兗礦能源集團股份有限公司 YANKUANG ENERGY GROUP COMPANY LIMITED * ( 在中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司 ) (股份代碼：01171) 兗礦能源集團股份有限公司境外控股子公司 發佈 2025 年第三季度產量銷量 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告之內容概不負責， 對其準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示概不就因本公告全部或任何部 份內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致之任何損失承擔任何責任。 | | | 第三季度 | | | 前三季度 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 2025 年 | 2024 年 | 增減幅 | 2025 年 | 2024 年 | 增減幅 | | 商品煤產量 （權益份額） | 9.3 | 10.2 | -9% | 28.2 | 27.2 | 4% | | 商品煤銷量 （權益份額） | 10.7 | 10.4 | 3% | 27.3 | 27.3 | 0% | | 平均實現價格 （澳元/噸） | 140 | 170 | -18% | 146 | 177 | ...

Market Performance - The three major indices opened high and fluctuated, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.63%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.98%, the ChiNext Index by 1.98%, and the STAR Market 50 Index by 0.35% [2] - Over 3,800 stocks in the two markets rose, with a total trading volume of approximately 1.74 trillion yuan [2] Industry Highlights - The cultivated diamond and superhard materials sectors showed strong performance, with Huifeng Diamond rising by 29.98%, Sifangda by 19.98%, and Power Diamond by over 18% [2] - The Ministry of Commerce and the General Administration of Customs announced export controls on superhard materials, effective November 8, which is expected to enhance the supply protection for the domestic superhard materials industry and strengthen market expectations for the sector's scarcity and performance certainty [2] Coal Sector - The coal sector experienced a collective surge, with major companies like Dayou Energy, Yunmei Energy, and Shanxi Black Cat all rising by 10% [2] - The cold air mass affecting the northern regions is expected to increase coal demand during the winter, as a double La Niña weather pattern may lead to a colder winter in China [3] Technology and Robotics - The CPO and computing power sectors were active, with Cambridge Technology rising by 10% and other companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and Tianfu Communication increasing by over 7% [3] - Citibank indicated potential upward demand in the optical module industry, suggesting buying opportunities after recent stock price adjustments [3] - Robotics leader UBTECH won a project for the procurement and installation of intelligent data collection and testing center equipment in Guangxi, with an order amounting to 126 million yuan [4] - UBTECH's Walker series humanoid robots have secured over 630 million yuan in orders this year, excluding a joint development project with Beijing Guodi [4] Declines in Other Sectors - The precious metals sector saw significant declines, with Hunan Silver hitting a 10% limit down, alongside other companies like Xiaocheng Technology and Western Gold experiencing heavy losses [4] - New energy-related stocks also showed weakness, with Shengxin Lithium Energy and Tianqi Lithium experiencing declines [4]

Investment Rating - The report rates the coal industry as "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the sector [3]. Core Insights - The report highlights that stricter safety regulations and supply constraints are expected to drive coal prices higher, particularly in the context of the upcoming winter heating season [3]. - It notes significant increases in spot prices for thermal coal, with prices for Q4500, Q5000, and Q5500 thermal coal at Qinhuangdao port rising by 36, 41, and 39 RMB/ton respectively [3]. - The report emphasizes the expected continued upward momentum in thermal coal prices due to seasonal demand and tightening supply [3]. Summary by Sections Recent Industry Policies and Developments - The report discusses various projects, including a major energy logistics project in Xinjiang with a total investment of 2.56 billion RMB, aimed at enhancing energy security [4]. - It mentions the construction of a coal-to-natural gas project in Northeast China, which is expected to convert 7.5 million tons of low-quality coal into 1.33 billion cubic meters of natural gas annually [8]. Price Movements - Thermal coal prices have seen significant increases, with various regions reporting price hikes, such as a 20 RMB/ton increase in Datong and a 40 RMB/ton increase in Yulin [9]. - Coking coal prices remained stable, with prices reported at 1485 RMB/ton in Shanxi [12]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The report indicates a decrease in daily coal inflow to the Bohai Rim ports, with an average of 1.4914 million tons, down 15.46% week-on-week [20]. - Conversely, coal outflow from the same ports increased by 24.93%, indicating a shift in supply-demand dynamics [20]. Shipping Costs - Domestic coastal shipping costs have risen significantly, with average freight rates reported at 43.05 RMB/ton, an increase of 28.96% [27]. Company Valuations - The report provides a valuation table for key companies in the coal sector, highlighting their stock prices, market capitalizations, and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts [32]. - For instance, China Shenhua's stock price is reported at 41.90 RMB with a market cap of 832.5 billion RMB and an EPS forecast of 2.95 RMB for 2024 [32].

