Macro Economic Insights - China's manufacturing PMI slightly increased to 49.4 in August, indicating improvements in supply and demand, with "anti-involution" policies driving a rebound in raw material and finished product prices, potentially alleviating deflationary pressures [2] - The rebound in upstream prices may suggest a mild recovery in PPI, which is closely related to corporate profit growth [2] - Economic growth in China may face further slowdown pressures by Q4 2025, but weak data could lead to increased demand stimulus and capacity reduction policies from decision-makers [2] Market Performance - Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index closed at 25,078, up 0.32% year-to-date performance at 25.01% [3] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,858, up 0.37% with a year-to-date performance of 15.10% [3] - The U.S. markets saw declines, with the Nasdaq dropping over 1% and the S&P 500 showing a year-to-date increase of 9.84% [5] Industry Insights - The AI theme is gaining traction, with the State Council's recent policy accelerating AI applications across various sectors, aiming for over 70% penetration of new intelligent terminals by 2027 [6] - Key sectors to watch include AI cloud, AI in industrial internet, and AI in consumer internet, with major companies like Tencent, Alibaba, and Baidu highlighted as core targets [6] - In the semiconductor sector, focus on domestic computing power and semiconductor equipment suppliers is recommended, with companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and Beike Microelectronics identified as key players [6] Company Analysis - DualityBio reported a revenue of 1.23 billion RMB in H1 2025, a 23% increase, benefiting from licensing and collaboration payments, with a strong cash reserve of 3.75 billion RMB to support ongoing R&D [7] - The company is advancing its ADC pipeline, with plans to submit applications for DB-1303/BNT323 for cancer treatment by the end of 2025, marking significant commercialization progress [8] - Jitu Express achieved a net profit of 153 million USD in H1 2025, a 66% increase, driven by reduced expenses, while maintaining a strong growth outlook in Southeast Asia and new markets [11] Investment Recommendations - North China Innovation's revenue reached 7.9 billion RMB in Q2 2025, a 22% year-on-year increase, with a target price set at 460 RMB, reflecting optimism about its role in China's semiconductor equipment localization strategy [12][13] - Nongfu Spring's revenue grew by 15.6% in H1 2025, with a target price raised to 57.75 HKD, supported by strong performance in tea and functional beverages [14][15] - Proya's revenue increased by 7.2% in H1 2025, with a target price adjusted to 129.83 RMB, driven by growth in sub-brands despite pressure on the main brand [16][17]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for companies benefiting from the AI supply chain, specifically for 中际旭创 (300308 CH) and 生益科技 (600183 CH) [2][4]. Core Insights - AI infrastructure investment continues to grow, with NVIDIA's strong performance indicating sustained demand. NVIDIA's revenue for Q2 FY26 reached $46.7 billion, a 56% year-over-year increase and a 6% quarter-over-quarter increase, exceeding Bloomberg consensus estimates [2][4]. - The management expects Q3 revenue to be $54 billion, indicating a 16% quarter-over-quarter growth, which is significantly higher than previous quarters [2][4]. - The report highlights the robust growth in NVIDIA's data center revenue, which increased by 17% quarter-over-quarter, driven by high sales of Blackwell chips and strong network business growth [4]. Summary by Sections NVIDIA Performance - NVIDIA's Q2 FY26 revenue was $46.7 billion, with a Non-GAAP gross margin of 72.7%, expected to rise to around 75% by year-end [2][4]. - The net profit for Q2 was $25.8 billion, reflecting a 52% year-over-year increase and a 30% quarter-over-quarter increase [2][4]. Market Outlook - Management anticipates that the capital expenditure of the four major cloud providers will reach $600 billion by 2025, with market opportunities potentially expanding to $3-4 trillion by 2030 [4]. - The report emphasizes the improving return on investment for AI infrastructure, with GB200's ROI projected to be 10 times [4]. Geopolitical Considerations - NVIDIA's sales outlook in China remains uncertain due to geopolitical tensions, with potential revenue from H20 products estimated between $2 billion to $5 billion if conditions improve [4].