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东吴证券(601555):投资业务驱动增长,轻资产质效提升
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-09 02:04
2024 年公司实现营业收入 115.34 亿元,同比增长 2.24%,实现归母净利 润 23.66 亿元,同比增长 18.19%。加权平均净资产收益率 5.81%,提升 0.65pct。 2025 年一季度实现营业收入 30.92 亿元,同比增长 38.95%,归母净利润 9.80 亿元,同比增长 114.86%。 事件点评 投资业务成为业绩增长重要驱动。固定收益类投资业务采用配置和交易 并重的投资策略,连续多年实现投资收益率领先市场水平。丰富交易品种及 策略,扩大交易对手范围,专业化投资交易能力有效提升。2024 年投资业务 实现收入 27.34 亿元,同比增长 16.36%,一季度实现投资业务收入 11.20 亿 元,同比增长 104.08%。 公募管理规模大幅提升。通过渠道拓展与机构合作,落地多笔机构委外 专户,积极拓展债券投顾,年末受托管理规模 595.27 亿元,同比增长 4.01%。 东吴基金规模大幅增长 55.81%达到 398.57 亿元,其中权益类基金增长 75.66%,债券类基金增长 105.27%,通过打造中长期绝对收益优势和销售体 系转型推动品牌建设,资管业务实现收入 1.69 亿元 ...
金科环境:4月28日进行路演,东吴证券股份有限公司、交银国际证券有限公司等多家机构参与
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-05-08 11:15
证券之星消息,2025年5月8日金科环境(688466)发布公告称公司于2025年4月28日进行路演,东吴证券股 份有限公司、交银国际证券有限公司、民生加银基金管理有限公司、南华基金管理有限公司、富国基金管 理有限公司、深圳市中泓汇富资产管理有限公司、源乐晟资产管理有限公司、上海天猊投资管理有限公 司、上海厚坡私募基金管理有限公司参与。 具体内容如下: 问:请公司的三化战略相互之间有何联系? 答:公司"资源化、I数智化、产品化"战略形成有机协同体系并相互依存。 "资源化战略"构建水循环生态,通过深度处理与多级、多次循环降低常规水源依赖,为I数智化和产品化 提供核心应用场景。 "I数智化战略"以数据驱动重构水处理范式,将人工经验转化为算法模型,成为资源化效率提升和产品化 落地的技术底座。 "产品化战略"通过模块化设计整合前两者成果,将传统水厂工程转化为可量产的智能装备产品,形成"工 艺优化-I赋能-产品迭代"的正向循环,同时实现资源化技术与I能力的规模化复制。 公司"三化"战略将共同推动水处理产业从"非标准化工程项目建设和人工运营"向"工业化产品生产和智能 化运营"的范式跃迁,最终实现全社会用水自由。 问:请介 ...
东吴证券:一季度啤酒行业恢复性增长 期待旺季量价提速
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-05-08 08:14
Core Viewpoint - The beer sector is experiencing a recovery in Q1 2025, with revenue of 20.043 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.68%, and a net profit of 2.519 billion yuan, up 10.62% year-on-year, indicating a positive trend after a challenging 2024 [1][2]. Group 1: Revenue and Profit Trends - In 2024, the beer sector faced pressure with a revenue of 68.038 billion yuan, down 1.67% year-on-year, while net profit reached 7.290 billion yuan, up 6.05% year-on-year [2]. - Q1 2025 shows a recovery with revenue at 20.043 billion yuan, a 3.68% increase, and net profit at 2.519 billion yuan, a 10.62% increase year-on-year [1][2]. Group 2: Volume and Price Dynamics - The beer market has faced challenges in volume and price since 2024, attributed to weak consumer recovery and proactive inventory management by leading companies [3]. - Despite a weak price performance in Q1 2025, sales have shown signs of recovery, indicating potential for improved volume and price dynamics moving forward [3][4]. Group 3: Cost and Margin Analysis - Cost elasticity has been steadily realized since 2024, with gross margin levels improving throughout the year [3]. - In Q1 2025, while the price per ton has decreased, cost elasticity has continued, leading to sustained improvements in gross margin [3][4]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Investment Opportunities - The operational rhythm is expected to support a recovery in volume and price, particularly as Q2 and Q3 2025 enter a low base period [4]. - The current low inventory levels in distribution channels, combined with the approaching peak beer consumption season, present investment opportunities in companies like Qingdao Beer and Yanjing Beer [5].
