Core Viewpoint - The global tin market is experiencing structural shortages, with supply heavily reliant on a few resource-rich countries. In 2024, global tin production is projected to be 300,000 tons, a decrease of 1.63% year-on-year, with Myanmar, Indonesia, and China accounting for 51% of this production. Limited new capacity is expected due to declining ore grades and mining policies. On the demand side, global tin demand is expected to reach 385,200 tons in 2024, an increase of 3.33% year-on-year, with electronic soldering accounting for 154,100 tons, or 40.01% of total demand [2]. Supply and Demand Analysis - Supply is concentrated and incremental growth is limited, while demand remains robust. The structural shortage in the global tin market is driven by weak supply and strong demand. Since early 2025, Myanmar's mining operations have been suspended longer than expected, leading to a forced reduction in smelter operating rates. Additionally, conflicts in the Democratic Republic of Congo have halted tin concentrate production, affecting approximately 6% of global tin supply, exacerbating material shortages. On the demand side, the expansion of tin solder demand from AI servers and photovoltaics continues to tighten the supply-demand balance, driving tin prices upward [2]. Related Companies - Xiyang Co., Ltd. (000960): Positioned in the tin-rich region of Yunnan, it has established an integrated tin industry chain and ranks first globally in tin production and sales [2]. - Xingye Silver Tin (000426): Both silver and tin production are increasing, with its subsidiary, Yinman Mining, being the second-largest producer of tin concentrate in China, and ongoing acquisitions of overseas tin resources [2]. - Huaxi Nonferrous Metals (600301): Engaged in both tin and antimony, the company benefits from the integration of mining rights and industrial clustering in Guangxi, serving as a platform for state-owned nonferrous metals [2].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the tin industry, driven by strong demand and limited supply, suggesting a favorable investment environment [2][3]. Core Insights - The global tin market is experiencing structural tightness, with supply heavily reliant on a few resource-rich countries. In 2024, global tin production is projected to be 300,000 tons, a decrease of 1.63% year-on-year, while demand is expected to reach 385,200 tons, an increase of 3.33% year-on-year [5][15]. - Tin prices are expected to rise due to weak supply and strong demand. The prolonged suspension of mining operations in Myanmar and conflicts affecting supply from the Democratic Republic of Congo have exacerbated material shortages, driving prices upward [5][22]. - Key companies in the tin sector include: - **Yunnan Tin Company**: Leading in tin production and sales globally, with a comprehensive integrated supply chain [33]. - **Xingye Silver Tin**: Notable for its silver and tin production, with ongoing acquisitions of overseas tin resources [36]. - **Hua Tin Nonferrous Metals**: A state-owned platform benefiting from regional resource consolidation and industrial clustering [39]. Summary by Sections 1. Tin Industry Overview - Tin is a crucial metal in electronic soldering, characterized by its stability and resistance to oxidation, making it suitable for various applications [8]. - The global tin supply is concentrated, with the top four countries (Indonesia, China, Myanmar, and Australia) accounting for over 60% of reserves [14]. 2. Tin Price Trends - Tin prices are influenced by supply constraints and high demand, particularly from the electronics and renewable energy sectors. The report anticipates that if new production capacity remains limited, tin prices will likely stay elevated [22][24]. 3. Related Companies - **Yunnan Tin Company**: Achieved a market share of 25.03% globally in 2024, focusing on high-value products and sustainable practices [33]. - **Xingye Silver Tin**: Reported significant revenue growth, with a strong focus on resource acquisition and production expansion [36]. - **Hua Tin Nonferrous Metals**: Leveraging its integrated operations to enhance resource recovery and sustainability [39].

