【窩輪透視】攜程多條均線發出買入信號，短期震盪還是反彈？ 1月29日，携程(09961)在線上旅遊及相關消費類股中表現相對疲弱，當日收報482.2元，單日下跌2.66%，成交額達20.16億元，成交量中規中矩，未出現明顯 抄底跡象。 從技術指標綜合判斷，携程技術系統發出「買入」信號，信號強度達9，屬於強力買入提示，核心驅動來自RSI指標處於38的超賣區域，暗示短期股價下跌 動能有所衰竭，存在技術性反彈的可能。RSI為38（處於30-70中性區域下限，接近超賣），整體震盪指標偏向中性略偏多，短期超賣修復需求顯現。多條移 動平均線發出強力買入信號，但短期均線壓力明顯，反彈需先站上MA10（483.58元）。 截至今日（30日）上午10點49分，攜程最新報485元，暫有0.58%嘅升幅。阻力位為531元（阻力1）、585元（阻力2），短期支撐位分別為457元（支持 1）、379元（支持2），若能守住457元支撐，反彈概率有望提升（當前上升概率56%）。 回顧前期推薦的窩輪產品： 1月27日推薦的華泰認沽證（20904），2日後升幅達22%，而同期正股下跌3.44%，認沽證完美契合短期股價下跌走勢，為關注衍生品的投資 ...

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed at 27,742.89, down by 225.20 points or 0.81% as of January 29, 16:00 Eastern Time [1] - The index reached a high of 27,909.81 and a low of 27,419.65 during the trading session, with an average price of 27,664.73 [1] - The 52-week high for the index is 27,909.81, while the 52-week low is 19,335.70 [1] Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - Most large-cap stocks experienced declines, with HSBC Holdings closing at HKD 138.219, up 0.45% compared to the Hong Kong close [2] - Tencent Holdings closed at HKD 619.286, down 0.44% from the Hong Kong close [2] Individual Stock Movements - Tencent Holdings (00700) latest price is HKD 622.000, with a slight increase of 1.000 or 0.16% [3] - Alibaba Group (09988) latest price is HKD 173.300, down by 0.200 or 0.12% [3] - HSBC Holdings (00005) latest price is HKD 137.600, up by 0.100 or 0.07% [3] - China Construction Bank (00939) latest price is HKD 8.160, up by 0.130 or 1.62% [3] - AIA Group (01299) latest price is HKD 90.950, up by 2.100 or 2.36% [3] - Xiaomi Group (01810) latest price is HKD 36.620, up by 0.300 or 0.83% [3] - NetEase (099999) latest price is HKD 206.600, down by 5.400 or 2.55% [3] - Meituan (03690) latest price is HKD 98.600, up by 0.250 or 0.25% [3] - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (01398) latest price is HKD 6.640, up by 0.050 or 0.76% [3] - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (00388) latest price is HKD 444.200, up by 5.000 or 1.14% [3] - Ping An Insurance (02318) latest price is HKD 73.300, up by 2.350 or 3.31% [3] - Baidu Group (09888) latest price is HKD 155.500, down by 0.600 or 0.38% [3] - China Bank (03988) latest price is HKD 4.760, up by 0.090 or 1.93% [3] - BYD Company (01211) latest price is HKD 101.800, down by 1.000 or 0.97% [3] - JD.com (09618) latest price is HKD 114.600, down by 1.700 or 1.46% [3] - Ctrip Group (09961) latest price is HKD 482.200, down by 13.200 or 2.66% [3]

Core Viewpoint - The implementation of the "Regulations on the Supervision and Management of Online Trading Platforms" aims to address long-standing issues faced by merchants and consumers, establishing a fair, transparent, and trustworthy online trading ecosystem starting February 1, 2026 [1] Group 1: Transparency in Platform Rules - The new regulations will enhance the transparency of rule-making and modification processes, requiring platforms to prominently display rules on their homepage and ensure easy access for consumers and merchants [3] - Platforms must publicly solicit opinions from users and merchants before modifying rules, ensuring that reasonable suggestions are considered and documented for at least three years [3] - A communication and consultation mechanism will be established for significant rule changes, promoting collaborative governance rather than unilateral decision-making [3] Group 2: Protection of Membership Rights - The regulations specifically prohibit platforms from unilaterally changing membership rules to impose additional fees or reduce member benefits during the service period [5] - This legal framework aims to prevent practices like those seen in the iQIYI case, where members experienced a significant reduction in expected benefits due to sudden changes in service terms [4][5] Group 3: Fair Pricing Practices - The regulations address the issue of "big data price discrimination," mandating that platforms cannot set different prices for the same product or service under similar conditions without consumer knowledge [7] - Platforms are required to provide evidence of their pricing mechanisms when consumers claim price discrimination, thereby safeguarding consumer rights [7] Group 4: Regulation of Competitive Practices - The regulations aim to curb "involutionary" competition by prohibiting platforms from forcing merchants into unnecessary services or promotional activities, thus protecting merchants' operational autonomy [9] - Specific illegal practices such as "choose one from two" and unreasonable fees are clearly defined, establishing a comprehensive protection system for all stakeholders involved [9] Group 5: Execution of Rules and Appeals - The new regulations introduce a system for executing platform rules, requiring platforms to provide clear reasons and legal bases when taking negative actions against merchants or consumers [10] - A streamlined appeals process will be established, ensuring that merchants and consumers can challenge decisions effectively and receive fair treatment [10]

