Group 1 - The core point of the news is the sudden surge in the Chinese liquor stock market, particularly the strong performance of Kweichow Moutai, which saw a significant price increase and market capitalization recovery [1] - Kweichow Moutai closed at 1437.72 yuan, up 8.61% from the previous trading day, marking the highest single-day increase in nearly 16 months, with its market value returning to 1.8 trillion yuan [1] - Other liquor companies also experienced substantial gains, with over ten A-share listed liquor firms hitting the daily limit, and Hong Kong-listed liquor companies seeing increases of over 12% [1] Group 2 - The rebound is attributed to the upcoming peak season for liquor consumption and the recovery in the price of Feitian Moutai, which is considered a stabilizing factor for the industry [2] - Recent data shows that the wholesale price of Feitian Moutai has been rising, with the price for the 26-year Feitian Moutai reaching 1610 yuan, and the Moutai zodiac wine increasing by 100 yuan per bottle [2] Group 3 - Despite the recent surge, the liquor industry is still undergoing a deep adjustment, with many institutions predicting a lower revenue and profit growth rate for Kweichow Moutai in 2025, around 5%, below the company's original target of 9% [3] - Several listed liquor companies are beginning to disclose performance forecasts, with terms like "loss" and "reduction" becoming common, indicating significant pressure on smaller firms [3] - Companies like *ST Chuntian and Jinzongzi are expected to report substantial losses, while others like Shui Jing Fang and Yanghe are also forecasting significant declines in revenue and profit due to high inventory levels and slow recovery in traditional business banquet scenarios [3] Group 4 - Recent reports from securities firms suggest that the extended holiday during the upcoming Spring Festival will benefit liquor consumption, with a clear trend of market recovery and stabilization [4]

2026.01.29 业内人士认为，贵州茅台等暴涨，接下来预计蓝筹股将会再次发力，因为稳定的业绩、较高的分红比 例，预计春节前其他高股息的"老登"股们将会出现轮动行情，包括银行、电力、医药等板块，投资者都 可以重点关注，抓紧春节前投资机会。 奶酪基金投资经理潘俊向第一财经分析， 1月29日白酒板块大幅上涨，催化来自地产预期改善与资金面 回暖，指数ETF成交量回落导致权重抛压缓解，同时批发价格延续回升、线下动销同比正增、回款发货 稳步推进，形成"以价换量"的积极信号，白酒行情持续性需跟踪春节前后价格能否继续回升。 潘俊认为， 在当前低利率及宏观不确定性环境下，高股息策略已从单纯的"防御"属性进化为"攻守兼 备"的底仓配置。在全球降息周期开启的背景下，高股息资产对全球配置型资金具有极强吸引力，资金 买入不仅是看中股息，更是交易中国资产的估值修复。 慧研智投投资顾问李谦对第一财经说，1月29日之前，本轮结构性市场行情呈现明显分化特征。以黄金 为代表的资源类板块及芯片、半导体等科技主线持续获得市场资金青睐，涨幅显著；而高股息板块中的 白酒、银行、电力、医药等领域则表现相对低迷，股价持续走低并创阶段性新低。临近春节，市 ...

1月29日，A股酒类板块午后集体爆发，迎来久违大涨。古井贡酒、山西汾酒、五粮液、泸州老窖等约20股涨停，贵州茅台涨近9%重返1400元上方。 市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI基于第三方数据生成，仅供参考，不构成个人投资建议。 来源：市场资讯 第三方平台数据显示，1月29日，飞天茅台批发价格延续上涨态势。其中2025年飞天茅台原箱较上一日上涨20元/瓶，至1620元/瓶；2026年飞天茅台原箱同 样上涨20元/瓶，至1610元/瓶。部分茅台省区直营店出现飞天茅台库存不足情况，仅i茅台申购成功者可保证获得现货。 中信证券指出，白酒行业即将迎来春节旺季营销活动，经销商在经销商大会后持续学习吸收龙头企业的渠道、产品等多维度改革经验。行业或在新改革和新 方向下重新聚焦市场培育和消费者教育，促进开瓶动销并为经销商减负。综合考虑到动销已逐步平稳、2026年春节假期多一天、白酒春节消费场景等诸多因 素，2026年春节白酒实际动销有望维持平稳，无须过度悲观。再考虑到后续逐步复苏趋势明确，看好白酒行业底部配置机会。 当日，食品饮料行业获得逾168亿元主力资金净流入，贵州茅台、五粮液位列主力资金净流入个股靠前位置。此前白酒行业处 ...

