Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant net inflow of southbound funds amounting to HKD 16.274 billion during the week of December 15 to December 19, marking a shift from negative to positive net inflow [1] - A total of 11 stocks experienced a more than 20% increase in holdings by southbound funds, with FWD Group leading at a remarkable 377.84% increase [1] - Notable stocks with substantial increases in holdings include Chery Automobile, Sany Heavy Industry, and Joyson Electronics, with increases of 182.27%, 95.91%, and 60.69% respectively [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes that several of the stocks with the highest increases in holdings are related to the autonomous driving sector, including Joyson Electronics, Seres, Cao Cao Mobility, and Youjia Innovation [1] - On December 15, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology officially announced the first batch of L3-level conditional autonomous driving vehicle permits, indicating a critical step towards the commercialization of L3 autonomous driving in China [1]

Summary of the Conference Call Transcript Company Overview - **Company**: Joyson Electronics (均胜电子) - **Industry**: Automotive Safety and Electronics Solutions - **Rating**: Buy with a target price of Rmb 34.20, up from Rmb 21.10 [1][4] Key Points and Arguments Industry Trends - The global automotive industry is undergoing significant electrification and intelligence trends, expected to drive the automotive electronics market with a CAGR of 9.0% from 2025 to 2028 [2][9] - Key growth segments include smart cockpit solutions, intelligent driving solutions, new energy management systems, and intelligent connectivity systems [2][9] Financial Projections - Joyson's net profit is projected to grow at a CAGR of 17% from 2025 to 2028, driven by deepening collaborations with domestic automakers and benefiting from overseas automakers' transitions to electrification and intelligence [3][10] - Revenue is expected to grow at a CAGR of 6.5%, with gross and net profit margins improving from 18.3% and 2.4% in 2025 to 18.4% and 3.2% in 2028, respectively [3][10] Valuation - The valuation is based on a segmented approach: - Automotive safety and other parts: 21.0x 2026E PE - Automotive electronics: 27.5x 2026E PE - Robotics parts: 9.5x 2026E P/S [4][31] - The new target price reflects a 27.5x 2026E PE, indicating a 16% discount compared to peers [4][31] Market Position - Joyson is positioned as a global leader in automotive passive safety and electronics, with a comprehensive product portfolio and a global customer base [1][13] - The company has established over 25 R&D centers and more than 60 production bases worldwide, covering major automakers [13] Growth Opportunities - Joyson has secured projects with leading overseas automakers and a major humanoid robot manufacturer, indicating potential growth in the robotics sector [1][19] - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing demand for automotive electronics due to stricter safety standards and the transition to centralized electronic architectures [9][10] Additional Important Insights - The current stock price of Rmb 26.95 reflects a potential upside, with a risk-reward ratio of 3.1:1 [36] - The company has faced challenges in the past due to significant acquisitions and restructuring, but these impacts are expected to diminish by 2025 [14] - Joyson's revenue growth is primarily driven by the automotive electronics sector, which is anticipated to outperform the traditional automotive safety market [9][10] Conclusion - Joyson Electronics is well-positioned to capitalize on the ongoing transformation in the automotive industry, with strong growth prospects in both automotive electronics and robotics. The current valuation does not fully reflect the company's growth potential, making it an attractive investment opportunity.

