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固定收益部市场日报-20251022
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2025-10-22 08:14
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints - The report provides a comprehensive update on the fixed - income market, including bond price movements, new issues, and macro - economic news. It maintains a buy recommendation on the FAEACO 12.814 Perp bond, which has gained about 20 pts in the past two weeks [2]. - SoftBank Group's new bond issues are analyzed, with estimated fair values for SOFTBK 61s and SOFTBK 65s at around 7.6% and 8.4% respectively [4][8][9]. 3. Section - by - Section Summaries Trading Desk Comments - Yesterday, the TW lifers/BBLTB sub curve/HYUELE curve/PETMK curve tightened by 1 - 3 bps. There were two - way flows on JP/KR/AU front - end FRNs from PBs [2]. - Japanese insurance hybrids and AT1s edged 0.1 pt firmer with light flows, while Yankee AT1s opened cautiously in London. BNP papers recovered after a previous plunge [2]. - Chinese IG benchmarks tightened by 1 - 2 bps. In Greater China higher - beta space, NWDEVL 28 - 31s were up 0.6 - 1.5 pts, but NWDEVL Perps were down 0.3 - 1.3 pts. FAEACO 12.814 Perp gained 0.4 pt [2]. - In Chinese properties, VNKRLE 27 - 29s decreased by 0.4 - 0.6 pt after Moody's downgrade. YUZHOU 27 lost 0.7 pt. In Southeast Asia, VLLPM 27 - 29s led the space and rose 3.2 - 4.4 pts [2]. - In LGFV space, there were mixed, light two - way flows. RMs and AMs were topping up IG USD and AAA - guaranteed issues, and flows on higher - yielding papers were sporadic [3]. Morning Update - This morning, the new ASBBNK 4.155 30 tightened 1 bp from initial issuance at T + 60, and ASBBNK Float 30 tightened 10 bps from RO at SOFR+90. The new GSCCOR 4.25 30 tightened 1 bp from pricing at T + 77 [4]. - The new GEZHOU 4.25 Perp traded up to 0.1 pt higher with light flows. SOFTBKs were unchanged, and LGELECs were unchanged after S&P revised the outlook of LG Electronics to positive from stable [4]. Top Performers and Underperformers - Top performers included VLLPM 7 1/4 07/20/27 (price 69.2, change 4.4) and NWDEVL 4 1/2 05/19/30 (price 72.7, change 1.5). Top underperformers included NWDEVL 5 1/4 PERP (price 48.8, change - 1.3) and YUZHOU 7 06/30/27 (price 12.0, change - 0.7) [5]. Macro News Recap - On Tuesday, the S&P was flat (+0.00%), the Dow rose 0.47%, and the Nasdaq fell 0.16%. UST yields were lower, with 2/5/10/30 - year yields at 3.45%/3.56%/3.98%/4.55% [7]. Desk Analyst Comments on SoftBank - SoftBank Group proposes to issue 35.5NC5.5 and 40NC10 Reg S USD subordinated bonds (S&P: B+) and 37NC7 EUR subordinated bonds for general corporate purposes [8]. - The fair value of the new SOFTBK 61 (first call Apr'31) is estimated at around 7.6% vs IPT at 7.875% - 8%, and for the new SOFTBK 65 (first call Oct'35) at around 8.4% vs IPT at 8.5% - 8.625% [9]. - The bonds have step - up mechanisms, and will receive 50% equity credit from S&P and JCR until the first reset date. SoftBank has a track record of calling its bonds on the first call date [10]. - In Jun'25, SoftBank's investment portfolio was valued at about USD269.6 bn, with 76% in listed shares (about USD205 bn). It held cash of about USD25.3 bn and standalone net debts of about USD45.9 bn, with an LTV ratio of 17.0% [11][12]. - While it has completed refinancing for the current fiscal year, there is a medium - term refinancing requirement in 2028 - 31, but it has access to diverse funding channels [12]. Offshore Asia New Issues - Priced new issues include ASB Bank (USD500/300 mn, 5 - year, 4.155%/SOFR+90), China Energy Overseas Investment (USD100/100 mn, 3 - year/PerpNC5, 3.8%/4.25%), GS Caltex Corporation (USD300 mn, 5 - year, 4.25%), and Republic of Kazakhstan (USD1500 mn, 5 - year, 4.412%) [16]. - Pipeline new issues include Avation Plc, China Three Gorges Corporation, Softbank Group, and The Republic of Korea with various tenors and coupon rates [17]. News and Market Color - Yesterday, there were 158 onshore credit bonds issued with an amount of RMB156 bn. Month - to - date, 910 credit bonds were issued with a total amount of RMB889 bn, a 31.1% yoy increase [18]. - S&P revised the outlook of LG Electronics to positive from stable, and the Republic of Indonesia is looking to price 5 - year/10 - year dim sum bonds tomorrow [18]. - Other corporate news includes S&P revising the outlook of Japfa Comfeed to stable from negative, NWD denying LME on perps, San Miguel obtaining a USD1.5 bn syndicated loan, Sun Hung Kai Properties announcing a USD10 bn debt instruments issuance programme, and Woodside Energy's 9M25 oil and gas output rising 5% yoy [25].
