Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities International raises the target price for Tencent Holdings (00700) by 9% to HKD 766, maintaining a "Buy" rating, driven by improved earnings forecasts and operational efficiencies from AI [1] Financial Projections - Tencent's revenue is projected to grow by 14% and 10% year-on-year for the fiscal years 2025 and 2026, respectively [1] - Non-IFRS net profit is expected to increase by 17% and 15% year-on-year for the same periods [1] Valuation Metrics - The forecasted price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for Tencent in fiscal years 2025 and 2026 is 21x and 19x, respectively, which is above the average by +1 standard deviation [1] - In comparison, the P/E ratios for Chinese peers are 17x and 15x, while U.S. peers are at 28x for both years [1] Growth Drivers - The report highlights several growth drivers for Tencent, including strong community network advantages, AI technology, commercialization of AI products, advertising, and overseas opportunities [1] - AI-driven efficiency improvements are expected to enhance profit margins, contributing to potential upside in earnings and valuation [1] Risks Identified - Key risks mentioned include macroeconomic factors, consumer behavior, regulatory challenges, competition, and product pipeline issues [1]

Core Insights - The "Million Talents Gathering in South Guangdong - Cultural Industry Talent Fair" aims to connect cultural talents with industry resources, featuring over 18,000 quality job positions from more than 300 companies in the cultural sector [1][2][3] Group 1: Event Overview - The event includes three main components: a lecture hall, policy showcases, and a specialized recruitment fair for the cultural industry [2] - The recruitment fair attracted a record number of attendees, with over 8,000 positions available on-site and more than 10,000 online [2] - The job offerings target recent graduates, with monthly salaries ranging from 6,000 to 20,000 yuan, highlighting Guangdong's commitment to attracting talent [2] Group 2: Industry Focus - The cultural industry in Guangdong is experiencing significant growth, with a complete industrial chain in gaming, contributing to a billion-level industry ecosystem [5] - Guangdong's cultural industry has maintained its position as the largest in China for 22 consecutive years, with a projected revenue of 2.5 trillion yuan in 2024 [5] - The new cultural economy sectors, including digital creativity and online gaming, are showing strong competitive advantages, with a 10.5% revenue growth in new cultural formats [5] Group 3: Talent Attraction Policies - The "Million Talents Gathering in South Guangdong" initiative is part of a broader strategy to attract and retain talent, with various policies aimed at high-level professionals in the cultural sector [8][9] - Local governments are implementing supportive measures, such as housing subsidies and free accommodation for job seekers, to enhance the talent retention environment [9] - The initiative reflects a shift from a focus on population growth to prioritizing talent development, aligning with the government's investment in human resources [9][10]

摩根大通发表研报指，腾讯第三季业绩稳健，并揭示了其在社交世代中关于AI代理(agentic AI)的长期愿 景。该行认为，腾讯旗下的微信在获取应用内交易流量方面处于有利位置，生成式AI将显著提升此潜 力。摩通预计，生成式AI整合至微信后，可能在2030年产生690亿至4260亿元的增量收入，这将为其对 腾讯2030年的盈利预估，带来约10%至56%的调涨。 摩通认为，当前的人工智能芯片供应短缺，不会对此长期投资机会构成结构性阻碍，维持该股"增持"评 级，并将目标价从685港元上调至750港元。 ...

