编辑丨 11月18日，恒生指数低开0.8%，恒生科技指数跌1.25%。新能源车概念股走低，小鹏汽车跌逾7%，蔚来 跌超3%，理想汽车跌超2%；创新药概念股回调。 | 心一 | | --- | ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong automotive stocks are experiencing a continuous decline, with significant drops in shares of various companies following the earnings report of XPeng Motors, which reported a larger-than-expected loss and lower-than-expected revenue growth [1] Group 1: Company Performance - XPeng Motors reported Q3 revenue of 20.38 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 102%, but below the market estimate of 20.45 billion yuan; adjusted loss per share was 0.080 yuan [1] - The gross margin for the quarter was 20.1%, an increase of 4.8 percentage points compared to the same period in 2024 [1] - XPeng Motors expects Q4 revenue to be between 21.5 billion and 23 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 33.5% to 42.8% [1] Group 2: Market Trends - In October, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 46.291 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.9%; however, automotive consumption was 4.255 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 7% [1] - From January to October, automotive consumption totaled 40.009 billion yuan, showing a slight year-on-year decline of 0.2% [1] Group 3: Stock Performance - XPeng Motors shares fell by 8.28% to 88.050 yuan, making it the weakest performer among automotive stocks [2] - Other companies also saw declines, with Li Auto down 2.19%, NIO down 3.00%, and BYD down 1.69% [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that XPeng Motors' revenue forecast for the fourth quarter fell short of expectations, leading to a significant drop of over 10% in its ADR [1] - Citigroup has lowered its target prices for XPeng Motors' US and Hong Kong stocks by over 3%, while still maintaining a positive outlook on the company's potential for diversified growth in the coming year [1] - Analysts have slightly reduced their sales forecasts for XPeng Motors for 2025 to align with the company's new guidance, which includes plans to launch seven new models and initiate Robotaxi pilot operations [1] Group 2 - XPeng Motors aims to start mass production of humanoid robots by the end of 2026, with a projected total market for humanoid robots exceeding that of electric vehicles [1] - The company envisions global sales of over 1 million humanoid robots by 2030 [1] - Citigroup has adjusted its target price for XPeng Motors' US stock down by 3.4% to $28.4 and its Hong Kong stock target price down by 3.7% to HKD 110.6 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Xpeng Motors reported a significant year-on-year revenue growth of 102% in Q3, but the stock price fell over 7% following the earnings announcement, indicating market disappointment with the results despite the growth [1] Financial Performance - Q3 revenue reached 20.38 billion yuan, slightly below market expectations of 20.45 billion yuan [1] - Adjusted loss per share for Q3 was 0.080 yuan [1] - Gross margin for the quarter was 20.1%, an increase of 4.8 percentage points compared to the same period last year [1] - Net loss attributable to shareholders was 380 million yuan, an improvement from a net loss of 1.81 billion yuan in the same quarter last year [1] Future Outlook - Xpeng Motors expects Q4 revenue to be between 21.5 billion yuan and 23 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 33.5% to 42.8% [1] - The company anticipates vehicle deliveries in Q4 to range from 125,000 to 132,000 units, which is a year-on-year increase of about 36.6% to 44.3% [1] - Market estimates for Q4 deliveries stand at 135,984 units [1]

