电子行业周报 AI 推理+国产化双主线，持续关注端侧 变化 2025 年 12 月 10 日 【行情回顾】 【本周观点】 AI 推理主导创新，看好推理需求导向的 Opex 相关方向，主要为：存储+ 电力+ASIC+超节点。 1、存储：随着长江存储新产品和长鑫的 HBM3 等最新产品逐渐突破，叠 加数据中心对于 SSD 及 HBM 需求快速提升导致供需错配，激发了长存及 长鑫扩产动能。我们判断明年有望是两存扩产大年，建议重点关注国产存 力产业链的整体机会： 3、 ASIC:看好 ASIC 推理全栈模式，预期未来 ASIC 份额提升，关注 国内外主要 CSP 厂商： 4、超节点:预计未来机柜模式会迭代，看好高速互联、机柜代工、液冷散 热、PCB 等需求增长： 高速互联：澜起科技、万通发展、盛科通信； 机柜代工：工业富联； 挖掘价值 投资成长 强于大市（维持） 本周市场整体上涨，电子行业表现好于市场整体。本周沪深 300 指 数上涨 1.28%，上证指数上涨 0.37%，深证成指数上涨 1.26%，创 业板指上涨 1.86%。申万电子指数上涨 1.09%，在 31 个申万行业中 涨幅排名第 13。今年以来，申万电子 ...

非银金融行业动态点评 12 月 6 日，证监会主席吴清在证券业协会第八次会员大会上提出，将 "对优质机构优化评价指标、适度拓宽资本空间与杠杆上限"，为券商 行业"适度加杠杆"打开了政策空间，有望进一步推动行业做优做强， 打造具有国际竞争力的一流投资银行。 【评论】 挖掘价值 投资成长 政策松绑助力扩表，看好券商高质量发 展 2025 年 12 月 08 日 【事项】 强于大市（维持） 东方财富证券研究所 证券分析师：王舫朝 证书编号：S1160524090005 联系人：汪筠婷 相对指数表现 -20% -12% -4% 4% 12% 20% 2024/12 2025/6 2025/12 非银金融 沪深300 相关研究 《中金拟吸收合并东兴信达，行业格局加 速重塑》 2025.11.24 《社融增速放缓，政策预期或升温》 2025.11.20 《证券行业：聚焦"大而强"与"小而美"， 以改革促高质量发展》 2025.11.18 《关税调整公布，市场整体上涨》 2025.11.10 《关税缓和利好信心修复，非银业绩有望 提振估值》 2025.11.05 行 业 研 究 / 非 银 金 融 / 证 券 研 究 报 ...

Group 1 - The potential for national income doubling is expected to open a "golden decade" for new consumption development, with a theoretical target of nearly doubling per capita GDP by 2035, from $13,300 in 2024 to approximately $20,000 [16][17][33] - The growth of the middle-income group is crucial for driving consumption, with a target of over 800 million middle-income individuals in the next 15 years, which will significantly influence the scale and quality of domestic consumption [42][49] - The report emphasizes the importance of promoting common prosperity to activate domestic consumption potential, highlighting that increasing the income of low-income groups can effectively convert new income into consumption [20][23][49] Group 2 - The beauty and personal care sector is expected to see growth driven by new materials in the medical beauty segment, with companies like Lepu Medical focusing on innovative materials that fill market gaps [4][5][15] - The beauty industry is entering a low-growth phase, where brand group operations and market share enhancement will be critical for sustainable growth, with companies like Mao Ge Ping and Shangmei Holdings being highlighted for their potential [4][5][15] - The pet care market is experiencing both consumption upgrades and intensified competition, with a focus on high-end, health-oriented products [4][5][15] Group 3 - The service consumption sector, particularly tourism and sports, is expected to benefit from policy encouragement, with companies like Sanxia Tourism and Lansi Co. being recommended for investment [4][5][15] - The report notes that the tourism sector is poised for growth due to increased interest in flexible vacations and the aging population, which is expected to drive demand for river cruises [4][5][15] - The sports service sector is highlighted as a core growth area, with event-driven economic activities expected to boost related industries [4][5][15] Group 4 - The IP and trendy toy market is entering a new phase with a surge in supply, and companies like Pop Mart are expected to maintain their leading positions through effective IP management [4][5][15] - The report indicates that the emergence of new designers and retail platforms is likely to sustain high demand for IP products, with a focus on companies that can effectively monetize potential IP [4][5][15] Group 5 - The gold and jewelry sector is facing short-term demand pressure due to tax reforms and seasonal fluctuations, with a focus on brands that can maintain pricing power amid these changes [5][15]

