中金公司公告，拟换股吸收合并东兴证券、信达证券。中金公司A股股票换股价格为36.91元/股，东兴 证券A股股东持有的每1股信达证券A股股票可以换取0.5188股中金公司A股股票，信达证券A股股东持 有的每1股信达证券A股股票可以换取0.5188股中金公司A股股票。 市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议，也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何 意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资，责任自负。 风险提示及免责条款 ...

兄弟姐妹们啊，今天的市场，太惊喜了！上午虽然指数上涨，但依旧有4000多只个股下跌。而到了下午一点半之后，画风突变，三大指数 直线暴力拉升，泰勒终于可以理直气壮找一回暴涨的原因了！ 而今天的标题，已经有热心读者帮我取好了！ 接下来一起去看看发生了什么事情。 突然的爆买！ 12月17日下午开盘之后，原本震荡的A股三大指数，突然直线拉升。上证指数涨超1%，深证成指涨超2%，创业板指数涨超3%！ 全市场从上午的4000家下跌，转为3600多家公司上涨！ | 背后原因是什么？ | | --- | 为何突然拉升？泰勒找了一圈，起码跟三个消息有关。 首先，打响第一枪的是"牛市骑手"券商股， 金融股午后持续走强，华泰证券一度拉升涨近8%，中国太保、中国人寿、广发证券、东方财 富、中信建投等纷纷走高。 市场人士分析， 或许是资金在博弈中金公司复牌。 11月19日晚间，中金公司、东兴证券、信达证券发布《关于筹划重大资产重组的停牌 公告》，三家公司正在筹划由中金公司分别通过向东兴证券、信达证券全体A股换股股东发行A股股票的方式换股吸收合并东兴证券、信达 证券。 【导读】大涨原因，找到了！ 中国基金报记者 泰勒 | | | | 券 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced significant movements, particularly in the brokerage sector, which is seen as a leading indicator of a bull market. The surge in brokerage stocks is expected to provide substantial support to the overall market [1][3]. Group 1: Market Movements - The Shanghai Composite Index rose nearly 1.5% in the afternoon, while the ChiNext Index increased by over 3.5%, driven by strong performances in the brokerage, insurance, and software sectors [1]. - Several broad-based ETFs saw increased trading volumes, with the CSI 300 ETF (510300) trading over 900 million yuan in the last half hour, and other ETFs also experiencing significant trading activity [1]. Group 2: Brokerage Sector Performance - Brokerages collectively showed strong performance, with Huatai Securities rising over 9%, and other firms like GF Securities and Industrial Securities also seeing gains of over 5% and 3% respectively [3]. - The recent announcement of China International Capital Corporation (CICC) absorbing Dongxing Securities and Xinda Securities has led to a collective suspension of trading for these companies, with expectations of a merger announcement soon [5]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts believe that the resumption of trading for the three suspended brokerage firms could provide a significant boost to the brokerage sector. Additionally, regulatory measures to expand capital space and leverage limits for brokerages are expected to shift competition from price to value [5]. - The brokerage sector is currently in a strong position, with net inflows into the brokerage ETF exceeding 2.9 billion yuan over the past 60 trading days, indicating robust investor interest [7]. - The overall market environment is characterized by a focus on "stabilizing growth and the stock market," with policies aimed at enhancing investor confidence and liquidity, which are expected to support the brokerage sector's upward trajectory [7].

12月17日，上交所发布关于中国国际金融股份有限公司2025年面向专业投资者公开发行永续次级债券 （第二期）上市的公告。 依据《上海证券交易所公司债券上市规则》等规定，上交所同意中国国际金融股份有限公司2025年面向 专业投资者公开发行永续次级债券（第二期）于2025年12月18日起在上交所上市，并采取匹配成交、点 击成交、询价成交、竞买成交、协商成交交易方式。该债券证券简称为"25中金Y2"，证券代码 为"244366"。 来源：市场资讯 ...

