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晚报 | 1月21日主题前瞻
Xuan Gu Bao· 2026-01-20 14:43
Urban Renewal - The Ministry of Natural Resources and the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development issued a notice to support urban renewal actions, allowing the use of existing land and property resources for national-supported industries with a transitional policy period of up to 5 years [1] - Galaxy Securities believes that with the implementation of policies and gradual reduction of housing inventory, the real estate market supply and demand will achieve balance, leading to a narrowing of the decline in new construction and completion [1] - Urban renewal is expected to become the main theme of future urban construction, with current expansion to 35 cities and potential for further pilot expansion [1] Gold Market - International gold prices reached a historic high, with futures and spot prices exceeding $4,700 per ounce due to tensions in US-EU trade relations [2] - Global geopolitical uncertainties and continued central bank purchases of gold are expected to support long-term gold price stability [2] - Silver prices also hit record highs, driven by demand from photovoltaic and new energy sectors, indicating a solid long-term support for silver prices [2] Agricultural Modernization - The agricultural sector in China still has room for improvement, with low crop output efficiency and declining agricultural production benefits for farmers [3] - The core direction of the 15th Five-Year Plan is to accelerate agricultural modernization and enhance overall production capacity and quality [3] - Biotechnology is identified as a key technology to empower agricultural modernization and achieve the goal of becoming an agricultural powerhouse [3] Inspection and Testing Instruments - The State Administration for Market Regulation announced plans to promote the domestic verification and evaluation of inspection and testing instruments by 2026, focusing on breaking foreign market monopolies [4] - The market for inspection and testing instruments in China is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 12.3%, potentially exceeding 480 billion yuan by 2030 [4] - The industry is expected to undergo a paradigm shift towards an ecological platform, driven by the integration of AI, IoT, and other advanced technologies [4] AI in Healthcare - Ant Group's AI health management application, Antifufu, has upgraded its PC version and launched the DeepSearch feature, providing professional services to medical professionals [7] - The application has over 30 million monthly active users and has established deep cooperation with 300,000 doctors and over 5,000 medical institutions [7] - The integration of AI capabilities is expected to significantly reduce the daily workload of healthcare professionals [7] Surgical Robots - The National Healthcare Security Administration issued guidelines for pricing surgical and treatment assistance services, covering various innovative medical technologies [8] - The surgical robot industry is experiencing rapid growth due to strong policy support and technological advancements, with the market expected to reach 9.59 billion yuan in 2024, a 33.8% increase [8] - The industry is projected to maintain a compound annual growth rate of over 16% from 2025 to 2030, with domestic penetration rates expected to rise from below 20% to over 40% [8]
1月20日晚间公告 | 利欧股份核查完成复牌;璞泰来等多家公司年报业绩大增
Xuan Gu Bao· 2026-01-20 12:10
Suspension and Resumption - Liao Co., Ltd. has completed the verification and resumed trading [1] - Kailong High-Tech is planning to acquire control of Jinwangda, resulting in stock suspension [2] External Investment and Daily Operations - Baili Tianheng's application for the marketing of iza-bren for the treatment of recurrent or metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma has been accepted and included in the priority review list, marking the first global application for an EGFR×HER3 dual antibody ADC [3] - Huadian Technology has signed a contract worth 374 million yuan for the first phase of a 1 million kilowatt wind-solar hydrogen production project in Inner Mongolia [4] - Jinma Amusement plans to raise no more than 1.05 billion yuan through a private placement for projects related to cultural tourism robots, IP empowerment, and park construction and operation [4] - Zhenyu Technology anticipates a significant increase in orders from the robotics sector by Q4 2025, particularly for dexterous hand components and assemblies [4] Performance Changes - Putailai expects a net profit of 2.3 billion to 2.4 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 93.18% to 101.58%, driven by significant increases in wet diaphragm and coating processing business volumes [5] - Hikvision anticipates