Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market showed a significant recovery on November 24, with all three major indices ending a streak of declines[9] - Large tech stocks performed strongly, with Kuaishou rising over 7%, and NetEase and Bilibili increasing over 5%[9] - The Hang Seng Tech Index closed at 5,546, up 2.78% for the day and 24.11% year-to-date[3] Sector Performance - Innovative pharmaceuticals and outsourcing concepts saw notable gains, with companies like Innovent Biologics rising over 6%[9] - Military stocks also performed well, with China Shipbuilding Defense up over 13%[9] - Oil stocks were weak, with China National Offshore Oil Corporation and China Oilfield Services both declining over 1%[9] U.S. Market Insights - On the same day, U.S. markets saw all three major indices close higher, driven by increased bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut[9] - The "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks, including Google and Nvidia, all rose, with Google gaining over 6%[9] - The S&P 500 index is projected to achieve double-digit annual growth according to HSBC strategists[14] Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates in December, with market predictions showing a 70% probability[14] - The U.S. economy's third-quarter GDP report has been delayed due to a government shutdown, affecting economic analysis[14] Investment Trends - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rose by 2.82%, indicating a positive trend for Chinese concept stocks[13] - Significant inflows into semiconductor stocks were noted, with companies like Broadcom surging 11%[13]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that various platforms are intensifying their efforts in the animation drama (漫剧) sector, with significant developments and initiatives being reported across multiple companies [1][2] - Douyin has achieved over 400 million daily views for its original content, indicating strong engagement in the animation drama market [1] - iQIYI is expanding its animation drama business, having launched a dedicated channel for this content [1] - Tencent is testing new mini-programs related to animation dramas, while NetEase has introduced a mini-program that allows real-time sales data tracking [1] - Migu has announced an AI co-creation plan for animation dramas, offering script collaboration and revenue-sharing opportunities [1] - Kuaishou has upgraded its animation drama investment plan, supporting cash investments ranging from 20,000 to 500,000 yuan [1] - Baidu has introduced the "Animation Drama Star Leap Plan," which includes various incentives for creators and open IP rights [1] Group 2 - The National Radio and Television Administration has initiated a special governance project to regulate micro-short dramas, which will be subject to a classification and tiered review system until March 2026 [2] - A specific animation drama was removed from the internet for promoting superstitions, highlighting the regulatory scrutiny in the sector [2][3] - The report suggests that the regulatory environment will accelerate the elimination of low-quality content, creating greater opportunities for high-quality, compliant creators [3] - ByteDance has adjusted its revenue-sharing coefficients for animation dramas, indicating a shift towards encouraging high-quality content and establishing deeper collaborations with content creators [3] - The adjustments in revenue-sharing ratios will likely increase the supply of high-quality content while putting pressure on smaller teams and low-cost creators [3] Group 3 - Google has announced the upcoming release of the Nano Banana Pro model, which will enhance AI animation drama creation with capabilities such as 4K HD output and precise text rendering [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [3][6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 28.4 billion yuan in Q3 2025, representing an 8.2% year-on-year increase, with a gross profit of 18.2 billion yuan, up 10.3% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.6 billion yuan, which is a 31.8% increase year-on-year [1][2]. - The company has a strong cash position with net cash of 153.2 billion yuan and operating cash flow of 12.9 billion yuan in Q3 2025, reflecting a 21.7% year-on-year growth [1]. - The classic games segment performed well, contributing to a revenue of 23.3 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 11.8%, driven by self-developed games and several agency games [6][8]. - The company has a rich pipeline of upcoming games, including titles that have already gained traction in both domestic and international markets [6][8]. - The report anticipates that the company's net profit attributable to shareholders will reach 35.1 billion yuan, 38.5 billion yuan, and 42.5 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [6][8]. Financial Data and Valuation - The total revenue forecast for the company is projected to grow from 103.5 billion yuan in 2023 to 130.1 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 7% [2][9]. - The net profit is expected to grow from 29.4 billion yuan in 2023 to 42.5 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of around 10% [2][9]. - The report highlights a decrease in the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio from 20.6 in 2023 to 14.2 in 2027, indicating an attractive valuation over the forecast period [2][9]. Shareholder Information - The company has a total share capital of 3.168 billion shares, with a market capitalization of 67.35 billion Hong Kong dollars [3][6]. - The major shareholder, Shining Globe International Limited, holds a 45.17% stake in the company [3].