Summary of XPeng's Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: XPeng Motors - **Industry**: Electric Vehicles (EVs) and Robotics Key Financial and Operational Highlights - **Vehicle Deliveries**: Achieved a 149% year-over-year increase, totaling 116,007 units in Q3 2025, with monthly deliveries exceeding 40,000 units by September [2][3] - **Gross Margin**: Exceeded 20% for the first time in Q3 2025, compared to 15.3% in Q3 2024 [19] - **Net Loss**: Reduced to $0.38 billion in Q3 2025 from $1.81 billion year-over-year [22] - **Revenue**: Total revenues reached RMB 20.38 billion, a 101% year-over-year increase [16] Product Launches and Market Impact - **XPeng P7**: Became a top BEV sedan in its price range, significantly contributing to delivery growth [3] - **XPeng X9 Super Extended Range EV**: Launched presales with a range of up to 1,602 kilometers; pre-sale orders nearly four times higher than previous models [5][6] - **Future Products**: Plans to introduce three super extended range products and four new dual energy models in Q1 2026 [7][8] AI and Technology Advancements - **AI Integration**: XPeng is focusing on physical AI technologies, with plans to open-source its physical world model and launch Robot Taxi services [4][12] - **VLA 2.0 Model**: Features ten times more parameters than its predecessor, enhancing safety and user experience in intelligent driving scenarios [10] Global Expansion and Localization - **International Deliveries**: Exceeded 5,000 monthly overseas deliveries in September 2025, a 79% year-over-year increase [9] - **Localized Production**: Commenced production in Austria and Indonesia, with plans for further expansion [39] Humanoid Robots and Future Plans - **Humanoid Robots**: XPeng plans to mass-produce humanoid robots by the end of 2026, targeting commercial applications such as retail assistance and tour guiding [14][28] - **Market Potential**: Anticipates that the market for humanoid robots could exceed that of automobiles once they reach a critical inflection point [14] Financial Projections - **Q4 2025 Deliveries**: Expected to reach between 125,000 and 132,000 units, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 36% to 44% [15] - **Revenue Projections**: Anticipated revenue between RMB 21.5 billion and RMB 23 billion for Q4 2025, up approximately 33% to 42% from the previous year [15] Strategic Collaborations - **Volkswagen Partnership**: Revenue from collaboration expected to start in Q4 2025, contributing significantly to future revenues [23][24] - **Robot Taxi Ecosystem**: Plans to collaborate with various partners, including Gaode Map for traffic management and operational services [30][31] Conclusion XPeng Motors is positioned for significant growth in the EV and robotics sectors, with strong financial performance, innovative product launches, and strategic global expansion plans. The company's focus on AI and humanoid robots indicates a forward-looking approach to technology integration and market leadership.

Group 1: New Energy Vehicle Exports - In October 2025, China's new energy vehicle exports reached 256,000 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 99.9% and a month-on-month increase of 15.4% [1] - From January to October 2025, new energy vehicle exports totaled 2.014 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 90.4% [1] Group 2: Automotive Investment Growth - Automotive investment growth is projected to reach 17.5% in 2025, significantly higher than other manufacturing sectors [2] - In October 2025, total vehicle production was 328,000 units, with new energy vehicle production at 171,000 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 19% and a penetration rate of 52% [2] Group 3: GAC Group Leadership Changes - GAC Group announced the appointment of He Xianqing as General Manager and Wang Dan as Chief Accountant, marking a significant leadership change aimed at reform [3] Group 4: Geely Automotive Financial Performance - Geely Automotive reported a third-quarter revenue of 89.19 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27%, and a net profit of 3.82 billion yuan, up 59% year-on-year [4] Group 5: XPeng Motors Financial Results - XPeng Motors reported third-quarter revenue of 20.38 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 102%, with a net loss of 380 million yuan [6] - The total vehicle deliveries for the third quarter reached 116,007 units, a 149.3% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [6] Group 6: Leap Motor Financial Performance - Leap Motor achieved a net profit of 150 million yuan in the third quarter of 2025, marking consecutive quarters of profitability [8] - The company delivered 173,852 vehicles, a 101.8% increase year-on-year, with revenue of 19.45 billion yuan, up 97.3% [8] Group 7: Future Product Plans of XPeng Motors - XPeng Motors plans to launch seven new models in 2026, including three super electric range-extended products in the first quarter [11] Group 8: BMW iX3 Production Plans - BMW's new generation iX3 is set to be produced in 2026, featuring advanced driving assistance technologies, with extensive testing already underway [12]

Core Insights - The top three companies by Hong Kong Stock Connect holding ratios are China Telecom (00728) at 72.14%, COSCO Shipping Energy (01138) at 69.18%, and GCL-Poly Energy (01330) at 69.09% [1][2] - Xiaomi Group-W (01810), Pop Mart (09992), and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (01398) saw the largest increases in holding amounts over the last five trading days, with increases of +34.20 billion, +12.67 billion, and +11.24 billion respectively [1][2] - The largest decreases in holding amounts were observed in the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (02800) at -58.33 billion, Alibaba Group-W (09988) at -40.89 billion, and Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (02828) at -18.98 billion [1][3] Group 1: Top Holding Ratios - China Telecom (00728) has a holding ratio of 72.14% with 10.013 billion shares [2] - COSCO Shipping Energy (01138) has a holding ratio of 69.18% with 0.897 billion shares [2] - GCL-Poly Energy (01330) has a holding ratio of 69.09% with 0.279 billion shares [2] Group 2: Recent Increases in Holdings - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) increased by +34.20 billion with a change of +81.51 million shares [2] - Pop Mart (09992) increased by +12.67 billion with a change of +5.83 million shares [2] - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (01398) increased by +11.24 billion with a change of +172.61 million shares [2] Group 3: Recent Decreases in Holdings - Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (02800) decreased by -58.33 billion with a change of -219.93 million shares [3] - Alibaba Group-W (09988) decreased by -40.89 billion with a change of -26.39 million shares [3] - Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (02828) decreased by -18.98 billion with a change of -19.89 million shares [3]