1月29日，《21辟谣》注意到，有市场传言称"贵州茅台证实参与SpaceX上市A轮融资"。据上证报，贵州茅台方面回应称，此为"不实信息"。 盘面上，贵州茅台1月29日收盘报1437.72元/股，涨8.61%，总市值突破1.8万亿元。 编辑丨黎雨桐 记者丨朱芷葵 据证券时报此前消息，世界首富埃隆·马斯克正计划将太空探索技术公司（SpaceX）的IPO时间安排在6月中旬——正值罕见的行星连珠现象与 他的生日期间。SpaceX公司计划融资规模高达500亿美元，估值约1.5万亿美元，有望成为历史上规模最大的IPO。 出品丨21财经客户端 21世纪经济报道 浙江一地"全员直升高中"存在四大误读 白银基金明天全日停牌，金饰克价首次破1700元，中国金币集团提示风险 SFC 21君荐读 ...

94767 Boodboom0alla0 截至29日收盘，贵州茅台（600519.SH）股价报收1437.72元/股，当日涨8.61%，总市值突破1.8万亿元。 （上海证券报，德塔） 【#茅台回应参与SpaceX融资传闻#】#茅台辟谣投资马斯克SpaceX# 据上海证券报报道，今日（29 日），有市场传言称"贵州茅台证实参与SpaceX上市A轮融资"。记者对此进行了求证，贵州茅台方面回 应记者称，此为"不实信息"。 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to multiple companies in the consumer staples sector, including Guizhou Moutai, Wuliangye, Luzhou Laojiao, and others, indicating a positive outlook for these stocks [1]. Core Insights - There is an intensified divergence among mid-to-high-end baijiu products, with no discount contraction observed in food and beverage categories [1]. - The report highlights that the wholesale prices of various baijiu brands have shown stability or slight changes, with some brands experiencing price increases while others remain flat or decrease [3][4][35]. - Discounts on representative products in condiments, liquid milk, and soft drinks have widened compared to the end of December, indicating a shift in pricing strategies [19][32]. Summary by Relevant Sections Baijiu Pricing - Guizhou Moutai's wholesale prices for Feitian (case and single bottle) and Moutai 1935 are reported at 1600, 1580, and 630 yuan respectively, with changes of 0, -10, and -10 yuan compared to last month [35]. - Wuliangye's eighth-generation price is 830 yuan, reflecting a +10 yuan increase from the previous month [35]. - Luzhou Laojiao's Guojiao 1573 remains at 850 yuan, unchanged from last month [35]. Discount Trends - The average discount rate for condiments decreased from 87.1% to 85.0%, while liquid milk discounts fell from 62.8% to 61.4% [19][22]. - In contrast, discounts for beer, infant formula, and convenience foods remained stable, with beer discounts slightly increasing from 80.3% to 80.7% [20][22][32]. Company Ratings - The report lists several companies with an "Outperform" rating, including: - Guizhou Moutai - Wuliangye - Luzhou Laojiao - Qingdao Beer - China Feihe - Others [1].

价格回升的背后是终端需求持续火热。据悉，"i茅台"平台上，飞天茅台产品已连续20多天开售即"秒 空"，精品茅台、丙午马年生肖酒经典版等也持续售罄。 知名投资人段永平也公开支持茅台：拉长时间看茅台当前股价"真的不贵"。并表示，"一段时间内，茅 台的销售肯定是会受到房地产行业等因素影响，但长期来讲i茅台很可能解决了在哪里能买到真茅台的 问题，似乎打开了普通老百姓消费的口子。" 而这一现象的出现，除了春节消费旺季到来的催化，也离不开其市场化转型举措。 业绩层面来看，虽受市场环境影响，销量增速出现下滑，但贵州茅台整体仍保持正增长。2025年前三季 度，实现营业总收入1309.04亿元，同比增长6.32%；归母净利润646.26亿元，同比增长6.25%。 当前白酒行业仍处于深度调整期，存量竞争持续加剧。为应对此局面，贵州茅台推出了市场化运营方 案，对产品结构、渠道布局、消费者服务等提出转型要求。值得注意的是，其销售模型将由"自售+经 销"转向"自售+经销+代售+寄售"多维协同，并制定了"随行就市、相对平稳"的自营体系零售价格动态 调整机制。 1月29日午后，"老登"白酒板块全线大涨，泸州老窖、水井坊、舍得酒业、皇台酒业 ...

