Core Insights - The Senegalese Institute of Agricultural Research (ISRA) announced a total certified seed production of 102,340 tons for the 2025 dry season, covering varieties such as cowpeas, wheat, peanuts, rice, and sorghum [1] - Peanut seed production led significantly with 93,659 tons, reinforcing its central role in Senegal's national seed production program [1] Group 1: Production Challenges - The average peanut yield in Senegal is approximately 800 kilograms per hectare, while the official target is set at 2 tons per hectare, indicating a substantial gap that affects international competitiveness [1] - The Secretary General of the Ministry of Agriculture, Food Sovereignty, and Livestock emphasized that improving seed quality is crucial for achieving food self-sufficiency [1] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - The Senegalese government has prioritized the reconstruction of quality seed breeding systems as a strategic initiative [1] - There is a call for ISRA to enhance collaboration with seed producers and private processing companies to boost national seed production capacity [1]

Core Insights - The Netherlands' agricultural exports are projected to reach €137.5 billion in 2025, marking an 8.4% year-on-year increase, and this will be the tenth consecutive year of growth in agricultural exports [1] Export Market Analysis - The European Union remains the largest market for Dutch agricultural exports, with exports to Belgium expected to grow by 9% to €17.1 billion and exports to Germany projected to reach €34.6 billion, reflecting a 12% increase [1] Product Category Breakdown - Key export categories include: - Dairy products and eggs: €13.3 billion - Cocoa and cocoa products: €12.4 billion (fastest growth) - Horticultural products: €12.3 billion - Meat products: €12.1 billion - Fruits: €9.6 billion [1] Import Trends - Agricultural imports to the Netherlands are anticipated to be €95.1 billion in 2025, representing an 11.3% increase compared to 2024 [1] Price Influence - The growth in both agricultural exports and imports is primarily driven by rising prices [1]

Core Insights - The Senegalese Directorate General of Taxes and Public Assets (DGID) announced a projected fiscal revenue of 29.15 trillion West African CFA francs (approximately 5.16 billion USD) for 2025, representing an increase of 307 billion West African CFA francs from 2024, with a year-on-year growth rate of 12% [1] - The GDP growth rate for Senegal in 2025 is forecasted to be 7.8% [1] Revenue Structure - In 2025, the DGID's revenue is expected to account for 65% of Senegal's national fiscal revenue [1] - The amount of tax refunds processed for businesses in 2025 is projected to reach 89.8 billion West African CFA francs, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.5% [1] - Direct tax revenue is anticipated to increase by 123 billion West African CFA francs, with a year-on-year growth of 9.6%, while indirect tax revenue is expected to rise by 1.842 trillion West African CFA francs, marking a 14.5% increase [1] - Corporate income tax and related income taxes are projected to grow by 8%, domestic value-added tax is expected to increase by 20%, and revenue from state-owned properties (land and real estate) is forecasted to surge by 68.1% [1] Tax Administration Improvements - The DGID aims to enhance tax collection efficiency through measures such as improving taxpayer tracking mechanisms, promoting mobile payment convenience, and strengthening efforts against tax fraud and evasion [1] - The proactive response of businesses and residents to the national resource mobilization call is also contributing to the growth in tax revenue [1] Future Plans - In 2026, Senegal plans to continue implementing its economic and social recovery plan, advance tax law reforms, expand the tax base, and fully digitize tax, property, and land registration processes to sustain the momentum of tax revenue growth [1]

Core Viewpoint - The gold and silver markets have shown strong trading activity, with both metals reaching historical highs, but there was a slight decline in gold prices on January 16, 2026, due to profit-taking ahead of a long weekend in the U.S. [1] Group 1: Gold Market - The February 2026 gold futures price closed at $4601.10 per ounce, reflecting a decrease of 0.49% [1] - The World Gold Council reported that geopolitical uncertainties have contributed to a continued upward trend in gold prices, which rose nearly 6% in the first 13 days of the new year, setting five historical highs and surpassing the $4600 per ounce mark [1] - In December 2025, gold prices increased by 4.2%, culminating in a remarkable annual increase of 67% for the year, the highest since 1979 [1] - The next upward target for gold futures bulls is to break through the strong resistance level of $4750, while bears aim for a drop below the technical support level of $4400 [1] Group 2: Silver Market - The March silver futures price closed at $89.94 per ounce, down by 2.60% [1] - Silver futures bulls are looking to regain strength, with the next upward target set at breaking the strong technical resistance level of $100, while bears are targeting a drop below the strong support level of $80 [1]

