Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and is maintained [8] Core Views - The report indicates that the upward trend in thermal coal prices is expected to continue due to supply constraints from the November central safety production assessments and improving demand as winter approaches, with prices likely to exceed expectations [5][6] - For coking coal, despite short-term demand pressure from the off-season, the current low inventory and tight supply suggest significant price recovery potential if pro-cyclical policies are reintroduced globally [5][6] - The report emphasizes the importance of recognizing the bottom reversal opportunities in the coal sector, supported by low price-to-book ratios and low holdings [6] Summary by Sections Thermal Coal - As of November 14, the market price for thermal coal at Qinhuangdao Port is 834 RMB/ton, a week-on-week increase of 17 RMB/ton. The report anticipates continued price increases due to tight supply and low port inventories, alongside seasonal demand improvements [5][13] - The report notes that the inventory at the northern three ports is 12.58 million tons, down 12% year-on-year, while power plant inventories are 130 million tons, down 1.5% year-on-year, with usable days at 25.9 days, up 1.2 days year-on-year [6][14] Coking Coal - The price for main coking coal at Jingtang Port remains stable at 1860 RMB/ton as of November 14. The report highlights that while steel mill demand is currently weak, the supply situation for coking coal is tight, indicating potential for price elasticity [5][6] - The report also mentions that the average daily pig iron production at sample steel mills is 2.3688 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 0.4% [15] Valuation and Market Dynamics - The report suggests that the current price-to-book ratios for coking coal and major thermal coal companies are at the lower third percentile since 2016, indicating undervaluation compared to other cyclical resource sectors [6] - The report recommends a mixed strategy for investment, highlighting companies like Yanzhou Coal Mining Company and China Shenhua Energy as stable leaders, while also suggesting more aggressive plays in companies like Lu'an Environmental Energy and Jinneng Holding Group [6][27]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - The coal sector showed positive revenue growth in Q3 2025, with the net profit growth rate of thermal coal companies outperforming that of coking coal companies [4] - The price of Qinhuangdao 5500 kcal thermal coal increased from 621 RMB/ton on June 30, 2025, to 699 RMB/ton on September 30, 2025, reflecting a cumulative increase of 12.6% in Q3 [4] - The overall performance of coal companies in Q3 was supported by rising coal prices, inventory reduction, and increased electricity sales during peak summer demand [4] - The production of leading thermal coal companies remained stable, while coking coal production faced pressure, leading to more aggressive inventory reduction [4] - The improvement in long-term contracts for thermal coal helped boost coal prices, although some companies still recorded a decline in unit sales revenue due to delayed price transmission [4] - The cost control strategies adopted by thermal coal companies helped maintain profitability despite rising costs in some coking coal companies [4] - The winter season is expected to see strong coal prices due to supply constraints and increased demand for heating [5] Summary by Sections Section: Q3 Performance - The coal sector's Q3 revenue showed a positive trend, with thermal coal companies experiencing a net profit growth rate that was better than that of coking coal companies [4] - The overall revenue for coal companies in Q3 was positively impacted by rising coal prices and increased electricity sales [4] Section: Price Trends - The price of thermal coal saw a significant increase in Q3, with a 12.6% rise in Qinhuangdao 5500 kcal thermal coal prices [4] - Despite the increase in market prices, some companies experienced a lag in price transmission, affecting their unit sales revenue [4] Section: Production and Inventory - Leading thermal coal companies maintained stable production levels, while coking coal production faced challenges [4] - Most listed coal companies did not significantly reduce their sales volumes, with some companies achieving higher sales in Q3 [4] Section: Cost Management - Thermal coal companies continued to focus on cost control, resulting in a decrease in unit costs [4] - Some coking coal companies faced rising costs, which negatively impacted their performance [4] Section: Future Outlook - The report suggests a positive outlook for Q4 2025, with expectations of continued improvement in coal company performance due to favorable market conditions [5] - The winter season is anticipated to bring strong coal prices driven by supply constraints and increased heating demand [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for several companies in the coal sector, including Shanxi Coal International, Lu'an Environmental Energy, and Yanzhou Coal Mining [2][3][12]. Core Insights - The report highlights a strong demand-supply imbalance in the coal market, with prices expected to continue rising due to seasonal demand and regulatory constraints on supply [1][7][8]. - October saw a decrease in national raw coal production, with a daily average of 13.12 million tons, down 4.3% month-on-month [1][37]. - The report anticipates that coal prices may peak at around 1000 RMB/ton by the end of the year, driven by tight supply and increasing demand as winter approaches [1][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Insights - The report notes that seasonal demand is gradually being realized, with port coal prices continuing to rise and stabilizing in the latter half of the week [1][7]. - Regulatory inspections have led to a significant contraction in coal supply, particularly in regions like Ulanqab and Linfen [2][11]. 2. Market Performance - As of November 14, the coal sector's weekly decline was 0.8%, outperforming the broader market indices [14][17]. - The report identifies that the coking coal sub-sector experienced the highest weekly increase of 6.2% [17]. 3. Company Dynamics - The report recommends focusing on companies with high spot market exposure, such as Shanxi Coal International and Lu'an Environmental Energy, as well as stable growth companies like Jinko Coal and Huayang Co [12][21]. - Notable stock performance includes An Tai Group, which saw a significant increase of 57.29% in its stock price [21]. 4. Industry Developments - The report discusses the impact of international coal trade dynamics, including increased imports by India and Taiwan, which may influence domestic supply and pricing [25][35]. - It also highlights the ongoing safety inspections and regulatory measures that are expected to limit coal production capacity in the near term [1][26]. 5. Coal Data Tracking - The average price of Shanxi thermal coal remained stable at 682 RMB/ton, while coking coal prices increased slightly to 1484 RMB/ton [45].

