LEAPMOTOR(09863)
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A股异动丨一汽解放拉升涨停,中国一汽据报拟收购零跑汽车10%左右股权
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-08-20 05:29
股市慢牛已成"共识"!牛市投资买什么?重磅投资福利来了,把握历史低价机遇! 消息面上,有媒体称中国一汽正在筹划入股零跑汽车,成为该公司战略股东。相关知情人士透露:"一汽计划初步要约收购10%左右零跑股份,目前该 方案已经在一汽内部相关部门转推进。" 格隆汇8月20日|A股市场一汽集团关联个股集体走强,其中,一汽解放(000800.SZ)拉升涨停,富维股份、启明信息、富奥股份、长春一东跟涨。 ...
汽车整车板块午后异动 一汽解放触及涨停
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-20 05:24
【汽车整车板块午后异动 一汽解放触及涨停】智通财经8月20日电,午后汽车整车板块异动,一汽解放 拉升触及涨停,上汽集团、宇通客车、东风股份、金龙汽车等跟涨。消息面上,记者从知情人士处获 悉,中国一汽正在筹划入股零跑汽车,成为该公司战略股东。一汽计划初步要约收购10%左右零跑股 份,目前该方案已经在一汽内部相关部门流转推进。 转自:智通财经 ...
独家|知情人士:中国一汽拟收购零跑汽车10%左右股权
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-20 05:12
【独家|知情人士:中国一汽拟收购零跑汽车10%左右股权】智通财经8月20日电,记者从知情人士处 获悉,中国一汽正在筹划入股零跑汽车,成为该公司战略股东。"一汽计划初步要约收购10%左右零跑 股份,目前该方案已经在一汽内部相关部门流转推进。"该知情人士透露。(智通财经记者 刘阳) 转自:智通财经 ...
零跑汽车(09863):2025 年中期业绩点评:25H1交付量与毛利率创历史新高,净利润转正
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-08-20 03:12
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Leap Motor [2][6][10] Core Views - Leap Motor's mid-2025 performance is impressive, with significant revenue growth and a return to profitability for the first half of the year. The company is expected to benefit from new vehicle launches and accelerated overseas market expansion [2][10]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 16,747 million RMB, increasing to 32,164 million RMB in 2024, and reaching 65,268 million RMB by 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 35%, 92%, and 103% respectively [4][13]. - Gross profit is expected to rise from 80 million RMB in 2023 to 2,694 million RMB in 2024, and further to 9,333 million RMB in 2025 [4][13]. - Net profit is forecasted to turn positive in 2025, with estimates of 1,267 million RMB, following losses of 4,216 million RMB in 2023 and 2,821 million RMB in 2024 [4][13]. Performance Highlights - In the first half of 2025, Leap Motor achieved a revenue of 24.25 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 174%, and a net profit of 30 million RMB, marking the first half-year profit for the company [10]. - The company delivered 222,000 vehicles in the first half of 2025, a 155.7% increase year-on-year, leading the sales among new energy vehicle brands in China [10]. - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 14.1%, up 13.0 percentage points year-on-year, indicating significant improvement in profitability [10]. Market Position and Strategy - Leap Motor ranked first among new energy vehicle brands in terms of export volume, with 20,375 units exported in the first half of 2025 [10]. - The company is accelerating its global product rollout, with the first batch of B10 models set to launch in Europe in September 2025 [10]. - Leap Motor plans to establish a localized manufacturing base in Europe by the end of 2026, enhancing its global supply chain [10].