美银发布研报称，网易-S(09999.HK)第三季业绩发布后，与网易集团副总裁Bill Pang及投资关系团队举 行电话会议，会后对《无限大(ANANTA)》的用户参与度及盈利潜力更为乐观，现预计上线后年化流水 可达100亿人民币。该行将网易2025-2027年经调整每股盈测上调0-4%，以反映《无限大(ANANTA)》上 线后的业绩贡献，同时抵消略高的销售及市场费用影响。因此重申网易"买入"评级及目标价259港元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America expresses increased optimism regarding NetEase's user engagement and profitability potential for the game "ANANTA," projecting an annual revenue of 10 billion RMB post-launch [1] Financial Projections - Bank of America raises NetEase's adjusted earnings per share estimates for 2025-2027 by 0-4% to reflect the performance contribution from "ANANTA," while offsetting slightly higher sales and marketing expenses [1] - The target price for NetEase is reaffirmed at 259 HKD [1] Game Launch Timeline - The official launch of "ANANTA" is expected to take several quarters, with the earliest projection being the end of Q3 2026 [1] Revenue Growth Expectations - Over the next 6-9 months, existing evergreen games and Blizzard's new title "Diablo 4" are anticipated to support revenue growth, with an expected increase of 8% in 2026 [1] - Following this, "ANANTA" and "Sea of Remnants" are expected to contribute to performance [1] Share Buyback Program - NetEase's remaining $3 billion share repurchase plan is expected to provide downside support for the stock price [1]

金吾财讯 | 网易(NTES)盘前股价上扬，暂升3.69%，报138.51美元。 开源证券研报指出，公司2025Q3实现营业收入284亿元（同比+8.2%，环比+1.7%），归母净利润86亿 元（同比+31.8%，环比+0.2%）。Q3毛利率为64.1%（同比+1.2pct），销售/管理/研发费率分别为 15.7%/4.1%/16.0%（同比+1.2/-0.1/-0.9pct），净利率为31.0%（同比+5.4pct），盈利能力提升主要得益 于股票投资公允价值变动收益及较低的净汇兑损失。 来源：金吾财讯 截至2025Q3末，公司合同负债达195亿元（同比+25%，环比+15%），递延收入逐步释放或驱动业绩延 续高增。基于Q3业绩，该机构下调2025-2027年业绩预测，预计2025-2027年归母净利润分别为 357/383/429（前值375/405/464）亿元，当前股价对应PE分别为16.6/15.5/13.8倍，该机构看好储备游戏 逐步上线、优质产品出海、AI赋能深化共同驱动公司业绩增长，维持"买入"评级。 ...

Macro and Strategy - The macroeconomic review highlights that the U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 119,000 in September, significantly above the expected 50,000, with the unemployment rate slightly rising to 4.4% [7] Industry and Company - In the restaurant industry, the report recommends leading companies in the hot pot sector, noting that in October 2025, the A-share, H-share, and U.S. stock markets saw significant gains for several chain restaurants, particularly Guoquan, which projected a revenue increase of 13.6%-25.8% for Q3 2025 [3][8] - The report indicates that the overall restaurant revenue in China increased by 3.8% year-on-year in October, with the CPI showing a slight increase due to holiday effects and domestic demand policies [8] - The report tracks the expansion of coffee brands, with notable growth in the coffee sector, particularly for brands like Nuo Wa, which saw significant store openings [9] - For the home appliance industry, October sales were under pressure, with a 15% decline in retail sales of home appliances, and a 13% drop in export value [13][14] - The report notes that in October, air conditioning sales fell by 20.1%, with expectations of continued pressure on production in December [15] - In the automotive sector, XPeng Motors reported a 149% year-on-year increase in sales for Q3 2025, with total revenue reaching 20.4 billion yuan, marking a 102% increase [19][20] - The report highlights that NVIDIA's revenue for Q3 reached $57 billion, a 62% year-on-year increase, driven by strong demand in data centers and gaming [25][26] - NetEase's revenue for Q3 increased by 8% year-on-year, with deferred revenue growing by 25%, indicating strong long-term operational capabilities [28][30] - Huazhu Group's Q3 revenue grew by 17.5% year-on-year, with a focus on expanding its membership base and improving revenue management [31][32] - Ctrip's Q3 revenue increased by 15.5% year-on-year, with a significant contribution from the sale of Makemytrip, indicating strong performance in the travel sector [34]

