Core Viewpoint - The company, TBEA Co., Ltd. (特变电工), has limited sales of transformers and reactors in North America, with a higher export volume to Asia and the Middle East [2]. Group 1 - The company has some sales of transformers and reactors in North America, but the order volume is relatively low [2]. - The majority of the company's international single-unit products are exported to Asia and the Middle East, which account for a significant portion of orders [2].

格隆汇11月18日丨特变电工(600089.SH)在投资者互动平台表示，公司变压器、电抗器等部分产品在北 美有销售，但订单相对较少。公司国际单机产品主要出口至亚洲及中东地区订单占比较大。 ...

格隆汇11月18日丨特变电工(600089.SH)在投资者互动平台表示，公司变压器、电抗器等部分产品在北 美有销售，但订单相对较少。公司国际单机产品主要出口至亚洲及中东地区订单占比较大。 ...

格隆汇11月18日丨特变电工(600089.SH)在投资者互动平台表示，公司目前没有生产六氟磷酸锂产品。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock of TBEA Co., Ltd. has experienced fluctuations, with a notable decline of 2.03% on November 18, 2023, despite a year-to-date increase of 81.99% [1] Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, TBEA achieved a revenue of 72.988 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.90%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.484 billion yuan, up 27.62% year-on-year [2] - Cumulative cash dividends since the A-share listing amount to 15.118 billion yuan, with 6.591 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3] Stock Market Activity - As of November 18, 2023, TBEA's stock price was 22.73 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 3.848 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 3.31%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 114.850 billion yuan [1] - The stock has seen a net outflow of 181 million yuan in principal funds, with significant buying and selling activity recorded [1] Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, TBEA had 354,100 shareholders, an increase of 10.92% from the previous period, with an average of 14,268 circulating shares per shareholder, a decrease of 9.84% [2] - The third-largest circulating shareholder is Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 116 million shares, a decrease of 10.7 million shares from the previous period [3]

Core Insights - The photovoltaic industry is expected to reach a cyclical turning point in the second half of 2025 after over two years of deep adjustments, driven by national policies aimed at curbing "involution" competition and promoting orderly development [1][2][3] - The industry is showing signs of reversing its previous difficulties, with prices along the supply chain rebounding, improved profitability for companies, and a strong recovery in secondary market indices [1][5] - The current phase presents a rare historical investment opportunity characterized by a triple bottom in profitability, holdings, and valuation within the photovoltaic sector [1][4] Industry Overview - Since 2020, the domestic photovoltaic industry has rapidly expanded, establishing a leading global position, with cumulative installed capacity exceeding 400 GW by the end of 2023, accounting for over one-third of the global market share [2] - The industry faced severe challenges, including overcapacity leading to price drops and international trade barriers, resulting in a significant price war that compressed overall industry profits [2][3] Policy Developments - The Chinese government has actively intervened since last year to address the chaotic competition in the photovoltaic sector, with multiple policy signals aimed at promoting orderly development and preventing "involution" [2][3] - Key policy measures include the establishment of a fund of approximately 70 billion yuan to acquire outdated polysilicon capacity, which is expected to help the industry return to a reasonable capacity range [3] Market Performance - The photovoltaic sector has begun to recover, with significant price rebounds observed in polysilicon and photovoltaic components, indicating a positive trend in profitability [3][5] - As of November 17, 2025, the China Photovoltaic Industry Index has increased by 36.94% year-to-date, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 17.88% [5] Financial Metrics - In 2024, the photovoltaic industry's overall revenue fell to 12,473.23 billion yuan, with a net profit loss of 20.59 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 13.83% and 20.59% respectively [5][6] - By the third quarter of 2025, the photovoltaic sector's revenue grew by 8% year-on-year, with net profit increasing by 1495%, indicating a significant recovery [6] Investment Opportunities - The current market conditions present a unique opportunity for investment, with the photovoltaic sector at a cyclical low in profitability, institutional holdings, and valuation [6] - The launch of the Huaxia Photovoltaic ETF (515370) on November 18 provides investors with a convenient tool to gain exposure to leading companies across the entire photovoltaic supply chain [1][7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the coal industry, suggesting a "Buy" rating for specific stocks based on their performance relative to the market [3][29]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the coal prices are expected to rise due to supply constraints and seasonal demand, particularly in the context of winter heating needs [3][4]. - It emphasizes the impact of environmental regulations and safety inspections on coal production, which are likely to tighten supply further [3][7]. - The report identifies several companies as potential investment opportunities, including Jin控煤业, 华阳股份, and 山煤国际, based on their price elasticity and valuation [3][4]. Summary by Sections 1. Recent Industry Policies and Dynamics - The report discusses the initiation of the third round of central ecological environment protection inspections, which will affect major coal-producing regions and companies [7]. - It mentions the State Energy Administration's guidance on integrating coal with renewable energy, focusing on low-carbon transitions and new energy developments in mining areas [7]. 2. Price Trends of Coal - The report notes fluctuations in domestic coal prices, with specific increases in certain regions, such as a rise of 10 CNY/ton in Dazhou and Ordos [8]. - The overall coal price index in the Bohai Rim region has increased by 4 CNY/ton, indicating a general upward trend in coal prices [8]. 3. International Oil Prices - Brent crude oil prices have risen by 1.19% to 64.39 USD/barrel, which may influence coal prices due to the relationship between oil and coal markets [14]. 4. Port Inventory Trends - The report indicates an increase in coal inventory at the Bohai Rim ports, with a total of 24.3 million tons, reflecting a 2.56% rise week-on-week [18]. 5. Domestic and International Freight Rates - Domestic coastal shipping rates have increased slightly, with an average of 51.52 CNY/ton, while international shipping rates from Australia to China have also seen a rise [23]. 6. Key Company Valuation Table - The report provides a detailed valuation table for key companies in the coal sector, highlighting their stock prices, market capitalization, and earnings projections [28].