Market Analysis - The A-share market showed significant structural differentiation, with the Shanghai Composite Index fluctuating around 4150 points and closing at 4157.98 points, up 0.16%. The Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.30% to 14300.08 points, and the ChiNext Index dropped 0.57% to 3304.51 points, indicating a mixed performance across the market [3][6] - The beverage sector led the market with a notable increase of 6.74%, while the liquor index surged by 9.93%. Notably, the price of Moutai rose by 20 yuan to 1610 yuan per bottle, suggesting strong sales activity ahead of the Spring Festival [6][8] - The real estate sector also saw a rise of 2.48%, with several companies hitting the daily limit up. Reports indicate that some real estate firms are no longer required to report "three red lines" indicators monthly, hinting at a potential easing of regulatory pressures [6][8] Investment Opportunities - The report suggests that the liquor sector may benefit from improved sales activity before the Spring Festival, while the real estate sector could gain from expectations of regulatory easing. Resource stocks are expected to continue their strong performance due to rising prices and safe-haven demand [8][18] - The report emphasizes a focus on sectors such as photovoltaic (solar energy), commercial aerospace, and precious metals, which are seen as key investment themes in the current market environment [8][17] Commodity Market Insights - The commodity index continued its strong upward trend, with copper prices reaching new historical highs. The Shanghai copper price closed at 109,110 yuan per ton, while LME copper peaked at 14,125 USD per ton [11][12] - Precious metals also experienced significant gains, with gold and silver prices rising sharply, driven by geopolitical uncertainties and a weak US dollar, which enhances the attractiveness of dollar-denominated assets [11][12] Trading Hotspots - Recent hot sectors include AI applications, commercial aerospace, nuclear fusion, quantum technology, brain-computer interfaces, and robotics, all of which are supported by government policies and technological advancements [15][17] - The report highlights the ongoing strong performance of precious metals and industrial metals, suggesting that the momentum may continue in the future [18]

2026.01. 29 本文字数：1155，阅读时长大约2分钟 业内人士认为，贵州茅台等暴涨，接下来预计蓝筹股将会再次发力，因为稳定的业绩、较高的分红比 例，预计春节前其他高股息的"老登"股们将会出现轮动行情，包括银行、电力、医药等板块，投资 者都可以重点关注，抓紧春节前投资机会。 奶酪基金投资经理潘俊向第一财经分析， 1月29日白酒板块大幅上涨，催化来自地产预期改善与资 金面回暖，指数ETF成交量回落导致权重抛压缓解，同时批发价格延续回升、线下动销同比正增、回 款发货稳步推进，形成"以价换量"的积极信号，白酒行情持续性需跟踪春节前后价格能否继续回 升。 作者 | 第一财经 李隽 "白酒'老登'终于硬气一回！"看见1月29日下午贵州茅台（600519.SH）逆袭带领蓝筹股绝地反 击，其他白酒股集体涨停，有私募人士这样对第一财经说。 一度经历"九连阴"，累计连跌多个交易日之后，1月29日贵州茅台上涨8.61%，报收1437元，成交 263亿元，相比此前100亿元左右的单日成交大幅放量，收复了近半个月以来的失地；五粮液 （000858.SH）、泸州老窖（000568.SH）等多只白酒股放量涨停。 大盘在明显的风格 ...

#白酒股爆发17股涨停#【#老登股或再次轮动#｜市场观察】"白酒'老登'终于硬气一回！"看见1月29日 下午贵州茅台（600519.SH）逆袭带领蓝筹股绝地反击，其他白酒股集体涨停，有私募人士这样对第一 财经说。 一度经历"九连阴"，累计连跌多个交易日之后，1月29日贵州茅台上涨8.61%，报收1437元，成交263亿 元，相比此前100亿元左右的单日成交大幅放量，收复了近半个月以来的失地；五粮液 （000858.SH）、泸州老窖（000568.SH）等多只白酒股放量涨停。 大盘在明显的风格切换当中继续放量上涨，沪深京三地成交逼近3.26万亿元，较28日增加2671亿元，重 上三万亿元大关，上证指数上涨0.16%，上证50上涨1.65%，而科创50下跌3.03%，市场出现了明显 的"跷跷板"效应。 业内人士认为，贵州茅台等暴涨，接下来预计蓝筹股将会再次发力，因为稳定的业绩、较高的分红比 例，预计春节前其他高股息的"老登"股们将会出现轮动行情，包括银行、电力、医药等板块，投资者都 可以重点关注，抓紧春节前投资机会。 ...