每日投资策略-20251022
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2025-10-22 04:01
Global Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 26,028, up 0.65% for the day and 29.75% year-to-date [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.36% to 3,916, with a year-to-date increase of 16.84% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.76% to 2,463, showing a year-to-date rise of 25.83% [1] - The US markets showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones up 0.47% and the S&P 500 unchanged, while the Nasdaq fell by 0.16% [1] Sector Performance - The Hang Seng Financial Index rose by 1.06% to 45,270, with a year-to-date increase of 28.84% [2] - The Hang Seng Industrial and Commercial Index increased by 0.52% to 14,826, reflecting a year-to-date rise of 31.79% [2] - The Hang Seng Real Estate Index slightly decreased by 0.05% to 18,358, with a year-to-date increase of 23.10% [2] Capital Flows and Stock Performance - Southbound capital recorded a net inflow of HKD 1.17 billion, with notable net purchases in Pop Mart, Xiaomi, and Hua Hong Semiconductor [3] - Pop Mart's Q3 revenue is expected to grow by 245%-250% year-on-year, with overseas revenue increasing by 365%-370% [3] - A-shares in hardware equipment, semiconductors, and industrial trade showed strong gains, while coal, telecommunications, and household goods lagged [3] Economic and Policy Developments - The Chinese Commerce Minister held talks with EU officials to address semiconductor issues, emphasizing the importance of maintaining global supply chain stability [3] - Japan's new Prime Minister, Kishida, may influence the Bank of Japan to delay interest rate hikes, with market expectations for an October rate increase dropping to 25% [3] US Market Insights - US stock performance was mixed, with consumer discretionary, industrials, and healthcare sectors leading gains, while utilities, communication services, and materials declined [3] - Strong Q3 earnings reports have boosted investor sentiment, with 86% of companies exceeding earnings expectations [3] - Notable stock movements included significant gains for Coca-Cola and 3M, while Netflix faced a decline due to lower-than-expected earnings [3] Commodity and Currency Trends - US Treasury yields fell, while the dollar index continued to rise [3] - Gold and silver prices dropped amid reduced geopolitical tensions, although speculative long positions in these metals have increased [3] - Oil prices rebounded as the White House announced plans to purchase 1 million barrels for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve [3]
每日投资策略-20251021
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2025-10-21 02:06
Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 25,859, up 2.42% for the day and 28.91% year-to-date [1] - The US stock market saw the Dow Jones increase by 1.12%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose by 1.07% and 1.37% respectively [1] - The Nikkei 225 index in Japan surged by 3.37%, reaching a historical high [3] Group 2: Sector Performance - In the Hong Kong market, the Hang Seng Financial sector rose by 1.92%, while the Hang Seng Industrial sector increased by 2.79% [2] - The Hang Seng Technology sector outperformed with a 3.00% increase, reflecting strong performance in selected consumer and technology stocks [3] - The Australian stock market saw a 0.41% increase in the ASX 200 index, indicating a stable performance [1] Group 3: Economic Insights - China's economic growth is expected to slow down, with a projected GDP growth rate of 5% for the year and a potential drop to 4.6% by Q4 2025 [4] - The People's Bank of China is anticipated to implement further monetary easing, including a possible 50 basis points reserve requirement ratio cut and a 10 basis points interest rate reduction [4] - The implementation of anti-involution policies may temporarily hinder economic growth but is expected to promote long-term economic rebalancing and alleviate deflationary pressures [4] Group 4: Company Analysis - Yancoal Australia (3668 HK) reported a 9% decrease in production for Q3 2025 due to adverse weather conditions, while sales increased by 3% [5] - The average coal price for Yancoal Australia fell by 18% year-on-year, leading to a projected revenue of approximately AUD 1.48 billion, a 17% decline compared to the previous year [5] - Despite the short-term challenges, Yancoal Australia maintains a "Buy" rating due to its strong balance sheet and stable dividend policy [5]