a net profit of 14.188 billion yuan in 2025, an 18% increase year-on-year [6] - Chipbond expects a net profit of 275 million to 295 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth of 71.13% to 83.58% due to breakthroughs in high-end PCB and semiconductor fields [6] - Allwinner Technology forecasts a net profit of 251 million to 295 million yuan in 2025, a growth of 50.53% to 76.92% driven by increased market demand and new product launches [6] - Yanjing Beer projects a net profit of 1.58352 billion to 1.74187 billion yuan in 2025, a growth of 50% to 65% year-on-year [7] - Zhongshi Technology expects a net profit of 330 million to 370 million yuan in 2025, a growth of 63.86% to 83.73% due to increased shipments of thermal materials and components [7] - Yutong Optical anticipates a net profit of 240 million to 280 million yuan in 2025, a growth of 30.75% to 52.54% driven by increased business volume in various optical components [7] - Tonghuashun expects a net profit of 2.735 billion to 3.282 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth of 50% to 80% due to increased activity in the domestic capital market [7] - Tongfu Microelectronics projects a net profit of 1.1 billion to 1.35 billion yuan in 2025, a growth of 62.34% to 99.24% driven by structural growth in the global semiconductor industry [8] - Northeast Securities anticipates a net profit of 1.477 billion yuan in 2025, a growth of 69.06% due to increased investment and wealth management income [8]
龙虎榜复盘丨高标股持续“A字杀”,化工、地产等迎来局部回暖
Xuan Gu Bao· 2026-01-20 10:36
Group 1 - Institutional trading today featured 44 stocks, with 24 seeing net purchases and 20 experiencing net sales [1] - The top three stocks with the highest institutional purchases were Vision China (CNY 112 million), Cangzhou Dahua (CNY 104 million), and Hunan Silver (CNY 80.82 million) [1] - Vision China saw a price decline of 5.77%, while Cangzhou Dahua experienced a price increase of 10% [2] Group 2 - Hunan Silver had a net purchase of CNY 80.82 million from four institutions [3] - On January 20, silver prices reached a new historical high of USD 94.726 per ounce, marking a year-to-date increase of over 31% [3] - In the chemical sector, prices for certain products, such as epoxy propylene, increased by 7.9% week-over-week [3]
【大涨解读】存储:海外存储大厂缩减产能维持利润,大模型还将迎来“记忆”时刻,行业紧张态势延续全年
Xuan Gu Bao· 2026-01-20 03:30
Market Overview - The storage sector saw a significant increase in early trading, with Baiwei Storage rising over 8%, and other companies like Tongfu Microelectronics, Purun Co., and Langke Technology also experiencing substantial gains [1][2]. Company Performance - Baiwei Storage (688525.SS) reported a price of 190.50, with an increase of 8.68% and a turnover rate of 7.26% [2]. - Tongfu Microelectronics (002156.SZ) had a price of 51.57, up by 7.01%, with a turnover rate of 9.80% [2]. - Langke Technology (300042.SZ) saw its stock rise by 5.30%, reaching a price of 31.21 [2]. - SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics, which together account for over 60% of NAND capacity, are reducing their flash memory production to maximize profits, potentially exacerbating supply shortages [3]. Industry Trends - Micron Technology indicated that the shortage of storage chips is expected to persist due to increased demand from AI infrastructure, with supply constraints likely to continue until 2026 [3][4]. - The global storage industry is shifting towards a "high profit, stable price, weak cycle" operational model, with DDR4 and DDR5 spot prices rising approximately 10% in the first half of January [3][4]. - The price of 16GB memory modules has surged from over 300 yuan a year ago to over 1100 yuan, reflecting a 2-3 times increase in other specifications [3]. Future Outlook - The storage industry's high demand is anticipated to drive growth in semiconductor equipment and materials companies, with domestic companies like Changxin Technology progressing in their IPOs, which may further expand capital expenditures [4]. - The introduction of new technologies, such as NVIDIA's memory storage platform, is expected to maintain the tight supply conditions in the storage sector, indicating a strong sustainability of the industry's super cycle [4][5].
1月20日早餐 | 贵金属再度走强
Xuan Gu Bao· 2026-01-20 00:02
先看海外要闻: 大家早上壕! 美股休市;泛欧股指跌超1%创两月最大跌幅,ASML跌4%,LVMH跌超4%。 马斯克称推动特斯拉转型为机器人公司,估值将达25万亿美元。 OpenAI CFO披露2025年算力1.9GW、首次年入突破200亿美元,三年内实现收入增10倍、算力提升9.5倍。报道:OpenAI计划2026年发布首款设 备。 消息称苹果iPhone 18 Pro系列将成首款支持5G卫星通信智能手机 2、何小鹏:用汽车标准研发的ET1版本第一台机器人顺利落地。 今日券商策略前瞻: 光大证券指出,沪指小幅收涨,释放出初步企稳的信号,同时,管理层及央媒集体释放出"稳字当头"的信号,预计接下来指数或将以震荡为主, 结构性行情有望延续。 德国重启电动汽车购车补贴。 COMEX黄金期货涨1.77%,最终报4676.70美元/盎司;COMEX白银期货涨6.49%,最终94.280美元/盎司;现货铂金涨1.55%,报2377.09美元/盎 司;现货钯金涨2.13%,报1841.80美元/盎司。 报道称特朗普"私信"欧方扬言不再只考虑"和平"、美必须控制格陵兰,公开讲话时拒绝说明是否会以武力夺取,称若未就该岛问题达成协 ...