东吴证券:白酒维持中期看好观点 龙头估值性价比更趋清晰
智通财经网· 2025-05-08 03:36
Core Viewpoint - The liquor industry maintains a medium-term optimistic outlook, emphasizing the importance of positioning over rhythm, with a focus on marginal stabilization signals at the cycle bottom [1] Revenue Side: Gradual Bottoming and Increasing Disparity - In FY2024, the liquor sector's revenue grew by 8.2% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 7.2%, with a noticeable deceleration in H2 compared to H1 [2] - Major liquor companies are enhancing dealer management and making appropriate adjustments, emphasizing binding core distributors to drive network penetration and sales performance [2] - In Q4 of 2024 and Q1 of 2025, most liquor companies experienced cash collection growth rates lower than apparent return growth rates, indicating ongoing cash pressure in channels [2] Profit Side: Pressure on Gross Margin and Tax Rate, Decline in Net Profit Margin - The gross margin for the liquor sector in FY2024 was 82.93%, a year-on-year increase of 0.41 percentage points, while Q1 of 2025 saw a gross margin of 82.61%, up by 0.09 percentage points [3] - Sales expense ratios increased in FY2024 and Q1 of 2025, while management expense ratios decreased, indicating a cautious approach to expense management amid a stable pricing environment [3] - Profit growth rates for high-end liquor were 11.31% in FY2024 and 8.47% in Q1 of 2025, while sub-high-end and real estate liquor experienced declines, primarily due to challenges faced by certain brands [3]
东吴证券:首次覆盖福达股份给予买入评级
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-05-07 13:59
Investment Highlights - Fuda Co., Ltd. is a leading manufacturer of crankshafts in China, established in 1995 and listed in 2014, with product offerings including crankshafts, clutches, precision forgings, gears, and bolts [1] - The company is entering new growth avenues through its focus on the new energy sector and robotics, with expectations for significant revenue contributions from these areas in the future [1] Crankshaft Demand Growth - The demand for crankshafts is expected to rise due to the increasing sales of hybrid vehicles, which still require crankshafts despite the rise of pure electric vehicles [2] - By 2024, the penetration rate of hybrid vehicles in the new energy vehicle market is projected to reach 40%, revitalizing the passenger car crankshaft market [2] - Fuda has successfully transitioned its crankshaft business from commercial vehicles to passenger vehicles, with over 50% of its crankshaft supply for BYD in 2024 [2] - A new production line with a capacity of 1 million hybrid crankshafts is expected to be operational by May 2025, indicating further potential for revenue growth [2] Expansion in New Energy Gears - Fuda has invested 408 million yuan to establish a subsidiary focused on new energy electric drive precision gears, with production expected to start in July 2024 [3] - The company anticipates significant revenue growth from this segment between 2025 and 2026, with a full production capacity of 600,000 sets [3] - Fuda has secured multiple projects with major clients such as BYD and Geely, indicating strong market demand for its new energy gear products [3] Robotics Sector Development - Fuda is expanding into the robotics sector, having acquired a 35% stake in Changban Robot Technology in March 2024 and successfully developing a planetary reducer prototype by November 2024 [4] - The company aims to leverage synergies between its existing automotive clients and new robotics customers, enhancing its competitive position in the robotics market [4] - Fuda's technical expertise in precision gears and its existing manufacturing capabilities are expected to facilitate cost reductions and operational efficiencies in the robotics sector [4] Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for Fuda are projected at 2.434 billion yuan in 2025, 3.019 billion yuan in 2026, and 3.394 billion yuan in 2027, with net profits expected to reach 301 million yuan, 385 million yuan, and 460 million yuan respectively [4] - The company is expected to achieve earnings per share (EPS) of 0.47 yuan, 0.60 yuan, and 0.71 yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 38, 30, and 25 times [4]
500位资本圈顶流,市值近10万亿,百余家最佳上市公司集体亮相!
券商中国· 2025-05-07 13:26
东吴证券党委副书记、总裁薛臻在致辞中表示,东吴证券始终以"坚持根据地、融入长三角、服务中小微"为战略导向,围绕金融"五篇大文章",打造特色化、差异 化、专业化综合金融服务体系,凝心聚力服务实体经济、长三角区域发展、居民财富管理。在研究业务领域,东吴证券持续夯实专业能力,扩大上市公司、机构客 户覆盖,市场影响力进一步提升,行业排名实现突破。东吴证券凭借宏观研究的优势,助力"科特估"体系建立,引导市场共识,为建设中国特色估值体系、促进资 本市场内在稳定作出贡献。 资本圈大事件,百余家最佳上市公司聚齐,市值近10万亿,这场投资峰会圆满落幕。 5月7日,"东吴证券2025经济与投资峰会暨新财富杂志最佳上市公司评选、最佳港股公司评选颁奖典礼"在上海盛大开启。来自全国的优秀上市公司代表与投资机 构、研究机构代表共500位资本圈顶流齐聚,围绕宏观经济形势、科技创新、新质生产力、ESG可持续发展等市场关注议题进行深入交流,并见证新财富杂志"最佳 上市公司"、"最佳港股公司"颁奖的荣耀时刻。 比亚迪(002594/01211.HK)、中芯国际(688981/00981.HK)、携程集团-S(09961.HK)、泡泡玛特(099 ...
