证券时报记者 李明珠 在全球经济格局重塑与产业变革浪潮的交织下，2025年以来，以有色金属为代表的周期板块强势崛起，成为资本 市场一道亮丽的风景线。临近年尾，全球贵金属市场再度迎来历史性行情。金银价格屡创新高，铜铝等工业金属 走势强劲，市场情绪持续高涨。与有色金属相关的基金产品，也纷纷迎来大涨。 Wind数据显示，截至12月28日，有色金属（申万）年内累计上涨93.94%，接近翻倍，在31个申万一级行业中位居 第一。展望2026年，多家基金经理观点均指向一个共识：周期板块，尤其是有色金属领域，正步入一个由"新质生 产力"的强势需求主导、供给长期受限、驱动因素多元化的牛市新格局。 有色主题基金走势抢眼 12月26日，国际金银价格同步创下历史新高，其中伦敦金现货最高触及4549.9美元/盎司，年内累计涨幅已超过 70%。白银表现更为亮眼，12月19日至26日连续五个交易日大涨，当日盘中最高触及79.4美元/盎司，年内涨幅超 170%。 基金方面，国内跟踪黄金的ETF产品以及跟踪白银期货的基金产品，也都表现亮眼。例如，华安黄金ETF今年以来 涨幅超过62%,国投瑞银白银LOF今年以来涨幅超187%。 从世界白银协会 ...

本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗 漏。 一、股票交易异常波动情况 深圳汇洁集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）股票交易价格在2025年12月25日、2025年12月26日连续 两个交易日内收盘价格涨幅偏离值累计达到20%以上，根据《深圳证券交易所交易规则》的有关规定， 属于股票交易异常波动。 2、公司未发现近期公共媒体报道了可能或已经对本公司股票交易价格产生较大影响的未公开重大信 息。 二、关注、核实情况 根据深圳证券交易所相关规定要求,公司对相关事项进行了核实，现就有关情况说明如下： 1、公司于2025年11月18日、2025年12月6日、2025年12月11日在《证券时报》和巨潮资讯网披露了《关 于股东减持股份预披露的公告》《关于understance品牌终止运营的公告》《关于股东减持股份触及1% 整数倍的公告》。除此之外，公司前期披露的信息不存在需要更正、补充之处。 3、公司、控股股东和实际控制人吕兴平先生不存在关于公司的应披露而未披露的重大事项，或处于筹 划阶段的重大事项。 4、公司近期生产经营情况正常，公司内外部经营环境未发生重大变化。 5、 ...

本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗 漏。 一、公司股票交易异常波动的情况介绍 中核苏阀科技实业股份有限公司（股票简称：中核科技，股票代码：000777）交易价格于2025年12月24 日、12月25日、12月26日连续三个交易日收盘价格涨幅偏离值累计达到 20.05%，属于股票交易的异常 波动情形。 二、公司关注并核实的情况 针对公司股票交易异常波动的情况，公司董事会就相关事项进行了自查，并向控股股东、实际控制人进 行了书面核实，现就有关情况说明如下： 1、公司前期所披露的信息，不存在需要更正、补充之处。 2、公司未发现近期公共媒体报道了可能或已经对公司股票交易价格产生较大影响的未公开重大信息。 四、必要的风险提示 3、近期公司经营情况及内外部经营环境未发生重大变化。 1、经自查，公司不存在违反信息公平披露的情形。 4、公司、控股股东及实际控制人不存在关于公司的应披露而未披露的重大事项，或处于筹划阶段的重 大事项。 5、在公司本次股票异常波动期间，公司控股股东、实际控制人及其一致行动人不存在买卖公司股票的 情况。 6、公司不存在违反公平信息披露规定的情形 ...

4、经自查，公司、公司控股股东和实际控制人不存在关于公司的应披露而未披露的重大事项，或处于 筹划阶段的重大事项； 浙江世宝股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"） A股股票（证券代码：002703，证券简称：浙江世宝）连续 三个交易日（2025年12月24日、2025年12月25日、2025年12月26日）日收盘价格涨幅偏离值累计达到 +20%以上。 二、公司关注并核实相关情况说明 针对公司A股股票异常波动，公司董事会对有关事项进行了核查，现就有关情况说明如下： 1、截至本公告日，公司前期披露的信息不存在需要更正、补充之处； 2、公司未发现近期公共传媒报道了可能或已经对本公司股票交易价格产生较大影响的未公开重大信 息； 3、公司近期经营情况正常，内外部经营环境未发生重大变化； 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏。 一、股票交易异常波动的情况介绍 5、经自查，公司控股股东、实际控制人在公司股票交易异常波动期间不存在买卖公司股票的情形。 三、是否存在应披露而未披露信息的说明 四、风险提示 1、经自查，公司不存在违反信息公平披露的情形。 公司董事会确认，公司目前没有任何 ...