上海石油天然气交易中心每周五对外发布"中国管道天然气现货价格"及各省份同期交付的管道天然气现货价格，遇节假日提前到节假 日前最后一个工作日发布。 | 交易日期 | 交付地区 | 交付月份 | 中国管道天然气现货价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 格(元/立方米) | | 2026 年 1 月 10 日至 16 日 | 全国 | 2026年1月 | 2.52 | 据介绍，"中国管道天然气现货价格"基于上海石油天然气交易中心的管道天然气现货交易价格，反映的是全国当月或下月交付的管道 天然气现货价格水平。 上海石油天然气交易中心16日消息，1月16日当周，上海石油天然气交易中心成交的2026年1月交付中国管道天然气现货价格为2.52元／ 立方米。 此外，上海石油天然气交易中心还将在每月底发布"中国管道天然气现货月度均价"。 据悉，上海石油天然气交易中心是在国家发展改革委、国家能源局直接指导下，由上海市人民政府批准设立的能源交易平台，是深化 国内油气价格市场化改革的重要支撑。 （文章来源：新华财经） ...

Group 1 - Canada will grant China an annual quota of 49,000 electric vehicles, which will enjoy a 6.1% Most Favored Nation tariff rate, with the quota increasing at a certain rate each year [1] - The Ministry of Commerce of China expects both countries' industries to seize opportunities for mutual benefit and win-win cooperation [1] - The State Council of China is focusing on boosting consumption and supporting new service consumption growth points, aiming to enhance service quality and consumer willingness [1] Group 2 - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is strengthening market monitoring and regulation to prevent excessive speculation and market manipulation [1] - The CSRC is drafting a trial management method for derivative trading, emphasizing prudent regulation and maintaining reasonable leverage levels in the derivatives market [1] - The market supervision authority approved the acquisition of Dole Group by American Axle Manufacturing with additional restrictive conditions to ensure fair competition in the automotive parts sector [2] Group 3 - TCL Zhonghuan signed a cooperation framework agreement to invest in a new energy project [4] - Huatai Hotel's controlling shareholder is planning a merger and reorganization, which may lead to a change in actual control [4] - Cheng Tian Wei Ye plans to raise no more than 800 million yuan through a private placement for liquid cooling system projects [4]

新华财经纽约1月16日电 由于市场担忧美联储新任主席带来的货币政策走向影响和围绕格陵兰岛可能出 现的贸易紧张，纽约股市三大股指16日高开低走，收盘全面下跌。 截至当天收盘，道琼斯工业平均指数比前一交易日下跌83.11点，收于49359.33点，跌幅为0.17%；标准 普尔500种股票指数下跌4.46点，收于6940.01点，跌幅为0.06%；纳斯达克综合指数下跌14.634点，收于 23515.388点，跌幅为0.06%。 美国总统特朗普16日表示，他可能会对那些不支持美国获得格陵兰岛计划的国家加征关税。 特朗普还表示，自己实际上想让白宫国家经济委员会（National Economic Council）主任凯文·哈西特 （Kevin Hassett）留在现有岗位上。市场分析人士认为，这一消息让美联储前理事凯文·沃什（Kevin Warsh）成为下任美联储主席的最主要竞争者，沃什的鸽派程度将低于哈西特。 美联储负责监管的副主席米歇尔·鲍曼（Michelle Bowman）当日则表示，美联储应该基于"有根据"的预 测，而非很多同僚支持的单纯依赖数据，进而采取前瞻性的货币政策。 鲍曼说，除非劳动力市场条件出现清晰 ...