Core Insights - The coal industry is experiencing a dual improvement in supply and demand, leading to higher-than-expected coal prices, with supply-side policies reducing overproduction and increasing safety inspections [1][2] - The La Niña phenomenon is expected to drive winter storage demand due to cold weather predictions, while unusual high temperatures in southeastern coastal areas have led to record-high daily coal consumption [1] - The market is shifting towards defensive dividend attributes and coal's low baseline fundamentals, enhancing its attractiveness [1] Supply Side - The coal supply contraction is leading the entire industry, with national coal production in July and August at 380 million and 390 million tons, significantly lower than the average monthly production of approximately 400 million tons over the past 18 months [2] - In August, the industrial raw coal production was 390 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 3.2%, with a slight month-on-month increase of 10 million tons [2] - The total annual coal production is expected to be around 4.75 billion tons, a year-on-year decrease of 30 to 50 million tons [2] Demand Side - The total electricity consumption in August grew by 4.6%, a significant increase from the 2.5% growth in Q1, with expectations for the annual growth rate to exceed 5% [2] - Despite entering the typical demand off-season in September and October, demand has exceeded expectations, maintaining high levels in the East China region post the October holiday [2] Coal Prices - As of October 17, 2025, the price of Q5500 coal at Huanghua Port was 750 RMB/ton, an increase of 34 RMB/ton (4.7%) from the previous week [3] - Domestic supply remains stable while imports are expected to continue declining, with Q3 profits anticipated to rebound due to improved demand [2][3] Coking Coal - As of October 17, 2025, the price of main coking coal at Jingtang Port was 1690 RMB/ton, up 30 RMB/ton (1.8%) [3] - The average daily iron and steel production has slightly decreased, but demand is expected to remain strong [3] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in core dividend stocks such as China Shenhua (601088.SH), Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry (601225.SH), and China Coal Energy (601898.SH) [3] - Continued recommendations include Yanzhou Coal Mining (600188.SH) and Jincheng Anthracite Mining (601001.SH) [3]

截至6月30日，兖矿能源股东户数14.78万，较上期增加1.14%；人均流通股0股，较上期增加0.00%。 2025年1月-6月，兖矿能源实现营业收入593.49亿元，同比减少17.93%；归母净利润46.52亿元，同比减 少38.53%。 分红方面，兖矿能源A股上市后累计派现868.46亿元。近三年，累计派现423.77亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年6月30日，兖矿能源十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第三大流 通股东，持股1.10亿股，相比上期增加1701.67万股。华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF（510300）位居第四大流通 股东，持股3195.70万股，相比上期增加264.12万股。国泰中证煤炭ETF（515220）位居第五大流通股 东，持股2778.41万股，相比上期增加601.41万股。华泰柏瑞上证红利ETF（510880）位居第六大流通股 东，持股2643.46万股，相比上期减少541.78万股。易方达沪深300ETF（510310）位居第七大流通股 东，持股2271.72万股，相比上期增加220.54万股。华夏沪深300ETF（510330）位居第九大流通股东， 持股1665.83万股， ...

