Group 1: Core Strategy and Goals - The company aims to fully implement the "2024-2025 Energy Conservation and Carbon Reduction Action Plan" by 2025, focusing on energy consumption reduction and transitioning from energy consumption dual control to carbon emission dual control [1][2] - The company has set a target to reduce comprehensive energy consumption and energy consumption per unit of output value by 18% compared to 2020 [2] - A total of 413 measures have been developed to enhance management, technological upgrades, and structural adjustments across 59 units [2] Group 2: Technological Innovation - The company is leveraging technological innovation to integrate green low-carbon concepts throughout its production processes, transitioning from traditional coal to green hydrogen [4] - The "Jinhua Furnace 3.0," developed in collaboration with Tsinghua University, is recognized as a "carbon reduction tool" with multiple advantages, including high energy efficiency and environmental friendliness [6][7] - The company has established a carbon management system and is developing a carbon footprint quantification method for key chemical products [3] Group 3: Clean Energy Development - The company has initiated distributed photovoltaic projects, with the first phase producing over 24.5 million kilowatt-hours of green electricity [7] - The alkaline water electrolysis device developed in collaboration with Tsinghua University can produce 1,000 standard cubic meters of hydrogen per hour, expanding the green hydrogen equipment market [7] - The company has achieved significant breakthroughs in coalbed methane development, with single well production exceeding 5,000 cubic meters per day [7] Group 4: Environmental Sustainability - The company is implementing intelligent and ecological approaches to sustainable development, including intelligent coal gangue separation and comprehensive utilization of coal gangue [8] - The company has successfully reduced emissions and energy consumption in various projects, such as the dry quenching technology in coking and the renovation of the hexanone tower [9] - A strict monthly assessment mechanism has been established for water pollution control, ensuring compliance with water quality standards [9] Group 5: Future Outlook - The company plans to deepen its green low-carbon development strategy, aiming to reduce coal consumption below 2020 levels by 2025 while increasing the proportion of non-fossil energy consumption [10] - The company is actively exploring advanced technologies for green hydrogen production and coupling with chemical processes, promoting an integrated development model for green energy [10]

Group 1 - Huaping Leiming Mining Co., Ltd. has been established with a registered capital of 30 million yuan [1] - The legal representative of the company is Xu Qinming [1] - The business scope includes manufacturing and sales of ecological environment materials, ecological restoration and protection services, and processing of construction stones [1] Group 2 - Huaping Leiming Mining Co., Ltd. is wholly owned by Huaibei Mining (600985) through indirect shareholding [1]

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: Index Adjustment Prediction Model - **Model Construction Idea**: The model predicts the adjustment of constituent stocks in major indices (CSI 300 and CSI 500) based on the index compilation rules published by the China Securities Index Company[12][13][15] - **Model Construction Process**: - **Data Reference**: The model uses trading and financial data from May 1 of the previous year to April 30 of the current year for mid-year reviews, and from November 1 of the previous year to October 31 of the current year for year-end reviews[12] - **Adjustment Date**: Adjustments occur on the trading day following the second Friday of June and December each year[12] - **Sample Space**: - Excludes ST, *ST stocks, and delisted securities - Includes STAR Market and ChiNext stocks listed for over a year, or those with daily average market capitalization ranking in the top 30 since listing[12] - **Selection Method**: - For CSI 300: Securities are ranked by daily average trading volume, with the bottom 50% excluded, and then ranked by daily