Core Insights - The industrial metal sector experienced a decline of 3.85% on October 14, with Shengda Resources leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3865.23, down 0.62%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12895.11, down 2.54% [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers included: - Chuangjiang New Material (002171) with a closing price of 11.32, up 10.01% and a trading volume of 389,500 shares [1] - Huayu Mining (601020) closed at 31.36, up 5.16% with a trading volume of 1,125,400 shares [1] - Market Hetian (600595) closed at 5.59, up 5.08% with a trading volume of 2,158,600 shares [1] - Major decliners included: - Shengda Resources (000603) closed at 26.22, down 8.39% with a trading volume of 499,600 shares [2] - Jiangxi Copper (600362) closed at 38.58, down 6.81% with a trading volume of 1,386,800 shares [2] - Zhongse Co. (000758) closed at 7.24, down 4.99% with a trading volume of 2,322,700 shares [2] Capital Flow - The industrial metal sector saw a net outflow of 5.176 billion yuan from major funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 5.134 billion yuan [2] - Specific stock capital flows indicated: - China Aluminum (601600) had a net inflow of 221 million yuan from major funds [3] - Huayu Mining (601020) experienced a net inflow of 126 million yuan from major funds [3] - Chuangjiang New Material (002171) had a net inflow of 122 million yuan from major funds [3]

Group 1 - Gold prices experienced a short-term pullback on October 14, leading to a collective decline in A-share gold stocks [1] - Notable declines included Luoyang Molybdenum (-5.51%), Shengda Resources (-5.28%), and Zijin Mining (-4.00%) [2] - Other companies such as Tongling Nonferrous Metals, Shengton Mining, Jiangxi Copper, and Zhaojin Mining also saw declines exceeding 3% [1][2] Group 2 - Luoyang Molybdenum has a total market capitalization of 348.5 billion, with a year-to-date increase of 152.71% [2] - Shengda Resources has a market cap of 18.7 billion and a year-to-date increase of 127.57% [2] - Jiangxi Copper's market capitalization stands at 138.1 billion, with a year-to-date increase of 98.92% [2]

该行预计，铜价短期价格上行空间受限于每吨11，000美元，虽然长期看好铜价，但认为市场短期内仍 将保持供过于求，短期价格上行空间受限。 消息上，高盛发表报告，目前铜、铝和锌的高价格反映投资者对2026年看涨情绪，因美联储局减息、美 元走弱的预期以及与人工智能相关的资本支出。该行预计2026及27年铜价将保持在每吨10，000至11， 000美元的价格区间，但由于印尼供应增长，铝价有较大的下行风险。 10月14日消息，港股铜业股呈现高开低走行情，截至目前，中国有色矿业跌近6%，中国黄金国际、江 西铜业股份、中国大冶有色金属跌超3%，五矿资源跌2.74%。 ...

港股开盘，恒生指数高开0.31%，恒生科技指数高开0.56%。有色金属板块延续强势，紫金矿业 （601899）高开3.33%，赤峰黄金（600988）高开4.94%，江西铜业（600362）股份高开5.04%。 来源：市场资讯 （来源：科创100ETF基金） ...

New Stock Issuance - Marco Polo (Stock Code: 001386) issued at a price of 13.75 on October 13, 2025[1] - New material company (Stock Code: 688585) has a tender offer period from September 29 to October 28, 2025[1] - Zitian (Stock Code: 300280) entered the delisting arrangement period with the last trading day on October 13, 2025[1] Market Alerts - Significant abnormal fluctuations reported for Pinming Technology (Stock Code: 688109) on October 10, 2025[1] - Multiple companies including Kesheng Technology (Stock Code: 688788) and Borui Pharmaceutical (Stock Code: 688166) have recent announcements regarding their stock activities[1] - A total of 30 companies have been flagged for abnormal trading activities, indicating potential market volatility[2]

Group 1 - Jiangxi Copper Co., Ltd. (00358.HK) experienced a decline of over 6%, specifically a drop of 6.15%, trading at HKD 34.18 [1] - The trading volume reached HKD 1.313 billion [1]

Core Viewpoint - Jiangxi Copper (600362) shares fell over 6%, closing at HKD 34.18 with a trading volume of HKD 1.313 billion, influenced by renewed US tariff threats on Chinese goods [1] Group 1: Market Impact - On October 10, Trump announced that the US would impose an additional 100% tariff on Chinese goods starting November 1, along with export controls on key software [1] - Following this announcement, both domestic and international copper prices experienced significant declines, with Shanghai copper dropping by 4.5% and LME copper also down by 4.5% [1] Group 2: Industry Outlook - Hualian Futures suggests that copper, as an essential raw material for the new economy, will continue to see strong market demand, driving long-term price increases [1] - Goldman Sachs indicated that while they remain optimistic about long-term copper prices, short-term price increases are limited to USD 11,000 per ton due to an oversupply in the market [1]

