Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" investment rating for the communication industry [2][9]. Core Insights - The communication industry index outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index in December 2025, rising by 12.82% compared to +2.06% for the Shanghai Composite Index and +2.28% for the CSI 300 Index [8][14]. - Key material supply for optical modules remains tight, with major players like Longfei and Hengtong winning bids for China Unicom's hollow-core fiber cable procurement [8][9]. - The retail sales of communication equipment in China increased by 20.9% year-on-year in December 2025, driven by the demand for smartphones [8][41]. - The global smartphone shipment is projected to grow by 2% year-on-year in 2025, reaching 1.25 billion units, with AI smartphones expected to penetrate 34% of the market [8][29]. - The export value of optical modules from China decreased by 15.6% year-on-year in 2025, while Thailand's communication equipment exports surged by 152.1% [8][9]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The communication industry index rose by 12.82% in December 2025, outperforming major indices [14]. - Sub-sectors such as cables and network equipment saw significant gains, with increases of 22.05% and 19.44% respectively [15][19]. Industry Tracking - The capital expenditure of major cloud providers in North America reached $112.43 billion in Q3 2025, a 76.9% increase year-on-year [25][28]. - AI applications are driving cloud business growth, with major companies like Amazon, Microsoft, Google, and Meta significantly increasing their capital expenditures [25][29]. - The Chinese ICT market is expected to grow to approximately $889.43 billion by 2029, with a CAGR of 7.0% [39][40]. Domestic Telecom Industry - Telecom business revenue in China reached 1.6096 trillion yuan from January to November 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.9% [48]. - The number of 5G mobile phone users reached 1.193 billion by November 2025, accounting for 65.3% of total mobile phone users [49]. - The number of fixed broadband users with gigabit access reached 239 million, representing 34.3% of total users [52].

Core Insights - Tencent's AI assistant "Yuanbao" has seen a significant rise in rankings across major app stores due to the internal testing of its new AI social feature "Yuanbao Pai" and a 1 billion yuan red envelope activity for the Spring Festival [1][2] Group 1 - The "Yuanbao Pai" feature has gained popularity since its internal testing, allowing users to engage with the AI in various activities such as chatting, mood regulation, task execution, and photo editing [1][2] - "Yuanbao" has achieved the top position in the Huawei App Store's rising chart, second place in the Apple China App Store's free app chart, and second place in the VIVO app store download chart [1][2] - The public launch of "Yuanbao Pai" is expected to occur soon, indicating a potential increase in user engagement and app downloads [1][2]

文 | 青橙财经，作者丨青风，编辑丨六子 "重现当年微信红包的盛况。" 1月25日，腾讯官宣，旗下AI应用元宝将于2月1日开启新春红包活动，向用户分享高达10亿元的现金红包。1月26日腾讯年会上，马化腾特别提及该活 动，并表示，"希望元宝的春节10亿现金红包，能重现当年微信红包的盛况。" 据腾讯内部人士透露，此次10亿元现金的背后，是腾讯酝酿已久的AI大招。不仅如此，元宝近期还在内测一个名为"元宝派"的功能，加入了腾讯最擅长的 社交场景。 一边是复刻当年微信红包"偷袭珍珠港"式的突袭，另一边是AI+社交的大杀器，这些举措既显示了腾讯对元宝的极大押注，更藏着其对AI超级入口的深层 焦虑。 01「社交能救元宝吗？」 遥想2015年春节，腾讯通过微信"摇一摇"向全民发放5亿元现金红包，创造了除夕当天微信用户互动总量达110亿次的纪录，短短几天内吸引超800万名用 户绑定微信支付，一举奠定了微信颠覆移动支付市场的根基。 *图源元宝公众号 今年春节元宝发放的红包金额翻倍至10亿元，想必对拉动元宝的用户增长和活跃度会起到积极作用，但能否复制微信红包当年的盛况，或许还需要进一步 观察。 当年微信红包横空出世，与春节亲朋团聚 ...

Market Performance - The market showed mixed performance from January 19 to January 23, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.84% and the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 1.11%[5] - The average daily trading volume was 2.80 trillion yuan, a decrease compared to the previous week[5] Healthcare Sector - At the JPM 2026 conference, over 20 Chinese innovative pharmaceutical companies showcased their products, with significant business development (BD) transactions announced[16] - In 2025, the value of China's innovative drug patent licensing transactions reached approximately $135.7 billion, a 143% increase year-on-year, with 157 total transactions[20] Consumer Sector - The Qianwen APP integrated with Alibaba's ecosystem, achieving over 100 million monthly active users within two months of launch, marking its entry into the "billion-level club"[25] - This integration allows for a seamless process from search to decision-making and payment, establishing a comprehensive AI application ecosystem[26] Hard Technology Sector - The supply of storage and logic chips remains tight, leading to widespread price increases across the industry[32] - The price of enterprise SSDs continues to rise, with a projected increase of 33-38% for NAND Flash products due to supply constraints[36] High-end Manufacturing - The State Grid announced a total fixed asset investment of 4 trillion yuan for the 14th Five-Year Plan period (2026-2030), a 40% increase from the previous period, averaging 800 billion yuan annually[42] - The goal is to achieve a 30% share of renewable energy in total power generation by 2030, indicating significant growth potential for the solar and wind energy sectors[46]