近期，杰出雇主调研机构正式发布2026年度杰出雇主榜单，携程集团连续第二年获得该奖项。 携程集团再度获得中国"杰出雇主"认可 获奖现场 携程集团人力资源相关负责人表示，携程集团会持续投入提升员工的体验，为每一位与携程同行的人才提供包容、保护与 支持。 近期，杰出雇主调研机构正式发布2026年度杰出雇主榜单，携程集团连续第二年获得该奖项。 携程集团再度获得中国"杰出雇主"认可 获奖现场 携程集团人力资源相关负责人表示，携程集团会持续投入提升员工的体验，为每一位与携程同行的人才提供包容、保护与 支持。 ...

Market Overview - Hong Kong stock market opened positively with Hang Seng Index up 0.73%, National Enterprises Index up 0.63%, and Hang Seng Tech Index up 0.56% [1][4] - Major blue-chip stocks like HSBC Holdings rose by 2.23%, Zijin Mining by 2.21%, China Ping An by 1.65%, and JD Group by 1.5% [1][4] - New Oriental saw a decline of 3.56%, Haidilao down 0.75%, and Trip.com down 0.72% [1][4] Company Highlights - CloudWalk Technology (云知声) opened high at 10.56%, expecting to achieve revenue from large model-related businesses of approximately RMB 600 million to 620 million for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of about 1,057% to 1,095% compared to RMB 51.87 million for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024 [1][4] - China Gold International (中国黄金国际) opened up 3.76% and provided production guidance for 2026, estimating copper production at approximately 140 million to 149 million pounds (about 63,500 to 67,500 tons), gold production at approximately 70,732 to 75,554 ounces (about 2.2 to 2.35 tons), and silver production at approximately 4.18 million to 4.82 million ounces (about 130 to 150 tons) from the Jiamar Mine [5] - Vanke Enterprises (万科企业) opened up 2.49%, announcing that its major shareholder, Shenzhen Metro Group, will provide a loan of up to RMB 2.36 billion for repaying bond principal and interest, with a loan term of 36 months [6] Financial Activities - Vanke also reported that the extension proposal for the principal repayment of its medium-term notes "22 Vanke MTN004" and "22 Vanke MTN005" was approved unanimously at a bondholder meeting [6] - Cao Cao Travel (曹操出行) opened down 1.96%, planning to place 12 million shares at HKD 32.46 per share, which represents a discount of approximately 8.97% compared to the last trading day's closing price, with expected total proceeds of about HKD 389.52 million [6]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed at 26,752.51, down by 13.01 points or 0.05% as of January 26, 16:00 Eastern Time [1] - The index reached a high of 26,826.45 and a low of 26,622.25 during the trading session, with a trading volume of 35.7947 million [1] - The 52-week high for the index is 27,275.90, while the 52-week low is 19,335.70, indicating a trading range of 0.76% [1] Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - HSBC Holdings closed at HKD 132.695, up by 1.29% compared to the Hong Kong market close [2] - Tencent Holdings closed at HKD 600.708, reflecting a slight increase of 0.2% from the Hong Kong market close [2] - Alibaba Group (BABA) saw a decline of 1.96%, closing at HKD 165.200 [3] - Xiaomi Group (01810) decreased by 2.81%, closing at HKD 35.220 [3] - AIA Group (01299) remained unchanged at HKD 83.050 [3] Notable Stock Movements - New World Development (00016) experienced a significant increase of 3.93%, closing at HKD 119.000 [3] - Kuaishou Technology (01024) fell by 3.26%, closing at HKD 78.600 [3] - JD.com (09618) rose by 1.05%, closing at HKD 116.000 [3] - Ctrip Group (09961) increased by 1.40%, closing at HKD 492.200 [3]