Core Viewpoint - Jiangxi Copper Co., Ltd. (00358) experienced a decline of over 6%, closing at HKD 34.18 with a trading volume of HKD 1.313 billion, influenced by renewed U.S. tariff threats on Chinese goods [1] Group 1: Market Impact - On October 10, former President Trump announced that the U.S. would impose an additional 100% tariff on Chinese goods starting November 1, along with export controls on key software, leading to significant drops in copper prices [1] - Both domestic and international copper prices fell sharply, with Shanghai copper and LME copper both declining by 4.5% [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - Hualian Futures suggests that despite short-term negative impacts, the strong demand for copper as an essential raw material for the new economy will drive long-term price increases, presenting a buying opportunity during price corrections [1] - Goldman Sachs indicated that while they remain optimistic about long-term copper prices, short-term price increases are limited to USD 11,000 per ton due to an oversupply in the market [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-ferrous and steel industry [5] Core Viewpoints - The report suggests that gold and rare earths may see a resurgence, while it also highlights opportunities for copper investments during market dips [8][13] - The report emphasizes that the deterioration of fiat currency credit and the need for safe-haven assets are driving gold prices upward, with gold stabilizing above $4,000 [8][13] - The upgrade of export controls on rare earths is seen as a strategic catalyst, potentially enhancing the value of the sector [14] - The report expresses confidence in the mid-term rise of copper prices due to fundamental supply-demand changes, recommending investors to look for opportunities in the copper sector [15][16] Summary by Sections 1. Non-Ferrous Metals - Gold prices are expected to rise due to deteriorating fiat currency credit and increased demand for safe-haven assets [8][13] - The rare earth sector is poised for a strategic boost following the upgrade of export controls, which may lead to higher domestic prices [14] - The copper market is anticipated to experience a mid-term price increase driven by supply constraints and rising demand from sectors like electric vehicles and data centers [15][16] 2. Steel Industry - The steel industry's profitability is under short-term pressure, with costs providing some support for steel prices [17] - Iron and steel production has seen slight declines, with traditional peak season demand yet to be validated [19] - Overall steel inventories are rising, indicating a potential oversupply situation [22] - Steel prices are maintaining a weak and stable trend, with notable price differentiation among various steel products [36] 3. New Energy Metals - Lithium production in August 2025 saw a significant year-on-year increase of 46.54%, indicating strong supply growth [40] - The demand for new energy vehicles remains robust, with production and sales showing substantial year-on-year growth [44] - Prices for lithium and cobalt are stable, while nickel prices have shown slight increases [50][51]

Market Overview - The three major stock indices collectively declined, with a total market turnover of approximately 2.53 trillion yuan, a decrease of over 130 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.37%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 1.26%, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 3.86% over the past two trading days [1] - In September 2025, new A-share accounts reached 2.94 million, a significant year-on-year increase of 61%, with a total of 20.15 million new accounts opened in the first three quarters of 2025, up 50% year-on-year [1] Weekly Stock Performance - Over 2,900 stocks rose this week, with 18 stocks increasing by more than 20%. The largest gain was seen in Guanzhong Ecological, which rose by 36.14% [2] - The sectors with the most stocks gaining over 20% included non-ferrous metals, construction decoration, and machinery equipment, each contributing three stocks to the list [2] Institutional Activity - Institutions were active in the market, with 66 stocks appearing on the weekly leaderboard, net buying 38 stocks and net selling 28 stocks. Ten stocks saw net purchases exceeding 110 million yuan [3] - The stock with the highest net purchase was Ganfeng Lithium, amounting to 578 million yuan, with a weekly increase of 5.01% and a turnover rate of 23.63% [3][4] Notable Announcements - China Power Construction signed a significant contract worth approximately 11.719 billion yuan [6] - Jingu Co., Ltd. entered into a strategic cooperation framework agreement with Ninebot Technology to collaborate on new material research and application in service robots [7] Earnings Forecasts - Several companies reported strong earnings forecasts for the third quarter, including: - Yuyuan New Materials, with a projected net profit increase of 101% to 127% year-on-year - Huace Navigation, expecting a net profit increase of 23.17% to 27.02% year-on-year - Allwinner Technology, anticipating a net profit increase of 213% to 307% year-on-year [8]