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Electric Vehicles (EV) in China - **Current Trends**: EV demand shows resilience, with expectations of continued support for consumption into 2026, driven by government policies and market dynamics [2][9] Core Insights - **EV Market Performance**: - In November, the China passenger car market recorded sales of 2.22 million units, an 8% year-over-year decline, and a 1% month-over-month decrease [2] - EV sales increased by 4% year-over-year and 3% month-over-month, achieving a penetration rate of 59.3% [2][34] - Anticipated growth in EV demand through December due to year-end promotions and potential frontloading sales ahead of tax exemption reductions [2] - **Robotaxi Commercialization**: - Companies like Pony and WeRide plan to expand their robotaxi fleets from approximately 1,000 to 3,000 by the end of next year, with some areas achieving breakeven unit economics [3] - XPEV is set to launch three robotaxi models in 2026, indicating a clear acceleration in commercialization [3] - **Battery Market Dynamics**: - The battery trading market is currently experiencing volatility, particularly affecting smaller firms and upstream battery materials [4] - The battery segment is expected to benefit from an upcycle, with companies like CATL showing growth visibility [5] Investment Recommendations - **Preferred OEMs**: - Companies with strong product pipelines such as BYD A/H, Geely, and Leapmotor are favored due to expected policy support for domestic consumption [5][9] - **Battery Suppliers**: - CATL is highlighted for its resilience and growth potential, especially in the face of demand volatility expected in early 2026 [5] - **Autonomous Driving Enablers**: - XPeng and Horizon Robotics are well-positioned to capture growth in autonomous driving, with Joyson noted for its overseas exposure and robotics optionality [5] Additional Insights - **Market Share Trends**: - The top 10 brands in the China passenger car market captured 72% of the market share in the first ten months of 2025, indicating a competitive landscape with 144 brands vying for the remaining share [13][15] - **EV Market Share**: - The top 10 EV makers accounted for 75% of the market share in November 2025, with 50 brands competing for the remaining 25% [18] - **Discount Levels**: - The discount level for EVs slightly increased to 10.1% in November 2025, while ICE vehicles remained stable at 24.0% [26][28] - **Inventory Levels**: - The inventory indicator rose to 1.57 in November 2025, suggesting potential oversupply concerns [38] - **Future Projections**: - New model launches are expected to peak in the third quarter of 2025 and the second quarter of 2026, with EVs projected to account for 91% of new models [42] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, focusing on the electric vehicle industry in China, market dynamics, investment recommendations, and additional insights that may be relevant for stakeholders.

Core Viewpoint - The automotive industry is at a new crossroads in 2026, with the end of the electric vehicle (EV) boom and the rise of smart technology. Investment opportunities lie in commercial vehicles and two-wheeled vehicles, focusing on finding resilient alpha varieties and embracing the next industrial trends of smart technology and robotics/AIDC [4][10]. Group 1: Automotive Sector Investment Strategy - The automotive industry should reference the years 2011 and 2018 for strategic insights. The focus is on finding resilient alpha varieties and embracing the next industrial trends, particularly in smart technology and robotics/AIDC [4][10]. - The total domestic demand for passenger vehicles in 2026 is expected to be 22 million units, a decrease of 3.5% year-on-year, while the demand for new energy vehicles is projected to reach 13.2 million units, an increase of 6.4% [5][10]. - The wholesale sales of heavy trucks are forecasted to be 1.16 million units in 2026, with a year-on-year increase of 1.5%. Domestic sales are expected to decline by 5.5% to 770,000 units, while exports are projected to rise by 18.8% to 390,000-400,000 units [5][27]. Group 2: Key Investment Opportunities - In the bus sector, the top picks are Yutong Bus and Jinlong Automobile. For motorcycles, the preferred choices are Chunfeng Power and Longxin General. In the heavy truck sector, China National Heavy Duty Truck and Weichai Power are favored. For passenger vehicles, BYD is the primary choice, with Jianghuai Automobile as a secondary option. In the parts sector, Fuyao Glass, Xingyu Co., and Minth Group are recommended [6][10]. - The L4 RoboX investment opportunities focus on the B-end software sector over C-end hardware. Preferred stocks include XPeng Motors, Horizon Robotics, and others in the H-share market, while A-share selections include Qianli Technology and Desay SV [7][10]. - The robotics and AIDC investment opportunities are highlighted, with a focus on the upcoming Optimus V3 overseas and the rapid development of domestic robotics. Key selections include Top Group for robotics and liquid cooling, and Junsheng Electronics for robotics [7][10]. Group 3: Market Forecasts - The passenger vehicle market is expected to see a total sales volume of 22 million units in 2026, with a year-on-year decrease of 3.5%. New energy vehicle sales are projected to reach 13.2 million units, an increase of 6.4% [5][17]. - The heavy truck market is forecasted to have a wholesale volume of 1.16 million units in 2026, with domestic sales declining by 5.5% to 770,000 units, while exports are expected to rise by 18.8% [5][27]. - The bus sector is anticipated to maintain a strong export growth rate of over 30%, with domestic sales expected to reach 81,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 3% [5][32]. Group 4: Motorcycle Market Insights - The motorcycle industry is projected to have total sales of 19.38 million units in 2026, a year-on-year increase of 14%. The large-displacement motorcycle segment is expected to reach 1.26 million units, a 31% increase [5][34]. - Domestic sales of large-displacement motorcycles are expected to reach 430,000 units, a 5% increase, while exports are projected to be 830,000 units, a 50% increase [5][35]. Group 5: Future Trends and Innovations - The penetration rate of smart driving technology in new energy vehicles is expected to rise to 40% by 2026, with significant growth in the use of domestic chips [22][23]. - The heavy truck export market is expected to recover, with significant growth in regions such as Southeast Asia and Africa, driven by local infrastructure and mining demands [28][29].