Group 1 - The article highlights the top 20 stocks in the S&P China A-Share Dividend Opportunity Index, showcasing their daily and year-to-date performance along with dividend yields [1][2] - The stock with the highest daily increase is Xingri Co., Ltd. (002083.SZ) with a rise of 10.02%, while the highest year-to-date performer is Yiyi Co., Ltd. (001206.SZ) with a remarkable increase of 116.53% [1][2] - The overall dividend yield for the index is reported at 5.18%, with a historical price-to-earnings ratio of 10.64 times and an expected price-to-earnings ratio of 10.08 times [2] Group 2 - The article mentions the formation of a MACD golden cross signal, indicating a positive trend for certain stocks [3]

Summary of Coal Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The coal industry is experiencing a new cycle with multiple favorable catalysts leading to prices exceeding expectations. The latest data shows coking coal port prices rising to 1,710 RMB, indicating strong demand post-National Day holiday, contrary to earlier predictions of a demand drop [1][2]. Key Points and Arguments - **Coal Price Trends**: Recent significant price increases have been observed, with Qinhuangdao 5,500 kcal thermal coal prices rising by 39 RMB this week, marking the largest weekly increase this year. Coking coal prices at ports have increased by 80 RMB [2]. - **Inventory Levels**: As of October 16, power plant inventories across 25 provinces are approximately 130 million tons, down 1.5% year-on-year. The inventory at Bohai Rim ports has also decreased, but the overall inventory situation is neutral to optimistic due to the upcoming heating season [4]. - **Import and Supply Dynamics**: September coal imports fell by 3.3% year-on-year, with a cumulative decline of 11.1% over the first nine months. The fourth quarter is expected to see lower import volumes compared to the previous year, indicating potential supply tightness [6][7]. - **Challenges in Supply**: The fourth quarter faces challenges such as increased safety inspections and adverse weather conditions, which may tighten supply further [9]. - **Demand Factors**: Industrial electricity demand remains strong due to companies rushing to meet deadlines ahead of new tariffs on Chinese goods. Non-electric coal demand, particularly from the steel industry, is also robust [10]. Additional Important Insights - **Global Energy Market Impact**: Despite a decline in Brent and WTI crude oil prices, coal futures in Europe have risen, indicating a supportive trend for the domestic market [5]. - **Hydropower Performance**: Hydropower has shown improvement since September, but is expected to decline as it enters a dry season, reducing its impact on thermal power [8]. - **Investment Recommendations**: Investors are advised to increase positions in coal stocks, shifting focus from leading blue-chip stocks to more elastic stocks. Key companies to watch include Yanzhou Coal Mining Company and Lu'an Environmental Energy [12][13]. Specific Company Recommendations - **Thermal Coal**: Recommended companies include Yanzhou Coal Mining Company, Shanxi Coal International Energy Group, Jincheng Anthracite Mining Group, and Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry. Yanzhou is highlighted for its strong performance in both A and H shares and its growth potential from new mining projects [13][15]. - **Coking Coal**: Lu'an Environmental Energy is recommended for its significant earnings elasticity in coking coal, along with Pingmei Shenma Group, Huaibei Mining, and Shanxi Coking Coal, which have high growth potential [14]. Conclusion - The coal market is poised for a strong performance in the coming months, driven by robust demand and tightening supply. Investors are encouraged to capitalize on this opportunity by focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and growth potential.