春节成为多家AI应用厂商的"营销档"。先是字节跳动旗下火山引擎宣布成为2026年春晚独家AI云合作伙伴、豆包将深度嵌入晚会互动，接 着，1月25日，腾讯宣布元宝将在2月1日上线春节活动，用户可以在元宝App上分10亿现金红包。同日，百度也宣布入局春节现金红包活 动。 AI厂商开始集体营销了，这不再是一年前围绕聊天助手的投流大战。接近2026年春节，AI厂商拿出了更多差异化的AI应用，各展身手，焦 点在于抢夺AI入口。 AI入口争夺战 "友商投放在电视台的一些巨额的营销费用，我们直接转成红包，希望能够重现11年前微信红包春晚的时刻。"1月26日，腾讯董事会主席 马化腾在一年一度的员工大会上表示。 11年前的春节，腾讯通过微信"摇一摇"形式向全民发放5亿现金红包，通过微信红包这一社交玩法，带动微信支付迅速扩大用户群，完成微 信支付的"诺曼底登陆"。 今年腾讯元宝的春节现金红包活动，总金额扩充到10亿元，用户有概率能抽中限量100张的价值1万元现金小马卡。 百度准备发放的现金红包总金额则是5亿元。用户要在百度App中使用文心助手，最高奖励为1万元。百度App还将以"首席AI合作伙伴"身 份亮相《2026北京广播电视 ...

作者 | 第一财经 郑栩彤 今年腾讯元宝的春节现金红包活动，总金额扩充到10亿元，用户有概率能抽中限量100张的价值1万元现 金小马卡。 百度准备发放的现金红包总金额则是5亿元。用户要在百度App中使用文心助手，最高奖励为1万元。百 度App还将以"首席AI合作伙伴"身份亮相《2026北京广播电视台春节联欢晚会》。 这波春节营销大战开启之前，AI已完成了最初的一波普及。中国互联网络信息中心去年10月发布的相 关报告显示，国内生成式AI用户规模去年6月已达5.15亿人，用户规模半年翻番，普及率36.5%。 AI厂商开始集体营销了，这不再是一年前围绕聊天助手的投流大战。接近2026年春节，AI厂商拿出了 更多差异化的AI应用，各展身手，焦点在于抢夺AI入口。 AI入口争夺战 "友商投放在电视台的一些巨额的营销费用，我们直接转成红包，希望能够重现11年前微信红包春晚的 时刻。"1月26日，腾讯董事会主席马化腾在一年一度的员工大会上表示。 11年前的春节，腾讯通过微信"摇一摇"形式向全民发放5亿现金红包，通过微信红包这一社交玩法，带 动微信支付迅速扩大用户群，完成微信支付的"诺曼底登陆"。 营销大战的背景还包括更多A ...

