Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metals sector is experiencing significant gains, with the leading non-ferrous metals ETF (159876) showing a rise of 1.88% and attracting substantial investment, indicating positive market sentiment towards the sector [1][4]. Investment Trends - The non-ferrous metals ETF (159876) has accumulated 213 million yuan in the past 10 days, reflecting strong investor interest [1]. - As of November 24, the ETF's latest scale reached 676 million yuan, making it the largest among three ETFs tracking the same index [1]. Stock Performance - Key stocks in the sector, such as Huaxi Nonferrous and Western Gold, have seen significant price increases, with several stocks rising over 4% [3]. Market Outlook - Institutions are optimistic about the continuation of a bull market in the non-ferrous metals sector, with various firms highlighting potential growth in industrial metals like copper and aluminum, as well as energy metals such as lithium and cobalt [4]. - The focus is on three main themes: supply constraints and recovering demand for industrial metals, explosive demand for energy metals due to storage and battery needs, and strategic assets like gold and rare earths [4]. Investment Strategy - A diversified investment approach through the non-ferrous metals ETF (159876) is recommended to capture the overall sector's performance while mitigating risks associated with individual metal investments [5].

Market Overview - A-shares opened higher on November 25, with the ChiNext Index rising by 3% at one point. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3880.22 points, up 1.13%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 2.04% and the ChiNext Index increased by 2.6% [1][3]. Trading Volume and Market Sentiment - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.17 trillion yuan, a significant increase of 149.3 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day. A total of 4888 stocks rose, with 77 hitting the daily limit, while only 458 stocks declined [3]. Sector Performance - The technology sector showed strong performance, particularly in computing hardware and AI applications, with significant rebounds in communication equipment and electronic components. The optical module (CPO), optical chip, optical communication, and ASIC chip sectors led the gains [3][4]. - The precious metals and education sectors also performed well, while previously high-performing sectors like aquaculture experienced notable pullbacks [3]. Notable Stocks and Indices - The CPO concept stock surged by 9%, with major players like Dekoli, Changguang Huaxin, and Guangku Technology hitting the daily limit of 20% increase. Other stocks such as Dongshan Precision and Shijia Photon also saw significant gains [5][6]. - The Hang Seng Technology Index rose over 1.4%, with stocks like Bilibili increasing nearly 6% and Xiaomi Group rising over 4% [4]. Precious Metals Sector - The precious metals sector saw a strong rally, with stocks like Huaxi Nonferrous Metals nearing the daily limit and Shengda Resources rising over 6%. Other notable performers included Western Gold and Zhongjin Gold, both up over 5% [12][13]. - Spot gold prices reached a weekly high of $4155.9 per ounce, driven by market expectations of a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve [14]. Aquaculture Sector Decline - The aquaculture sector faced significant declines, with stocks like Zhongshui Fishery and Zangzi Island hitting the daily limit down, and Guolian Aquatic Products dropping nearly 9% [18][19].

Core Viewpoint - Huaxi Nonferrous reached the daily limit with a price of 40.67 yuan, reflecting a 9.55% increase and a total market capitalization of 25.619 billion yuan, driven by policy benefits, resource integration, and business expansion [1][2]. Group 1: Policy and Resource Integration - The recent intensive introduction of key metal industry policies in Guangxi benefits Huaxi Nonferrous, as its main mines are located in the Nandan experimental zone, allowing the company to fully enjoy policy dividends [2]. - The integration of mining rights in the region enhances the company's resource control, with clear expansion potential for its copper pit and Gaofeng mines, providing resource security for future development [2]. Group 2: Business Transformation and Financial Performance - The company has made significant progress in business transformation, with successful asset injections from Wujin Company and Laiye Company [2]. - Revenue from non-ferrous metal deep processing has surged by 208%, rapidly expanding the business scale and becoming a new growth point [2]. - The production of antimony ingots and indium ingots has been achieved, with antimony ingot gross margin reaching 60.9% [2]. - The company capitalized on market opportunities, resulting in a 16.32% year-on-year increase in operating income due to rising sales and prices of non-ferrous metal products [2]. Group 3: Financial and Governance Initiatives - The company demonstrated strong shareholder support by passing a loss compensation proposal with a 99.96% approval rate [2]. - Successful completion of 599 million yuan in financing provides ample financial support for the company [2]. Group 4: Market and Technical Analysis - Data from Dongfang Caifu indicates a capital inflow into the non-ferrous metal sector on November 25, 2025, with many related stocks performing actively, contributing to Huaxi Nonferrous's limit-up effect [2]. - Technical indicators suggest that if there is a significant net buying from large orders and a notable presence of institutional investors, it reflects positive sentiment towards the company's transformation [2].