Core Insights - Junsheng Electronics' subsidiary, Junlian Zhixing, has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Snian Zhijia to leverage their respective resource advantages in L4 autonomous driving solutions and embodied intelligent domain control [1] Group 1: Strategic Cooperation - The collaboration will focus on the commercial application of L4 autonomous driving solutions and embodied intelligent domain control [1] - Both companies aim to deepen their cooperation in technology research and development, product implementation, and scene expansion [3] Group 2: Technological Development - A joint development of a smart port digital management platform based on "V2X + L4 autonomous driving + intelligent cloud scheduling" has been successfully implemented at Ningbo Port, improving vehicle scheduling efficiency by 15% and path planning accuracy by 10% [2] - The successful deployment of this product validates the advanced integration and feasibility of both companies' technologies, providing replicable and scalable application experiences for high-level intelligent driving technology [3] Group 3: Future Prospects - Future plans include further collaboration on embodied intelligent domain control development and expanding the application scenarios for L4 high-level intelligent driving technology [3] - Both companies emphasize resource sharing, co-construction, win-win cooperation, and collaborative innovation as guiding principles for their partnership [3]

Core Insights - Junsheng Electronics' subsidiary Junlian Zhixing and Sinian Zhijia have signed a strategic cooperation agreement to leverage their respective resource advantages in the fields of L4 autonomous driving solutions and embodied intelligent domain control [1] - The joint development of a smart port digital management platform based on "V2X + L4 autonomous driving + intelligent cloud scheduling" has been successfully implemented and is operating stably at Ningbo Port [1] Technology and Performance - The solution utilizes V2X vehicle-road collaboration, 5G low-latency communication technology, optimized autonomous driving algorithms, and enhanced commercial vehicle domain control performance [1] - It addresses key challenges such as mixed operations at ports and intersection scheduling, achieving a 15% improvement in vehicle scheduling efficiency and a 10% increase in path planning accuracy [1] Future Collaboration - The partnership is expected to deepen cooperation dimensions and expand the large-scale application scenarios of L4 advanced intelligent driving technology, aiming to build an efficient and collaborative logistics transportation network [1] - Both companies plan to jointly develop embodied intelligent domain control to inject stronger momentum into the development of the intelligent industry [1]

Core Viewpoint - Junsheng Electronics' subsidiary Junlian Zhixing has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Snian Zhijia to leverage their respective resource advantages in the fields of L4 autonomous driving solutions and embodied intelligent domain control, focusing on commercial applications [1] Group 1 - The collaboration will involve deep cooperation in limited scenario L4 autonomous driving solutions and embodied intelligent domain control [1] - A jointly developed smart port digital management platform based on "V2X + L4 autonomous driving + intelligent cloud scheduling" has been deployed and is operating stably at Ningbo Port [1]

