Core Viewpoint - The aviation equipment sector experienced a significant increase of 2.98% on December 25, with Guanglian Aviation leading the gains, reflecting positive market sentiment in this industry [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3959.62, up by 0.47%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13531.41, up by 0.33% [1]. - Guanglian Aviation saw a remarkable rise of 19.99%, closing at 31.21, with a trading volume of 543,100 shares and a transaction value of 1.668 billion [1]. - Other notable performers included Boyun New Materials, which increased by 10.04% to 12.39, and Aviation Power Technology, which rose by 10.00% to 36.52 [1]. Group 2: Capital Flow - The aviation equipment sector recorded a net inflow of 1.106 billion in main funds, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 309 million [2][3]. - Guanglian Aviation attracted a net inflow of 244 million from main funds, despite a net outflow of 162 million from speculative funds [3]. - Aviation Power Technology also saw a net inflow of 217 million from main funds, with retail investors withdrawing 117 million [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform the Market - A" for the aerospace power industry [5] Core Insights - The aerospace power industry is approaching a strategic layout timing, with a focus on downstream sectors such as aerospace power and control systems, benefiting from the iteration and release of new aircraft models [1][2] - The maintenance aftermarket is expected to become a second growth curve, with significant revenue generated from maintenance services [2] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" has seen key models of large engines entering a stock market phase, while medium engines are experiencing a recovery in growth [1][16] - The supply chain has matured, with a stable supplier landscape and reduced disturbances from new entrants [2][24] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The large engine industry has entered a stock market phase, with the maintenance aftermarket opening up; medium engine growth is recovering [16] - The small thrust and turboshaft engine sectors are experiencing further contraction [18] - Key upstream suppliers in the aerospace power system have seen growth rates narrow, indicating a transition to a stable phase [20] - New suppliers have reached considerable capacity during the "14th Five-Year Plan" [21] Main Engine Manufacturers - Major manufacturers include the Dawn Company, West Aviation Group, Guizhou Liyang, and Southern Company, which form a comprehensive platform for the development and production of all types of aircraft engines [31] Supply Chain - The "small core, big collaboration" system has matured, with significant growth in strategic external suppliers while some internal suppliers face declining revenues [24] - The report highlights the importance of the maintenance aftermarket and military trade as potential growth areas [30] Future Outlook - The report suggests that the aerospace power industry will see structural growth driven by the maintenance aftermarket and military exports, particularly in light of geopolitical factors [2][30]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market shows positive momentum with the Shanghai Composite Index closing above the six-month moving average, indicating a potential bullish trend in the market [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of the latest close, the Shanghai Composite Index stands at 3952.50 points, with a gain of 0.29% [1]. - The total trading volume in the A-share market reached 12119.45 billion yuan [1]. Group 2: Stocks Breaking the Six-Month Line - A total of 136 A-shares have surpassed the six-month moving average, with notable stocks including Jinshi Technology, Saifutian, and Longxi Co., which have divergence rates of 9.39%, 9.09%, and 8.09% respectively [1]. - The stocks with the highest divergence rates are as follows: - Jinshi Technology (10.01% increase, 5.73% turnover, latest price 16.82 yuan) [1] - Saifutian (9.95% increase, 6.62% turnover, latest price 8.73 yuan) [1] - Longxi Co. (10.02% increase, 9.40% turnover, latest price 26.79 yuan) [1]. Group 3: Additional Stocks with Notable Performance - Other stocks that have shown significant performance include: - Chongqing Port (10.02% increase, 2.21% turnover, latest price 5.82 yuan) [1] - Shaoyang Hydraulic (7.53% increase, 24.14% turnover, latest price 31.00 yuan) [1] - Jinming Precision Machinery (8.05% increase, 10.24% turnover, latest price 8.19 yuan) [1].

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Aviation Power has shown fluctuations with a recent increase of 2.01%, while the company faces a decline in revenue and profit year-on-year, indicating potential challenges ahead in the defense and aviation sector [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of December 25, Aviation Power's stock price reached 39.61 CNY per share, with a market capitalization of 105.58 billion CNY [1]. - The stock has decreased by 4.21% year-to-date but has seen a recent uptick of 5.07% over the last five trading days [1]. - The company has experienced significant trading activity, with a net inflow of 20.51 million CNY from major funds [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Aviation Power reported a revenue of 22.91 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 11.73%, and a net profit of 108 million CNY, down 85.13% year-on-year [2]. - Cumulatively, the company has distributed 4.06 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.07 billion CNY distributed over the last three years [3]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of October 31, 2025, the number of shareholders for Aviation Power stood at 130,800, with an average of 20,376 shares held per shareholder [2]. - The largest circulating shareholder, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holds 35.84 million shares, a decrease of 3.76 million shares from the previous period [3].