Core Insights - The stock of Guangxi Huaxi Nonferrous Metals Co., Ltd. increased by 5.41% to 38.97 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 461 million CNY and a turnover rate of 4.41%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 24.651 billion CNY [1] Company Overview - Guangxi Huaxi Nonferrous Metals Co., Ltd. was established on June 15, 1998, and listed on July 12, 2000. The company is located in Nanning, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, and its main business includes trading and supervision, as well as exploration, mining, and beneficiation of nonferrous metals such as tin, zinc, lead, and antimony [1] - The revenue composition of the company is as follows: 91.82% from nonferrous metal products, 4.61% from deep processing of nonferrous metals, 2.43% from engineering supervision and other services, 0.89% from other supplementary services, and 0.25% from surveying, design, and consulting services [1] Fund Holdings - According to data from the top ten heavy stocks of funds, Jin Ying Fund has a significant holding in Huaxi Nonferrous. The Jin Ying Yuan An Mixed A Fund (000110) held 3,000 shares in the third quarter, accounting for 0.62% of the fund's net value, ranking as the eighth largest heavy stock. The estimated floating profit for today is approximately 6,000 CNY [2] - The Jin Ying Yuan An Mixed A Fund was established on May 20, 2013, with a latest scale of 14.0895 million CNY. Year-to-date returns are 9.4%, ranking 5,486 out of 8,136 in its category; the one-year return is 11.45%, ranking 5,278 out of 8,058; and since inception, the return is 105.94% [2]

Group 1 - The stock price of Huaxi Nonferrous Metals increased by 4.3%, reaching 38.56 yuan per share, marking a new high [2] - The total market capitalization of the company surpassed 24.391 billion yuan [2] - The trading volume amounted to 445 million yuan [2]

Market Overview - The small metals sector increased by 1.03% on November 24, with Huaxi Nonferrous leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3836.77, up 0.05%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12585.08, up 0.37% [1] Key Performers - Huaxi Nonferrous (600301) closed at 36.97, up 5.78% with a trading volume of 183,800 shares and a transaction value of 684 million [1] - Other notable performers include: - Dongfang Silver (000962) at 25.81, up 4.03% [1] - Zhongtung High-tech (000657) at 21.66, up 3.19% [1] - Guangsheng Nonferrous (600259) at 55.98, up 3.09% [1] Fund Flow Analysis - The small metals sector experienced a net outflow of 167 million from main funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 150 million [2] - Notable fund flows include: - Huaxi Nonferrous with a main fund net inflow of 72.9 million [3] - Anning Co. (002978) with a main fund net inflow of 22.5 million [3] - Dongfang Silver with a main fund net inflow of 13.2 million [3] Trading Volume and Value - The trading volume for Huaxi Nonferrous was 183,800 shares, contributing to a transaction value of 684 million [1] - Zhongtung High-tech had a trading volume of 651,400 shares, with a transaction value of 1.407 billion [1] Sector Performance - The overall performance of the small metals sector reflects a mixed sentiment, with some stocks showing significant gains while others faced declines [2][3] - The sector's dynamics indicate a potential shift in investor interest, particularly towards stocks like Huaxi Nonferrous and Guangsheng Nonferrous [1][2]