零跑汽车(09863.HK):业绩符合预期 经营有望持续强势
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-20 03:07
Core Viewpoint - The performance of Leap Motor in H1 2025 is in line with expectations, showing significant growth in sales and revenue, while also achieving profitability for the first half of the year [1][2] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, Leap Motor sold 134,000 new vehicles, representing a year-on-year increase of 151.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 53.2% [1] - Total revenue for Q2 2025 reached 14.23 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth of 165.5% and quarter-on-quarter growth of 42% [1] - The average selling price (ASP) per vehicle in Q2 2025 was 106,000 yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 10.6% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 7.3% [1] - For H1 2025, total vehicle sales reached 222,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 155.7%, with total revenue of 24.25 billion yuan, up 174.2% year-on-year [1] - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 13.6%, with a year-on-year increase of 10.8 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.3 percentage points [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders in Q2 2025 was 160 million yuan, marking a return to profitability compared to the previous quarter [1] Operational Analysis and Outlook - The company is expected to maintain strong performance throughout the year, driven by the momentum from new model launches and year-end sales push [2] - The years 2025-2026 are anticipated to be significant for new vehicle launches, with a high probability of successful products due to strong in-house development capabilities [2] - Additional revenue streams from carbon emission credits, partnerships, and component sales are expected to contribute to profit growth in 2025-2026 [2] Profit Forecast, Valuation, and Rating - The company maintains sales forecasts of 577,000, 802,000, and 1,023,000 units for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding revenues of 66.17 billion, 97.79 billion, and 116.87 billion yuan [2] - Projected net profits for the same years are 920 million, 4.55 billion, and 7.2 billion yuan, with price-to-earnings ratios of 99.2, 20.0, and 12.7 times [2] - The company’s performance is in line with expectations, and there is a high certainty of marginal improvement in H2 2025, leading to a maintained "buy" rating [2]
零跑汽车(9863.HK):二季度利润再次转正 上调全年销量指引
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-20 03:07
Core Viewpoint - The company maintains a "Buy" rating for Leap Motor, raising the target price to HKD 83.0, indicating a potential upside of 22% [1] Group 1: Sales and Profitability - Leap Motor's revenue for Q2 reached RMB 14.23 billion, a year-on-year increase of 166% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 42% [2] - The gross margin improved to 13.6%, up 10.8 percentage points year-on-year, although it decreased by 1.3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2] - The company achieved an operating profit of RMB 61.37 million, marking its first positive result, exceeding both internal and market expectations [2] - Net profit for Q2 was RMB 16.3 million, returning to profitability after Q1 [2] Group 2: Sales Guidance and Future Outlook - The company has raised its sales guidance for 2025, expecting Q3 vehicle sales to be between 170,000 and 180,000 units, and adjusting the annual sales target to a range of 580,000 to 650,000 units [2] - With the growth in sales volume and the completion of model transitions, there is potential for further improvement in gross margin in the second half of the year, with an annual gross margin expected to reach 14%-15% [2] - The company aims to control expenses, projecting an annual profit of RMB 500 million to 1 billion [2] Group 3: Valuation - The company is valued using a sum-of-parts approach, applying a price-to-sales ratio of 1.6x for automotive sales/services and 2.0x for other revenues, leading to a target price of HKD 83.0, corresponding to a target price-to-sales ratio of 1.6x [2]
零跑汽车(09863.HK):1H25首次实现半年度盈利 全面开启盈利周期
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-20 03:07
Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong performance in 1H25, with significant revenue growth and a return to profitability, indicating a positive trend in its operational efficiency and market position [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company achieved revenue of RMB 24.25 billion, a year-on-year increase of 174.0%, and a net profit of RMB 0.3 billion, marking a return to profitability [1]. - In 2Q25, revenue reached RMB 14.23 billion, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 165.5% and a year-on-year increase of 42.0%, while net profit was RMB 1.6 billion, also showing a turnaround [1]. - The gross margin improved significantly from 1.1% in 1H24 to 14.1% in 1H25, driven by increased sales volume, cost reduction efforts, and product mix optimization [1]. Sales and Product Development - The company sold 221,664 vehicles in 1H25, a year-on-year increase of 155.7%, leading the sales among new force brands in China [1]. - The introduction of new models based on the LEAP 3.5 architecture, including the B10 and B01, and upgrades to existing models on the C platform, have expanded the product matrix [1]. Operational Efficiency - The overall expense ratio decreased by 12.1 percentage points to 16.9% in 1H25, benefiting from rapid revenue growth [1]. - The net cash flow from operating activities reached RMB 2.86 billion, reflecting improved operational efficiency and financial health [1]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is advancing its high-end product strategy and plans to launch new models on the D platform to enter higher-end markets [2]. - In terms of globalization, the company exported 20,375 vehicles in the first half of the year, leading among new force brands, and has established a presence in approximately 30 international markets [2]. - A strategic partnership with Stellantis is progressing, with local assembly projects in Malaysia initiated and plans for a European production base by the end of 2026 [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has raised its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 70.4% and 50.7%, respectively, indicating a strong outlook for profitability [2]. - The target price has been adjusted upward by 11.5% to HKD 89.20, reflecting a potential upside of 30.9% based on the 2026 P/E valuation method [2].
零跑汽车(09863.HK):自研智驾巩固造车优势 2026年往后业绩动力充足
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-20 03:07
2025Q2 净利润显著转正,费用率优化、其他收益环比增长抵消毛利率下滑公司2025Q2 收入142.3 亿 元,同比增长165.5%,受益于(1)交付量环比提升52%至12.6 万辆,我们测算季度ASP 环比下滑约0.8 万元至约11.2 万,或因均价较低的B 系列大规模交付所致;(2)战略合作、碳积分交易贡献。2025Q2 GAAP净利润1.6 亿元,驱动2025H1 Non-GAAP 净利润显著转正至3.3 亿元,主要源于2025Q2 经营费用 率环比优化1.7 pct 至16.2%(研发、销售、管理费用率分别减少2.0/0.5/0.9 pct)、其他营业收益环比增 长183%至4.3 亿元,抵消了毛利率环比下滑1.3 pct 至13.6%的负面影响(分析主要为B 系列爬坡上量所 致)。 2026 年往后国内新车、零部件放量、合资公司有望依次驱动业绩增长公司指引2025Q3 销量17-18 万 辆、上修全年指引至58-65 万辆(vs 前值50-60万辆),对应国内交付52-60 万辆(vs 前值44-55 万辆, 出口指引维持5-6 万辆),并指引2025H2 毛利率环比提升至15%,驱动2025 全 ...