市场昨日震荡调整，三大指数集体低开低走。沪深两市成交额1.72万亿，较上一个交易日缩量493亿。 板块方面，零售、教育、乳业、多元金融等板块涨幅居前，贵金属、影视院线等板块跌幅居前。截至昨 日收盘，沪指跌1.11%，深成指跌1.51%，创业板指跌2.1%。 在今天的券商晨会上，华泰证券表示，消费领域建议关注国货崛起、AI+消费、情绪消费、低估值高股 息白马龙头等结构性机会；中信建投指出，中央经济工作会议提出"着力稳定房地产市场"，稳楼市态度 明确；中金公司发布2026年展望：继续看好银行股的绝对收益与相对收益表现。 中信建投：中央经济工作会议提出"着力稳定房地产市场"，稳楼市态度明确 中信建投认为，11月单月全国商品房销售面积同比下降17.3%，降幅较10月收窄1.5个百分点，销售有较 大降幅。房价下行压力持续，9-11月连续三个月份70个大中城市的二手住宅价格均出现环比下跌；新建 住宅价格环比上涨的城市数量偏少。中央经济工作会议提出"着力稳定房地产市场"，延续了前期的政策 定调，稳楼市态度明确；更加积极的财政政策、适度宽松的货币政策，也有望推动经济增长与房地产市 场稳定。11月单月投资及开竣工面临较大的下行 ...

Core Viewpoint - The petrochemical industry has been in a downturn for approximately 3.5 years, with capital expenditure continuing to decline and outdated overseas capacity exiting the market, leading to a low growth phase for industry capacity. The industry is expected to see a cyclical turning point due to favorable supply-side factors and rapid growth in demand from sectors like new energy [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Performance - The chemical price index and profit margins are currently at low levels, with a 10.3% decline in China's chemical product price index from early 2025, placing it at the 10.4% percentile since 2012. The profit margin for chemical raw materials and products was only 4.14% from January to October 2025, the lowest since 2017 [1]. - The capital expenditure of petrochemical companies is projected to decrease by 18.3% in 2024 and 10.1% in the first three quarters of 2025, with construction projects down by 13.2% year-on-year in Q3 2025 [2]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The exit of outdated overseas capacity, particularly in Europe and Japan, is expected to alleviate global supply-demand imbalances for related products [2]. - The demand growth for bulk chemical products remains resilient, with expectations that the real estate sector will have a diminishing impact on chemical product demand growth by 2026 [2]. Group 3: Key Segments and Future Outlook - Early-cycle products such as chemical fibers are expected to see rapid consumption growth from 2020 to 2024, with chemical fibers projected to be among the fastest-growing bulk chemical products by 2026 [3]. - The industry is anticipated to experience a turning point in the capacity cycle, driven by favorable supply-side factors and rapid growth in demand for materials in the new energy sector [3]. - The company is optimistic about leading chemical firms with low valuations and expects significant profit growth in the chemical fiber supply chain, as well as in sectors like lithium battery materials and emerging industries related to AI and robotics [3].

（文章来源：第一财经） 中金公司研报认为，石化化工行业下行周期已持续约3年半时间，随着行业资本开支持续下降及海外落 后产能加快退出，我们认为行业产能将进入低增长阶段，同时以行业自律为主的反内卷也加快了相关产 品盈利修复。随着供给端利好因素持续累积及新能源等领域需求的快速增长，我们预计化工行业周期拐 点有望到来。 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market has shown weak performance recently, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing down 1.1% on December 16, marking a cumulative decline of 2.5% over the past six trading days [2] - The market is experiencing a broad decline, with over 4,000 listed companies falling, while the trading volume on December 16 was 1.75 trillion yuan, slightly down from the previous day [2] - The sectors performing well include retail, beauty care, and social services, while telecommunications, non-ferrous metals, and power equipment saw the largest declines [2] Group 2 - Both internal and external factors have contributed to a temporary decline in market risk appetite, with external factors playing a dominant role. The recent FOMC meeting indicated a neutral to hawkish stance, with expectations of only one rate cut by 2026, raising concerns about liquidity [3] - Domestic economic data for November showed a continued slowdown compared to October, with significant declines in fixed asset investment and retail consumption growth, leading to increased market focus on fundamental data [3] Group 3 - The underlying logic for market growth remains intact, with a positive mid-term trend expected through 2026. The macro policy shift since last year has changed investor sentiment, providing a stable foundation for market recovery [4] - The fundamental drivers of the current market rally include the restructuring of the international monetary order and advancements in industrial innovation, both of which have not been disrupted [4] Group 4 - The current market pullback may offer good positioning opportunities for the first half of 2026, as overall valuations in the A-share market remain attractive compared to global peers and major asset classes [5] - Suggested investment strategies include focusing on growth styles during market corrections, with three main lines of focus: 1) sectors experiencing growth such as AI technology and innovative pharmaceuticals, 2) companies benefiting from overseas expansion, and 3) cyclical sectors nearing improvement points [5][6]