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints - The report analyzes the daily fixed - income market, including bond price changes, new issues, and macro - economic news. It also provides in - depth analysis of specific companies such as CNMDHL and Meituan [2][3][6]. - For CNMDHL, it is considered a yield pick - up play over CHMEDA, taking into account its relationship with Mengniu and trading liquidity [7]. - Regarding Meituan, although facing near - term profitability pressure due to intensified competition, its overall credit profile remains robust, and the analyst maintains a buy rating on some of its bonds [9]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Trading Desk Comments - Yesterday, the new HOKKEL 30 tightened 3 - 4bps, while other IG new issues like OCBCSP 4.55 35s/BOCAVI 31/JERA 4.544 30 widened 1 - 2bps or were unchanged. MEITUAs widened 3 - 5bps due to EBITDA decline in 1H25, and other Chinese TMT names had minor changes. Some bonds like LIFUNG 5 ¼ PERP rose due to positive EBITDA news, while VNKRLE 27 - 29s lowered [2]. - This morning, the new CNH GUAMET 2.15 28 was 0.3pt lower, the new HOKKEL 30 tightened 1bp, and some IG new issues were unchanged. JP long - end insurance bonds and HYSAN 7.2 Perp rose [3]. Macro News Recap - On Thursday, S&P (+0.32%), Dow (+0.16%), and Nasdaq (+0.53%) were higher. US 2Q25 GDP was +3.3% qoq, higher than the market expectation of +3.0%. The latest initial jobless claims were +229k, lower than the market expectation of +231k. 2yr UST yield was higher while 10/30yr UST yield was lower [6]. Desk Analyst Comments - **CNMDHL**: CNMDHL 4 ⅞ 07/10/30 is trading at a YTM of 4.9% and 61bps over CHMEDA 2 ½ 06/17/30. It has lagged the recent rally in the 5 - year Asia USD bucket by 20 - 30bps. It is considered a yield pick - up play over CHMEDA [7]. - **MEITUA**: Competition in the mainland China food delivery market is heating up, and margin squeeze will continue in 3Q25. Despite the weak operating performance, Meituan's credit story remains solid with a net cash position of RMB120.0bn. The analyst maintains a buy on MEITUA 3.05 10/28/30 and MEITUA 0 04/27/28 (CB) [9]. Offshore Asia New Issues - There were no offshore Asia new issues priced or in the pipeline today [21][22]. News and Market Color - Yesterday, 91 credit bonds were issued onshore with an amount of RMB65bn. Month - to - date, 2,140 credit bonds were issued with a total amount of RMB1,805bn, representing an 8% yoy decrease [23]. Company - Specific News - ACEN decided to inject USD76mn into subsidiaries and a solar project and spend PHP34.5bn (cUSD602.6mn) to develop Quezon wind park [28]. - GLP secures up to USD1.5bn investment from ADIA to accelerate growth [28]. - Li & Fung 1H25 EBITDA rises 4% yoy to USD75mn [28]. - Mongolian Mining 1H25 adjusted EBITDA falls 65.2% yoy to USD94.1mn [28]. - Orix to issue unsecured five - year bonds for JPY20bn (cUSD135mn) [28]. - Shui On Land 1H25 profit before tax down 95.4% yoy to RMB13mn (cUSD1.8mn) [28]. - SJM Holdings 1H25 adjusted EBITDA drops 5% yoy to HKD1.7bn (cUSD212mn) and plans to buy part of Hotel Lisboa for HKD529m (cUSD68mn) [28]. - SK Telecom was slapped with a KRW134.8bn (cUSD97mn) penalty following a personal data breach [28]. - Fitch downgraded China Vanke and Vanke Hong Kong to CCC - from CCC +, reflecting further weakening in liquidity [28]. - Yuzhou Group offshore debt revamp to become effective on 29 Aug'25 [28].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive investment outlook for the AI sector, particularly in areas such as AI cloud services, semiconductor supply chains, and smart automotive applications [1][14][15]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the acceleration of AI applications and commercialization driven by government policies, with specific targets set for 2027, 2030, and 2035 regarding the integration of AI into various sectors [5][6][15]. - Key investment opportunities are identified in the internet and software sectors, semiconductor industry, and smart automotive sector, with specific companies highlighted as potential beneficiaries [1][2][10][14]. Internet and Software Sector - The report highlights the importance of AI cloud services, recommending investment in leading companies such as Baidu, Alibaba, Tencent, and SenseTime, which are well-positioned in AI computing resources and operational capabilities [1][10][12]. - It notes the expected growth in AI applications within entertainment and e-commerce, with companies like Tencent, Alibaba, and Kuaishou being key players due to their strong AI capabilities and application scenarios [1][10][11]. - The report also points to the integration of AI in education and healthcare, with companies like New Oriental and Alibaba Health being recognized for their advancements in AI-driven solutions [10][11][12]. Semiconductor Industry - The report identifies three main investment themes: the computing power supply chain, opportunities under the theme of self-sufficiency, and emerging application areas for semiconductors [1][14][19]. - It emphasizes the expected increase in demand for high-performance computing chips, storage chips, and specialized acceleration chips due to the growing AI applications [17][19]. - Key semiconductor companies such as Zhongji Xuchuang, Shengyi Technology, and Horizon Robotics are highlighted as potential beneficiaries of the AI-driven growth in the semiconductor sector [1][19][20]. Smart Automotive Sector - The report predicts a significant increase in the penetration rate of L2+ level autonomous driving vehicles, with expectations of surpassing 50% by 2026 [2][14]. - It highlights the synergy between the automotive and robotics industries, suggesting that leading automotive companies are well-positioned to leverage advancements in AI for both sectors [2][14]. - Companies like Xpeng, Li Auto, and BYD are identified as key players in the smart automotive supply chain, benefiting from the integration of AI technologies [1][2][14].