Market Overview - The coal mining sector experienced a decline of 1.1% on November 14, with Jin控煤业 leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3990.49, down 0.97%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13216.03, down 1.93% [1] Stock Performance - Major gainers in the coal mining sector included: - Dayou Energy (600403) with a closing price of 10.14, up 9.98% and a trading volume of 1.479 million shares, totaling 1.432 billion yuan [1] - Yongtai Energy (600157) closed at 1.79, up 9.82% with a trading volume of 25.3708 million shares, totaling 4.387 billion yuan [1] - Other notable performers included Liaoning Energy (600758) up 3.18%, and Zhengzhou Coal Electricity (600121) up 2.82% [1] Capital Flow - The coal mining sector saw a net inflow of 739 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 124 million yuan [2][3] - The main capital inflow was observed in Yongtai Energy, with a net inflow of 1.058 billion yuan, accounting for 24.12% of the total [3] Individual Stock Analysis - Yongtai Energy (600157) had significant institutional support with a net inflow of 1.058 billion yuan, while retail investors withdrew 470 million yuan [3] - Dayou Energy (600403) also saw a net inflow of 155 million yuan from institutional investors, but retail investors withdrew 1.05 billion yuan [3] - Other stocks like Xin Dazhou A (000571) and Huai Bei Mining (600985) showed mixed capital flows, with varying levels of institutional and retail investor activity [3]

Core Viewpoint - On November 14, the A-share market experienced a collective decline across the three major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.97%, the Shenzhen Component Index down by 1.93%, and the ChiNext Index down by 2.82% [1] Market Performance - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was approximately 1,958.08 billion yuan, a decrease of about 83.88 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - Out of the total stocks, 1,961 stocks rose while 3,323 stocks fell, with 89 stocks hitting the daily limit up and 9 stocks hitting the daily limit down [1] Sector Performance - The Hainan and Fujian sectors showed strength, with pharmaceutical stocks related to influenza leading in gains, while the gas and photovoltaic equipment sectors also performed well [1] - The storage chip sector underwent a correction, along with adjustments in the CPO and food and beverage sectors [1] Regional Performance - Despite the overall decline in the three major indices, the Shanxi sector demonstrated resilience, with a slight increase of 0.21% on November 14 [1] Individual Stock Performance - In the Shanxi sector, three stocks hit the daily limit up, with China New Energy and Antai Group reaching limit up around 10 AM, ultimately closing with gains of 10.11% and 10.02% respectively; Yongtai Energy also hit limit up in the afternoon, closing with a gain of 9.82% [1] - Additionally, two other stocks in the Shanxi sector rose by over 2%, with Zhendong Pharmaceutical up by 3.08% and Jinlihua Electric up by 2.80% [1] - Leading the decline was Lu Hua Technology, which fell by 4.16% compared to the previous trading day; other notable decliners included Keda Control, Jinkong Coal Industry, Huayang Co., and Northern Copper, with declines of 3.73%, 3.46%, 3.46%, and 3.31% respectively [1]

Coal Industry - The price of thermal coal has risen significantly, surpassing 800 yuan per ton, marking a new high for the year as of November 13 [1][3] - The coal sector has shown strong performance, with key listed coal companies reporting a more than 20% increase in profits in Q3 compared to the previous quarter [3][4] - Factors contributing to the rise in coal prices include extreme weather conditions, with northern regions experiencing significant temperature drops, while southern regions faced higher than average temperatures [3][4] - The coal industry is expected to benefit from a dual attribute of dividends and cyclical characteristics, making it a favored asset for market funds [3] Ice and Snow Tourism Industry - The ice and snow tourism sector has seen a surge, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit up, driven by events such as the "Qixing Mountain·Camel Cup" wilderness survival challenge [5][6] - The ice and snow industry in China is projected to exceed 1 trillion yuan by 2025, with continuous growth expected due to upcoming major winter sports events [7] - The tourism industry is currently benefiting from a combination of policy incentives and demand release, with recommendations to focus on leading companies in online travel agencies (OTA), comprehensive cultural tourism service providers, and ice and snow tourism leaders [7]