小米小鹏零跑:新势力“增长三杰”的秘密
Hu Xiu· 2025-08-20 03:04
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance of the "growth trio" in the Chinese automotive market, namely Xiaomi, Xiaopeng, and Leap Motor, highlighting their successful strategies amidst fierce competition and declining profits in the industry [1][10][46]. Group 1: Performance Overview - Mercedes-Benz's CEO stated that the company does not want to aggressively pursue market share in China, reflecting the challenges faced by traditional automakers [1]. - The "growth trio" has emerged as leaders in sales growth among new energy vehicle manufacturers, with Leap Motor, Xiaopeng, and Xiaomi showing significant sales increases [3][8]. - Leap Motor achieved a remarkable 53% quarter-on-quarter sales increase in Q2, reaching 134,000 units, and has raised its annual sales guidance to 580,000-650,000 units [20]. Group 2: Sales and Growth Metrics - The article presents sales data for the new energy vehicle companies, indicating that the "growth trio" not only ranks among the top five in sales but also has the highest completion rates for their annual sales targets [6][8]. - Xiaomi's SU7 model has seen over 100,000 units sold within four months of its launch, with July deliveries exceeding 30,000 units [21]. - Xiaopeng's Q2 sales increased by 10% quarter-on-quarter, showcasing the benefits of improved production capacity [21]. Group 3: Strategic Insights - The "growth trio" has achieved "healthy growth," characterized by simultaneous increases in sales volume and gross margin, attributed to strong economies of scale and precise market trend understanding [10][11]. - Leap Motor's cost control through vertical integration has allowed it to maintain a gross margin of 13.6% despite a decrease in average selling price [22]. - Xiaopeng's gross margin improved to 14.3% due to a shift in product mix towards higher-end models, demonstrating a focus on enhancing product quality [22]. Group 4: Market Positioning and Consumer Insights - Xiaomi's marketing strategy emphasizes emotional value, appealing to consumers who prioritize aesthetics and brand identity over mere specifications [25][26]. - The user demographic for Xiaomi's YU7 model is predominantly young, with a significant portion being first-time buyers, indicating a strong appeal to younger consumers [40]. - Leap Motor's strategy includes targeting mainstream markets while also planning to introduce a high-end flagship series, indicating a balanced approach to market segmentation [36]. Group 5: Global Expansion Plans - The "growth trio" is not only focusing on the domestic market but also planning international expansion, with Leap Motor establishing a joint venture with Stellantis and aiming for localized production in Malaysia [41][42]. - Xiaopeng is adopting a flexible approach for different markets, establishing direct sales in Europe while collaborating with local firms in Southeast Asia for assembly [43]. - Xiaomi has set a goal to enter the European market by 2027, indicating its ambition to expand its global footprint [45].
零跑汽车(09863):公司半年度扭亏为盈,销量有望继续高增,建议“买进”
CSC SECURITIES (HK) LTD· 2025-08-20 02:39
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside in the stock price [4][7]. Core Insights - The company has turned profitable in the first half of 2025, achieving a revenue of 24.25 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 174%, and a net profit of 33 million RMB, translating to an EPS of 0.02 RMB, which exceeded expectations [8]. - The company has sold 272,000 vehicles from January to July 2025, marking a 150% year-over-year increase, with July sales surpassing 50,000 units for the first time [10]. - The company focuses on the volume market with high cost-performance products, establishing a competitive advantage in the 100,000 to 200,000 RMB price range [8]. - The company plans to launch new models and expand sales channels, aiming for a sales target of 580,000 to 650,000 vehicles for the year [8]. Financial Performance - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit in its half-year report, with Q2 revenue reaching 14.24 billion RMB, a 166% year-over-year increase, and a net profit of 163 million RMB [8]. - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 14.1%, up 13 percentage points year-over-year, attributed to scale effects and product structure optimization [8]. - The company has adjusted its annual sales target to 580,000 to 650,000 vehicles, with expectations to approach the upper limit of this target [8]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 895 million RMB, 4.095 billion RMB, and 5.662 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.67 RMB, 3.06 RMB, and 4.24 RMB [10][12]. - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 22 for 2026 and 16 for 2027, supporting the "Buy" recommendation [10].