Core Viewpoint - The gaming giant NetEase is undergoing a significant separation from major domestic Android phone manufacturers, leading to the removal of its games from various app stores, indicating a shift in the gaming distribution landscape in China [4][12]. Group 1: Industry Changes - A growing number of users are reporting the disappearance of NetEase games from app stores of major Android brands like OPPO, Xiaomi, and Vivo, starting with less popular titles and escalating to major games [2][4]. - The traditional revenue-sharing model, often referred to as "Android tax," where 50% of revenue goes to phone manufacturers, is becoming increasingly unsustainable for game developers due to rising development and marketing costs [8][9][12]. - The emergence of new platforms, particularly short video platforms, has diverted traffic away from traditional app stores, prompting developers to seek alternative distribution methods [12][18]. Group 2: Developer Strategies - In response to the changing landscape, major developers like NetEase and Tencent are moving away from channel servers, indicating a shift towards official game servers to retain user data and provide better service [14][20]. - Smaller developers may still rely on channel servers for exposure and user acquisition, but they face challenges as the market evolves [20][24]. Group 3: App Store Dynamics - The app store ecosystem is experiencing a crisis of relevance, with many popular games and applications becoming difficult to find, leading to a decline in user trust [16][18]. - Platforms like TapTap are gaining traction by offering a more authentic user experience, including community engagement and genuine player reviews, contrasting with traditional app stores [18][24]. Group 4: Future Considerations - The current revenue-sharing model is under scrutiny, with calls for a reduction in the high 50% cut taken by app stores to foster a healthier ecosystem for developers [24]. - There is a need for phone manufacturers to enhance their app store offerings by improving user experience and community engagement to remain competitive [22][24].

Group 1: NetEase's "The Legend of the Condor Heroes" Shutdown - NetEase's MMO game "The Legend of the Condor Heroes" officially ceased operations on November 24, 2023, due to the expiration of its IP cooperation with Minghe Publishing and adjustments in the company's game operation strategy [1] - The game was initially launched for public testing on March 28, 2024, and underwent several revisions, including a "reboot plan" announced in October 2024 and a 2.0 version released in March 2025 [1] - The shutdown highlights the challenges of product positioning and market alignment, indicating that even strong IPs and development capabilities cannot guarantee commercial success if there is a misalignment with market demands [1] Group 2: Ubisoft's AI Game Project "Teammates" - Ubisoft announced the launch of its first playable generative AI research project, "Teammates," which aims to enhance player experience through real-time voice commands and improved gameplay [2] - The project features an AI voice assistant named Jaspar, which guides players through gameplay and narrative in a dystopian future setting [2] - This initiative signifies a shift in AI technology application within the gaming industry, moving from backend development to core interactive experiences, potentially leading to a new wave of technological competition and innovation in gameplay [2] Group 3: Krafton's Development of Multiplayer Mode for "inZOI" - Krafton confirmed that it is developing a multiplayer mode for its life simulation game "inZOI," as stated by producer Kim Hyung-jun [3] - The game is set to enter early access on Steam on March 28, 2025, with a price of 188 yuan in the Chinese market, and previously topped the Steam wishlist [3] - The addition of multiplayer features aims to enhance social engagement and extend the game's lifecycle, reflecting a significant trend in the industry towards incorporating multiplayer interactions in simulation games [3]

Market Performance - The three major U.S. stock indices closed higher, with the Dow Jones up 0.44%, the S&P 500 up 1.55%, and the Nasdaq Composite up 2.69% [1] - Large-cap tech stocks saw significant gains, with Tesla and Google both rising over 6% [1] Sector Highlights - Semiconductor stocks performed strongly, with Broadcom's stock increasing by 11%, marking its largest gain since April, adding $178 billion to its market capitalization [1] - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose by 4.6%, with Micron Technology up nearly 8%, AMD up over 5%, and Nvidia up over 2% [1] Chinese Stocks - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index increased by 2.82%, with notable gains in popular Chinese concept stocks [1] - Key performers included WeRide up 14.72%, Pony.ai up 12.51%, and Canadian Solar up 10.16% [1] - Other significant increases were seen in Daqo New Energy up 8.89%, Global Data up 8.38%, Baidu up 7.44%, and Bilibili up 6.80% [1]