Group 1: Semiconductor Industry - AI infrastructure investment continues to rise, with Nvidia's outlook indicating strong demand [2] - Nvidia reported Q2 FY2026 revenue of $46.7 billion, a year-on-year increase of 56% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6%, exceeding Bloomberg consensus estimates [2] - The company's Q2 net profit reached $25.8 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 52% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 30% [2] Group 2: Ctrip (携程) - Ctrip's Q2 FY2025 revenue was RMB 14.9 billion, a year-on-year increase of 16%, surpassing both internal and market expectations [9] - The non-GAAP operating profit was RMB 4.7 billion, exceeding expectations by 7% and 9% due to better-than-expected operational leverage [9] - The company is expected to maintain resilient growth in travel demand, supported by strong supply chain capabilities and customer service [9] Group 3: SenseTime (商汤科技) - SenseTime reported H1 FY2025 revenue of RMB 2.36 billion, a year-on-year increase of 36%, exceeding expectations by 6% [10] - The adjusted net loss narrowed by 50% to RMB 1.16 billion, driven by operational leverage and organizational adjustments [10] - The company anticipates a 25% year-on-year revenue growth in H2 FY2025, supported by strong demand for AI computing and applications [10] Group 4: Anta Sports (安踏) - Anta's retail sales trends showed a mixed performance, with the main brand experiencing weaker growth while other brands like Descente and Kolon continued to perform strongly [24][25] - The company adjusted its retail growth targets for FY2025, lowering Anta's from high single digits to mid single digits, while maintaining FILA's at mid single digits [25] - Despite challenges, Anta's operational profit margin is expected to remain between 20%-25% due to strict control over operating expenses [25]

Group 1: Market Overview - Hong Kong stocks declined in the afternoon, led by healthcare, real estate, and industrial sectors, while consumer staples, materials, and utilities outperformed, with net inflows from southbound funds amounting to HKD 15.37 billion [1] - A-shares experienced a pullback, with beauty care, real estate, and conglomerates seeing the largest declines, while telecommunications rose and electronics and non-ferrous metals outperformed the market [1] - U.S. stocks rose, driven by energy, information technology, and real estate, while communication services, healthcare, and industrial sectors lagged [1] Group 2: Company Analysis - Meituan - Meituan reported Q2 2025 revenue of RMB 91.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 11.7%, but 2% lower than Bloomberg consensus estimates; adjusted net profit fell to RMB 1.5 billion, down 89% year-on-year, significantly missing expectations due to strategic investments to maintain market share in the food delivery business [3] - The core local commerce (CLC) segment's operating profit was RMB 3.7 billion, 69% below expectations, while new business losses of RMB 1.9 billion were better than the anticipated RMB 2.4 billion loss [3] - The report maintains an optimistic view on Meituan's competitive advantage in the food delivery sector, despite short-term uncertainties, and adjusts revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 down by 4-6% [3] Group 3: Company Analysis - Ping An Insurance - Ping An reported a 3.7% year-on-year increase in operating profit to RMB 77.7 billion for the first half of 2025, with a 4.9% growth in Q2, slightly exceeding expectations [6] - New business value (NBV) surged by 39.8% year-on-year to RMB 22.3 billion, driven by a 169% increase in the bancassurance channel [6] - The report adjusts 2025-2027 earnings per share forecasts down by 6%/5%/5% to RMB 7.08/7.63/8.16, while raising the 2025 NBV growth forecast to 26% due to several potential catalysts [8] Group 4: Company Analysis - China Resources Mixc Lifestyle - The company reported a 15% year-on-year increase in core net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue growth of 7% slightly below market expectations [9] - The shopping center operations demonstrated strong performance with a 19% revenue growth, and gross margin increased by 6 percentage points, reaching a record high contribution of 68% [9] - The report maintains a "buy" rating, adjusting the target price down by 3% to HKD 43.86, reflecting a slight downgrade in earnings expectations [9] Group 5: Company Analysis - Meidong Auto - Meidong Auto reported a 100 million RMB operating loss for the first half of 2025, in line with expectations, with new car sales increasing by 8% year-on-year, particularly for Porsche and BMW brands [11] - The report anticipates a rebound for Porsche in the second half of 2025, which could enhance profit margins [12] - The target price is adjusted down to HKD 2.8, based on an 8x FY27E P/E ratio [11]