Key Points - The article discusses various significant events and developments in the business and technology sectors, highlighting key company announcements, financial results, and market trends. Group 1: Company Announcements - Yu Minhong's internal letter to New Oriental employees sparked criticism as he celebrated the company's anniversary from Antarctica while employees were working late [4][5] - JD.com launched an independent food delivery app, with founder Liu Qiangdong emphasizing that the review service will never be commercialized [8][9] - Huawei announced the upcoming release of the Mate 80 series, featuring models with up to 20GB of RAM, set for November 25 [30] Group 2: Financial Results - XPeng Motors reported Q3 revenue of 20.38 billion yuan, a 101.8% year-on-year increase, with a net loss of 3.8 billion yuan [17][19] - Geely's Q3 revenue reached 89.2 billion yuan, a 27% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 3.82 billion yuan, up 59% [20] - The Chinese tablet market saw Huawei leading with a 32.1% market share, while the overall market grew by 10.9% year-on-year [26][27] Group 3: Market Trends - The article notes a significant shift in the electric vehicle market, with XPeng Motors and Geely both reporting substantial growth, indicating a competitive landscape [17][20] - The AI and robotics sectors are experiencing rapid advancements, with companies like Booster Robotics and Ling Universe securing significant funding for product development [28][29] - The tech industry is facing a wave of layoffs, contrasting with the growth in AI-related projects, highlighting a disparity in workforce stability [45][46]

Group 1 - JD.com announced the official launch of its independent food delivery app, aiming to enhance user accessibility and convenience for its delivery services [3] - New Oriental's founder Yu Minhong sent a controversial letter to employees from Antarctica, reflecting on the company's journey and encouraging unity amidst challenges, which received mixed reactions from staff [5][7] - Alibaba's new AI application "Qianwen" faced service interruptions on its first day due to overwhelming user traffic, leading to a trending topic on social media [8] Group 2 - Former CEO of Hema, Hou Yi, is launching a new pet food brand "Chong Tian Tian" after the closure of his previous venture "Pai Te Xian Sheng" [10] - ByteDance's Seed AI team has seen significant turnover, with seven core members leaving this year, raising concerns about talent retention [11] - XPeng Motors plans to release seven new vehicles in 2026, focusing on "super range extender" configurations to address market needs [11] Group 3 - DJI confirmed its investment in a 3D printing company, reflecting confidence in the growth potential of the consumer 3D printing market, which is projected to reach $24.61 billion in 2024 [11] - Ubisoft is rumored to have been acquired, following a sudden halt in its stock trading and a delay in its Q2 financial report [13] - Meta's executives defended their aggressive AI investments, suggesting that current spending levels are not excessive compared to historical tech bubbles [13] Group 4 - Mercedes-Benz's CEO stated that the strict deadline for phasing out fuel vehicles in Europe by 2035 is no longer feasible, advocating for more flexibility in the transition to electric vehicles [13] - OceanBase launched a new AI domain, indicating a strong commitment to integrating AI into its database solutions [13] - L'Oréal Group made a minority investment in the Chinese skincare brand "LAN," marking its first investment in a local skincare company [14]

| 蒙格序號 | 大 股東/董事/最高行政人員名 作出披露的 買入 / 賣出或涉及的 每股的平均價 | | | | 持有權益的股份數目 佔已發行的有關事件的日 相關法國 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 版优惠 | | | | 份權益 請參閱│迦本註 有投票權股期(日 / 月 / | | | | | | | | 份自分比 年 | | | CS20251114E00464 | JPMorgan Chase & Co. | 1001(L) | 5.742.126(L | HKD 105.6553 | 80,373,920(L) | 5.14(L)11/11/2025 | | | | 1403(S) | 5,745,451(S) | | 60.686.996(S) | 3.88(S) | | | | | | | 27.324.902(P) | 1.75(P) | | 股份代號: | 09868 | | --- | --- | | 上市法國名稱: | 小鵬汽車有限公司 - W | | 日期 (日 / 月 / 年): | 18/10/2025 - 1 ...