average market capitalization, selecting the top 300[12] - For CSI 500: Excludes CSI 300 constituents and the top 300 by market capitalization, then ranks by trading volume and market capitalization, selecting the top 500[12] - **Buffer Zone Rules**: - CSI 300: New samples ranked in the top 240 are prioritized for inclusion, while existing samples ranked in the top 360 are prioritized for retention[12] - CSI 500: New samples ranked in the top 400 are prioritized for inclusion, while existing samples ranked in the top 600 are prioritized for retention[12] 2. Model Name: Event Return Analysis Model - **Model Construction Idea**: This model analyzes the relationship between index sample adjustments and the cumulative excess returns of the adjusted stocks before and after the adjustment date[24] - **Model Construction Process**: - Collects data on all adjustment cycles since 2010 for CSI 300 and CSI 500 indices[24] - Calculates the cumulative excess returns of adjusted stocks relative to the index over a 60-day window before and after the adjustment date[24] - **Model Evaluation**: The model highlights that pre-adjustment event returns are more significant for investment strategies, as investors can trade in advance based on predictions or announcements[24] --- Model Backtesting Results 1. Index Adjustment Prediction Model - CSI 300 Index: Predicted 7 constituent stock adjustments, with additions primarily in the transportation and defense industries, and removals concentrated in the electrical equipment industry[13][14] - CSI 500 Index: Predicted 49 constituent stock adjustments, with additions mainly in the electronics, electrical equipment, and computer industries, and removals concentrated in the electrical equipment and pharmaceutical industries[15][16][23] 2. Event Return Analysis Model - **CSI 300 Index**: Stocks removed from the index showed negative excess returns before the adjustment date, while no significant conclusions were drawn for added stocks[5][24] - **CSI 500 Index**: Stocks added to the index exhibited positive excess returns before the adjustment date, while removed stocks showed negative excess returns[5][24]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Huabei Mining (600985.SH) is "Accumulate-A" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance has been negatively impacted by the decline in coal prices and volumes, with a significant drop in revenue and net profit in Q1 2025 compared to the previous year [4][5] - Despite the current challenges, there is potential for growth in both the coal and coal chemical sectors, supported by ongoing projects and the recovery of production capacity [6][7] Summary by Sections Market Data - Closing price as of May 12, 2025: 12.08 CNY - Year-to-date high/low: 20.18/11.76 CNY - Circulating A shares/Total shares: 26.93 billion/26.93 billion - Market capitalization: 325.35 billion CNY [2] Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue: 10.567 billion CNY, down 39% YoY - Q1 2025 net profit: 0.692 billion CNY, down 56.5% YoY - Basic earnings per share: 0.26 CNY, down 59.38% YoY - Cash flow from operating activities: 0.44 billion CNY, down 72.87% YoY [4][5] Production and Sales - Q1 2025 coal production: 4.308 million tons, down 17.73% YoY - Q1 2025 coal sales: 2.972 million tons, down 26.18% YoY - Average coal price: 937.77 CNY/ton, down 20.29% YoY - Gross profit per ton of coal: 417.90 CNY/ton, down 28.41% YoY [5] Future Outlook - Expected EPS for 2025-2027: 1.52, 1.89, 1.93 CNY, with corresponding dynamic PE ratios of 7.9, 6.3, and 6.2 times [7] - The company is focusing on integrated operations in coal, coke, and chemicals, which is expected to stabilize performance [7]

事件描述 公司发布 2025 年一季度报告：报告期内公司实现营业收入 105.67 亿元， 同比-39.00%，归母净利润 6.92 亿元，同比-56.50%，扣非后归母净利润 6.74 亿元，同比-56.96%。经营活动产生的现金流量净额 4.40 亿元，同比-72.87%； 基本每股收益为 0.26 元，同比-59.38%；加权平均 ROE 为 1.62%，同比减少 2.54 个百分点。 2025 年 5 月 12 日 公司研究/公司快报 | 市场数据：2025 年 月 | 5 | 12 日 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元）： | | | 12.08 | | 年内最高/最低（元）： | | | 20.18/11.76 | | 流通 A 股/总股本（亿 | | | 26.93/26.93 | | 股）： | | | | | 流通 股市值（亿元）： A | | | 325.35 | | 总市值（亿元）： | | | 325.35 | | 资料来源：最闻 | | | | 基础数据：2025 年 3 月 31 日 | 基本每股收益(元)： | 0.26 | | --- ...