电子行业周报 挖掘价值 投资成长 高通与华为新发布新品，持续看好算力 存力 2025 年 12 月 05 日 【行情回顾】 本周市场整体上涨，电子行业表现好于市场整体。本周沪深 300 指 数上涨 6.05%，上证指数上涨 1.4%，深证成指数上涨 3.56%，创业 板指上涨 4.54%。申万电子指数上涨 6.05%，在 31 个申万行业中涨 幅排名第 2。今年以来，申万电子指数上涨 30.63%，排名 4/31。 【本周观点】 国产算力方向：从供给侧看，国内先进制程良率&产能爬升，推动国产算力 芯片供给侧将有较大幅度改善，从需求侧看，国内 CSP 厂商商业化模式逐 渐明朗，AI 相关资本开支持续向上，同时国内模型也在持续迭代，有望带 动国产算力在训练侧的放量需求，建议重点关注国产算力产业链的整体机 会： 国产存力方向：从需求侧看，随着大模型持续推出，对于 DRAM、NAND 的需求将大幅提升。供给侧看，明年随着长江存储新产品和长鑫的 HBM3 等最新产品逐渐突破，叠加数据中心对于 SSD 及 HBM 需求快速提升导致 供需错配，激发长存及长鑫扩产动能。我们判断明年有望是两存扩产大年， 建议重点关注国产存力产 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [5]. Core Views - The company is positioned for growth driven by the expansion of smart low-speed electric vehicles and proactive engagement in the humanoid robot sector [4][5]. - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth, with projections of 38.08 billion, 49.38 billion, and 58.5 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 27.94%, 29.66%, and 18.47% [5][6]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Established in 2015, the company focuses on smart low-speed electric vehicles and special vehicles, suitable for various age groups and scenarios. It plans to gradually enter the robotics field by 2025 [4][19]. - As of Q3 2025, the controlling shareholder holds 67.41% of the company's shares, indicating stable ownership. The management team has a strong engineering background, fostering innovation in product development [4][19]. Short-term Outlook - The company is expected to leverage its overseas production capacity and the anticipated high growth of golf carts. It aims to capture market share in the C-end family market and gradually expand into B-end clients [4][5]. - Compared to traditional competitors in North America, the company benefits from a high-quality supply chain and efficient production processes, which enhance its competitive edge [4]. Mid-term Outlook - The company is focused on product upgrades and market expansion, with optimistic growth expectations for all-terrain vehicles (ATVs). It ranks second in ATV exports in the first half of 2025 [4][5]. - The company is developing larger displacement products and has begun mass production of 350cc ATVs, with 500cc ATVs in small batch trials, targeting the North American market [4][5]. Long-term Outlook - The company is actively exploring opportunities in the robotics sector, aiming to integrate robotics into its manufacturing processes to address high labor costs in the U.S. [4][5]. - Strategic partnerships with leading companies in the robotics industry are being pursued to enhance growth potential in this area [4][5]. Industry Analysis - The global electric low-speed vehicle market is projected to grow significantly, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25.3% from 2024 to 2029, driven by increasing demand in North America [11][44]. - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on this growth, particularly in the golf cart segment, which is expected to see substantial demand due to the increasing number of golf courses and the shift towards electric vehicles [11][44]. Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow from 29.77 billion yuan in 2024 to 38.08 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 27.94% [5][6]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 8.08 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 87.3% [5][6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Add" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook based on industry conditions and growth potential [2][5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 3.217 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7.47%, with a net profit of 410 million yuan, up 12.56% year-on-year. However, Q3 revenue decreased by 12.17% quarter-on-quarter due to price declines and demand fluctuations [4][5]. - The demand for chromium products is expected to recover post-September, which may lead to a rebound in prices. The average market price for chromium increased by 10,000 yuan to 77,500 yuan per ton by October 30, 2025, reflecting a 29.17% increase since the beginning of the year [4][5]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for high-temperature alloys in both domestic and international markets, particularly in aerospace and energy sectors, which is expected to drive up the prices of chromium and upstream chromium salts [4][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.027 