[Table_MainInfo] 公司研究/有色金属/铜 证券研究报告 洛阳钼业（603993）公司半年报点评 2024 年 08 月 29 日 [Table_InvestInfo] 投资评级 优于大市 维持 股票数据 | --- | --- | |-------------------------------------------------------------|---------------| | 08[Table_StockInfo 月 27日收盘价（元）] | 7.54 | | 52 周股价波动（元） | 4.61-9.87 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万股） | 21599/17666 | | 总市值/流通市值（百万元） | 162858/162858 | | 相关研究 | | | [Table_ReportInfo] 《积极布局全球优质资产，打造世界级矿业公 | | 司》2024.05.31 市场表现 [Table_QuoteInfo] 洛阳钼业 海通综指 -19.86% -2.86% 14.14% 31.14% 48.14% 2023/8 2023/11 2024/2 2024/5 | ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy - A" with a 6-month target price of 10.2 CNY per share [3]. Core Views - The company has achieved significant growth in revenue and profit due to the successful ramp-up of its world-class mines and an increase in copper prices. In the first half of 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1028.18 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 18.56%, and a net profit of 54.17 billion CNY, a remarkable increase of 670.43% [1][2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 566.97 billion CNY, up 33.58% year-on-year, and a net profit of 33.46 billion CNY, up 766.68% year-on-year and 61.49% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The company’s non-recurring net profit for Q2 2024 was 35.34 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2190.78% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 68.98% [1]. Production and Sales - The company’s copper and cobalt production in H1 2024 reached 313,800 tons and 54,000 tons, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 100.74% and 178.22% [2]. - The sales figures for copper and cobalt in H1 2024 were 311,800 tons and 50,900 tons, showing year-on-year increases of 510.53% and 3441.73% [2]. Market Conditions - The average price of cathode copper in H1 2024 was 9,090.30 USD/ton, an increase of 4.45% year-on-year, while the average price of cobalt decreased by 20.44% to 12.22 USD/pound [2]. - The company’s copper segment reported a gross profit of 10.485 billion CNY, with a gross profit per ton of 33,600 CNY, while the cobalt segment reported a gross profit of 1.831 billion CNY, with a gross profit per ton of 36,000 CNY [2]. Future Outlook - The company expects to produce between 520,000 to 570,000 tons of copper and 60,000 to 70,000 tons of cobalt in 2024, achieving 58% and 83% of its annual production targets, respectively [2]. - The company is also advancing its Nzilo II hydropower project to ensure stable power supply for future production [2].

券 研 究 2024 年 08 月 28 日 | --- | --- | --- | |----------------------------------------------------------------|------------------------------------------------------------------------|--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | | | 铜钴产品销量大增，降本增效有成果 | | | | —洛阳钼业（603993.SH）公司事件点评报告 | | 买入(维持) | | 事件 | | 分析师：傅鸿浩 | S1050521120004 | 洛阳钼业发布 2024 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company achieved a record high net profit attributable to shareholders of 54 billion yuan in the first half of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 670.4% [1] - The copper segment is the primary source of gross profit, contributing 119 billion yuan, which accounts for 63% of total gross profit [2] - The company expects copper production to exceed the annual report guidance, with a projected annual output of 62.8 million tons based on the first half results [2] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - The company reported revenue of 102.8 billion yuan in the first half of 2024, up 18.6% year-on-year, and 567 billion yuan in Q2, reflecting a 33.6% year-on-year increase [1] - The gross profit for the first half was 188.9 billion yuan, with a significant contribution from the copper segment [2] Production Capacity - The TFM project in the Democratic Republic of Congo has reached a production capacity of 450,000 tons of copper and 37,000 tons of cobalt, making it the fifth-largest copper mine globally [2] - The company’s copper production in the first half of 2024 was 314,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of approximately 101% [2] Future Outlook - The company has a five-year plan to double copper production to 800,000 to 1,000,000 tons by 2028 [2] - The projected net profits for 2024-2026 are 119 billion, 156.3 billion, and 166.7 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 13, 10, and 10 times [2][9]

产量超预期释放，Q2 业绩高增 洛阳钼业（603993）/基本金 属证券研究报告/公司点评 2024 年 8 月 27 日 [Table_Title] 评级：买入（维持） [Table_Finance] 公司盈利预测及估值 [Table_Industry] | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |----------------------------------------------------------------|------------------------------|-------------------------|---------------------------------------|--------------------------------------|-----------------------|-----------------------------------------|--------------------------| | 市场价格：7.64 | | 指标 | 2022A | 2023A | ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) for both TFM and KFM with target prices of HKD 6.60 and RMB 8.70 respectively [1][4]. Core Insights - The company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 5.42 billion in H1 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 670.4%. Revenue for the same period was RMB 102.82 billion, up 18.6% year-over-year [1]. - The copper production reached 310,000 tons and cobalt production was 54,000 tons in H1 2024, fulfilling 58% and 83% of the annual targets respectively. The company aims to achieve copper production of 800,000 to 1,000,000 tons by 2026-2028 [2]. - The copper and cobalt segment contributed significantly to profitability, with a gross margin of 52% in H1 2024, up from 42% in the previous year, driven by a 4% increase in copper prices year-over-year and a 16% increase quarter-over-quarter in Q2 2024 [3]. Financial Performance - For H1 2024, the company reported revenue of RMB 102.82 billion and a net profit of RMB 5.42 billion, with Q2 revenue at RMB 56.70 billion, showing a year-over-year increase of 33.6% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 22.9% [1][2]. - The projected net profits for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are RMB 10.93 billion, RMB 12.76 billion, and RMB 17.63 billion respectively, indicating a strong growth trajectory [5]. - The company’s PE ratio for 2024 is estimated at 17.1X, compared to the average PE of comparable companies at 13.2X [1][6]. Production Capacity and Expansion - TFM's mixed ore project has successfully reached production capacity, with five production lines established, yielding an annual capacity of 450,000 tons of copper and 37,000 tons of cobalt, making it the fifth largest copper mine and second largest cobalt mine globally [2]. - KFM has established an annual production capacity of 150,000 tons of copper and 50,000 tons of cobalt, maintaining its position as the world's largest cobalt mine [2]. - The company is actively pursuing expansion projects, including the Nzilo II hydropower station cooperation agreement and ongoing exploration work for KFM Phase II [2].