招银国际焦点股份-20251020
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2025-10-20 09:02
Group 1: Stock Recommendations - 吉利汽车 (Geely Auto) has a target price of HKD 32.00, with a current market value of USD 24.8 billion and a PE ratio of 19.01[5] - 零跑汽车 (Leap Motor) is rated as a buy with a target price of HKD 80.00, showing a potential upside of 35%[5] - 极兔速递 (J&T Express) has a target price of HKD 58.00, with a market value of USD 11.7 million and a PE ratio of 11.7[5] Group 2: Performance Overview - The basket of 25 stocks listed in the previous report had an average return of -3.9%, compared to the MSCI China Index return of -3.6%[10] - Out of the 25 stocks, 11 stocks outperformed the benchmark index[10] - The report includes a total of 25 long positions, indicating a diverse investment strategy[10]
招银国际每日投资策略-20251020
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2025-10-20 01:49
Market Overview - The global stock markets experienced mixed performance, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 25,247, down 2.48% for the day but up 25.86% year-to-date [1] - The US markets showed slight gains, with the Dow Jones up 0.52% and the S&P 500 up 0.53% [1] - The Chinese stock market saw significant declines, particularly in healthcare, consumer discretionary, and industrial sectors, while defensive sectors like telecommunications and utilities outperformed [3] Sector Performance - In the Hong Kong market, the Hang Seng Financial Index fell by 1.72% while the Hang Seng Industrial Index dropped by 3.04% [2] - The healthcare sector in Hong Kong led the declines, indicating a potential shift in investor sentiment towards defensive stocks [3] Investment Opportunities - The software and IT services industry is highlighted for its potential investment opportunities, particularly in companies that are enhancing their strategic collaborations and commercializing AI applications [4] - Specific companies to watch include Alibaba (BABA US), Baidu (BIDU US), Tencent (700 HK), and Kuaishou (1024 HK) for their strong growth in cloud services and AI-related revenues [4] - In the engineering machinery sector, a recovery in non-earthmoving machinery sales in September suggests the beginning of an upward cycle, with companies like Zoomlion (1157 HK), Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH), and Hengli Hydraulic (601100 CH) recommended for investment [4] Economic Indicators - The Chinese ETF market has seen a net inflow of nearly 90 billion yuan since the National Day holiday, indicating a trend of investors buying on dips, particularly in technology and high-dividend sectors [3] - The Chinese central bank is expected to maintain a loose monetary policy, with potential rate cuts anticipated in November or December [3]
招银国际每日投资策略-20251017
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2025-10-17 02:11
Company Analysis - iQIYI (IQ US; Buy; Target Price: $2.70) is expected to have total revenue in Q3 2025 remain flat quarter-on-quarter, with a year-on-year decline of 8% to 6.64 billion yuan, supported by a strong content reserve leading to a 3% quarter-on-quarter growth in membership business [2] - The non-GAAP operating loss for iQIYI in Q3 2025 is projected to be 23 million yuan, compared to operating profits of 369 million yuan and 59 million yuan in Q3 2024 and Q2 2025 respectively, primarily due to adjustments in non-core businesses and increased content investment during the summer peak season [2] - The revenue forecast for FY25-27 remains largely unchanged, but the non-GAAP operating profit forecast has been adjusted down by 0.4-2% to account for increased content investment [2] Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index closed at 25,889, down 0.09% for the day but up 29.06% year-to-date, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell 1.18% for the day but is up 34.36% year-to-date [2] - The A-share market saw gains, with coal, banking, and industrial trade sectors leading the rise, while steel, building materials, and non-ferrous metals lagged [4] - Southbound capital recorded a net inflow of 15.82 billion HKD, with Zijin Mining, Xiaomi, and Alibaba seeing the largest net purchases, while SMIC, Giant Biogene, and Laopu Gold experienced significant net sales [4]
