关于中国巨石股份有限公司 2024 年年度股东大会的 法律意见书 嘉源(2025)-04-194 致:中国巨石股份有限公司 北京市嘉源律师事务所 关于中国巨石股份有限公司 2024 年年度股东大会的法律意见书 西城区复兴门内大街 158 号远洋大厦 4 楼 中国 · 北京 二〇二五年四月 建师事务所 YUAN LAW OFFICES 北京 BEI JING · 上海 SHANGHAI · 深圳 SHENZHEN · 香港 HONG KONG · 广州 GUANGZHOU · 西安 XI'AN 北京市嘉源律师事务所(以下简称"本所")接受中国巨石股份有限公司(以 下简称"公司"）的委托,根据《中华人民共和国公司法》《上市公司股东会规则》 (以下简称"《股东会规则》")等现行有效的法律、行政法规、部门规章、规范 性文件(以下简称"法律法规")以及《中国巨石股份有限公司章程》(以下简称 "公司章程")的有关规定,指派本所律师对公司 2024年年度股东大会(以下简 称"本次股东大会"）进行见证,并依法出具本法律意见书。 为出具本法律意见书,本所指派律师现场见证了本次股东大会,查阅了公司提 供的与本次股东大会有关的文件 ...

价格走出底部，中长期改善可期。Q1 玻纤需求逐步回暖，3 月玻纤库存由升转降，价格逐步落实上 涨，行业短期景气度改善。中长期看，热塑、风电、电子纱等产品壁垒相对较高，需求持续释放，在 2024 年风电招标高增长带动下，预计2025年风电装机有望带动玻纤需求上升。 投资分析意见：公司业绩略超预期，我们维持2025-2027 年盈利预测，预计公司分别实现归母净利润 30.77、35.89、39.13 亿元，对应估值16、14、12 倍，维持公司买入评级。 风险提示：新进产能集中投放，需求恢复不及预期，行业竞争加剧。 几轮提价陆续落实，盈利改善兑现度好。2024 年一季度起，玻纤普通无碱粗纱、风电纱、短切纱、热 塑纱、合股纱等产品陆续于3 月、6 月、11 月提价，玻纤行业价格中枢见底回升的确定性较高。我们计 算Q1 全国无碱直接纱2400TEX 均价3888.0 元/吨，同比增长711.1 元/吨，增长22.4%。去年以来的提价 至今落实效果较好，公司一季度业绩增长尤其是扣非归母净利润的增长较好的兑现了涨价效果。2025 年2 月24 日，玻纤电子纱和电子布分别提价800 元/吨和0.3 元/米，此轮涨价是202 ...

业绩简评 2025 年 4 月 8 日，公司发布 2025 年一季报预增公告：25Q1 公司 预计实现归母净利 7.01-7.36 亿元，同比+100-110%；扣非归母净 利 7.06-7.57 亿元，同比+320-350%。我们认为 Q1 业绩表现靓丽， 主因玻纤下游应用需求增加，Q1 产品销量同比提升，同时自去年 以来、玻纤价格逐步走出周期底部，同比明显修复。 经营分析 （1）粗纱：淡季不淡，基本面继续逐季改善。①单价方面，25Q1 全国缠绕直接纱 2400tex 均价为 3766 元/吨，同比+22.3%、环比 +2.3%。价格同比高增，主因近期玻纤粗纱价格低点在 24Q1，随后 龙头企业调整策略、引领行业复价，我们认为此举是巨石在行业定 价权的体现。价格环比继续修复，主因高端品风电纱、热塑长协产 品提价，2024 年 11 月中国巨石等玻纤企业发布复价函，对公司全 系列风电纱产品复价 15-20%，预计 25Q1 逐步落地； ②销量方面，25Q1 公司销量同比提升，根据卓创资讯数据，25Q1 期末行业库存为 79.8 万吨，环比 24Q4 末增加 1.95 万吨、垒库幅 度仅 2.5%，行业呈现淡季 ...

本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 重要内容提示： 1、中国巨石股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）预计2025年第一季度实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润 为70,058.77万元至73,561.71万元，与上年同期相比，将增加35,029.38万元至38,532.32万元，同比增加 100%至110%。 2、公司预计2025年第一季度归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的净利润为70,646.43万元至 75,692.60万元，与上年同期相比，将增加53,825.85万元至58,872.02万元，同比增加320%至350%。 2、预计2025年第一季度归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的净利润为70,646.43万元至75,692.60 万元，与上年同期（法定披露数据）相比，将增加53,825.85万元至58,872.02万元，同比增加320%至 350%。 （三）公司本期业绩预告未经注册会计师审计。 二、上年同期业绩情况 （一）归属于上市公司股东的净利润：35,029.38万元，归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常 ...