2026.01. 28 春节成为多家AI应用厂商的"营销档"。先是字节跳动旗下火山引擎宣布成为2026年春晚独家AI云合作伙伴、 豆包将深度嵌入晚会互动，接着，1月25日，腾讯宣布元宝将在2月1日上线春节活动，用户可以在元宝App 上分10亿现金红包。同日，百度也宣布入局春节现金红包活动。 AI厂商开始集体营销了，这不再是一年前围绕聊天助手的投流大战。接近2026年春节，AI厂商拿出了更多 差异化的AI应用，各展身手，焦点在于抢夺AI入口。 AI入口争夺战 "友商投放在电视台的一些巨额的营销费用，我们直接转成红包，希望能够重现11年前微信红包春晚的时 刻。"1月26日，腾讯董事会主席马化腾在一年一度的员工大会上表示。 11年前的春节，腾讯通过微信"摇一摇"形式向全民发放5亿现金红包，通过微信红包这一社交玩法，带动微 信支付迅速扩大用户群，完成微信支付的"诺曼底登陆"。 本文字数：2199，阅读时长大约4分钟 今年腾讯元宝的春节现金红包活动，总金额扩充到10亿元，用户有概率能抽中限量100张的价值1万元现金 小马卡。 作者 | 第一财 经 郑栩彤 百度准备发放的现金红包总金额则是5亿元。用户要在百度App中使用 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent performance of the Hang Seng Index, highlighting the differences in market dynamics between the recent and previous index breakthroughs, with a focus on the varying contributions from different sectors [3][4]. Market Performance - On January 28, 2026, the Hang Seng Index opened high and reached a midday closing of 27,725 points, surpassing the previous high of 27,381 points from October 2, 2025, with a trading volume of 1,963 million HKD [3]. - The trading volume for the Hong Kong stock market has been around 3,000 million HKD, with a notable decrease from the peak of over 4,100 million HKD in September 2025, indicating a contraction in investor activity [3][4]. Sector Contributions - The recent index increase is primarily driven by traditional financial stocks and local real estate stocks, contrasting with the previous surge in September 2025, which was led by new economy and tech stocks [4]. - The trading volumes of tech stocks like Tencent and Alibaba were significantly higher in September 2025, with Tencent reaching over 200 million HKD in a single day, while recent trading volumes for financial stocks like HSBC and AIA have remained lower, typically in the tens of millions [4][5]. Market Structure and Weighting - Despite the lower trading volumes of financial stocks, their weight in the Hang Seng Index is substantial, with HSBC at 8.98% and AIA at 5.24%, comparable to Tencent at 7.91% and Alibaba at 7.41% [5]. - The structural characteristics of the index explain the differences in total trading volumes during the two breakthroughs, with the recent rally showing more pronounced sectoral divergence [5]. Future Market Outlook - The market is currently experiencing a lack of incremental capital inflow, with southbound capital flows showing signs of decline, leading to a cautious investment atmosphere [7]. - Analysts suggest that the market may remain in a consolidation phase, with a focus on stock selection rather than broad index movements, emphasizing the importance of fundamental analysis and sustainable growth in 2026 [8][9].

汇丰、友邦等金融股创新高带动。 1月28日，恒生指数高开高走，上午一度突破27786点，中午收盘报27725点，突破了2025年10月2日的 27381点，半天成交额1963亿港元。 这一次，港股单日成交额始终在3000亿港元左右，27日的成交额为2573亿港元，与2025年9月一度突破 4100亿港元大关相比明显缩量，部分投资者期待近日成交能否重回4000亿港元大关。 虽然科网股成交额远高于传统金融股，但部分金融股权重甚至更高：恒生指数有限公司资料显示，2025 年12月31日，汇丰控股在恒生指数权重为8.98%，友邦保险为5.24%，腾讯控股权重为7.91%，阿里巴巴 为7.41%。 李泽铭认为，尽管金融股与科网股在成交量级上存在巨大鸿沟，但两者在恒生指数中的权重配置却大致 相当。这一结构性特征解释了为何两次指数突破的时候，市场呈现的总成交量会出现差异。从上涨个股 的分布结构观察，两次突破行情亦呈现不同特点：2025年9月的上涨态势相对均衡，虽然科网股是主导 力量，但本地金融股等权重板块亦同步录得不错涨幅；而此次突破则呈现较为明显的分化特征，主要依 靠汇丰控股、友邦保险等个别金融股拉动，腾讯控股、阿里巴巴 ...

与一年前不同，AI厂商对应用形态的探索近期变得更丰富，厂商也希望在AI入口争夺战中拥有更大主动权。 春节成为多家AI应用厂商的"营销档"。先是字节跳动旗下火山引擎宣布成为2026年春晚独家AI云合作伙伴、豆包将深度嵌入晚会互动，接着，1月25日，腾 讯宣布元宝将在2月1日上线春节活动，用户可以在元宝App上分10亿现金红包。同日，百度也宣布入局春节现金红包活动。 AI厂商开始集体营销了，这不再是一年前围绕聊天助手的投流大战。接近2026年春节，AI厂商拿出了更多差异化的AI应用，各展身手，焦点在于抢夺AI入 口。 AI应用形态更丰富了 AI完成了最初的普及，至于什么应用形态更好，业内的讨论从未如近期这般激烈。 AI入口争夺战 "友商投放在电视台的一些巨额的营销费用，我们直接转成红包，希望能够重现11年前微信红包春晚的时刻。"1月26日，腾讯董事会主席马化腾在一年一度 的员工大会上表示。 11年前的春节，腾讯通过微信"摇一摇"形式向全民发放5亿现金红包，通过微信红包这一社交玩法，带动微信支付迅速扩大用户群，完成微信支付的"诺曼底 登陆"。 今年腾讯元宝的春节现金红包活动，总金额扩充到10亿元，用户有概率能抽中限 ...