Group 1: Hang Seng Index (HSI) - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) showed a slight upward movement on January 23, closing with an increase of approximately 100 points, indicating a neutral short-term trend with mixed market sentiment [1] - Current technical signals for HSI are neutral, with the index fluctuating around 26,700 points and a resistance level at approximately 27,100 points, while support levels are at 26,200 points and 25,800 points [1] - Investors are divided, with bullish investors holding call warrants with recovery prices of 25,788 and 26,428, while bearish investors are planning to buy put warrants with a recovery price of 26,900 [1] Group 2: Meituan-W (03690.HK) - Meituan-W's stock price has been weak, with a slight increase on January 23, closing at 97.5 HKD, while trading volume increased compared to the previous day [7] - Current technical signals show a predominance of buy signals, totaling 10, with resistance levels at 101.8 HKD and 105 HKD [7] - Investors are advised to avoid out-of-the-money products and consider near-the-money call warrants with exercise prices around 99-100 HKD, expiring in April 2025 [7] Group 3: Trip.com Group (09961.HK) - Trip.com Group's stock price has gradually recovered from a low of 446 HKD, closing at 485.4 HKD on January 23, although trading volume has decreased during this upward movement [13] - The current technical signals indicate a majority of buy signals, with 9 buy signals and 5 sell signals [13] - Investors are recommended to choose bull warrants with recovery prices between 382 and 457 HKD to mitigate risks [13] Group 4: Ganfeng Lithium (01772.HK) - Ganfeng Lithium's stock price reached 70 HKD on January 23, breaking through the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, with increased trading volume [19] - The technical signals currently show a predominance of sell signals, with 10 sell signals and 4 buy signals, suggesting caution for bullish investors [19] - Investors interested in put warrants are advised to wait for more suitable products to be issued due to limited options currently available [19] Group 5: Zhaojin Mining (01818.HK) - Zhaojin Mining's stock price slightly increased to 38.6 HKD on January 23, influenced by rising gold prices, but the market sentiment remains cautious [25] - Current support is around 35.5 HKD, with a resistance level at 41.4 HKD, which needs to be broken for further upward movement [25] - Investors should wait for confirmation of a breakout above the resistance level before making further investment decisions [25] Group 6: Xiaomi Group-W (01810.HK) - Xiaomi Group-W's stock price has been on a downward trend, with a slight increase to 36.2 HKD on January 23, accompanied by increased trading volume [30] - Current technical signals show a slight majority of buy signals, but the stock lacks momentum to surpass 50 HKD in the short term [30] - Investors are advised to avoid out-of-the-money products and consider near-the-money call warrants with leverage around 3 times, which are more suitable for current market conditions [30]

Core Viewpoint - Rosen Law Firm is investigating potential securities claims on behalf of shareholders of Trip.com Group Limited due to allegations of materially misleading business information [1] Group 1: Legal Action and Investor Rights - Investors who purchased Trip.com Group Limited securities may be entitled to compensation through a contingency fee arrangement without any out-of-pocket costs [2] - A class action is being prepared by Rosen Law Firm to seek recovery of investor losses [2] Group 2: Market Impact and Regulatory Investigation - On January 14, 2026, Trip.com stock fell 17% after the company disclosed it is under investigation by China's market regulator for potential antitrust violations [3]

Group 1: Stock Market Performance - The three major U.S. stock indices closed mixed, with the Dow Jones down 0.58%, the Nasdaq up 0.28%, and the S&P 500 up 0.03% [2] - Technology stocks showed mixed results, with Microsoft and Netflix rising over 3%, while AMD and Amazon increased over 2% [2] - Intel experienced a significant drop of 17%, marking its largest single-day decline since August 2024 [2] Group 2: Chinese Stocks and Indices - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index fell by 0.26%, with notable declines in stocks such as Xpeng down over 3%, NIO and Alibaba down over 2%, and Weibo down over 1% [3] - Conversely, stocks like Youdao rose over 4%, New Oriental increased over 2%, and Trip.com gained over 1% [3] - The FTSE China A50 Index futures rose by 0.41%, closing at 14,843 points [4] Group 3: Precious Metals - Spot silver surged by 7.34%, reaching $103.21 per ounce [5] - New York silver also increased by 7.17%, priced at $103.28 per ounce [6] - Silver saw a substantial annual increase of approximately 147%, driven by strong demand, limited refining capacity, and ongoing supply shortages [6] - Analysts noted that geopolitical tensions, a generally weaker dollar, and expectations of a shift to monetary easing by the Federal Reserve are influencing gold demand [6] - Spot gold rose by 1.01%, reaching $4,986.02 per ounce [7]

Company Performance - Trip.com (TCOM) stock increased by 1.26% to $62.88, outperforming the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.03% [1] - Over the last month, TCOM shares decreased by 14.04%, while the Consumer Discretionary sector lost 3.17% and the S&P 500 gained 0.6% [1] Upcoming Financial Results - The upcoming EPS for Trip.com is projected at $0.72, indicating a 20.00% increase compared to the same quarter of the previous year [2] - Revenue is estimated to be $2.1 billion, reflecting a 20.05% increase compared to the same quarter of the previous year [2] Annual Forecast - Zacks Consensus Estimates forecast earnings of $6.38 per share and revenue of $8.71 billion for the year, showing changes of +77.72% and 0%, respectively, compared to the previous year [3] - Recent analyst estimate revisions indicate optimism regarding Trip.com's business and profitability [3] Analyst Ratings - The Zacks Rank system rates Trip.com as 1 (Strong Buy), with a historical average annual return of +25% for stocks rated 1 since 1988 [5] - The Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has remained stagnant over the past month [5] Valuation Metrics - Trip.com has a Forward P/E ratio of 14.64, which is lower than its industry's Forward P/E of 17.9, indicating a valuation discount [6] - The company holds a PEG ratio of 1.84, compared to the Leisure and Recreation Services industry's average PEG ratio of 1.47 [6] Industry Context - The Leisure and Recreation Services industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 181, placing it in the bottom 27% of over 250 industries [7] - Research indicates that top-rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]