（2）电子布：中游制造环节稀缺的供给新增偏少品种，3 月复价 落地较为充分。单价方面，25Q1 行业 7628 电子布均价约 4.14 元 /米，同比+22.8%、环比+1.8%。价格环比修复，主因系 2 月 24 日 起巨石、泰玻等电子布主流企业发布调价函，上调 7628 价格 0.3 元/米。24Q4 以来下游需求较为旺盛，消费电子市场逐步回暖，同 时 AI、5G、新能源汽车等带来行业新增需求，同时行业供给新增 偏少，22H1 以来行业长期陷入经营压力，供给端存在推涨动力。 业绩简评 2025 年 4 月 8 日，公司发布 2025 年一季报预增公告：25Q1 公司 预计实现归母净利 7.01-7.36 亿元，同比+100-110%；扣非归母净 利 7.06-7.57 亿元，同比+320-350%。我们认为 Q1 业绩表现靓丽， 主因玻纤下游应用需求增加，Q1 产品销量同比提升，同时自去年 以来、玻纤价格逐步走出周期底部，同比明显修复。 经营分析 （1）粗纱：淡季不淡，基本面继续逐季改善。①单价方面，25Q1 全国缠绕直接纱 2400tex 均价为 3766 元/吨，同比+22.3%、环比 +2.3%。价 ...

Financial Performance Forecast - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 to be between 700.59 million and 735.62 million CNY, an increase of 350.29 million to 385.32 million CNY compared to the same period last year, representing a year-on-year increase of 100% to 110%[1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is expected to be between 706.46 million and 756.93 million CNY, an increase of 538.26 million to 588.72 million CNY compared to the same period last year, representing a year-on-year increase of 320% to 350%[2] - The net profit for the same period last year was 350.29 million CNY, and the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 168.21 million CNY[3] Performance Drivers - The increase in performance is primarily due to rising demand in the main downstream application areas for fiberglass, leading to a year-on-year increase in product sales[4] - Fiberglass product prices have gradually improved since last year, moving out of the cyclical bottom, contributing to the performance growth[4] - The company has enhanced its profitability through product structure optimization, increased technological innovation, and accelerated market expansion efforts[4] Forecast Reliability - There are no significant uncertainties affecting the accuracy of this performance forecast[5] - The forecast data is preliminary and the specific financial data will be disclosed in the official Q1 2025 report[6]

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 04 06 年 月 日 建筑材料 关注刺激内需政策 2025 年 3 月 28 日至 4 月 3 日建筑材料板块（SW）下跌 0.28%，其中水 泥（SW）上涨 0.19%，玻璃制造（SW）下跌 0.14%，玻纤制造（SW） 上涨 1.22%，装修建材（SW）下跌 1.31%，本周建材板块相对沪深 300 超额收益 1.09%。本期建筑材料板块（SW）资金净流入额为-5.37 亿元。 【周数据总结和观点】 本周美国政府宣布对中国输美商品征收"对等关税"，在关税超预期环境 下，提振内需是国内经济增长的重要动力，关注后续刺激内需政策。根据 wind 统计，2025 年 3 月地方政府债总发行量 9788.03 亿元，发行金额同 比 2024 年 3 月增长 55.5%，截至目前，2025 年一般债发行规模 0.41 万 亿元，同比-0.10 万亿元，专项债发行规模 2.43 万亿元，同比+1.35 万亿 元。化债下加码政府财政压力有望减轻，企业资产负债表也存在修复的空 间，市政工程类项目有望加快推进，市政管网及减隔震实物工作量有望加 快落地，关注龙泉 ...