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the prices of thermal coal and coking coal have reached a turning point, with thermal coal prices expected to rebound and stabilize above the long-term contract price of around 700 CNY per ton, with a potential target of 750 CNY per ton in 2025 [6][7][16] - The report highlights that the coal market is experiencing a significant price increase, with thermal coal prices rising to 748 CNY per ton as of October 17, 2025, marking a 6.1% increase from the previous period [6][20] - The investment logic is based on two main aspects: cyclical elasticity and stable dividends, suggesting that the coal sector is at a favorable entry point for investment [8][17] Summary by Sections Investment Logic - Thermal coal is categorized as a policy-driven commodity, with prices expected to recover to long-term contract levels due to the dual-track pricing mechanism [7][16] - Coking coal prices are more influenced by supply and demand fundamentals, with target prices set based on the ratio of coking coal to thermal coal prices [7][16] Market Performance - The coal index increased by 4.17% in the week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 6.39 percentage points [11][28] - Major coal companies showed significant price increases, with the top performers being Dayou Energy (+53.13%), Zhengzhou Coal Electricity (+15.93%), and China Coal Energy (+11.68%) [11][28] Price Indicators - As of October 17, 2025, the Qinhuangdao Q5500 thermal coal price was 748 CNY per ton, reflecting a 6.1% increase [20] - The price of coking coal at Jingtang Port reached 1710 CNY per ton, up from 1630 CNY, indicating a 4.91% increase [21][23] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests four main lines for coal stock selection: cyclical logic (e.g., Jinko Coal and Yanzhou Coal), dividend logic (e.g., China Shenhua and Zhongmei Energy), diversified aluminum elasticity (e.g., Shenhua Holdings), and growth logic (e.g., Xinji Energy and Guanghui Energy) [8][17]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.47% this week, with only 4 out of the 28 sectors showing an increase, led by the banking and coal sectors, which rose by 4.89% and 4.17% respectively [1][2] - The electronic and media sectors experienced the largest declines, with drops of 7.14% and 6.27% respectively [1] Fund Flow Analysis - A total of 301.749 billion yuan in net outflow was recorded in the two markets this week, with only two sectors seeing net inflows: banking (24.19 billion yuan) and coal (2.67 billion yuan) [1][2] - The electronic sector had the highest net outflow, totaling 70.079 billion yuan, followed by the power equipment sector with a net outflow of 41.692 billion yuan [1] Sector Performance - The coal sector saw a net inflow of 2.67 billion yuan, with 30 out of 37 stocks in the sector rising, including major gainers like Dayou Energy (up 53.13%), Antai Group (up 25.32%), and Baotailong (up 22.32%) [2][3] - Conversely, five stocks in the coal sector experienced declines, with Yongtai Energy dropping by 5.23% and Meijin Energy by 2.02% [2][3] Individual Stock Performance - Among the coal stocks, Yanzhou Coal Mining Company led with a net inflow of 335 million yuan, followed by China Coal Energy and Dayou Energy with inflows of 238 million yuan and 162 million yuan respectively [3] - Stocks with significant net outflows included Yongtai Energy (4.85 billion yuan), Baotailong (2.18 billion yuan), and Lanhua Sci-Tech (1.43 billion yuan) [3][4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the coal industry [9]. Core Insights - The recent surge in thermal coal prices is attributed to unexpected demand due to climate anomalies and tightened supply from production checks. The report suggests that similar conditions to previous price spikes could lead to further price increases in Q4 2025 [2][6][7]. - The coal index (Yangtze) increased by 4.14% this week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 6.37 percentage points, ranking 2nd out of 32 industries [6][15]. - As of October 17, the market price for thermal coal at Qinhuangdao was 748 RMB/ton, up 43 RMB/ton week-on-week, while coking coal prices at Jingtang Port rose to 1710 RMB/ton, an increase of 80 RMB/ton [6][15][44]. Summary by Sections Recent Trends - The report highlights that the thermal coal price has seen a significant increase due to early winter conditions and tight supply. The price is expected to continue to rise in Q4 due to these factors [6][16]. - The daily coal consumption across 25 provinces was 5.188 million tons, a decrease of 5.4% week-on-week but an increase of 0.8% year-on-year [16][36]. Price Movements - The report notes that the thermal coal price has increased by 6.10% recently, with significant price movements observed in the past five years during similar conditions [7][44]. - The report also discusses the historical context of price increases, identifying key periods where prices surged due to supply constraints and demand spikes [7]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on coal stocks that have shown signs of bottom reversal and possess defensive characteristics, particularly in light of the ongoing trade tensions [7]. - Specific companies highlighted for their potential include Yanzhou Coal Mining, China Shenhua Energy, and Shanxi Coal International Energy [7][28].