固定收益部市场日报-20251016
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2025-10-16 07:17
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints - The Chinese property market shows signs of slight improvement, with the decline in contracted sales in 9M25 narrowing compared to 8M25, and more developers reporting year - on - year increases in September 2025. However, overall sales are still down significantly year - on - year [8][9][10]. - China's social financing flow beat market expectations, but its growth remained weak, and government bond issuance slowed down. Credit demand in the real economy was subdued, and the central bank is likely to maintain ample liquidity and support credit growth with expected cuts in LPR and RRR in 4Q25 [4][12][13]. - China's CPI marginally recovered due to a rebound in food prices, core CPI rose, and PPI narrowed its contraction. Demand - side stimulus and supply - side restructuring are needed to support economic recovery, and a policy easing window is expected in 4Q25 [17][18][19]. Summary by Directory Trading Desk Comments - Yesterday, spreads of some bonds tightened or widened, such as KEBHNB Float 28/KEBHNB 30 tightening 3 - 5bps, KOROIL/HYUELE/HYNMTR belly bonds tightening 1 - 3bps, and PKX widening 1 - 2bps. Japanese AT1s and insurance hybrids firmed, while UBS bonds faced selling [2]. - In Greater China, higher - beta credits like NWDEVLs rose, MTRC perps increased, and some names in Macau gaming also went up. However, LASUDE 26 lost points, and some Chinese property bonds had price changes [2]. - This morning, Asia IG names were 1 - 2bps wider overall, and some bonds like VNKRLE 29/IHFLIN 28/FAEACO 12.814 Perp increased in price, while others decreased [4]. Chinese Properties - In 9M25, the contracted sales of 31 developers dropped 18.5% year - on - year to RMB1,285.6bn. Only 2 state - owned developers reported year - on - year increases, while several others had significant declines [9]. - In September 2025, 31 developers reported contracted sales of RMB136.3bn, a 9.9% year - on - year decrease from RMB151.3bn in September 2024. Nine out of 31 developers reported year - on - year increases in contracted sales, up from 4 in August 2025 [8]. China Economy Credit Weakness with Liquidity Easing - Social financing flows beat market expectations, but outstanding social financing growth edged down to 8.7% in September from 8.8% in August. Government bond issuance contracted, and corporate bond issuance continued to recover [13]. - New RMB loans remained subdued, with growth of outstanding RMB loans edging down to 6.6% in September. Credit demand in the household and corporate sectors was weak [14]. - The central bank is likely to maintain ample liquidity and support credit growth, with expected 10 bps LPR cut and 50 bps RRR cut in 4Q25 [16]. Mild Reflation in Upstream Sectors - China's CPI YoY recovered to - 0.3% in September from - 0.4% in August, and core CPI rose to 1% YoY, the highest since early 2024, indicating a gradual recovery in consumer demand [19][20]. - PPI's year - on - year contraction narrowed to - 2.3% in September from - 2.9%, mainly driven by the rebound in the mining sector, while downstream consumer goods remained subdued [21]. - Policy easing is expected in 4Q25, including a 10bps LPR cut, 50bps RRR cut, and expanding fiscal stimulus towards consumption and the property market [18][23]. Offshore Asia New Issues - Newly priced issues include BOSC International Investment Ltd (USD60mn, 3M, 4.12% coupon), China Water Affairs (USD150mn, 5NC3, 5.875% coupon), and Chengdu Sino French Ecological (USD100mn, 3yr, 4.3% coupon) [25]. - There are no offshore Asia new issues in the pipeline today [26]. News and Market Color - There were 107 credit bonds issued onshore yesterday with an amount of RMB88bn, and month - to - date, 395 credit bonds were issued with a total amount of RMB457bn, a 35.8% year - on - year increase [27]. - Various corporate news, such as BHP considering reviving copper mines, BOCOM redeeming bonds, and CIFIHG unveiling debt restructuring terms [27].