- The report predicts adjustments to the sample stocks of seven major broad-based indices in the Chinese market, including CSI 300, CSI 500, SSE 50, STAR 50, STAR 100, ChiNext Index, and ChiNext 50, based on the index compilation rules and data as of April 30, 2025 [1][7] - The CSI 300 Index selects stocks from the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets that meet criteria such as good operational status, no significant financial issues, and no abnormal price fluctuations. The selection process involves ranking stocks by daily average trading volume and market capitalization over the past year, applying buffer rules, and excluding stocks with significant losses or long-term suspensions. Adjustments are limited to 10% of the constituent stocks per review [8] - The CSI 500 Index excludes CSI 300 constituents and follows a similar methodology, focusing on stocks with good operational status, no financial irregularities, and stable price movements. Stocks are ranked by daily average trading volume and market capitalization, with buffer rules applied, and adjustments are capped at 10% of the constituent stocks [10] - The SSE 50 Index is derived from the SSE 180 Index, selecting stocks based on daily average market capitalization and trading volume over the past year. The accuracy of SSE 50 predictions depends on the SSE 180 Index's accuracy. Adjustments are limited to 10% of the constituent stocks [13] - The STAR 50 Index represents the top 50 securities on the STAR Market by market capitalization and liquidity. Stocks are ranked by daily average market capitalization, with buffer rules applied, and adjustments are capped at 10% of the constituent stocks [15] - The STAR 100 Index includes 100 mid-sized securities from the STAR Market, reflecting the performance of mid-cap companies. The selection process is similar to STAR 50, with adjustments limited to 10% of the constituent stocks [17] - The ChiNext Index selects stocks from the ChiNext Board based on the top-ranked daily average market capitalization over the past six months. Buffer rules are applied, and stocks with significant losses or long-term suspensions are excluded. Adjustments are capped at 10% of the constituent stocks [20] - The ChiNext 50 Index selects the most liquid stocks from the ChiNext Index's 100 constituents, considering industry coverage and applying buffer rules. Adjustments are limited to 10% of the constituent stocks [24]

Investment Rating - The coal industry maintains a rating of "Synchronize with the Market - A" [1] Core Viewpoints - External demand expectations dominate fluctuations, with a focus on improving demand during the peak summer season [1] - The coal production recovery post-holiday has led to increased supply, while electricity coal demand enters a low season, compounded by tariff disputes affecting external demand expectations [8][81] - The recent monetary policy easing is expected to support the macroeconomic environment, with anticipated continued recovery in coal prices due to the upcoming peak summer demand [8][81] Summary by Sections 1. Coal Industry Dynamic Data Tracking - **Thermal Coal**: Post-holiday inventory has risen, and port coal prices remain weak. As of May 9, the spot reference price for thermal coal in the Bohai Rim was 643 CNY/ton, a weekly change of -2.13% [3][23] - **Metallurgical Coal**: Monetary policy easing has led to increased demand entering the traditional peak season. As of May 9, the price for main coking coal at Jingtang Port was 1320 CNY/ton, a weekly change of -4.35% [4][35] - **Coking Steel Industry Chain**: Downstream operations have improved, stabilizing coking coal prices. As of May 9, the average price for first-grade metallurgical coke at Tianjin Port was 1530 CNY/ton, unchanged from the previous week [5][55] - **Coal Transportation**: Weak coal prices have led to a decline in transportation demand, with the coastal coal transportation price index at 640.35 points, a weekly change of -8.06% [6][65] - **Coal-related Futures**: Tariff disputes dominate expectations, with futures prices for coking coal and coke showing fluctuations [8][70] 2. Coal Sector Market Review - The coal sector has rebounded alongside the broader market but has not outperformed major indices. The CITIC Coal Index closed at 3191.92 points, with a five-day change of +0.97% [7][72] 3. Industry News Summary - A comprehensive financial policy has been implemented to stabilize the market, with the People's Bank of China emphasizing a moderately loose monetary policy to support economic recovery [76][78] - Global thermal coal prices have seen an increase, with a reported rise of 8.8% over eight trading days [78] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a significant increase in coal production in Shanxi Province, with a year-on-year growth of 19.1% [79] 4. Important Announcements from Listed Companies - Announcements from companies such as Anyuan Coal Industry and Meijin Energy regarding management changes and stock pledges have been noted [80] 5. Next Week's Views and Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on undervalued companies with strong performance support, particularly those with low non-coal business ratios such as Xinjie Energy and Zhongmei Energy [81]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of coal allocation in the current market environment, highlighting a basket of financial policies aimed at stabilizing market expectations [1][2] - The coal sector is viewed as entering a "golden era 2.0," with core value assets expected to rebound due to favorable macroeconomic policies and capital market support [2][10] Coal Market Overview - As of May 9, 2025, the price of Q5500 thermal coal at Qinhuangdao port was 630 CNY/ton, a decrease of 20 CNY/ton or 3.08% from the previous week [1][13] - The operating rate of coal mines in the Shanxi, Shaanxi, and Inner Mongolia regions was 81.1%, reflecting a slight decline of 0.3 percentage points [1][13] - In