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Guangxi Huaxi Nonferrous Metals Co., Ltd. experienced a stock price increase of 5.2%, reaching 44.49 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 493 million yuan and a turnover rate of 4.14%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 28.143 billion yuan [1] - The company was established on June 15, 1998, and listed on July 12, 2000, with its main business involving trading and supervision, as well as exploration, mining, and processing of nonferrous metals such as tin, zinc, lead, and antimony [1] - The revenue composition of the company includes 91.82% from nonferrous metal products, 4.61% from deep processing of nonferrous metals, 2.43% from engineering supervision and other services, 0.89% from other supplementary services, and 0.25% from surveying, design, and consulting services [1] Group 2 - From the perspective of fund holdings, Jin Ying Fund has a significant position in Huaxi Nonferrous, with the Jin Ying Yuan An Mixed A Fund (000110) holding 3,000 shares, accounting for 0.62% of the fund's net value, ranking as the eighth largest holding [2] - The Jin Ying Yuan An Mixed A Fund was established on May 20, 2013, with a latest scale of 14.0895 million yuan, achieving a year-to-date return of 1.24% and a one-year return of 14.89% [2] - The fund manager Wang Huaizhen has a tenure of 15 years and 45 days, with a total asset scale of 7.592 billion yuan, while the other manager Yang Xiaobin has a tenure of 7 years and 287 days, managing 1.331 billion yuan [3]

Group 1: Copper - The LME copper price increased by 1.94% to $12,702.0 per ton, while Shanghai copper rose by 3.23% to 101,400 yuan per ton [1] - Domestic copper inventory increased by 6.29% week-on-week, marking six consecutive weeks of accumulation, with total inventory up by 168,100 tons year-on-year [1][12] - The operating rate of the yellow copper rod industry decreased by 0.61% to 46.98%, while the enameled wire industry saw a decline of 0.66% in operating rate to 74.87% [1][12] Group 2: Aluminum - The LME aluminum price rose by 2.22% to $3,088.00 per ton, and Shanghai aluminum increased by 6.13% to 24,300 yuan per ton [2][13] - The operating rate of domestic aluminum processing leading enterprises increased by 0.2% to 60.1%, indicating a mixed performance across different aluminum processing sectors [2][13] - The total production capacity of metallurgical-grade alumina reached 110.32 million tons per year, with an operating rate of 80.51% [2][13] Group 3: Gold - COMEX gold price increased by 3.36% to $4,487.9 per ounce, with SPDR gold holdings rising by 2 tons to 1,067.13 tons [3][14] - Geopolitical risks, including U.S. military actions in Venezuela and unrest in Iran, have contributed to a strong and volatile market for gold [3][14] Group 4: Rare Earths - The price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide increased by 2.90%, with November exports of rare earth permanent magnets rising by 12% month-on-month and 28% year-on-year, reaching a historical high for the month [4][36] - The expectation of more relaxed export policies and ongoing supply constraints are likely to support future demand and price increases in the rare earth sector [4][36] Group 5: Lithium - The average price of lithium carbonate increased by 11.5% to 131,800 yuan per ton, while lithium hydroxide rose by 10.9% to 126,900 yuan per ton [4][60] - Total lithium carbonate production reached 22,500 tons, with a slight increase of 0.01 million tons week-on-week [4][60] Group 6: Cobalt - The price of cobalt in the Jiangxi market rose by 1.1% to 460,000 yuan per ton, with cobalt intermediate prices also showing slight increases [5][63] - The overall cobalt market remains strong, with supply tightness expected to continue, supporting price stability [5][63] Group 7: Nickel - LME nickel price increased by 1.8% to $17,100 per ton, while Shanghai nickel rose by 4.3% to 138,000 yuan per ton [5][64] - Nickel market sentiment turned optimistic due to potential tightening of nickel ore quotas in Indonesia, leading to price increases [5][64]