每日投资策略-20251016
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2025-10-16 02:04
Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 25,911, up 1.84% for the day and 29.17% year-to-date, while the Hang Seng Tech Index rose 2.57% for the day and 35.97% year-to-date [1] - The Chinese stock market rebounded, with sectors like consumer discretionary and staples leading gains, while telecommunications, utilities, and energy lagged [3] - Southbound capital saw a net sell of 5.44 billion HKD, with notable net sells in Hang Seng China Enterprises, Tracker Fund, and SMIC, while Alibaba, Huahong Semiconductor, and Xiaomi received significant net buys [3] Group 2: Economic Insights - The Chinese economy shows signs of weak credit demand, with M1 growth indicating improved business activity, while the central bank is expected to maintain a loose liquidity policy [4][5] - CPI showed a slight recovery, indicating a slow revival in consumer demand, while PPI decline has narrowed due to rising upstream mining prices [4] - The report anticipates a policy easing window in Q4 2025, with expected reductions in LPR and reserve requirement ratios to support consumption and the real estate market [5] Group 3: Company Analysis - Futu Holdings - Futu Holdings is a leading technology-driven financial services platform, covering eight major markets and providing services like securities trading and wealth management [6] - The company is expected to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12% in revenue and 14% in Non-GAAP net profit from FY25 to FY28, driven by growth in asset clients and improved operational efficiency [5][6] - Futu's AUM in virtual assets reached 4 billion HKD in Q2 2025, with projections indicating it could contribute 2.4 to 3.1 billion HKD in incremental revenue by 2027 [7] Group 4: Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage on Futu Holdings with a "Buy" rating and a target price of 224 USD, supported by its global expansion and strong growth in core business segments [6][7] - The company is currently trading at a significant discount compared to peers, with a P/E ratio of 19x/17x for FY25E/FY26E, presenting an attractive entry point for investors [7]
招银国际每日投资策略-20251015
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2025-10-15 02:13
Market Overview - The global stock markets showed mixed performance, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 25,441, down 1.73% for the day but up 26.83% year-to-date [1] - The US markets experienced slight declines, with the Dow Jones up 0.44% and the S&P 500 down 0.16% [1] - The Chinese stock market saw a third consecutive day of decline, particularly in sectors like materials, healthcare, and information technology, while utilities, telecommunications, and financials outperformed [3] Sector Performance - In the Hong Kong market, the Hang Seng Financial Index remained stable with a slight decrease of 0.01%, while the Hang Seng Industrial Index fell by 2.70% [2] - The public utilities sector showed resilience with a 0.66% increase, contrasting with the declines in real estate and industrial sectors [2] Company Insights - J&T Express reported a 23% year-on-year increase in parcel volume for Q3 2025, driven by a significant 79% growth in Southeast Asia, while growth in China slowed to 10% [5] - Baidu is expected to report Q3 2025 core business revenue of 24.6 billion RMB, a 7% decline year-on-year, primarily due to the ongoing transformation of its advertising business [5] - Baidu's cloud business is anticipated to grow by 20% year-on-year, partially offsetting the decline in advertising revenue [5] Economic Indicators - China's tax revenue data indicates an improvement in corporate revenue growth, with year-on-year growth rates of 2.6% and 6.9% for the second and third quarters, respectively [3] - The IEA's monthly report suggests a potential record oil surplus next year, estimated at nearly 4 million barrels per day [4] Investment Sentiment - Investor sentiment in the US stock market has shifted to an overweight position, reaching an eight-month high, with cash holdings dropping to a low of 3.8% [3] - Concerns about potential bubbles in AI stocks and high global stock valuations were noted, with 54% of surveyed investors expressing such concerns [3]
固定收益部市场日报-20251014
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2025-10-14 09:09