华西证券指出，当前商业航天领域正经历从一次性制造到复用成本的模式转型。以SpaceX为代表的企 业通过提升复用率与发射频次持续降低单位成本，中国商业航天亦在加速实现技术突破与成本收敛。行 业呈现寡头格局，下游发射服务商凭借订单优势掌握供应链话语权。投资方向涵盖火箭制造、核心部件 及太空算力等领域。 国防ETF紧密跟踪中证国防指数，中证国防指数选取隶属于十大军工集团公司旗下的上市公司证券，以 及为国家武装力量提供武器装备，或与军方有实际装备承制销售金额或签订合同的相关上市公司证券作 为指数样本，以反映国防产业上市公司证券的整体表现。 截至2025年12月24日 13:39，中证国防指数(399973)强势上涨2.95%，成分股火炬电子(603678)上涨 10.02%，宏达电子(300726)上涨8.21%，西部材料(002149)上涨7.59%，菲利华(300395)，华秦科技 (688281)等个股跟涨。国防ETF(512670)上涨3.03%，最新价报0.85元。 消息面上，中国商业航天发展大会在北京召开，会上发布《中国商业航天产业研究报告》。截至11月， 全球平均每月发射超过26次，标志着全球航天进入了 ...

Group 1 - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing a significant upward trend, with key stocks like Beimo Gaoke and China Satellite hitting the daily limit, and the Aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) rising by 2.15%, reaching a cumulative increase of 11% since November 14 [1] - The Aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) tracks the highest military content index in the market, with over 67% weight in "Aerospace Equipment + Aviation Equipment," benefiting from advancements in national defense and aerospace technology [1] Group 2 - SpaceX's valuation has surged to between 800 billion and 1.5 trillion USD, indicating a move towards an IPO as the company enters a regulatory quiet period [2] - Domestic commercial aerospace is also active, with the Tianlong No. 3 and Long March 12甲 rockets preparing for their first flights, and AVIC Chengfei announcing a 420 million USD investment in a space equipment assembly base [2] - The Shenzhen Low Altitude Economy Industry Association has released two group standards to accelerate the establishment of foundational rules for the low-altitude economy [2] - Huaxi Securities notes a profound cost restructuring in the global commercial aerospace launch sector, with Chinese companies making significant progress in technology breakthroughs and cost reduction [2]

机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，航发动力十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第四大流 通股东，持股3583.89万股，相比上期减少3762.36万股。富国中证军工龙头ETF（512710）位居第七大 流通股东，持股3011.21万股，相比上期增加453.42万股。华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF（510300）位居第八大 流通股东，持股2281.60万股，相比上期减少101.20万股。 责任编辑：小浪快报 资料显示，中国航发动力股份有限公司位于陕西省西安市未央区徐家湾，成立日期1993年12月23日，上 市日期1996年4月8日，公司主营业务涉及航空发动机制造及衍生产品的生产、民用航空发动机零部件外 贸转包生产及部分非航空产品的生产。主营业务收入构成为：航空发动机及衍生产品91.55%，外贸出 口6.17%，非航空产品及其他2.28%。 航发动力所属申万行业为：国防军工-航空装备Ⅱ-航空装备Ⅲ。所属概念板块包括：央企改革、航母产 业、大盘、融资融券、MSCI中国等。 截至10月31日，航发动力股东户数13.08万，较上期增加0.00%；人均流通股20376股，较上期增加 0.00%。2025年1月-9月， ...

