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送别李步云:一生两件事,法治与人权
经济观察报· 2026-01-27 10:42
十一届三中全会后,各界都要解放思想,冲破禁区。摆在法学 界眼前的主要问题,就有人治与法制、政策与法律、法制与民 主等。很少有人敢直接尝试给出回答。而李步云就是那个"敢 开第一腔"的人。 作者:刘晓诺 封图:本报资料室 2026年1月25日11时许,在北京八宝山人民公墓,气温约在零度,天光与云皆淡。穿黑衣的人们 人手一束白菊花,站成几十米长的数路长队,送别法学家李步云。 郭道晖等著名法学家、全国各地法学会与司法机关都献来花圈。由于花圈和挽联太多,告别仪式比 预计晚了20多分钟才开始。 2026年1月21日7时11分,李步云在北京病逝,享年92岁。他是中国法治和人权理论的开拓者和 奠基人之一,首批"全国杰出资深法学家",中国社会科学院荣誉学部委员、法学研究所研究员, 曾参与"八二宪法"的制定。他与江平、郭道晖齐名,被尊称为"法治三老"。 "征战沙场身许家国及天下 倾情学术力倡法治与人权"。灵堂前这幅挽联,概括了李步云的一生。 1933年8月,李步云出生在湖南娄底。1949年,还在念中学的李步云就曾帮助地下党员,秘密印 刷《新民主主义论》。在抗美援朝战争中,李步云两次立功。1952年6月,敌人的一颗炸弹落在 了李步 ...
解读2025年全球裁员潮:AI还不是关键因素
经济观察报· 2026-01-27 10:42
Core Viewpoint - AI is transforming the way companies employ labor, but it is not necessarily the main driver behind the current wave of layoffs. Instead, AI serves as a narrative framework for structural adjustments within companies while also being a significant force in productivity transformation [1][6]. Group 1: Layoff Trends - A massive layoff wave is expected globally by 2025, affecting various sectors from tech giants to traditional manufacturing and finance. The true drivers behind these layoffs include economic slowdown and strategic restructuring rather than solely AI [2][4]. - In the U.S., approximately 153,074 layoffs were announced in October 2025, marking one of the worst months in over 20 years. By the end of November 2025, total layoffs reached around 1.17 million, the highest since the COVID-19 pandemic [2]. - AI-related layoffs accounted for only about 4% to 5% of total layoffs in the U.S., indicating that economic pressures and strategic realignments are more significant factors [3][6]. Group 2: Regional Differences - In Europe, layoffs are primarily attributed to cost control, profit pressure, and business restructuring, particularly in the automotive and manufacturing sectors [4]. - In China, layoffs are closely linked to macroeconomic adjustments and structural changes, with youth unemployment rates remaining high. The layoffs are driven by economic slowdown and industry cycles rather than a clear AI factor [5]. Group 3: AI's Role in Employment - AI is reshaping job structures, particularly affecting roles in customer service and support. However, the broader causes of layoffs remain economic conditions and strategic business decisions [6][10]. - AI is expected to create new talent demands, with job postings related to AI increasing by approximately 78% in 2025, while the talent pool only grew by 24% [11]. Group 4: Skills and Training - The future workforce will require a combination of skills, including the ability to learn continuously, understand business deeply, and collaborate effectively. These meta-skills will be crucial in the AI era [14][15]. - Companies that invest in employee reskilling and development tend to perform better in terms of innovation and long-term competitiveness compared to those that focus solely on layoffs [19][20]. Group 5: Organizational Change - Successful companies are not just reducing headcount but are also investing in employee skill upgrades and organizational restructuring to adapt to technological changes [20][21]. - The focus should be on optimizing processes and reallocating talent to higher-value roles rather than merely cutting jobs, as this approach supports long-term growth and productivity [21].