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.46% on November 17, with 17 industries experiencing gains, led by the computer and defense industries, which rose by 1.67% and 1.59% respectively. Conversely, the pharmaceutical and banking sectors saw declines of 1.73% and 1.31% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The main capital outflow from the two markets totaled 31.953 billion yuan, with six industries seeing net inflows. The computer industry led with a net inflow of 7.211 billion yuan, followed by the defense industry with 2.892 billion yuan [1] - The pharmaceutical industry experienced the largest net outflow, totaling 8.789 billion yuan, followed by the electric equipment sector with a net outflow of 7.644 billion yuan [1] Electric Equipment Industry Performance - The electric equipment industry declined by 0.69%, with a total net capital outflow of 7.644 billion yuan. Out of 364 stocks in this sector, 149 rose, 211 fell, and 11 hit the daily limit [2] - Within the electric equipment sector, 112 stocks had net capital inflows, with 15 stocks seeing inflows exceeding 100 million yuan. The top inflow was for Jingda Co., with 454 million yuan, followed by Rongbai Technology and Xingyuan Materials with inflows of 355 million yuan and 293 million yuan respectively [2] - The stocks with the largest capital outflows included Ningde Times, with an outflow of 1.69958 billion yuan, followed by Sunshine Power and TBEA with outflows of 1.13599 billion yuan and 375.64 million yuan respectively [3]

Investment Strategy Overview - The report highlights the resurgence of resource nationalism driven by de-globalization, emphasizing coal's strategic importance for national energy security. Major coal-producing countries like Indonesia, Mongolia, and the USA are tightening control over coal resources, integrating them into national strategies to bolster energy independence and support domestic industrial and power needs [3][4][5]. Supply Side Analysis - The coal industry is undergoing a significant restructuring, with safety and environmental regulations leading to a more rational supply order. The release of production capacity is expected to be steady but cautious, promoting high-quality development in the coal sector [3][4]. - Domestic supply costs are rising, and coal imports are tightening marginally due to increased scrutiny and regulations [4][32]. Demand Side Analysis - The report anticipates a stable and slight increase in overall coal demand, driven by the rigid growth in electricity consumption and the irreplaceable role of coal in peak regulation and energy security. The expected price range for thermal coal in 2026 is projected to be between 750-800 RMB per ton [3][4][29]. - The resilience of coal power generation is highlighted, particularly in the context of fluctuating renewable energy output, indicating that coal will continue to play a crucial role in the energy mix [3][4]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in stable, high-dividend companies such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and China Coal Energy. It also suggests paying attention to companies with price elasticity like Jinkong Coal Industry, Huayang Co., Tebian Electric Apparatus, and Shanxi Coal International [3][4]. - Growth-oriented companies in coal-electricity joint ventures, such as Xinji Energy, are also recommended for consideration [3][4]. Regional Insights - Indonesia's coal production is expected to decline in 2025 due to new resource tax regulations, which will increase export costs and support domestic coal prices [11][12]. - Mongolia's coal production and sales are affected by ongoing political instability, impacting the stability of coal imports [17][18]. - The USA is implementing favorable policies to revitalize its coal industry, including reducing royalty rates and increasing federal land available for coal exploration [21][22]. Future Capacity and Production Trends - Future coal production capacity is expected to be limited, with only about 67 million tons of new capacity projected over the next three years. The focus is shifting towards regions like Xinjiang, which has significant coal reserves and favorable mining conditions [61][67]. - The report notes that the overall coal production in China is unlikely to see significant growth in 2026 due to ongoing safety inspections and regulatory measures [51][53].

Core Insights - The stock price of TBEA Co., Ltd. has experienced a decline of 2.03% on November 17, trading at 23.18 CNY per share with a market capitalization of 117.12 billion CNY [1] - Year-to-date, TBEA's stock has increased by 85.59%, but it has seen a recent decline of 12.03% over the last five trading days [1][2] - The company reported a revenue of 72.99 billion CNY for the first nine months of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.90%, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 27.62% to 5.48 billion CNY [2] Financial Performance - TBEA's main business segments include electrical equipment products (27.64%), coal products (18.27%), and electrical cables (16.22%) [1] - The company has distributed a total of 15.12 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 6.59 billion CNY distributed in the last three years [3] Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, TBEA had 354,100 shareholders, an increase of 10.92% from the previous period [2] - The largest shareholder, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holds 116 million shares, a decrease of 10.7 million shares from the previous period [3]