Core Insights - The report identifies the main investment themes for the defense and aerospace industry in 2025 as internal equipment, military trade, and military-civilian integration, with a focus on the second growth curve as a key selection criterion for stocks [2][5][36] - For 2026, military-civilian integration and military trade are expected to remain the primary investment lines, supported by stable growth in defense spending and policy guidance [2][5] Industry Overview - The report outlines a deep review of the defense industry, highlighting that the internal equipment market, military trade, and military-civilian integration emerged as the three main investment directions in 2025 [5][21] - The investment framework has evolved from focusing solely on internal equipment to incorporating military trade and military-civilian integration, reflecting a more comprehensive understanding of the market dynamics [5][21] Policy Analysis and Internal Equipment Outlook - The report emphasizes that the integration of mechanization, information technology, and intelligence will drive future growth in internal equipment, with specific focus areas including information support forces, cyber warfare units, military aerospace, and rocket forces [6][41][46] - Recent U.S. defense policy changes, which reduced the number of key technology areas from 14 to 6, align closely with China's focus on new quality and new domain developments [6][41] Investment Strategy for 2026 - The report recommends a bottom-up approach to stock selection, emphasizing the importance of identifying stocks that excel in the second growth curve, particularly in military trade and military-civilian integration [7][36] - Specific companies are highlighted as key investment targets, including 中航沈飞 (AVIC), 广东宏大 (Guangdong Hongda), and 西部超导 (West Superconductor), which are positioned to benefit from trends in military trade and civilian applications [22][33][36] Key Investment Areas - The report identifies several promising sectors within the defense industry, including special chips, quartz electronic fabrics, aerospace electronics, high-performance power supplies, and military aviation engines, each with unique growth drivers [22][33][36] - The military trade sector is expected to see a shift towards high-end equipment exports, with 中航沈飞 (AVIC) and 广东宏大 (Guangdong Hongda) as core players [22][36] Conclusion - The report concludes that the second growth curve represents a critical opportunity for investors, with military trade and military-civilian integration likely to be the main growth drivers in the coming years [36][41]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of "globalization and AI+" in advancing high-quality development in the defense and military industry, highlighting the need for modernization and efficiency improvements in military systems [5][30][34] - The investment strategy focuses on balancing value and growth, with traditional sectors entering an S-curve evolution phase while new demands and replacements coexist [5][30] Section Summaries 1. Current Development Stage from the S-Curve Perspective - The defense and military industry is in a growth phase, with traditional sectors experiencing rapid development during the previous five-year plan, but not yet entering a slowdown [16][26] - The S-curve model indicates that the industry lifecycle includes multiple product lifecycles, with the current focus on extending product lifespans through innovation [23][24] 2. S-Curve Cycle Expansion - Global military trade remains robust, emphasizing the importance of lifecycle management from equipment to services [9][18] - The report anticipates that the demand for large aircraft and low-altitude economic activities will accelerate due to supportive policies [9][28] 3. S-Curve Cycle Evolution - Supply chain reforms are crucial for reducing costs and complexity, enhancing the focus on maintenance and repair services [9][33] - The integration of unmanned systems and intelligent technologies is expected to drive significant advancements in military capabilities [9][51] 4. New Cycle of the S-Curve: Emerging Industries - The report identifies commercial aerospace, AI, controllable nuclear fusion, quantum information, and deep-sea technology as key areas for future growth [9][57][65] - The acceleration of technological advancements and policy support is expected to unlock new market opportunities in these sectors [9][58] 5. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies that align with the evolving S-curve, particularly those involved in supply chain reform, maintenance, and unmanned systems [5][30] - Specific companies highlighted for investment include 航发动力, 中航高科, and 国睿科技, among others, which are positioned to benefit from these trends [6][9]

Investment Rating - The report rates the military industry as "Overweight" [9] Core Viewpoints - The military sector has seen an increase, with the Russian military's use of "Dagger" missiles reaching record levels. The recent joint air strategic patrol between China and Russia, along with the potential for U.S. defense spending to hit new highs, indicates a long-term positive trend for the military industry [2][7][8] Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - Key investment themes include: 1) Assembly: AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation, Aerospace South Lake, AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry [9] 2) Components: AVIC Optoelectronics, Guobo Electronics, Ruichuang Micro-Nano [9] 3) Subsystems: Aero Engine Corporation of China, AVIC Avionics, North Navigation [9] 4) Materials and Processing: Feilihua, Guangwei Composite, Huayin Technology, Western Materials, Aviation Materials [9] Market Review - The military sector index rose by 3.57%, outperforming the market by 3.92 percentage points, ranking 2nd out of 29 sectors during the week of December 8-12 [11][12] - The defense information technology sector performed particularly well, with notable stock performances including Aerospace Power and West Materials [19][20] Major News in the Military Industry - Domestic news includes the completion of nearly 200 million yuan in Series A financing by Dream Sky Technology, leading the hybrid tilt-rotor sector [22][23] - Internationally, the U.S. defense budget for fiscal year 2026 is projected to exceed 900 billion USD, with significant military aid to Ukraine [28][29]