PCB材料驱紧,日系大厂大幅上调价格
Xuan Gu Bao· 2026-01-19 23:29
Group 1 - Resonac announced a price increase of over 30% for copper-clad laminates (CCL) and adhesive films starting March 1, due to tight supply and soaring raw material prices [1] - The CCL industry is experiencing a tight supply-demand balance, with AI industry driving high-end material demand, leading to a potential increase in both volume and price [1] - Shengyi Technology has initiated a price increase in October 2025, with expectations of further price adjustments in Q1 2026 due to rising upstream copper prices and material costs [1] Group 2 - Shengyi Technology plans to expand high-performance CCL production with an investment of 4.5 billion [2] - Defu Technology's subsidiary signed a cooperation agreement with a leading domestic CCL company to supply high-end electronic circuit copper foil products for the 2026 fiscal year [2]
欧洲关税扰动,白银期货再度大涨超5%,基本面也有支撑条件
Xuan Gu Bao· 2026-01-19 23:15
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that precious metals, particularly silver, are experiencing a resurgence due to overseas events such as the "Greenland Tariff," with silver futures and spot prices rising over 5% overnight [1] - From a fundamental perspective, the silver market has maintained a global shortage since 2021, driven by rigid supply characteristics and an increasing demand base [1] - The demand elasticity for silver is expected to accelerate due to advancements in the AI industry and the re-industrialization overseas, indicating that the fundamental drivers for silver prices will likely persist [1] Group 2 - Major leading companies in the A-share market include Xinyi Silver and Tin, as well as Shengda Resources [2]
“史上最长春节假期”催热旅游市场,板块望迎来业绩与估值双重修复
Xuan Gu Bao· 2026-01-19 14:43
Group 1 - The travel market is experiencing a surge in demand as the Spring Festival approaches, with student flight bookings increasing over 20% year-on-year since January [1] - Cross-border travel demand has exploded, with outbound travel service bookings rising nearly 40% and inbound travel flight bookings increasing over four times in the last two weeks [1] - High-end hotel bookings for the Spring Festival have surged nearly 70% year-on-year, indicating a growing demand for quality travel experiences [1] Group 2 - The government has emphasized expanding domestic demand and boosting service consumption, which is expected to benefit the travel sector, particularly OTA, hotels, and scenic spots [2] - The tourism sector is currently valued at historical lows, and the extended Spring Festival combined with visa-free policies is likely to lead to a dual recovery in performance and valuation [2] Group 3 - Junting Hotel is focusing on a light-asset strategy and expanding its brand influence through partnerships, while the opening of hotel REITs presents new opportunities for optimizing its asset structure [3] - China Duty Free Group, a leader in the duty-free market, is expanding its city duty-free store operations and implementing an integrated "airport + city store" model to enhance customer conversion rates [3]
钨价持续上涨,钨战略金属价值重估进行时
Xuan Gu Bao· 2026-01-19 14:37
Industry Overview - Tungsten prices are showing a steady upward trend, with 65% black tungsten concentrate prices increasing by 2000 yuan to 512,000 yuan per standard ton, reflecting an 11.3% rise since the beginning of the year [1] - 65% white tungsten concentrate prices also rose by 2000 yuan to 511,000 yuan per standard ton, marking an 11.3% increase year-to-date [1] - Ammonium paratungstate (APT) prices increased by 5000 yuan to 755,000 yuan per ton, representing a 12.7% rise since the start of the year [1] - Other tungsten varieties have also experienced varying degrees of price increases [1] Legislative Impact - A bipartisan group of U.S. Congress members has introduced the "2026 Ensuring Critical American Resources and Elements Minerals Act," proposing a $2.5 billion "Strategic Resilience Reserve" to establish a national reserve of critical minerals, including tungsten, which is prioritized due to its importance in military applications [1] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The domestic tungsten market is facing multiple supply disruptions, including reduced available mining quotas, decreased shipments from tungsten mines at year-end, and unstable import volumes [1] - Overseas supply from Vietnam is decreasing, with no new mines expected in the short term, while the EU and the U.S. have classified tungsten as a strategic metal, leading to increased demand [1] - Analysts suggest that the tungsten industry is entering a potentially multi-year upcycle, with related listed companies expected to see sustained performance improvements [1][2]
卫星互联网组网加速,行业步入快速发展期
Xuan Gu Bao· 2026-01-19 14:30
Industry Overview - China's satellite internet is entering a new phase of accelerated networking and industrialization, with the formation of satellite constellations such as GW constellation and Qianfan constellation [1] - The number of satellite launches in China is expected to increase significantly in 2026, supported by private commercial rocket companies that will complement national efforts to meet high-frequency launch demands [1] Company Developments - Guobang Electronics is capable of mass-producing active phased array T/R components and a series of RF integrated circuit products, with ongoing product development in low Earth orbit satellites and commercial aerospace [2] - Shaanxi Huada has enhanced its products for the second phase of the StarNet project, providing various components such as RF connectors, RF components, micro-rectangular connectors, high-speed connectors, harnesses, and fiber optic components, with increasing value per satellite [2]