合资车企2025筑底:三条路径暗藏变数
经济观察报· 2026-01-27 10:42
2025年的合资品牌不再是清一色的颓势,反而是"亮点"颇 多。 作者: 刘晓林 封图:图虫创意 变化已经在发生。2025年的合资品牌不再是清一色的颓势,反而是"亮点"颇多:大众"油"升"电"降,全力保利益,且一汽-大众开始启动出口业务;上汽通 用、北京现代分别借"一口价"和出口触底反弹,实现两位数增幅;南北丰田在凭混动技术化解转型挑战的同时,还以一款纯电车型——铂智3X登上合资新 能源销量榜首;而福特、日产、本田和马自达等合资公司则因转型节奏滞后,还没摆脱销量下挫的局面。 销量成绩背后,合资品牌的"中国答案"并不完全统一。虽然在"中国速度"、"中国技术"、"中国管理人才"等方面达成共识,但从大众汽车集团的重资产投 资,到上汽通用拿到本土产品权限,再到二线合资品牌看似"权宜之计"的新技术路线,合资车企的本土化战略已呈现分化状态。这些差异在刷新各品牌竞争 力的同时,也让接下来的合资品牌格局有了多重可能性。 2025年:合资车企筑底 综合各车企已公布的数据,2025年实现合资品牌乘用车增长的企业只有两个:丰田和现代起亚。丰田汽车2025年在华销售了178万辆汽车,比2024年的 177.6万辆微增了0.23%。但南 ...
印度尼帕病毒致死率最高100% 但人传人几率小
经济观察报· 2026-01-27 09:10
受此影响,周边国家纷纷提高警惕,泰国和尼泊尔已相继加强针对来自印度旅客的卫生筛查措施。 尼帕病毒最让人恐惧的特征是其极高的致死率。在不同的暴发 中,致死率波动在40%至75%之间,某些局部疫情甚至能达 到100%。致死率如此之高的原因包括,它主要攻击人的大脑 和肺部两个关键系统、广泛的细胞受体、免疫逃逸和特效药的 缺乏。 作者:张铃 封图:图虫创意 据新华社1月26日报道,印度东部西孟加拉邦近日暴发尼帕病毒(Nipah virus)疫情,已确认5 例感染病例,近100人被隔离观察。感染者正在该邦首府加尔各答及周边医院接受治疗,其中一名 患者病情危重。 据世界卫生组织(WHO)介绍,尼帕病毒是一种人畜共患病毒,可通过受感染的动物(如蝙蝠或 猪)或受这些被感染动物唾液、尿液和排泄物污染的食物传染给人类,少数情况下也可人际传播。 近两天,作为一名长期关注人畜共患病的传染病学研究者,复旦大学附属华山医院感染科副主任王 新宇经常被问到:"这(尼帕病毒)是一种新病毒吗?""我们该有多担心?" 1月26日,王新宇在国家传染病医学中心、复旦大学附属华山医院感染科官方微信公众号"华山感 染"上发文称,根据WHO和多国疾控中心的 ...
“买买买”!万亿黄金巨头拟280亿收购非洲三座大型金矿
经济观察报· 2026-01-27 03:36
具体来看,紫金矿业控股的紫金黄金国际有限公司(下称"紫金黄金国际"或"买方",公司持有其 85%股权,股票代码为2259.HK)与Allied Gold Corporation(下称"联合黄金",多伦多证券 交易所和纽约证券交易所两地上市,股票代码为AAUC)签署《安排协议》,紫金黄金国际拟以 44加元/股的现金价格,收购联合黄金全部已发行的普通股,收购对价共计约55亿加元(约合人 民币280亿元)。 联合黄金连亏两年 公告披露,联合黄金是一家总部位于加拿大的黄金矿业公司,于2023年9月在多伦多证券交易所 上市,2025年6月在纽约证券交易所上市。联合黄金核心资产包括在产的马里Sadiola金矿、科特 迪瓦金矿综合体(含Bonikro和Agbaou金矿),及将于2026年下半年建成投产的埃塞俄比亚 Kurmuk金矿。 除了紫金矿业之外,国内其他矿业公司也纷纷在全球开启并购 动作。 作者:蔡越坤 封图:图虫创意 2025年金价一路狂飙,A股黄金板块万亿市值龙头紫金矿业(601899.SH)宣布拟并购三座非洲 大型金矿。 2026 年 1 月 26 日 晚 间 , 紫 金 矿 业 发 布 《 紫 金 矿 业 集 ...
