今日周五(1月9日)亚盘时段，现货白银目前交投于76.59一线上方，今日开盘于76.91美元/盎司，截至发 稿，现货白银暂报76.80美元/盎司，下跌0.21%，最高触及77.49美元/盎司，最低下探75.45美元/盎司， 目前来看，现货白银盘内短线偏向看跌走势。 无论特朗普选择谁，下任美联储主席都将接手一个正处于关键时刻的机构，该机构正处于总统为大幅降 低利率而发起的空前猛烈的施压行动的中心。 预测市场Kalshi显示，凯文.沃什当选美联储主席的概率目前为41%、凯文.哈塞特为39%，克里斯托弗. 沃勒12%。 【最新现货白银行情解析】 周四白银跌破关键的50%回撤水平77.05美元。这一走势带来的下行动能使市场处于测试74.03美元上升 趋势线的位置。该指标自11月21日的主要低点48.64美元以来一直为上涨趋势提供支撑。尽管趋势线首 次被测试时可能出现技术性反弹，但一旦跌破，将使上一个摆动低点70.07美元重新成为焦点。今日白 银下方关注74.55美元或73.20美元支撑，上方关注78.00美元或79.30美元阻力。 【要闻速递】 美国总统特朗普在接受《纽约时报》专访时表示，他已决定提名谁担任下一任美联 ...

Group 1 - The price of silver (TD) is currently trading above 18,457, having opened at 18,245 and is reported at 18,705, down 1.97% with a high of 18,872 and a low of 17,830, indicating a short-term oscillating trend [1] - The U.S. Treasury Secretary, Mnuchin, announced the cancellation of certain sanctions against Venezuelan entities, aiming to stabilize the existing structure in Venezuela [1] - Mnuchin stated that the U.S. Treasury will oversee the sale of Venezuelan assets and return the proceeds to Venezuela, while independent oil companies are interested in investing in Venezuela, although major oil companies may act more cautiously [1] Group 2 - The silver (TD) price experienced a drop of over 5% yesterday, marking two consecutive days of decline, with the current price continuing to fall and remaining in negative territory [2] - The one-hour MACD histogram indicates strong bearish momentum, suggesting a potential for further declines, although the shortening histogram indicates a possible increase in rebound [2] - Key support levels for silver (TD) are noted between 16,500 and 17,500, while resistance levels are identified between 18,500 and 19,000 [2]

二、桂林银行应要求上述核准任职资格人员严格遵守国家金融监督管理总局有关监管规定，自桂林银行 政许可决定作出之日起3个月内到任，并按要求及时报告到任情况。未在上述规定期限内到任的，本批 复文件失效，由决定机关办理行政许可注销手续。 三、桂林银行应督促上述核准任职资格人员持续学习和掌握经济金融相关法律法规，牢固树立风险合规 意识，熟悉任职岗位职责，忠实勤勉履职。 一、核准肖崇政桂林银行钦州分行副行长的任职资格。 2026年1月5日，钦州金融监管分局发布批复称，《桂林银行股份有限公司关于肖崇政任职资格审核的请 示》（桂林银行报〔2025〕318号）收悉。经审核，现批复如下： ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the ongoing fluctuations in silver futures, with current trading above 18362, opening at 18200, and a temporary report of 18580, reflecting a 1.70% decline [1] - The highest and lowest points for silver futures today were 18850 and 17803 respectively, indicating a short-term oscillating trend in the market [1] - Market sentiment has cooled, leading to a retreat in silver prices, with the domestic sentiment still under downward pressure, suggesting a continued oscillating trend [3] Group 2 - U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin has called for the Federal Reserve to continue lowering interest rates, emphasizing that lower rates are essential for stronger economic growth [2] - Mnuchin stated that the economic foundation laid by Trump's tax legislation, trade agreements, and deregulation will yield returns by 2026 [2] - The Treasury Secretary is also involved in the selection process for candidates to succeed Powell as Fed Chair after his term ends in May [2]