April 2025, China imported 37.825 million tons of coal, a year-on-year decrease of 16.41% [1] Demand and Supply Dynamics - The daily coal consumption of coastal power plants reached 1.734 million tons, an increase of 235,000 tons week-on-week [1][9] - The inventory at ports in the Bohai Rim increased to 33.051 million tons, up 201,800 tons or 6.5% [1][9] - The operating rates for methanol and urea production were 84.1% and 87.35%, respectively, indicating a stable demand for coal in chemical production [1][9] Investment Logic - The report outlines a robust dividend investment logic for coal stocks, suggesting that they remain a preferred choice for institutional investors due to their stable returns and low risk associated with state-owned enterprises [2][10] - The cyclical elasticity of coal stocks is highlighted, with expectations for price recovery as supply-demand fundamentals improve post-policy implementation [2][10] Key Indicators - The coal sector's PE ratio was reported at 11.6, and the PB ratio was 1.16, indicating relatively low valuations compared to other sectors [5][7] - The report identifies key coal stocks that are expected to benefit from the current market conditions, including China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and China Coal Energy [2][10] Focused Stock Recommendations - The report suggests a selection of coal stocks based on different investment themes: - Dividend logic: China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, China Coal Energy - Cyclical logic: Pingmei Shenma, Huabei Mining - Diversified aluminum elasticity: Shenhua Energy, Electric Power Energy - Growth logic: Guanghui Energy, New Hope Energy [2][10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the coal mining industry [3] Core Insights - The coal mining sector is currently experiencing price declines, with the market showing signs of weakness. However, there are potential opportunities for recovery as some coal mines may reduce production if prices fall below marginal costs [5][12][31] - The report highlights key companies with strong financial positions, including China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and Jinneng Holding, which are identified as cash-rich and low-debt firms [1][7] - The overall market sentiment is cautious, with weak demand from downstream sectors, particularly in the metallurgical and chemical industries, leading to a supply-demand imbalance [12][31] Summary by Sections Market Overview - The CITIC Coal Index reached 3,191.92 points, up 1.47%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 0.53 percentage points [68] - The coal price for Q5500 grade coal at Qinhuangdao port was reported at 643 CNY/ton, a decrease of 14 CNY/ton week-on-week [30][31] Financial Analysis of Key Companies - Top three companies by net cash: Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, Jinneng [1] - Companies with the lowest debt ratios: Shenhua, Jinneng, and Electric Power Investment [1] - Companies with the highest dividend payouts over the past three years: Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and Yanzhou Coal [1] Coal Price Trends - The report notes that the coal price has been on a downward trend, with significant price drops observed in both thermal and coking coal markets [12][30] - The report indicates that the market is currently in a phase where prices may stabilize as seasonal demand begins to pick up towards the end of May [31] Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on state-owned enterprises such as China Shenhua and China Coal Energy, as well as companies showing potential for turnaround like Qinfa [7] - It also highlights companies with strong performance metrics, including Xinjie Energy, Shaanxi Coal, and Electric Power Investment [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the coal mining industry [3]. Core Insights - The coal mining sector is currently experiencing price declines, with the market showing signs of weakness. However, there are potential opportunities for recovery as some coal mines may reduce production if prices fall below marginal costs [12][31]. - The report highlights key companies with strong financial positions, including China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and Jinneng Holding, which are identified as cash-rich and low-debt firms [1]. - The overall market sentiment is cautious, with weak demand from downstream sectors, particularly in the metallurgical and chemical industries, leading to a bearish outlook for coal prices in the short term [30][31]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The CITIC Coal Index reached 3,191.92 points, up 1.47%, but underperformed compared to the CSI 300 Index by 0.53 percentage points, ranking 22nd among CITIC sectors [68]. - Recent reports indicate that coal prices have been under pressure due to increased inventory levels at ports and weak demand from power plants [12][30]. Financial Analysis of Key Companies - The top three companies with the highest net cash on hand are Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and Jinneng [1]. - Companies with the lowest debt ratios include Shenhua, Jinneng, and Electric Power Investment [1]. - The report identifies Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and Yanzhou Coal as the top dividend payers over the past three years [1]. Price Trends - As of May 9, the price of Q5500 thermal coal at Qinhuangdao port was reported at 643 CNY/ton, a decrease of 14 CNY/ton week-on-week [30]. - The report notes that the market is currently in a phase where prices are expected to continue declining due to oversupply and weak demand [12][31]. Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on state-owned enterprises such as China Shenhua and China Coal Energy, as well as companies showing potential for turnaround like Qinfa [7]. - It also highlights companies with strong performance metrics, including Xinj Energy, Shaanxi Coal, and Electric Power Investment [7].