| 000678 | 襄阳轴承 | 3.94 | 12.52 | 8582.80 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600104 | 上汽集团 | 1.49 | 0.41 | 8278.55 | | 603596 | 伯特利 | 4.25 | 3.57 | 8176.53 | | 002813 | 路畅科技 | 9.99 | 7.59 | 6957.34 | | 301005 | 超捷股份 | 4.19 | 15.83 | 6515.54 | | 000980 | 众泰汽车 | 2.92 | 3.39 | 6189.36 | | 000901 | 航天科技 | 3.43 | 15.59 | 5738.29 | | 300304 | 云意电气 | 10.81 | 8.55 | 5426.49 | | 001285 | 瑞立科密 | 5.94 | 25.28 | 5282.68 | | 603766 | 隆鑫通用 | -0.68 | 1.68 | 5148.07 | 汽车行业资金流出榜 | 代码 | 简称 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | 今日换手率（%） | 主力资金流量（万元） ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the automotive industry, indicating an expectation that the industry index will outperform the market index by more than 10% over the next six months [2][45]. Core Insights - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has officially granted L3 autonomous driving permits for two vehicle models, marking a significant transition from testing to commercial operation in China's autonomous driving sector. This shift also indicates a legal transition of responsibility from drivers to systems, enhancing regulatory frameworks around product safety and accountability [3][5][41]. - The automotive sector has shown mixed performance, with the automotive index declining by 0.17% over the past two weeks, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.31 percentage points. However, the sector has increased by 17.49% year-to-date, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.78 percentage points [10][15]. - In November, China's automotive production reached 3.532 million units, a year-on-year increase of 2.8%, while sales were 3.429 million units, up 3.4% year-on-year. Exports surged by 48.6% year-on-year to 728,000 units [19][20]. Summary by Sections Automotive Industry Trends and Valuation Review - As of December 18, 2025, the automotive sector has experienced a year-to-date increase of 17.49%, ranking 12th among 31 industries. The sector's performance has been relatively stable despite recent declines [10][15]. Industry Data Tracking - In November, automotive production and sales showed positive growth, with production increasing by 2.8% year-on-year and sales by 3.4%. Exports saw a significant rise of 48.6% year-on-year [19][20]. Industry News - The Ministry of Commerce announced ongoing negotiations between China and Europe regarding electric vehicles, aiming to resolve differences and create a stable market environment [27]. - Guangzhou has initiated a second round of automotive consumption promotion with a supplementary fund of 300 million yuan to stimulate car purchases [29]. - Chongqing is advancing "AI+" smart connected vehicles, focusing on enhancing research and manufacturing in intelligent driving and vehicle-grade chips [30]. Corporate News - Yutong Bus is actively following up on L3 autonomous driving developments, while CATL and Lantu have signed a ten-year cooperation agreement focusing on battery technology and integrated chassis [35][36]. - Xpeng Motors has received an L3 autonomous driving road testing license in Guangzhou, marking a step forward in practical applications of autonomous technology [39]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies that are expanding their overseas markets and enhancing their technological capabilities, such as BYD, Seres, and Yutong Bus. These companies are expected to benefit from the increasing penetration of intelligent driving configurations and the transition to L3 autonomous driving [41][42].

Core Conclusions - The 2026 automotive industry investment strategy emphasizes "breaking old and establishing new," suggesting that the industry is at a crossroads similar to 2011 and 2018, with the end of the electric vehicle (EV) boom and the rise of smart technology [2][3] - The report predicts a total domestic demand of 22 million vehicles in 2026, a decrease of 3.5% year-on-year, with new energy vehicle (NEV) sales expected to reach 13.2 million, an increase of 6.4% [2][10] - The commercial vehicle sector is expected to see a wholesale volume of 1.16 million units in 2026, with a slight increase of 1.5% year-on-year, while the bus sector is projected to maintain strong export growth [2][19] Passenger Vehicle Sector - The passenger vehicle sector is projected to experience a total sales volume of 22 million units in 2026, with NEV sales expected to reach 13.2 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.4% [2][10] - The report highlights the impact of a 5% purchase tax on NEVs starting January 1, 2026, which is expected to support domestic demand [10] - Key investment opportunities include BYD and Jianghuai Automobile in the passenger vehicle sector [2][3] Commercial Vehicle Sector - The heavy truck segment is forecasted to have a wholesale volume of 1.16 million units in 2026, with domestic sales expected to decline by 5.5% to 770,000 units, while exports are projected to grow by 18.8% [2][15] - The bus sector is expected to see a total domestic sales volume of 81,000 units, with exports anticipated to grow by over 30% [2][19] Motorcycle Sector - The motorcycle industry is expected to achieve total sales of 19.38 million units in 2026, representing a year-on-year increase of 14%, with large-displacement motorcycles projected to grow by 31% [2][22] - Domestic sales of large-displacement motorcycles are expected to reach 430,000 units, while exports are projected to grow significantly [22] Investment Opportunities - The report identifies key investment opportunities across various segments, including Yutong Bus and King Long in the bus sector, and Spring Power and Longxin General in the motorcycle sector [2][3] - The focus on L4 RoboX investment opportunities highlights the importance of software over hardware in the autonomous driving sector, with recommended stocks including XPeng Motors and Horizon Robotics [2][3] Growth Trends - The report anticipates a continued focus on smart technology and robotics, with significant growth expected in the L4 RoboX industry and AIDC (Automated Identification and Data Capture) sectors [2][3] - The penetration rate of smart driving technology in new energy vehicles is expected to reach 40% by 2026, with a notable shift in chip supplier market shares [13][14]