Core Insights - The report highlights the strong performance of Times Angel, with a 33% year-on-year revenue growth to $160 million in the first half of 2025, driven primarily by rapid expansion in overseas markets [2] - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Times Angel, adjusting the target price to HKD 86.47 based on a sum-of-the-parts valuation, reflecting a 15x P/E for its mature domestic business and an 8x P/S for its rapidly expanding overseas operations [7] - The report indicates that while domestic case volume remains resilient, pricing pressures are expected to continue, impacting profit margins [6] Company Analysis Times Angel - Times Angel's overseas invisible orthodontics case volume reached 117,200, a 103% increase year-on-year, with overseas revenue growing 123% to $71.62 million [7] - The domestic business saw case volume grow 14% year-on-year to 108,600, but revenue remained flat at $89.68 million due to declining average selling prices [6] - The report anticipates that despite short-term profit margin pressures, the company's strategic investments in compliance and localization will support sustainable global expansion [7] Beike (贝壳) - Beike reported a 11% year-on-year revenue growth to RMB 26 billion in Q2 2025, driven by new home transactions and rental services [8] - The non-GAAP net profit for the quarter was RMB 1.8 billion, a 32% decline year-on-year, reflecting ongoing industry headwinds [8] - The report suggests that Beike is on the right track to improve operational efficiency, which may enhance profitability during industry recovery [8] Luxshare Precision (立讯精密) - Luxshare's revenue and net profit both grew 23% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with strong growth in communication and automotive sectors [9] - The gross margin improved to 12.0% in Q2 2025, driven by product mix enhancement and operational efficiency [9] - The report highlights potential growth drivers including increased iPhone market share and expansion in the automotive sector [9] BOE Technology (京东方) - BOE's revenue grew 8% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with net profit increasing by 5% [10] - The automotive display segment outperformed the industry, with high-end products seeing significant growth [10] - The report projects that BOE will continue to grow faster than the industry average in the second half of 2025 [10] EHang (亿航智能) - EHang delivered 68 eVTOL aircraft in Q2 2025, a 39% year-on-year increase, despite lowering its full-year revenue guidance by over 40% [11] - The management emphasizes that the reduction in delivery targets is due to safety considerations rather than a decrease in end-demand [11] - The report maintains a positive outlook on EHang's growth potential in the eVTOL market [11] Green Tea Group (绿茶集团) - Green Tea Group reported positive same-store sales growth despite a decline in average price per item [10] - The report anticipates continued sales growth and margin improvement driven by strong takeaway orders and new product launches [10] - The target price is adjusted to HKD 10.74, reflecting confidence in the company's growth trajectory [11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 93, indicating a potential upside of 53.0% from the current price of HKD 60.80 [3][9]. Core Views - The company has demonstrated strong profitability during its strategic adjustments, with a slight revenue increase of 0.4% year-on-year in 1H25, reaching RMB 292 million, despite a high base from 1H24 [1]. - The gross margin remains robust at 51.8%, reflecting a year-on-year improvement of 0.5 percentage points, while net profit increased by 14.9% to RMB 77 million, with a net margin of 26.4% [1]. - The company is focused on the industrial-grade long-tail chip market, expanding its product matrix and maintaining a solid IP/EDA design platform, which supports its long-term growth outlook [1][9]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for FY25E are set at RMB 672 million, with a year-on-year growth rate of 16.1%, down from previous estimates due to capacity constraints [2][10]. - The company expects to maintain a gross margin above 50% and a net margin above 26% in FY25/26E, supported by its business model and self-developed EDA platform [9][10]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to reach RMB 3.20 in FY25E, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 17.4 times [2][10]. Market Position - The company is positioned favorably within the semiconductor industry, with a market capitalization of HKD 1,094.4 million and a significant increase in stock performance over the past months [4][6]. - The average P/E ratio of comparable companies in the industry is significantly higher, indicating that the company's current valuation may be attractive [11].