Summary of Conference Call on T Sector Industry Overview - The T sector has experienced a significant price increase due to favorable policies and increased trading activity on electronic platforms, with prices rising from 145,000 CNY to between 185,000 CNY and 190,000 CNY since early November [1][2] - The cancellation of the export ban has boosted market confidence, leading to a rapid price increase and stabilization above 180,000 CNY [1][2] - Export recovery is expected to significantly impact the demand structure of the T sector, with historical export volumes accounting for approximately 40% of total production, primarily for flame retardant production [1][6] Key Points on Price Trends - The T sector's pricing factors have shifted from photovoltaic glass to exports, with expectations of a price surge due to increased overseas safety stock and rising trade costs [1][10] - Predictions indicate that domestic T element prices could rise to between 250,000 CNY and 300,000 CNY by the end of this year or early next year [1][10][11] - The overall demand for antimony is projected to grow by 2-3% annually, despite potential weaknesses in photovoltaic demand [3][12] Market Dynamics - The supply of antimony ore is expected to decline in the coming years, with domestic leading enterprises unable to significantly increase production and overseas supply remaining tight [3][12] - The export demand for photovoltaic glass has drastically decreased from 2,000-2,500 tons per month to around 100 tons, indicating a near-zero export demand [9] Company Insights - Huaxi Nonferrous is highlighted as a key player, with 40% of its revenue from tin and 40% from antimony, and expected increases in iron and zinc production over the next five years [3][14] - The company is projected to achieve reasonable profits of approximately 1.5 billion CNY by 2026 under certain price assumptions, with a potential valuation of 30 billion CNY [3][14][15] - Other companies of interest include Huayu Mining and Hunan Gold, both of which have strong growth potential and favorable valuations [14][16] Additional Considerations - The T sector's future price trends appear optimistic due to policy support and increased trading activity, with potential for a new upward price cycle if export recovery progresses smoothly [4][10] - The overall market for iron ore is expected to remain high, with average prices projected between 200,000 CNY and 250,000 CNY in 2026 [13]

Core Viewpoint - The company Huaxi Nonferrous Metals (600301) has experienced a decline in stock price and has held a shareholder meeting to approve the use of reserve funds to cover losses, while also reporting significant revenue and profit figures for the first three quarters of 2025 [1][3][4]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of November 21, 2025, Huaxi Nonferrous Metals closed at 34.95 yuan, down 5.97% from the previous week’s 37.17 yuan [1]. - The stock reached a high of 37.66 yuan and a low of 33.9 yuan during the week [1]. - The company's current market capitalization is 22.108 billion yuan, ranking 9th in the small metals sector and 818th among all A-shares [1]. Group 2: Shareholder Meeting - The fifth extraordinary general meeting of shareholders was held on November 17, 2025, where the proposal to use reserve funds to cover losses was approved with 99.9569% of the votes in favor [3][7]. - The meeting was convened by the board of directors and had a voting power participation of 71.9412% of the total shares with voting rights [3][7]. - The proposal received 454,880,966 votes in favor, 183,000 against, and 12,800 abstentions [3]. Group 3: Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 4.138 billion yuan and a net profit of 494 million yuan [4][7]. - The production of major products is progressing as planned, with efforts to optimize production and control costs to meet annual targets [4]. Group 4: Resource Potential - The company has significant resource reserve potential, with three mines having a total certified capacity of 4.28 million tons per year [5][7]. - A market value management system has been established, and the company is working on using reserve funds to cover losses to create conditions for dividends [6][7].