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - Due to the escalation of US-China tensions, the Asia IG space widened 3-7bps across the board yesterday, with better selling on certain bonds and better buying on others [2] - China's export resilience strengthens its position in the trade war, leading to a revision of the 2025 export growth forecast from 3% to 4.5%, while maintaining the 2025 import growth forecast at 1.5%. The USD/RMB rate may appreciate from 7.13 to 7.1 by year-end and 7.05 by the end of 2026 [4][15][20] - China Water Affairs (CWAHK) proposes to issue a 5NC3 USD senior blue bond, with the FV of the new CWAHK 30 estimated at 6% [8] Summary by Directory Trading Desk Comments - Asia IG space widened 3-7bps due to US-China tension, with better selling on TW lifers, China TMTs, Japanese banks' bonds, and Southeast Asian names. Some bonds like FAEACO 12.814 Perp and NWDEVLs/LIFUNGs/FOSUNI 26 - 29s decreased in price. In Chinese properties, VNKRLE 27 - 29s and FTLNHD 26/FUTLAN 28 were lower, while some SOE property names had better buying. In Southeast Asia, VLLPM 27 - 29s edged up, and VEDLN 28 - 33s/GLPSPs were down. Long - end Yankee AT1s weakened in the morning and recovered slightly [2] - In the LGFV space, activities picked up with new CNH issues, and the space had a stable session with moderate two - way flows [3] - This morning, there were two - way flows on LGFV names. HAOHUAs recovered 3 - 5bps and HYUELEs recovered 5bps in Asia IG space, while NOMURA and Australian long - end Ts2 widened 2 - 3bps. CWAHK 26 had buyers and was 0.1pt higher [4] Marco News Recap - On Monday, S&P (+1.56%), Dow (+1.29%), and Nasdaq (+2.21%) were higher. The US bond market was closed for Columbus Day, and the UST yield was unchanged, with 2/5/10/30 yield at 3.52%/3.65%/4.05%/4.63% [7] Desk Analyst Comments - CWAHK proposes to issue a 5NC3 USD senior blue bond (Ba1/BB+/-), with the FV of the new CWAHK 30 at 6% considering its CWAHK 26 and peers' valuations, adjusted for rating and tenor differential. The issuance size should be capped at its remaining offshore - issuance quota of USD200mn [8] - The net proceeds will be used to repay offshore debt and finance eligible green projects. The new CWAHK 30 will have a CoC put at 101 [10] - CWAHK is a holding company operating mainly through PRC subsidiaries. The new CWAHK 30 will be guaranteed by non - PRC - incorporated subsidiary guarantors [11] - CWAHK is one of the largest water supply companies in China, focusing on water supply and sewage treatment, generating stable cash flow from exclusive concession rights in 58 districts. It serves various end - users with potential coverage of over 30mn people [12] - In FY25, CWAHK generated HKD11.7bn of revenue and HKD3.4bn of operating cash flow, with an estimated free cash flow of HKD40mn. Total debt was HKD25.6bn, and its operating performance weakened, with revenue and EBIT down c9%. Coverage ratios also weakened [13] - CWAHK is listed in Hong Kong, with the chairman and founder owning 27.4%, ORIX Corp and affiliates holding 27.2%, and Great Wall Life Insurance holding 6.0% [14] China Economy - China's export growth beat expectations as exports to Africa, Latin America, and the EU picked up. Exports of integrated circuits and ships remained robust, while personal consumption goods were subdued. Imports rebounded across the board, especially in processing trade. China's rare earth export control is a countermeasure to US semiconductor export restrictions. Trade tensions may intensify in the next two weeks before potentially easing after a possible Trump - Xi meeting [15] - Exports rebounded in September, reaching 8.3% YoY from 4.4% in August, beating market expectations. Exports to the US remained in deep contraction, while shipments to Africa, the EU, and Latin America accelerated. Exports to ASEAN moderated. Since the tariff shocks, exports to ASEAN and Africa have increased significantly, making up for over 120% of the export losses to the US since April. Trade surplus narrowed to US$91bn in September [16] - Integrated circuits and ships had strong growth in September, while personal consumption goods moderated. Low - value - added exports and housing - related products were hit by tariffs. Rare earth exports rebounded despite additional export controls [17] - China's imports increased to 7.4% in September from 1.3% in August, beating market expectations. Imports from the US steadied at - 16%. Import value of processing trade accelerated. For energy products, crude oil import volume rose, while coal and natural gas dropped. Raw material imports had mixed results, and crop imports picked up [18] Offshore Asia New Issues - No offshore Asia new issues were priced today [22] - There are several issuers in the pipeline, including the Macau Branch of Bank of China Limited, Jinan Hi - tech International, and KEB Hana Bank, with different tenors, coupons, and issue ratings [23] News and Market Color - Yesterday, 118 credit bonds were issued onshore with an amount of RMB138bn. Month - to - date, 191 credit bonds were issued with a total amount of RMB212bn, a 19.7% yoy increase [24] - Indonesia plans to shorten the permit process for geothermal projects to three months [24] - Country Garden's top shareholder agrees to a USD1.14bn debt - to - equity swap and will hold scheme meetings on 5 Nov'25 for creditors to vote on its offshore restructuring plan [24] - Freeport Indonesia halts the Gresik smelter due to a mine landslide [24] - China Energy Overseas will redeem GEZHOU 4.15 Perp of USD200mn on 25 Nov'25 [24] - LG Electronics expects a 8.4% yoy drop in 3Q25 operating profit due to higher tariffs [24]