Market Overview - Global markets showed mixed performance, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 25,830, up 1.94% for the day and 28.76% year-to-date [1] - The A-share market is entering a second bullish phase, with significant increases in client margin sizes at securities firms and a notable rise in ETF investments, reaching $681 billion, surpassing Japan [3][4] Company Analysis Pinduoduo (PDD US) - Pinduoduo reported Q2 2025 revenue growth of 7% year-on-year, reaching 104 billion RMB, in line with expectations, driven by online marketing services [5] - Non-GAAP net profit decreased by 5% to 32.7 billion RMB, but exceeded market expectations by 46%, indicating strong operational performance [5] - The target price has been raised by 9% to $146.30, reflecting a positive outlook despite ongoing investments in platform ecosystem enhancement [5] Jiumaojiu (9922 HK) - Jiumaojiu's revenue for the first half of FY25 decreased by 10% to 2.75 billion RMB, slightly below market expectations [9] - The company anticipates closing 40 to 50 additional stores in the second half of FY25, leading to a total of approximately 100 closures for the year [6] - Despite challenges, there are positive signs of stabilization in same-store sales, with a potential rebound expected from store renovations [6][9] ZhongAn Online (6060 HK) - ZhongAn Online's net profit for the first half of FY25 surged by 11.04 times to 668 million RMB, significantly exceeding market expectations [10] - The property and casualty insurance segment saw a 9.3% increase in total premiums, driven by substantial growth in health and auto insurance [10] - The target price has been raised to 23 HKD, reflecting improved profitability and operational efficiency [10] Greentown Service (2869 HK) - Greentown Service reported a 22.6% increase in net profit for the first half of FY25, with total revenue growing by 6.1% [12] - The company has successfully improved operational efficiency, leading to enhanced profit margins despite industry pressures [12][13] - The target price has been adjusted to 6.61 HKD, based on a revised earnings forecast and valuation adjustments [12][15] Baker Hughes (2149 HK) - Baker Hughes achieved a revenue of 292 million RMB in the first half of FY25, a slight increase from the previous year, maintaining strong profitability with a gross margin of 51.8% [18] - The company continues to expand its product offerings and remains a core recommendation in the semiconductor sector [18][19] - The target price remains at 93 HKD, reflecting confidence in long-term growth prospects [19] Tongda Group (698 HK) - Tongda Group's net profit for the first half of FY25 increased by 394%, driven by reduced financial costs and improved operational efficiency [20] - The company is expected to benefit from upgrades in its main business and expansion in its subsidiary's product lines [20] - The target price has been raised to 0.135 HKD, reflecting improved earnings visibility [20]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the balance of risks facing the US economy is shifting, with increasing downward risks in the job market as both supply and demand are slowing [3] - The report highlights that the probability of a rate cut in September has significantly increased, with market expectations rising from 75% to 90% following Powell's speech [3] - The future path of interest rate cuts remains dependent on economic data, particularly inflation, employment, and consumption trends [3] Group 2 - The report anticipates that inflation may rebound in August, and a decrease in immigrant labor could offset the impact of slowing labor demand on the unemployment rate, which is expected to remain low [3] - If inflation rises less than the unemployment rate in August, the Federal Reserve may opt for a rate cut in September; conversely, if inflation rises more, the Fed may delay until October [3] - The report suggests that the Federal Reserve may cut rates again in December and that there is significant uncertainty regarding the timing of future cuts next year, influenced by both economic dynamics and the White House's pressure on the Fed [3]