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: 250-Day New High Distance Model - **Model Construction Idea**: This model tracks the distance of stock prices or indices from their 250-day high to monitor market trends and identify potential market leaders. It is based on the momentum and trend-following strategy, which has been proven effective in various studies[11][18]. - **Model Construction Process**: The 250-day new high distance is calculated as follows: $ 250 \text{-day new high distance} = 1 - \frac{\text{Close}_{t}}{\text{ts\_max(Close, 250)}} $ Where: - $\text{Close}_{t}$ represents the latest closing price - $\text{ts\_max(Close, 250)}$ represents the maximum closing price over the past 250 trading days If the latest closing price reaches a new high, the distance is 0. If the price has fallen from the high, the distance is a positive value, indicating the degree of decline[11]. - **Model Evaluation**: The model effectively identifies market trends and highlights stocks or indices that are leading the market, aligning with the principles of momentum and trend-following strategies[11][18]. 2. Model Name: Stable New High Stock Selection Model - **Model Construction Idea**: This model focuses on selecting stocks that exhibit stable price paths and consistent momentum, as smoother price trajectories are associated with stronger momentum effects[24][27]. - **Model Construction Process**: The selection process involves the following criteria: - **Analyst Attention**: At least 5 buy or overweight ratings in the past 3 months - **Relative Strength**: 250-day price change in the top 20% of the market - **Price Stability**: Stocks are ranked based on: - **Price Path Smoothness**: Ratio of price displacement to the total price path - **Sustainability of New Highs**: Average 250-day new high distance over the past 120 days - **Trend Continuity**: Average 250-day new high distance over the past 5 days The top 50 stocks based on these criteria are selected[24][27]. - **Model Evaluation**: The model emphasizes the importance of smooth price paths and consistent momentum, which are less likely to attract excessive attention and thus yield stronger returns[24][27]. --- Model Backtesting Results 1. 250-Day New High Distance Model - **Indices' 250-Day New High Distance**: - Shanghai Composite Index: 4.83% - Shenzhen Component Index: 8.65% - CSI 300: 6.20% - CSI 500: 9.69% - CSI 1000: 7.59% - CSI 2000: 7.40% - ChiNext Index: 12.16% - STAR 50 Index: 16.45%[12][13][32] 2. Stable New High Stock Selection Model - **Selected Stocks**: 15 stocks were identified, including Heertai, Sray New Materials, and Zangge Mining. - **Sector Distribution**: - Manufacturing: 5 stocks (e.g., construction industry) - Cyclical: 5 stocks (e.g., non-ferrous metals industry)[28][33] --- Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods 1. Factor Name: 250-Day New High Distance - **Factor Construction Idea**: This factor measures the relative distance of a stock's price from its 250-day high, serving as an indicator of momentum and trend strength[11]. - **Factor Construction Process**: The formula is: $ 250 \text{-day new high distance} = 1 - \frac{\text{Close}_{t}}{\text{ts\_max(Close, 250)}} $ Where: - $\text{Close}_{t}$ is the latest closing price - $\text{ts\_max(Close, 250)}$ is the maximum closing price over the past 250 trading days[11]. - **Factor Evaluation**: The factor effectively captures momentum and trend-following characteristics, making it a reliable indicator for identifying market leaders[11]. 2. Factor Name: Price Path Smoothness - **Factor Construction Idea**: This factor evaluates the smoothness of a stock's price trajectory, as smoother paths are associated with stronger momentum effects[24]. - **Factor Construction Process**: - Calculate the ratio of price displacement to the total price path over a specified period - Rank stocks based on this ratio and select the top performers[24]. - **Factor Evaluation**: The factor highlights stocks with stable momentum, which are less likely to attract excessive attention and thus yield stronger returns[24]. --- Factor Backtesting Results 1. 250-Day New High Distance Factor - **Indices' 250-Day New High Distance**: - Shanghai Composite Index: 4.83% - Shenzhen Component Index: 8.65% - CSI 300: 6.20% - CSI 500: 9.69% - CSI 1000: 7.59% - CSI 2000: 7.40% - ChiNext Index: 12.16% - STAR 50 Index: 16.45%[12][13][32] 2. Price Path Smoothness Factor - **Selected Stocks**: 15 stocks were identified, including Heertai, Sray New Materials, and Zangge Mining. - **Sector Distribution**: - Manufacturing: 5 stocks (e.g., construction industry) - Cyclical: 5 stocks (e.g., non-ferrous metals industry)[28][33]

Group 1 - The report tracks stocks, industries, and sectors that are reaching new highs, indicating market trends and hotspots [1][4][24] - As of November 21, 2025, the distance to the 250-day new high for major indices is as follows: Shanghai Composite Index 4.83%, Shenzhen Component Index 8.65%, CSI 300 6.20%, CSI 500 9.69%, CSI 1000 7.59%, CSI 2000 7.40%, ChiNext Index 12.16%, and STAR 50 Index 16.45% [5][24] - Among the CITIC primary industry indices, the sectors closest to their 250-day new highs include petroleum and petrochemicals, textiles and apparel, basic chemicals, home appliances, and steel [8][24] Group 2 - A total of 1,127 stocks reached a 250-day new high in the past 20 trading days, with the highest number of new highs in the basic chemicals, machinery, and power equipment and new energy sectors [2][13][24] - The highest proportion of new high stocks is found in the textiles and apparel, coal, and non-ferrous metals sectors, with respective proportions of 41.41%, 38.89%, and 38.71% [13][24] - The cyclical and manufacturing sectors had the most new high stocks this week, with 364 and 315 stocks respectively [15][24] Group 3 - The report identifies 15 stocks that have shown stable new highs, including Heertai, Sry New Materials, and Cangge Mining, with the manufacturing and cyclical sectors contributing the most stocks [3][20][25] - The construction industry had the highest number of new highs within the manufacturing sector, while the non-ferrous metals industry led in the cyclical sector [20][25]