billion yuan, a 2.13% increase year-on-year but a 12.17% decrease quarter-on-quarter. The net profit for Q3 was 112 million yuan, down 9.15% year-on-year and 38.17% quarter-on-quarter [4][5]. - The company’s total market capitalization is approximately 20.036 billion yuan, with a 52-week price range of 33.20 to 11.60 yuan [4]. Industry Outlook - The report highlights a significant increase in the demand for chromium due to the rapid growth of high-temperature alloys, with a projected export volume of 22,551 tons for 2024, an 86% increase year-on-year [4][5]. - The company is also involved in a restructuring project that is expected to enhance its production capacity, potentially reaching 410,000 tons per year for chromium salts [4][5]. Profit Forecast - The profit forecast for the company indicates a net profit of 610 million yuan in 2025, 850 million yuan in 2026, and 1.028 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding EPS of 0.86 yuan, 1.20 yuan, and 1.45 yuan respectively [5][6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for the company, indicating a positive outlook relative to the market index [2][5]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 68% in the third quarter [1]. - The company has received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission for the acquisition of the power group, which is expected to enhance its operational scale and profitability [1][4]. - The company’s revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 21.303 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 9.71%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 752 million yuan, down 10.69% year-on-year [4]. - The company’s coal-fired power generation costs decreased by 12.54% year-on-year, which helped mitigate the decline in electricity prices and generation volume [4]. - The acquisition is projected to increase the company’s revenue and net profit by 19.38% and 75.06% respectively post-transaction [4]. Financial Summary - Total market capitalization is 14.107 billion yuan, with a 52-week high of 4.38 yuan and a low of 3.08 yuan [4]. - The company’s projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 25.659 billion yuan, 26.448 billion yuan, and 28.320 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of -14.53%, 3.07%, and 7.08% respectively [5][6]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period is expected to be 880.6 million yuan, 968.48 million yuan, and 990.08 million yuan, with growth rates of 2.66%, 10.05%, and 2.23% respectively [5][6]. - The company has committed to distributing cash dividends of no less than 75% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for the years 2025-2027 [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the utility sector, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in this industry [3]. Core Insights - The utility sector has shown significant performance differentiation among its sub-sectors in the first three quarters of 2025, with the environmental protection segment demonstrating notable cash flow improvements [1][37]. - The report highlights the transition of thermal power from a reliance on electricity volume to a focus on capacity and regulation, enhancing profitability stability [2]. - The environmental sector's cash flow has improved significantly, particularly in solid waste and water management, driven by macroeconomic policy support and operational efficiency [38]. Summary by Sections 1. Utility Sector Overview - The utility sector achieved total revenue of CNY 16,911.85 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 1.99%. The power sector's revenue was CNY 14,562.73 billion, down 2.21%, while the gas sector's revenue was CNY 2,349.12 billion, down 0.64% [15]. - The sector's net profit attributable to shareholders reached CNY 1,858.70 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3.39%, with the power sector's net profit at CNY 1,756.23 billion, up 3.90% [15]. 