Core Insights - The report by Qimai Data highlights the top mobile games for October 2025, showcasing both download and revenue rankings, with Tencent's games dominating the revenue chart [1][2]. Download Rankings - "Delta Action" topped the download chart for October, followed by "Valorant: Source Action" and "Honor of Kings" in second and third places respectively [1]. - Six new games entered the download rankings, including "Plants vs. Zombies 3," which launched on September 26, 2025, and achieved over 18 million pre-registrations [1]. Revenue Rankings - Tencent's "Honor of Kings" ranked first in revenue, with "Delta Action" in second and "Dungeon & Fighter: Origin" rising four places to third [1][2]. - The revenue rankings featured a total of 12 games from Tencent and 5 from NetEase, indicating Tencent's strong market presence [2]. Game Categories - The majority of the games in the rankings were action games, with 9 entries, followed by adventure games with 4 entries [2]. - The new entries in the revenue rankings included five games, with NetEase's "Rate of the Land" celebrating its tenth anniversary and maintaining market interest through events and updates [3]. Market Trends - There is a growing trend among developers to explore lightweight versions of heavy SLG games due to rising traffic costs and the rapid growth of the mini-game market [3]. - Yishijie, a key player in the simulation and management game sector, has successfully launched multiple products in the mini-game space, achieving significant revenue milestones [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for Tencent Holdings [2][6] Core Insights - Tencent's Q3 2025 performance exceeded expectations with revenue of 192.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5% [1] - The company's AI ecosystem continues to accelerate, enhancing various business lines including gaming, advertising, and social networking [6][39] - The report forecasts revenue growth for 2025-2027, projecting revenues of 753.5 billion, 832.5 billion, and 907.7 billion yuan respectively, with adjusted net profits of 260.2 billion, 293.6 billion, and 325.4 billion yuan [6][39] Business Segment Performance 1. Online Gaming - Q3 2025 revenue from online gaming reached 63.6 billion yuan, a 23% year-on-year increase, driven by strong domestic and international performance [10][14] - Domestic gaming revenue grew 15% to 42.8 billion yuan, while international gaming revenue surged 43% to 20.8 billion yuan [10][16] 2. Social Networking - Social networking revenue for Q3 2025 was 32.3 billion yuan, a 5% year-on-year increase, slightly below expectations [18] - The growth was primarily driven by paid music subscriptions and video live streaming services [18] 3. Marketing Services - Marketing services revenue reached 36.2 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a 21% year-on-year increase, benefiting from improved ad exposure and AI-driven optimization [23][24] 4. Financial Technology and Enterprise Services - Revenue from financial technology and enterprise services was 58.2 billion yuan, a 10% year-on-year increase, supported by growth in commercial payments and demand for AI-related services [29] 5. Profitability and AI Integration - The company achieved a gross profit of 108.8 billion yuan in Q3 2025, with a gross margin of 56.4%, reflecting improvements in high-margin businesses [36] - Significant investments in AI are expected to enhance operational efficiency and drive future growth across various segments [36][39]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Tencent Holdings is expected to see a boost in first-half earnings due to increased profitability in both the company and its e-commerce business [1]

Core Insights - The report by Qimai Data highlights the top mobile games for October 2025, showcasing both download and revenue rankings, with Tencent's games dominating the revenue chart [1][2]. Download Rankings - "Delta Action" topped the download chart for October, followed by "Valorant: Source Action" and "Honor of Kings" in second and third places respectively [1]. - Six new games entered the download rankings, including "Plants vs. Zombies 3," which launched on September 26, 2025, and achieved over 18 million pre-registrations, indicating strong IP appeal [1]. Revenue Rankings - Tencent's "Honor of Kings" ranked first in revenue, with "Delta Action" in second and "Dungeon & Fighter: Origin" rising four places to third [1][2]. - The revenue rankings featured a total of 12 games from Tencent and 5 from NetEase, with action games being the most represented category [2]. New Game Releases - Five new games entered the revenue rankings in October, including "JJ Dou Di Zhu," "Rate of the Land," and "QQ Racing" [3]. - NetEase's "Rate of the Land" celebrated its tenth anniversary with promotional activities, contributing to its rising sales ranking [3]. Industry Trends - There is a growing trend among developers to explore lightweight versions of heavy SLG games due to rising traffic costs and the rapid growth of the mini-game market [3]. - Yishijie, a key player in the simulation and management game sector, has successfully launched mini-games and is expanding its overseas market presence [3].