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 14.98 RMB based on a 17x valuation for 2025 [5]. Core Views - The company is a global leader in fiberglass, emerging from a cyclical bottom with a recovering gross margin [5]. - There is a structural recovery in fiberglass demand, with supply pressure testing nearing its end, indicating potential price increases [5]. - The company demonstrates exemplary cost control and a strong product structure, enhancing its core competitiveness [5]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - As of February 2025, the company has a total fiberglass production capacity of 2.89 million tons, with 2.59 million tons currently in operation and 270,000 tons of electronic yarn, holding a global market share of 25% and a domestic market share of 40% [15][16]. Demand Recovery - The demand for fiberglass is structurally recovering, particularly in wind power yarn, with a projected 164.1 GW of wind power equipment tendered in 2024, a 90% year-on-year increase [3][28]. - The company is expected to benefit from increased demand in electronic cloth and exports, particularly due to European infrastructure and renewable energy investments [3][41]. Supply Dynamics - The supply side is nearing the end of a pressure testing phase, with expectations of reduced new capacity in the second half of 2025, which may lead to upward price elasticity for mid-to-low-end fiberglass [3][45]. Cost Control and Competitive Advantage - The company maintains a leading gross margin due to advantages in cost structure, product mix, and strategic base layout [4][50]. - High-end products account for over 85% of the company's offerings, which helps mitigate the impact of price adjustments during downturns [4][53]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 3.53 billion, 4.21 billion, and 4.59 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [5][62]. - The report anticipates a gradual increase in gross margins, with expected rates of 31.4%, 33.2%, and 33.7% for the same years [5][64].

我们看好公司①全球玻纤龙头，走出周期底部，毛利率逐季修复，②玻纤需求结构性回暖，供给压力测 试期步入尾声，期待价格向上信号，③成本管控典范，产品结构+基地布局构筑核心竞争力。我们预计 公司2025-2027 年归母净利润分别为35.31、42.10 和45.90亿元，现价对应动态PE 分别为15x、12x、 11x，给以2025 年17倍估值，目标价14.98 元，首次覆盖，给予公司"买入"评级。 风险提示 玻纤行业需求，①风电纱：内需景气方向，2024 年全国风电设备公开招标量164.1GW、同比+90%，预 计2025 年我国风电新增装机达到115GW，对应增速31%。头部玻纤厂风电纱产品结构占比提升，其他 领域用普通直接纱产能被挤占，粗纱实际供给降低，②电子布：中游制造环节稀缺的供给新增偏少品 种，巨石在7628 电子布环节领先优势更为明显，2 月末涨价函落地较为充分，③出口：俄乌可能带来的 新建需求，及欧洲基建、新能源资本开支再启，玻纤外需敞口相对其他建材品种更为突出。 玻纤行业供给端，25Q2 是最后的压力测试期，25H2 新增产能预计将下降，随着国内需求逐步筑底回 升，中低端玻纤价格或迎来向上弹性 ...

Summary of Key Points Overall Market Performance - The performance of the CSI 300 and ChiNext indices over the past year shows a significant decline, with the CSI 300 down by 32% and the ChiNext down by 16% [1]. Industry Performance - The top five performing industries yesterday included textiles and apparel (+1.448%), beauty and personal care (+1.014%), telecommunications (+0.971%), banking (+0.897%), and diversified industries (+0.742%) [1]. - Conversely, the bottom five performing industries were defense and military (-1.17%), non-ferrous metals (-0.866%), utilities (-0.801%), steel (-0.580%), and pharmaceuticals and biology (-0.537%) [1]. Communication Industry - The satellite internet construction in China is gradually taking shape, with significant developments in the commercial aerospace industry [10]. - On April 1, 2025, China successfully launched a satellite for internet technology testing, marking a step towards the integration of satellite and terrestrial networks [12]. - The "Thousand Sails Constellation" plan aims to deploy 648 satellites by the end of 2025 and 1,296 satellites globally by 2027, with a long-term goal of 15,000 satellites by 2030 [13]. Coal Mining Industry - China Jushi (600176.SH) reported a significant increase in Q4 2024 performance, with revenue reaching 42.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.49% [16]. - The company’s glass fiber yarn sales reached a record high of 3.025 million tons in 2024, driven by structural optimization and market expansion [17]. Real Estate and Construction Industry - China Overseas Development (00688.HK) ranked first in equity sales and land acquisition, with a steady growth in commercial income [21]. - The company reported a revenue of 1,851.5 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 8.6%, while its equity sales amounted to 3,107 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.3% [22][23]. Food and Beverage Industry - China Feihe (06186.HK) achieved a revenue of 20.749 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.2%, with a proposed dividend of 0.3264 HKD per share [27]. - The company’s ultra-high-end product series continues to drive growth, with a focus on expanding its market share in the infant formula sector [28]. Chemical Industry - Shengquan Group (605589.SH) reported a revenue of 10.02 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year increase of 9.87% [37]. - The company is expanding its high-frequency and high-speed resin varieties, indicating a robust growth trajectory [38]. Light Industry - Jiayi Co., Ltd. (301004.SZ) achieved a revenue of 2.836 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 59.8%, supported by strong customer relationships [31]. - The company’s overseas revenue growth is a significant driver of its overall performance [32].