北京一“胖改”永辉暂停营业 已非首例
经济观察报· 2026-01-26 15:20
Core Viewpoint - Yonghui Supermarket continues to face significant profitability pressure, with a projected net loss of 2.14 billion yuan in 2025, compared to a net loss of 1.47 billion yuan in the previous year, marking the fifth consecutive year of losses [1][5]. Group 1: Store Operations and Challenges - The Yonghui Supermarket store at Hongkun Plaza in Beijing, which underwent a "fat modification" and reopened less than a year ago, has now suspended operations. The store was reported to be closed on January 23, 2025, due to disputes over unpaid rent and other fees [2][3]. - The property management of Hongkun Plaza stated that Yonghui Supermarket had not paid any rent or related fees since the store's renovation was completed on March 28, 2025, and has not communicated with them regarding the closure [3]. - This incident is not isolated, as another Yonghui Supermarket in Fuzhou, which was also modified to follow the "fat model," closed just four months after reopening, indicating ongoing operational challenges [4]. Group 2: Strategic Adjustments and Market Position - The "fat modification" strategy, inspired by the successful model of another supermarket chain, aims to enhance product quality, improve shopping experiences, and optimize store layouts. Yonghui Supermarket has been implementing this strategy since May 2024, with 315 out of 403 stores having completed the modifications by the end of 2025 [4].
老外:“走,去中国看病划算”
经济观察报· 2026-01-26 14:07
来中国看病的外国人远没有到"扎堆"的地步。经济观察报记者 走访了多家头部医院的国际部,几乎没有看到外国人。有学者 指出,国际医疗旅游还在萌芽期。 作者: 刘晓诺 等 封图:受访者供图 1月17日,英国人Sabrina在上海做过视力检查后,来到西安参观了她30年前就想看的兵马俑,终 得一窥2200年前的中国。 得益于签证政策放宽,Sabrina在1月初首次来华旅游,第一站是复旦大学附属耳鼻喉医院。 Sabrina想做近视手术,在英国看过两次门诊都不满意,想听中国医生的建议。 中国医院让她印象最深的是诊疗效率。 "在英国,如果我们没有预约就去医院,可能要等好几个小时甚至好几个月,才能见到医生,这取 决于我们离失明有多接近。每次预约都在不同的日期,我们每次都要回答大约30个问题,大部分 是重复的,还要一遍遍做同样的血液、尿液、血压检查。"她说。 Sabrina到复旦大学附属耳鼻喉医院时,是上午11点,还有余号,医护人员很快帮她挂了号、做检 查,当天17点她就可以离开医院了。医生建议她先不做手术,并把检查资料都给了她,以便她日 后咨询英国医生。 此后,Sabrina继续旅行。除了西安,她还去了丽江和香格里拉,实现了她 ...
GDP突破万亿,温州如何留住“出走”的温州人?
经济观察报· 2026-01-26 14:07
Core Viewpoint - Wenzhou is facing dual challenges of attracting and retaining population while striving to achieve its goal of reaching a permanent population of 10 million and a GDP of over 1 trillion yuan by 2025 [1][14]. Economic Growth and Goals - Wenzhou's GDP is projected to reach 1,021.39 billion yuan by 2025, with a growth rate of 6.1%, surpassing both the national and Zhejiang provincial averages [2]. - Wenzhou aims to become the third "trillion city" in Zhejiang, following Hangzhou and Ningbo, and the 28th in the country [2]. - The city has set a "double trillion" development goal since 2019, focusing on both GDP and population growth [2][3]. Historical Context and Challenges - Historically, Wenzhou's economy thrived on traditional industries such as electrical equipment, footwear, and clothing, but has faced challenges since 2000 due to a shift towards real estate and a subsequent debt crisis in 2011 [5][6]. - The city has seen a decline in its economic ranking, being overtaken by cities like Suzhou and Hangzhou, which has intensified the urgency to reclaim its status [7]. Industrial Transformation - Wenzhou is focusing on industrial transformation to return to a more robust economic base, with initiatives to strengthen traditional industries and develop new sectors like artificial intelligence and digital economy [6][9]. - The manufacturing sector remains a core driver, with significant growth in automotive parts and electrical industries, as well as emerging sectors like high-tech and digital industries [9]. Population Dynamics - As of 2024, Wenzhou's permanent population is 9.852 million, just short of the 10 million target, with a need for improved strategies to attract and retain residents [14][15]. - The city has historically lost population to other provinces, necessitating a focus on creating a more attractive living environment and job opportunities [15][16]. Innovation and Talent Attraction - Wenzhou is facing challenges in innovation capacity, with lower R&D investment compared to other cities in Zhejiang, highlighting the need for improved talent attraction and capital investment [16][17]. - The city is prioritizing artificial intelligence as a key area for innovation, aiming to build a significant AI industry cluster by 2027 [9][18]. Infrastructure and Policy Support - Improvements in transportation infrastructure and urban quality are critical for Wenzhou's growth, enhancing its connectivity within the Yangtze River Delta [12]. - The establishment of national-level innovation and economic zones is expected to provide a supportive environment for business and economic development [12].