Core Viewpoint - Enhancing China's global pricing power is crucial for its position and competitiveness in the global financial system, directly impacting its voice in resource allocation and rule-making [1]. Group 1: Global Pricing Power - The competition for global pricing power is a deep-seated struggle for institutional discourse, rule dominance, and value assessment systems [1]. - Historical experience shows that controlling key assets, core technologies, and strategic resources grants the ability to shape global economic rules and direct international capital flows [1]. - The success of the IPO of Ningde Times on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, which became the largest globally in 2023, demonstrates the attractiveness of Chinese core assets to global capital [2]. Group 2: Role of Chinese Investment Banks - Chinese investment banks have transitioned from being "channel-type intermediaries" to global comprehensive financial service providers [1]. - The total scale of domestic and foreign direct financing facilitated by the company since its establishment has exceeded 67 trillion yuan, providing a value basis for asset pricing [1]. - The company has developed an innovative bond assessment framework in Hong Kong that aligns with the Sustainable Finance Common Classification Directory, contributing Chinese wisdom to global sustainable finance standards [2]. Group 3: Strategic Development - The competition for global pricing power is a long-term, systemic, and ecological battle that tests institutional resilience, professional depth, and strategic determination [2]. - Chinese investment banks must deeply integrate into high-level institutional openness in capital markets and articulate the long-term development logic of the Chinese economy to global investors [2]. - There is a need to enhance international business capabilities, transitioning from "follow-up service" to "proactive leadership" [2]. Group 4: Talent and Internationalization - Strengthening the pricing power of Chinese assets and supporting the internationalization of the renminbi is essential [3]. - The company should maintain reasonable valuations in cross-border capital operations of Chinese enterprises and actively develop offshore renminbi financial products [3]. - Attracting professionals with global market experience and expertise in domestic and foreign regulatory environments is crucial for high-quality development [3].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of securities companies in meeting the financing needs of the real economy, particularly in fostering innovation, matching investment and financing needs, and supporting industrial mergers and acquisitions [1] - Securities companies are encouraged to focus on the demands of the real economy by directing more resources into key areas such as technological innovation, industrial upgrading, green development, and support for small and medium-sized enterprises [1] - The goal is to cultivate new productive forces and enhance the vitality of high-quality development [1] Group 2 - Securities companies are positioned to serve the wealth management and asset allocation needs of residents, leveraging their expertise in equity investment, price discovery, and risk management [1] - There is a growing need for securities companies to provide diverse products and high-quality services to meet the increasingly complex asset allocation demands of retail clients [1] - This approach aims to help residents preserve and increase their wealth, thereby expanding domestic demand and unleashing consumption potential [1] Group 3 - The article highlights the role of securities companies in actively supporting high-level opening up, as domestic enterprises expand their overseas presence and the importance of Chinese assets increases globally [1] - Securities companies are encouraged to leverage their advantages in cross-border and cross-market operations to guide long-term capital into the market [1] - They should facilitate connections between various domestic and foreign enterprises and institutions, while continuously promoting the narrative of China [1]