中国证券监督管理委员会2016年04月01日颁发给安盛投资管理有限公司(巴黎)(AXA Investment Managers Paris)流水号为：000000011048，统一社会信用代码为：RQF2016FRF176的经营证券期货业务 许可证(正副本)不慎遗失，声明作废。 安盛投资管理有限公司(巴黎) AXA Investment Managers Paris 2025年12月29日 特此公告。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The speculative trading of Guotou UBS Silver Futures LOF has reached a turning point, with significant price volatility leading to a rapid decline in premium rates, indicating a shift in investor sentiment towards more rational behavior [1][3]. Group 1: Price and Performance - The price of Guotou UBS Silver LOF surged significantly this year, with silver futures rising by 152%, and the fund's net asset value increasing by 42% by the end of Q3, reaching a historical high of 6.64 billion yuan [2]. - The fund's premium over net asset value peaked at nearly 70% before dropping to below 30% due to heavy selling from arbitrage investors [1][5]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Investor Behavior - The extreme volatility of Guotou UBS Silver LOF has educated investors about premium risks and the mechanics of fund arbitrage, highlighting the shortcomings in the public fund industry's innovative capabilities and risk management tools [1][6]. - The influx of arbitrage capital led to a significant increase in fund shares, with net inflows reaching 0.81 million, 1.04 million, 1.62 million, and 0.98 million shares on consecutive days, culminating in a historical peak on December 26 [4]. Group 3: Regulatory and Structural Issues - The fund management has implemented purchase limits to protect investors, reducing the maximum purchase amount for A and C class shares to 100 yuan and 1,000 yuan, respectively, in response to market conditions [3]. - The current public fund market lacks diverse and innovative products, which has contributed to the irrational speculation seen in Guotou UBS Silver LOF, suggesting a need for the industry to enhance its product offerings to meet investor demands [7].

Core Insights - The public fund investment methodology in the consumer sector is undergoing a significant transformation, moving away from traditional frameworks centered on leading brands to a focus on emerging consumer demands driven by the Z generation [1][2][3] Group 1: Consumer Trends - The Z generation, comprising over 260 million individuals in China, represents 20% of the total population but contributes 40% of consumer spending, driving a market worth over 5 trillion yuan [3] - This demographic prioritizes emotional value and product quality over price-performance ratio, leading to a rise in niche markets such as health products, pet care, and experiential consumption [2][3] - The shift in consumer behavior indicates a dual-track new normal in the consumption industry, characterized by rational material consumption and luxurious spiritual consumption [2][5] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Investment strategies should focus on high-growth sectors that align with the preferences of the Z generation, such as health food, beauty services, and innovative wellness products [4][6] - The recovery of high-end consumption is expected to accelerate, with a focus on sectors that require less capital investment and have optimized competitive landscapes [4][5] - Companies that possess strong local brand barriers and align closely with the new generation's consumption needs are likely to stand out in the evolving market landscape [3][6] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The consumer confidence index in China is showing signs of recovery, with a K-shaped recovery pattern emerging, where high-end consumption is rebounding faster than mid-to-low-end consumption [4][5] - The supply-demand dynamics in various sectors are shifting, with some areas experiencing oversupply while others are stabilizing, leading to a concentration of competition among leading brands [5][6] - The investment landscape is expected to benefit from the ongoing structural changes in consumer behavior, necessitating a reevaluation of traditional investment frameworks [7][8]