俄乌和平进程到底卡在哪儿
经济观察报· 2026-01-26 14:07
2月24日或之前能否实现和平(停火)不好预测,但是,与上 一年相比,推动俄乌和平的氛围要好一些。 作者:王义伟 封图:东方IC 战争会在你想开始的时候开始,但不会在你想结束的时候结束。 2022年2月24日,俄罗斯对乌克兰发起特别军事行动,俄乌冲突爆发。之后,冲突爆发2周年、3 周年之际,都有专家学者预测冲突结束的可能性,结果均事与愿违。 现在,这场冲突即将届满4周年,和平进程又有了新进展。1月23日和24日,俄罗斯、乌克兰和美 国的代表在阿联酋首都阿布扎比举行了三方会谈。这是关键三方首次坐在了一起。此轮会谈结束 后,美国总统特使威特科夫通过社交媒体表示会谈"非常具有建设性",并透露三方计划继续磋 商。 和平的希望再度出现了。 那么,2月24日俄乌冲突4周年之际或之前,俄乌和平能实现吗? 笔者认为,2月24日或之前能否实现和平(停火)不好预测,但是,与上一年相比,推动俄乌和平 的氛围要好一些。 首先,是欧洲(欧盟)的心气不如以前旺盛了。 在特朗普强力调解俄乌冲突、并减少了对乌援助之后,欧盟领导层一度志气满满,认为即使美国不 援助乌克兰了,欧盟也可以顶上去。此前美国与俄罗斯、乌克兰分别谈判时,欧盟不甘心被晾在一 ...
妙可蓝多回应免职创始人柴琇:对她提请仲裁追诉1.29亿元
经济观察报· 2026-01-26 10:32
妙可蓝多表示,自2025 年1月以来,公司董事会、董事会基 金工作组、董事长及部分高级管理人员多次通过口头沟通、书 面函件等形式多次敦促承诺人柴琇履行基金事项相关承诺,但 柴琇未能履行承诺。 作者:张晓晖 封图:图虫创意 2026年1月23日,上海妙可蓝多食品科技股份有限公司(600882.SH,下称"妙可蓝多")召开第 十二届董事会第十九次会议。这次会议本来应该有9名董事出席。但是在妙可蓝多1月25日晚间发 布的公告显示,该会议有一名董事缺席。 妙可蓝多于2018年6月(蒙牛入主之前)向并购基金缴付了全部认缴出资人民币1亿元,后公司于 2020年4月22日从并购基金取得一次金额1400万元的现金收益分配。截至2024年12月31日,经 审计的公司对并购基金的出资所形成的其他非流动金融资产账面价值为1.29亿元。 缺席者是妙可蓝多创始人、副董事长兼总经理柴琇,柴琇同时还是妙可蓝多的法定代表人。当日董 事会的一项重要议案,是免去柴琇的副董事长、总经理和法定代表人的职务。 妙可蓝多在公告中称,公司未在规定期限内收到董事柴琇的书面表决票,也未收到柴琇委托其他董 事出席本次会议的相关文件,根据公司《董事会议事规则》等 ...