公司事件点评 [Table_MainInfo] 业务完成度超指引均值，整体降本增效成果显著 [Table_Analysis] 有色金属——小金属 022-23839062 zhangke@bhzq.com 证券分析师 张珂 [Table_Picture] 最近半年股价相对走势 [Table_Report] 相关研究报告 《公司借资源禀赋发力，铜 钴双引擎带动增长——洛 阳钼业（603993）深度报告》 2024.3.29 ――洛阳钼业（603993）2024 年半年报点评 分析师： 张珂 SAC NO： S1150523120001 2024 年 8 月 26 日 [Table_Summary] 事件： 公司发布 2024 年半年报，实现营业收入 1,028.18 亿元，同比增长 18.56%； 归母净利润 54.17 亿元，同比增长 670.43%；扣非后归母净利 56.25 亿元，同 比增长 2,457.25%。 点评： 上半年产品产销两旺，业务完成度超指引均值 2024 年 H1，公司位于刚果的 TFM 矿和 KFM 矿保持快节奏生产，同时铜和钴 的回收率大幅提升；国内三道庄难选矿石钨和上房沟钼的回收率 ...

证券研究报告 | 2024年08月27日 证券分析师：刘孟峦 证券分析师：焦方冉 010-88005312 021-60933177 liumengluan@guosen.com.cn jiaofangran@guosen.com.cn S0980520040001 S0980522080003 收盘价 7.64 元 总市值/流通市值 165018/164254 百万元 52 周最高价/最低价 9.87/4.61 元 近 3 个月日均成交额 1186.92 百万元 | --- | --- | |----------|----------------| | 基础数据 | | | 投资评级 | 优于大市(维持) | | 合理估值 | | | 市场走势 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |---------------------|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------| | 盈利预测和财务指标 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | 营业收入(百万元) | 17 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][3]. Core Insights - The company achieved record performance in H1 2024, with revenue of 102.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.6%, and a net profit of 5.42 billion yuan, up 670.4% year-on-year [2][8]. - The significant profit growth is attributed to the increase in both volume and price of copper and cobalt products, with gross profit rising by 15.17 billion yuan [2][14]. - The company has exceeded production expectations for copper and cobalt, achieving 31.38 and 5.40 million tons respectively in H1 2024, which is 57.58% and 83.08% of the annual target [23][42]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2024, the company reported revenue of 102.8 billion yuan, with mining contributing 31.44 billion yuan and trading 71.38 billion yuan, marking a 34% increase in revenue for Q2 compared to the previous quarter [2][8]. - The net profit for H1 2024 was 5.42 billion yuan, with Q2 net profit reaching 3.35 billion yuan, reflecting a 767% year-on-year increase [2][8]. Production and Sales - The copper and cobalt production in H1 2024 was significantly higher than expected, with copper production at 31.38 million tons (up 100.74% year-on-year) and cobalt at 5.40 million tons (up 178.22% year-on-year) [23][42]. - The company’s trading segment also performed well, with net profit increasing by 116.67% to 6.63 billion yuan [22][27]. Price Trends - The average price for copper in H1 2024 was 9,090 USD/ton, a 4.45% increase year-on-year, while cobalt prices fell by 20.44% to 12.22 USD/pound [19][20]. - The company’s gross margin improved significantly, particularly in the copper segment, which saw a gross margin of 52.4% [19][28]. Future Outlook - The company aims to increase copper production to 80-100 million tons and cobalt to 9-10 million tons by 2028, with a projected CAGR of 16.5% for copper and 11.3% for cobalt from 2023 to 2028 [42]. - The ongoing development of the TFM and KFM mines is expected to contribute significantly to future production increases [42].

有色金属/小金属 公 司 研 究 洛阳钼业（603993.SH） 2024 年 08 月 26 日 铜钴产量同比高增，业绩创历史新高 ——公司信息更新报告 投资评级：买入（维持） 李怡然（分析师） liyiran@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790523050002 | --- | --- | |--------------------|-----------| | 日期 | 2024/8/23 | | 当前股价(元) | 7.42 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 9.87/4.61 | | 总市值(亿元) | 1,602.66 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 1,310.80 | | 总股本(亿股) | 215.99 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 176.66 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 53.11 | 2024H1 归母净利同比增长达 670.43%，创历史新高 公司发布2024年半年度报告，2024H1实现营业收入1028亿元，同比增长18.56%， 实现归母净利润约 54.17 亿元，同比增加 670.43%，实现扣非归母净利润约 56.25 亿元，同比增长 2457.25%，均创历史新高 ...