Group 1 - Recent significant price increases in various minor metals, with tungsten showing the most notable rise. As of January 9, black tungsten concentrate (≥65%) is priced at 485,000 yuan/ton, a week-on-week increase of 5.4%. Ammonium paratungstate (APT) is priced at 710,000 yuan/ton, up 6.0% week-on-week; tungsten powder is priced at 1,130 yuan/kg, up 6.5% week-on-week, all reaching historical highs [1] - According to Shenwan Hongyuan Research, the minor metals sector is expected to see positive changes by 2026, driven by high growth in energy storage demand, which will accelerate the reversal cycle in the lithium carbonate industry. In the context of de-globalization, the value of strategic minor metals such as rare earths, tungsten, and antimony will continue to be reassessed [1] - The reshaping of the global credit landscape and the continuation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut cycle will jointly support the favorable trend of precious and minor metals [1] Group 2 - On January 9, the A-share market experienced a strong rally, with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking through 4,100 points. The total trading volume reached 3.12 trillion yuan, marking the sixth historical instance of surpassing 3 trillion yuan in trading volume [3] - The minor metals concept continues to strengthen, with several stocks such as Hailiang Co., Yunnan Tin Company, Antai Technology, Xiamen Tungsten, and Zhenhua Co. hitting the daily limit. Other stocks like Zhangyuan Tungsten, Tin Industry Co., Huaxi Nonferrous, Chihong Zinc & Germanium, and China Uranium Industry also saw price increases [3]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a collective rise today, with significant gains across major indices and various sectors showing strong performance, particularly in AI applications, commercial aerospace, and small metals [1] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.92%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.15%, the ChiNext Index gained 0.77%, and the North Star 50 Index was up by 1.05% [1] - The total trading volume in the three markets reached 31,523 billion yuan, an increase of 3,261 billion yuan compared to the previous day, with over 3,900 stocks in the three markets showing gains [1] Sector Highlights - Leading sectors included AI applications, commercial aerospace, military equipment, controllable nuclear fusion, small metals, medical services, oil and gas exploration and services, computing power leasing, and retail, all showing significant gains [1] - The AI application sector saw a surge, with stocks like Tianlong Group, Yidian Tianxia, and Guangdong Media hitting the daily limit [1] - The small metals sector continued to rise, with companies such as Zhongtung High-tech and Yunnan Zhenye reaching new highs, and Jintong Co. hitting the daily limit [1] - The commercial aerospace sector maintained its strong performance, with stocks like Galaxy Electronics and China First Heavy Industries achieving consecutive gains [1] Underperforming Sectors - The photovoltaic sector showed weakness, with Hongyuan Green Energy hitting the daily limit down, followed by declines in Daqo New Energy and Tongwei Co. [1] - The brain-computer interface sector experienced fluctuations, with companies like Meihao Medical and Aipeng Medical seeing significant declines [1]

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing a significant surge, with the Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF (159876) reaching a historical high and attracting substantial capital inflows [1] Group 1: Market Performance - On January 9, the Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF saw an intraday price increase of over 3.5%, setting a new historical high [1] - The ETF has received a net subscription of 55.8 million units, with a total capital inflow of 194 million yuan over the past five days, and 279 million yuan over the last ten days [1] - The top-performing stocks within the ETF include Hai Liang Co. (10.02% increase), Xiamen Tungsten (10.00% increase), and Yunnan Pig Industry (10.01% increase) [2] Group 2: Commodity Price Trends - Recent price increases have been noted in various minor metal products, particularly tungsten, with black tungsten concentrate (≥65%) priced at 485,000 yuan/ton, a 5.4% increase week-on-week, and tungsten powder at 1,130 yuan/kg, a 6.5% increase week-on-week [2] - Analysts indicate that the tungsten market is supported by supply constraints due to lower ore grades, controlled mining volumes, and sellers' reluctance to sell, alongside global demand for strategic resources [3] Group 3: Economic Outlook - Current market conditions are characterized by a "slump phase" in the fifth Kondratiev wave cycle, with expectations that commodities will benefit as the previous technology cycle peaks and a new one is still developing [3] - The U.S. economy faces recession pressures, which may lead to a reevaluation of commodities like gold and copper as global assets, potentially increasing their valuations [3] - In a context of loose liquidity and frequent supply disruptions, copper, aluminum, gold, and strategic metals are expected to maintain upward trends through 2026 [3] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF and its linked funds cover a wide range of sectors including copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, allowing investors to capture the overall sector's beta performance [4] - Notable stocks in the commercial aerospace sector, such as Hai Liang Co., Yunnan Zhiye, and Xiamen Tungsten, have shown significant gains, with some reaching their daily limit [5]

