15% [2] - The company aims to control expenses, projecting an annual profit of RMB 500 million to 1 billion [2] Group 3: Valuation - The company is valued using a sum-of-parts approach, applying a price-to-sales ratio of 1.6x for automotive sales/services and 2.0x for other revenues, leading to a target price of HKD 83.0, corresponding to a target price-to-sales ratio of 1.6x [2]