1.1 Thermal Power - The thermal power sector's revenue for the first three quarters was CNY 9,064.68 billion, down 3.08%, but net profit increased by 15.83% to CNY 711.23 billion due to reduced fuel costs [19]. - In Q3 2025, thermal power revenue was CNY 3,333.75 billion, with a net profit of CNY 270.72 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 35.59% [19]. 1.2 Hydropower - Hydropower revenue for the first three quarters was CNY 1,487.60 billion, up 1.56%, with net profit at CNY 513.22 billion, an increase of 3.30% [21]. - Q3 2025 saw hydropower revenue of CNY 608.51 billion, with net profit of CNY 250.84 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 3.41% [21]. 1.3 Nuclear Power - Nuclear power revenue reached CNY 616.35 billion, up 8.16%, but net profit fell by 10.42% to CNY 80.02 billion due to market pressures [24]. - The total net electricity generation from nuclear power increased by 6.06% in the first three quarters [24]. 1.4 Renewable Energy - The wind power sector generated revenue of CNY 1,080.90 billion, down 2.34%, with net profit decreasing by 11.85% to CNY 220.31 billion [28]. - The solar power sector's revenue was CNY 261.04 billion, down 16.55%, but net profit increased by 55.77% to CNY 29.04 billion [32]. 1.5 Gas Sector - The gas sector's revenue was CNY 2,349.12 billion, down 0.64%, with net profit decreasing by 4.61% to CNY 102.47 billion due to weak demand [34]. 2. Environmental Protection Sector Overview - The environmental protection sector achieved total revenue of CNY 2,677.92 billion, up 3.28%, but net profit fell by 5.47% to CNY 244.73 billion [37]. - Cash flow in the solid waste management sector improved significantly, with operating cash flow reaching CNY 198.72 billion, a year-on-year increase of 28.94% [38]. 2.1 Solid Waste Management - Solid waste management revenue was CNY 1,166.97 billion, up 4.52%, with net profit slightly increasing to CNY 118.89 billion [39]. 2.2 Water Management - Water management revenue was CNY 852.02 billion, up 1.39%, but net profit decreased by 10.81% to CNY 107.18 billion [39].

公 司 研 究 / 基 础 化 工 / 证 券 研 究 报 告 华鲁恒升（600426）财报点评 华鲁恒升：价差承压致业绩环比下滑， 新项目放量助力远期增长 2025 年 11 月 27 日 【投资要点】 25Q3 受价差环比持续收窄及气化炉装置停产检修影响，业绩环比下 滑。产销方面：醋酸及衍生物产量 39.71 万吨，销量 40.34 万吨（同 比+8.79%，环比+0.05%）；肥料产量 155.29 万吨，销量 139.44 万吨 （同比+34.85%，环比-6.11%）。价差方面：Q3 尿素/醋酸/DMF/碳酸 二甲酯/己二酸/己内酰胺价差环比变化-18.6%/-21.1%/-5.1%/+2.1%/- 2.3%/-9.6%。 增持（维持） "一体两翼""双航母"布局日益完善，气化炉技改及新产能陆续放量 有望推动公司业绩持续增长。2024 年，公司荆州基地 100 万吨/年尿 素、100 万吨/年醋酸、15 万吨/年 DMF 及 15 万吨混甲胺项目以及德 州本部高端溶剂项目持续放量，推动公司"一体两翼""双航母"布局日益 完善。2024 年，公司建成投产了 20 万吨/年己二酸项目，蜜胺树脂单 体材料 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][6] Core Views - The company has shown steady performance with a revenue increase of 8.69% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 13.972 billion yuan [5] - The introduction of a new humanoid robot product is expected to enhance the company's position in the smart logistics sector, potentially leading to increased automation in logistics scenarios [5] - The company is expanding its global network, with a focus on local production and global market penetration, which is expected to improve operational efficiency [5] Financial Summary - The total market capitalization is approximately 33.02 billion yuan, with a 52-week high of 30.11 yuan and a low of 16.81 yuan [4] - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve revenues of 18.136 billion yuan, a growth of 10.01%, and a net profit of 2.211 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 9.35% [6][7] - The company's gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 23.48%, an increase of 0.47 percentage points year-on-year [5] Earnings Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 18.136 billion yuan, 19.953 billion yuan, and 22.011 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 2.211 billion yuan, 2.420 billion yuan, and 2.664 billion yuan [6][7] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 1.69 yuan, increasing to 2.03 yuan by 2027 [7][12]