Group 1 - The A-share small metal sector showed strength, with the sector index rising by 3.59% as of the morning close on January 9, 2023, driven by significant price increases in tungsten and other rare metals [1] - Notable stocks in the sector included Yunnan Zhenye, Dongfang Tantalum, and Xiamen Tungsten, which reached their daily limit up, while other companies like Jinchuan Group and Huaxi Nonferrous also saw gains [1] - Tungsten prices have reached historical highs, with black tungsten concentrate priced at 485,000 yuan/ton, ammonium paratungstate (APT) at 710,000 yuan/ton, and tungsten powder at 1,130 yuan/kg, reflecting week-on-week increases of 5.4%, 6.0%, and 6.5% respectively [1] Group 2 - Analysts indicate that the tungsten market is supported by supply constraints due to lower ore grades, controlled mining volumes, and sellers' reluctance to sell, alongside a growing global demand for strategic resources [2] - The cobalt market is experiencing price increases due to export quota controls in the Democratic Republic of Congo and delays in domestic arrivals, with cobalt powder prices rising to 570 yuan/kg, a week-on-week increase of 10.7% [2] - The rare earth industry is witnessing price increases, with the rare earth industry index rising by 2.96% on January 9, driven by supply constraints, favorable macroeconomic conditions, and increasing downstream demand [2] Group 3 - The global rare earth industry is undergoing a transformation, with domestic supply consolidation and increased industry concentration, while overseas mines are actively developing, indicating a trend towards diversified global supply [3] - Demand for rare earths is stable in traditional sectors like electric vehicles and wind power, while emerging fields such as robotics and low-altitude economy are expected to provide long-term support for demand [3] - The supply-demand imbalance for strategic minor metals is tightening due to limited reserves, high extraction difficulty, and rapid growth in downstream demand from sectors like new energy and semiconductors [3]

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Huaxi Nonferrous Metals has shown a positive trend with a 4.74% increase year-to-date and significant gains over various trading periods, indicating strong market interest and potential growth in the nonferrous metals sector [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of January 7, Huaxi Nonferrous Metals' stock price increased by 2.11% to 40.18 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 145 million CNY and a turnover rate of 1.33%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 25.417 billion CNY [1]. - The stock has appreciated by 5.90% over the last five trading days, 5.63% over the last 20 days, and 22.61% over the last 60 days [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Huaxi Nonferrous Metals reported a revenue of 4.138 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 21.16%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 8.54% to 494 million CNY [2]. - Cumulatively, the company has distributed 350 million CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with no dividends paid in the last three years [3]. Group 3: Shareholder Structure - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 15.81% to 22,200, while the average number of tradable shares per shareholder increased by 18.78% to 12,380 shares [2]. - Notable changes in the top ten circulating shareholders include new entries such as Yongying Ruixin Mixed A and Yongying Steady Enhanced Bond A, with significant holdings of 14.6332 million shares and 11.0898 million shares, respectively [3].

Group 1 - The small metals sector increased by 4.31% on January 6, with Haotong Technology leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4083.67, up 1.5%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14022.55, up 1.4% [1] - Key stocks in the small metals sector showed significant price increases, with Haotong Technology rising by 12.03% to a closing price of 32.50 [1] Group 2 - The main capital inflow in the small metals sector was 2.499 billion yuan, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 1.745 billion yuan [1] - The trading volume for Haotong Technology was 208,800 shares, with a transaction value of 6.66 billion yuan [1] - Other notable stocks included Xiyang Co., which rose by 10.01% with a trading volume of 672,400 shares and a transaction value of 2.043 billion yuan [1]