华侨银行：新加坡2026年非石油出口增速或放缓至3% 花旗：上调马来西亚2026年GDP预测至4.3%，AI驱动出口成关键支撑 联博基金：全球"去美元化"趋势深化，建议增配新兴市场资产 【机构分析】 ·巴克莱经济学家指出，鉴于马来西亚经济展现出超预期的韧性，该国央行可能在今年5月加息25个基 点，将政策利率上调至3.0%。尽管3月前缺乏完整的2026年GDP预测数据，央行或倾向观望，但考虑到 其历史上采取预防性紧缩的倾向，不排除提前在3月启动加息。预计1月货币政策会议将维持利率不变， 但政策基调或转向偏紧缩，释放未来收紧信号。 ·花旗银行在最新报告中将马来西亚2026年经济增长预测从4.2%小幅上调至4.3%，理由是人工智能 （AI）驱动的强劲全球需求正持续推动该国电气和电子产品出口扩张，为整体经济提供有力支撑。 ·华侨银行经济学家指出，尽管新加坡2025年非石油国内出口实现4.8%的增长，但受外部环境趋弱及全 球货币政策宽松空间收窄影响，2026年出口增幅预计将明显回落至1%–3%区间。地缘政治与美联储独 立性风险暂未冲击市场情绪。当前宏观环境相对温和，尽管存在委内瑞拉、伊朗、格陵兰等地缘政治紧 张以及对美 ...

新华财经香港1月16日电（记者林迎楠）香港特区政府财政司司长陈茂波16日出席香港特区立法会财务 委员会特别会议时表示，对2026年香港发展持审慎乐观态度。除稳步推进经济发展外，要积极对接国 家"十五五"规划。 陈茂波指出，在地缘政治外围风险加剧的情况下，资本市场难免会出现大幅波动。"我们必须要审慎， 一方面要大力发展，同时也要统筹安全方面的工作，尤其是金融安全，防范'黑天鹅'或'灰犀牛'事件的 出现，确保金融稳定。" 对于乐观的原因，陈茂波表示，过去几个月经济发展的势头不错。同时，内地的政策空间非常充裕，经 济稳步增长，"这是香港经济增长的最大后盾，也为我们带来经济增长的动力。" 此外，陈茂波提到，市场预期2026年美国会减息。虽然减息次数未必多，但总体来说金融市场会变得较 为宽松，会有利于营商，也会有利于金融市场的发展。 "2026年其中一个重点，除了稳步推进经济发展外，就是对接国家的'十五五'规划。"陈茂波强调，香港 必须要更好融入和服务国家发展大局。 陈茂波举例说，"十五五"规划将继续鼓励高水平双向开放，有更多内地企业会出海，在全球布局其产业 链和供应链。"我们可以邀请他们在香港成立公司，与香港的专业服 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market in 2026 is expected to exhibit structural characteristics driven by leading companies and fundamentals, focusing on opportunities in cycles, technology, and pharmaceuticals, as well as the theme of companies going global [1][3]. Fundamental Drivers - The current global economic landscape is undergoing significant adjustments, with a focus on high-quality development in the domestic economy. The selection of stocks should meet four core criteria: potential returns, competitive barriers, short-term demand changes leading to growth, and significant long-term growth potential [2][3]. Market Outlook - The A-share market is anticipated to show a pronounced concentration of leading companies and fundamental-driven characteristics. This will manifest in three dimensions: a highly structured market favoring a few companies with real and sustainable performance; leading companies with strong barriers and growth; and a focus on fundamentals where market pricing will closely align with companies' growth capabilities over the next one to two years [3]. Opportunities in Segmented Fields - The investment team is exploring opportunities in segmented fields, particularly in cycles, technology, and pharmaceuticals. The focus on cycles is driven by the bottoming out of corporate capacity and policies promoting absolute capacity clearance, with demand supported by various factors including potential interest rate cuts overseas and strong infrastructure needs in emerging markets [4][6]. Specific Focus Areas - In the cyclical sector, four key areas are highlighted: non-ferrous metals, aluminum, lithium carbonate driven by energy storage, and chemical products with improving supply-demand dynamics. The technology sector remains a primary focus, with strong investment interest and clear demand signals emerging [6][7]. Pharmaceutical Sector Insights - The pharmaceutical industry is centered on innovation and global expansion, with significant potential in the innovative drug sector, particularly in dual-antibody and small nucleic acid therapies. The medical device sector is also gaining attention, especially in surgical robotics and AI applications in healthcare [7][8]. Global Expansion Strategy - The theme of "going global" is emphasized, focusing on companies capable of moving into high-value sectors and possessing brand strength and global competitiveness. Key selection criteria include capacity for overseas production, technological and brand capabilities, and cultural outreach [8][9]. Performance of Companies with Global Revenue - Companies with a higher proportion of overseas revenue tend to show greater resilience and growth potential. As the global manufacturing sector may enter a replenishment cycle, Chinese manufacturing firms with global competitive advantages are expected to expand their market share through international ventures [9].