Core Viewpoint - The new consumption sector is experiencing a significant shift in investment logic, driven by the Z generation's willingness to pay for emotional and identity-related values, leading to a divergence in market perceptions and valuations [1] Group 1: Valuation Discrepancies - The essence of the current market divergence in new consumption stems from a clash between traditional consumption investment frameworks and emerging consumption models, leading to challenges in long-term value assessment [2] - New consumption assets have broken the traditional valuation anchor of 20-30 times PE, shifting from "stable" to "cyclical" attributes, with the sustainability of demand driven by emotional and social factors still in question [2] - The differences between new and traditional consumption models manifest across multiple dimensions, including supply chain dynamics, consumer motivations, and communication channels, indicating that future excess returns will come from companies that can precisely address niche demands [2] Group 2: Market Sentiment and Methodological Clashes - The lack of sustainable methodologies supporting "emotional value" has led to market skepticism, where funding factors often overshadow fundamentals, influencing short-term price volatility [3] - The divergence in cognitive frameworks has resulted in a stark contrast between bullish and bearish perspectives, with bullish investors focusing on growth potential and bearish investors prioritizing profitability stability and brand strength [3] Group 3: Investment Signals and Strategies - Investors are advised to focus on the rationality of valuations and the search for a new equilibrium, with key observations indicating that new consumption assets are currently valued reasonably, driven by performance rather than speculative bubbles [4] - The performance of new consumption sectors is influenced not only by individual stocks but also by overall market conditions, highlighting the importance of dynamic assessments of growth potential and market trends [5] - Strategies such as "consumption + overseas expansion" and "consumption + technology" are gaining traction, with a focus on global demand fulfillment and leveraging technological innovations to create new consumer needs [6] Group 4: Future Outlook and Investment Opportunities - Looking ahead to 2026, the new consumption sector is expected to return to its value roots, with a focus on companies that understand consumer needs and can convert short-term trends into long-term competitive advantages [7] - The low valuation environment presents potential investment opportunities, particularly in service consumption sectors that can stimulate employment and economic growth [7] - The emphasis on cost-effectiveness and the integration of emotional and health-related consumption trends are expected to remain significant areas for exploration in the new consumption landscape [7] Group 5: Core Logic of New Consumption Investment - The fundamental logic of new consumption investment revolves around identifying "true demand," with a focus on companies that can sustainably meet real consumer needs and build competitive barriers [8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the continuation of a more proactive fiscal policy in 2026, aiming to enhance precision and effectiveness in fiscal spending [1] - The expansion of total spending requires higher demands for the effective use of available financial resources, with experts predicting a larger fiscal spending scale in 2026, maintaining an "early start and quick use" approach [1][4] - Fiscal revenue is expected to recover due to stable economic growth, with tax revenue accounting for approximately 68% of total fiscal revenue in the first eleven months of 2025, driven by domestic consumption and improved corporate profits [2][3] Group 2 - The fiscal expenditure for 2026 is projected to maintain a front-loaded approach, with local government bond issuance plans indicating a scale of nearly 1.2 trillion yuan for the first quarter [4][5] - The issuance of replacement bonds and special bonds is expected to follow a sequence that prioritizes debt relief before investment, with a focus on balancing the issuance of various types of bonds [5] - To enhance local financial capacity, there is a need to increase transfer payment scales and improve their effectiveness, particularly in underdeveloped regions [6][7]

在美联储降息预期、各国央行加大贵金属储备，以及市场上投资性资金大量涌入的背景之下，2025年包 括黄金、白银在内的贵金属价格有望创出本世纪以来最大年度涨幅。 如果将金、银、铂、钯视为单纯的投资品种，从年内价格变动的情况来看，2025年以来金、银、铂、钯 等贵金属的价格涨幅远超同期铜、铝等基本金属的价格涨幅，也明显超过同期美股市场道琼斯工业指 数，以及同期A股市场上证指数涨幅。贵金属已成为2025年以来回报率最高的大类投资品种之一，2025 年俨然成为贵金属的投资"大年"。 白银价格受到工业需求和投资需求的双重影响。中信期货研究所宏观研究组资深研究员朱善颖不久前在 接受证券时报记者采访时指出，从世界白银协会的统计数据来看，白银的工业需求和投资需求之比约 6:4，白银在工业端的应用，集中在电子电器、光伏、钎焊料、摄影、银饰银器等领域，2021年后随着 光伏行业的爆发式增长，光伏用银成为近年来主要的需求增量。 值得注意的是，白银价格今年11月以来涨势有加速趋势，自今年11月以来不到两个月时间里伦敦银现货 价格累计涨幅已经超过60%。朱善颖此前在受访时认为， 白银价格自11月下旬以来大幅上涨，现货紧 张带来的挤仓交易 ...