Core Insights - Tencent's Q3 2025 performance shows strong growth in both revenue and profit, driven by overseas gaming and marketing services [1] - The company continues to leverage AI technology to enhance advertising and e-commerce efficiency, creating new opportunities [2] - The gaming segment exhibits robust performance with a rich pipeline of new and existing products, indicating strong future growth potential [3] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Tencent achieved revenue of 192.9 billion yuan (up 15% year-on-year, up 5% quarter-on-quarter) and net profit attributable to shareholders of 63.1 billion yuan (up 19% year-on-year, up 13% quarter-on-quarter) [1] - Non-IFRS net profit was 70.6 billion yuan (up 18% year-on-year, up 12% quarter-on-quarter) [1] - The gross margin increased by 3 percentage points year-on-year to 56%, driven by high-margin self-developed games and services [1] Business Segments - Value-added services revenue reached 95.9 billion yuan (up 16% year-on-year), with domestic gaming revenue of 42.8 billion yuan (up 15% year-on-year) and overseas gaming revenue of 20.8 billion yuan (up 43% year-on-year) [1] - Marketing services revenue was 36.2 billion yuan (up 21% year-on-year), benefiting from increased user engagement and AI-driven improvements in advertising efficiency [1] - Financial technology services revenue was 58.2 billion yuan (up 10% year-on-year), driven by growth in commercial payments and AI-related services [1] AI Technology Development - The company is continuously upgrading its AI capabilities, with its mixed Yuan image generation model ranking first globally as of November 12 [2] - New AI-driven advertising products enhance marketing ROI and support small and medium advertisers [2] - AI integration in e-commerce is boosting transaction volumes on WeChat, indicating a shift towards a more intelligent ecosystem [2] Gaming Performance - New games like "Delta Force" and "Valorant" are performing well, with "Valorant" achieving over 50 million monthly active users in China [3] - Established games like "Honor of Kings" continue to show strong engagement, with daily active users surpassing 139 million [3] - Upcoming major titles and expansions are expected to further drive business growth [3]

Core Insights - Tencent's Q3 2025 performance shows strong growth in both revenue and profit, driven by overseas gaming and marketing services [1] - The company continues to leverage AI technology to enhance advertising and e-commerce operations, improving efficiency and creating new opportunities [2] - The gaming segment exhibits robust performance from both new and existing titles, with a rich pipeline for future growth [3] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Tencent achieved revenue of 192.9 billion yuan (up 15% year-on-year, up 5% quarter-on-quarter) and net profit attributable to shareholders of 63.1 billion yuan (up 19% year-on-year, up 13% quarter-on-quarter) [1] - Non-IFRS net profit was 70.6 billion yuan (up 18% year-on-year, up 12% quarter-on-quarter) [1] - The gross margin increased by 3 percentage points year-on-year to 56%, driven by high-margin self-developed games and services [1] Business Segments - Value-added services revenue reached 95.9 billion yuan (up 16% year-on-year), with domestic gaming revenue at 42.8 billion yuan (up 15% year-on-year) and overseas gaming revenue at 20.8 billion yuan (up 43% year-on-year) [1] - Marketing services revenue was 36.2 billion yuan (up 21% year-on-year), benefiting from increased user engagement and AI-driven improvements in advertising efficiency [1] - Financial technology services revenue was 58.2 billion yuan (up 10% year-on-year), driven by growth in commercial payments and AI-related services [1] AI Technology Development - The company is continuously upgrading its AI models, with its latest image generation model ranking first globally as of November 12 [2] - New advertising products enhance marketing ROI and support small and medium-sized advertisers [2] - AI integration in e-commerce is boosting transaction volumes on platforms like WeChat [2] Gaming Performance - New games like "Delta Force" and "Valorant" are performing well, with "Valorant" achieving over 50 million monthly active users in China [3] - Established titles like "Honor of Kings" continue to show strong user engagement, with daily active users surpassing 139 million [3] - Upcoming game launches, including "Honor of Kings World" and "Honor of Kings Chess," are expected to drive further business growth [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Tencent Holdings is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - Tencent Holdings continues to demonstrate high growth, with Q3 2025 revenue reaching 192.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 63.1 billion yuan, up 19% year-on-year and 13% quarter-on-quarter [4] - The company is expected to maintain strong growth driven by the deepening application of AI and the performance of both new and existing games. The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 226.4 billion yuan, 256.2 billion yuan, and 288.7 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 23.7, 20.9, and 18.6 times [4][5] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - Revenue for 2023 is projected at 609.02 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 9.8%. By 2025, revenue is expected to reach 752.39 billion yuan, reflecting a 14% increase [6] - Net profit for 2023 is estimated at 115.22 billion yuan, with a significant year-on-year growth of 68.4% expected in 2024, leading to a net profit of 194.07 billion yuan [6] - The gross margin is projected to improve to 56.4% by 2025, up from 48.1% in 2023, indicating enhanced profitability [6]