Group 1 - The international silver market is currently trading above $76.96, with a recent price of $77.22, reflecting a 0.34% increase, and has seen a high of $77.49 and a low of $75.45 during the session [1] - The U.S. non-farm payroll report for December 2025 is expected to show a net increase of 60,000 jobs, with average hourly earnings projected to rise by 0.3% month-over-month and 3.6% year-over-year, while the unemployment rate is anticipated to slightly decrease to 4.5% [2] - The labor market in the U.S. is expected to continue the trend of "low hiring, low layoffs" as the latest employment data is released, following delays caused by the government shutdown [2] Group 2 - Traders have high confidence that the Federal Reserve will pause its rate-cutting cycle this month, with significant changes in expectations only likely if the labor market shows notable deterioration [2] - The market's reaction to the upcoming employment data release may be limited, especially with the U.S. Supreme Court potentially making a ruling on President Trump's "emergency" tariffs shortly after the data is published [2] - The silver market experienced fluctuations, opening at $78.275, dropping to a low of $73.804, and closing at $76.98, forming a long lower shadow hammer candlestick pattern, indicating potential bullish sentiment [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the current trends in the silver market and the cooling labor market in the U.S., indicating potential implications for monetary policy and investment strategies in precious metals [1]. Group 1: Silver Market Analysis - As of January 9, paper silver is trading above 17.157, with an opening price of 17.236 CNY per gram, reflecting a 1.39% increase [1]. - The highest price reached 17.246 CNY per gram, while the lowest was 17.271 CNY per gram, suggesting a short-term bullish trend in paper silver [1]. - The price movement indicates a potential for further upward momentum, with support levels identified between 16.00 and 17.30, and resistance levels between 17.50 and 18.00 [1]. Group 2: U.S. Labor Market Indicators - Recent indicators show a cooling labor market in the U.S., with initial jobless claims rising to 208,000, and continuing claims increasing significantly to 1.914 million, indicating structural weakness [1]. - Job openings in November fell more than expected, and private sector job growth was below forecasts, reflecting a challenging employment landscape [1]. - The number of announced layoffs in 2025 surged by 58%, reaching a five-year high, particularly in the federal government and technology sectors, attributed to AI integration and cost-cutting measures [1]. Group 3: Economic Productivity and Federal Reserve Outlook - Third-quarter labor productivity growth reached a two-year high, suggesting that companies are achieving more output through existing employees, characteristic of a "jobless economic expansion" [1]. - The Federal Reserve faces a balancing act between weakening employment and persistently high inflation, with limited likelihood of significant rate cuts in the short term, although long-term easing expectations remain [1].

美国国会预算办公室(CBO)周四预测，美联储今年可能进一步小幅降息，以"应对劳动力市场的下行风 险"。 今日周五(1月9日)亚盘时段，伦敦银目前交投于77.32一线下方，今日开盘于76.91美元/盎司，截至发 稿，伦敦银暂报77.03美元/盎司，上涨0.09%，最高触及77.49美元/盎司，最低下探75.45美元/盎司，目 前来看，伦敦银盘内短线偏向看跌走势。 另外，市场目前普遍预计美联储2026年将降息两次，这与美联储内部部分分歧形成对比——12月会议 上，美联储暗示今年仅降息一次，但交易员认为劳动力市场信号将推动更多宽松。 【要闻速递】 【最新伦敦银行情解析】 CBO指出，更高的关税以及特朗普政府减税政策带来的消费需求增长预计将使通胀率高于美联储2%的 目标。CBO在其最新的经济展望中表示，目前利率成本在3.5%至3.75%的区间内，预计第四季度将降至 3.4%，并维持在该水平直至2028年。 CBO预测，美国失业率今年将降至4.6%，并在2028年降至4.4%；而美联储青睐的PCE通胀率今年将降 至2.7%，并在2028年降至2.1%。 周四在确定74止跌后，给出了74.5做多看涨，虽然有部分利润，但前 ...

二、中国工商银行应要求上述核准任职资格人员严格遵守金融监管总局有关监管规定，自中国工商银行 政许可决定作出之日起3个月内到任，并按要求及时报告到任情况。未在上述规定期限内到任的，本批 复文件失效，由决定机关办理行政许可注销手续。 三、中国工商银行应督促上述核准任职资格人员持续学习和掌握经济金融相关法律法规，牢固树立风险 合规意识，熟悉任职岗位职责，忠实勤勉履职。 2025年12月31日，云南金融监管局发布批复称，《中国工商银行（601398）股份有限公司关于刘江同志 拟任云南省分行副行长任职资格核准的申请》（工银函〔2025〕156号）收悉。经审核，现批复如下： 一、核准刘江中国工商银行股份有限公司云南省分行副行长的任职资格。 ...

Core Viewpoint - China Agricultural Bank (601288) announced a scheduled maintenance of its production systems to enhance service efficiency, which will temporarily affect various banking services [1] Group 1: Service Interruptions - From January 10, 23:00 to 23:20 and January 11, 0:20 to 0:40, several services including mobile banking, online platforms, and customer service systems will experience a one-time service suspension lasting no more than 10 minutes each [1] - From January 10, 23:00 to January 11, 2:00, personal mobile banking and online banking services will face multiple instances of slow transaction speeds, with each instance lasting no more than 1 minute [1] Group 2: Customer Communication - The bank expressed apologies for any inconvenience caused and encouraged customers to plan their banking activities accordingly [1] - Customers can reach out to the bank's customer service hotline at 95599 for assistance during this maintenance period [1]

二、中国光大银行应要求上述核准任职资格人员严格遵守金融监管总局有关监管规定，自中国光大银行 政许可决定作出之日起3个月内到任，并按要求在到任后10日内报告到任情况。未在上述规定期限内到 任的，本批复文件失效，由湛江金融监管分局办理行政许可注销手续。 三、中国光大银行应督促上述核准任职资格人员持续学习和掌握经济金融有关法律法规，牢固树立风险 合规意识，熟悉任职岗位职责，忠实勤勉履职。 2026年1月6日，湛江金融监管分局发布批复称，《中国光大银行（601818）广州分行关于核准王会超同 志任职资格的请示》（光银广字〔2025〕250号）收悉。经审核，现批复如下： 一、核准王会超中国光大银行股份有限公司湛江分行行长的任职资格。 ...