Core Viewpoint - Jin Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. has experienced fluctuations in stock performance, with a notable increase in share price and changes in shareholder structure, reflecting the company's operational challenges and market dynamics [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - On November 13, Jin Energy's stock rose by 2.06%, reaching 16.34 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 220 million CNY and a turnover rate of 0.82%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 27.348 billion CNY [1]. - Year-to-date, Jin Energy's stock price has increased by 26.52%, with a 0.55% rise over the last five trading days, 4.68% over the last 20 days, and 15.23% over the last 60 days [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Jin Energy reported operating revenue of 9.325 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 16.99%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.277 billion CNY, down 40.65% year-on-year [2]. - Since its A-share listing, Jin Energy has distributed a total of 6.083 billion CNY in dividends, with 3.640 billion CNY distributed over the past three years [2]. Group 3: Shareholder Structure - As of October 20, 2025, the number of Jin Energy shareholders increased to 58,000, with an average of 28,856 circulating shares per shareholder, a decrease of 4.40% from the previous period [2]. - The second-largest circulating shareholder is the Guotai CSI Coal ETF, holding 33.2232 million shares, an increase of 20.2405 million shares from the previous period [2].

Core Viewpoint - Jin Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. has experienced a stock price increase of 27.37% year-to-date, with a recent trading price of 16.45 CNY per share, reflecting a market capitalization of 27.532 billion CNY [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - As of November 12, Jin Energy's stock rose by 2.11% during the trading session, with a trading volume of 1.08 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 0.40% [1] - The stock has seen a 2.49% increase over the last five trading days, a 6.61% increase over the last 20 days, and a 13.45% increase over the last 60 days [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Jin Energy reported a revenue of 9.325 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 16.99%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.277 billion CNY, down 40.65% year-on-year [2] Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of October 20, the number of shareholders for Jin Energy increased to 58,000, with an average of 28,856 circulating shares per shareholder, a decrease of 4.40% [2] - The company has distributed a total of 6.083 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 3.640 billion CNY distributed in the last three years [3] - The second-largest circulating shareholder is the Guotai CSI Coal ETF, holding 33.2232 million shares, an increase of 2.024 million shares from the previous period [3]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Zheshang Securities indicates that coal prices are experiencing a strong upward trend, with expectations for further increases in the fourth quarter, driven by supply constraints and rising demand from power plants [1] Group 1: Coal Market Overview - As of November 6, 2025, the average daily coal sales from key monitored enterprises reached 7.25 million tons, a week-on-week increase of 0.6% and a year-on-year increase of 0.1% [1] - The average daily coal production from key monitored enterprises was 7.37 million tons, a week-on-week increase of 2.5% but a year-on-year decrease of 0.4% [1] - Total coal inventory (including port storage) stood at 23.8 million tons, a week-on-week increase of 3.8% and a year-on-year decrease of 19.9% [1] Group 2: Price Trends - The price of thermal coal (Q5500K) in the Bohai Rim region was 694 CNY/ton as of November 7, 2025, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.31% [2] - The price of coking coal at Jingtang Port was 1800 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 3.4% [3] - The price of anthracite coal in Yangquan remained stable at 930 CNY/ton [4] Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The report anticipates a supply-demand gap to widen, with an expected increase in coal consumption of approximately 50 million tons due to heating needs, potentially leading to localized coal shortages [1] - The cumulative coal sales from key monitored enterprises this year reached 215.6 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 2.4% [1] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on flexible thermal coal companies such as China Shenhua (601088), Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry (601225), and others, as well as coking coal companies like Huaibei Mining (600985) and Shanxi Coking Coal (000983) [5][6]

Core Viewpoint - Jin Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. has experienced a significant increase in stock price and trading volume, indicating strong market interest despite a decline in revenue and profit for the year [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of November 10, Jin Energy's stock price rose by 2.05% to 16.90 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 336 million CNY and a turnover rate of 1.21%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 28.286 billion CNY [1]. - Year-to-date, the stock price has increased by 30.86%, with a 12.37% rise over the last five trading days, 13.35% over the last 20 days, and 17.69% over the last 60 days [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Jin Energy reported operating revenue of 9.325 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 16.99%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.277 billion CNY, down 40.65% year-on-year [2]. - Since its A-share listing, the company has distributed a total of 6.083 billion CNY in dividends, with 3.640 billion CNY distributed over the past three years [2]. Group 3: Shareholder Structure - As of October 20, 2025, the number of shareholders increased to 58,000, with an average of 28,856 circulating shares per person, a decrease of 4.40% from the previous period [2]. - The second-largest circulating shareholder is the Guotai CSI Coal ETF, holding 33.2232 million shares, an increase of 2.024 million shares from the previous period [2].