500位资本圈顶流,市值近10万亿,百余家最佳上市公司集体亮相!探寻AI新时代下的投资机遇!
证券时报· 2025-05-07 12:28
5月7日,"东吴证券2025经济与投资峰会暨新财富杂志最佳上市公司评选、最佳港股公司评选颁奖典礼"在上海盛大开启。来自全国的优秀上市公司代表与投 资机构、研究机构代表共500位资本圈顶流齐聚,围绕宏观经济形势、科技创新、新质生产力、ESG可持续发展等市场关注议题进行深入交流,并见证新财富 杂志"最佳上市公司"、"最佳港股公司"颁奖的荣耀时刻。 比亚迪(002594/01211.HK)、中芯国际(688981/00981.HK)、携程集团-S(09961.HK)、泡泡玛特(09992.HK)、海尔智家(600690)、京东方A (000725)、海螺水泥(600585/00914.HK)、地平线机器人-W(09660.HK)、商汤-W(00020.HK)等百家2024新财富杂志最佳上市公司、最佳港股公司 集体亮相并荣誉加冕,这些上市公司的市值总计近10万亿元。 大咖齐聚,把脉经济与投资机遇 本次峰会以"浦江炽梦 奋楫长赢"为主题,由证券时报社指导,新财富杂志社主办,东吴证券战略支持,500位资本圈顶流共同探讨新宏观环境下的经济和投资 机遇。 东吴证券党委副书记、总裁薛臻在致辞中表示,东吴证券始终以"坚持根据地、 ...
东吴证券芦哲:明确的政策执行路径为市场注入强劲信心
news flash· 2025-05-07 09:08
金十数据5月7日讯,东吴证券首席经济学家芦哲表示,此次一揽子金融政策的发布,充分体现出中央对 宏观经济形势的精准认知。各项政策高效落地、协同打出"组合拳",清晰的政策逻辑、务实的政策内 容、明确的政策执行路径为市场注入强劲信心。芦哲认为,短期来看,在市场情绪和资金较为充足的情 况下,本次会议发布的政策有望进一步提升市场对新增流动性的预期,实现稳固资本市场的目标。中长 期来看,总量政策调控和结构性的精准滴灌,进一步推动实体经济稳健发展,向长期经济转型高质量发 展的目标迈进。随着各项政策逐步执行、见效,资本市场的内在稳定性有望进一步提升,中国经济高质 量发展有望迈上新台阶。 (上证报) 东吴证券芦哲:明确的政策执行路径为市场注入强劲信心 ...
东吴证券芦哲:美元霸权渐难维持,世界经济格局正在重塑
news flash· 2025-05-07 06:25
Core Viewpoint - The increasing debt pressure in the United States is undermining the foundation of the dollar's credibility, with Trump's policies posing a significant threat to the "petrodollar system," leading to the emergence of the new Triffin dilemma. In contrast, China's economy is solidifying its foundation for high-quality development and the transition between old and new growth drivers [1]. Group 1: Economic Conditions - The long-term positive fundamentals of the Chinese economy remain unchanged, supported by a massive market of 1.4 billion people and the world's largest and most comprehensive industrial production system [1]. - China's fiscal policy has ample room compared to Western countries, with sufficient policy reserves available [1]. Group 2: Policy Measures - The moderately loose monetary policy in China ensures ample liquidity in the market [1]. - The effectiveness of policies aimed at expanding domestic demand, such as "two new" and "two重," is significant, contributing to the stabilization of the real estate market [1]. Group 3: Market Stability - The stabilization of the real estate market lays a solid foundation for the stability and prosperity of the capital market [1].
东吴证券:25Q1传媒板块整体优于市场预期 影视及游戏行业表现亮眼
智通财经网· 2025-05-07 03:05
游戏 业绩超预期,看好新游周期开启。2024年及2025Q1 A股游戏公司合计实现营收873.7、248.2亿元, yoy+8%、+21%,世纪华通爆款手游《无尽冬日》表现亮眼提振板块增速。截至2025Q1末,A股游戏公 司合同负债合计71.9亿元,同比增长7.5亿元,环比增长0.7亿元,反应A股游戏公司流水稳健增长态势。 2024年及2025Q1 A股游戏公司合计实现归母净利润68.4、42.4亿元,yoy-14%、+61%。该行看好2025年 买量市场竞争趋缓,新游周期开启驱动业绩增长,同时期待AI催化提振板块估值。 智通财经APP获悉,东吴证券发布研报称,传媒业25Q1整体表现优于预期,爆款驱动影视及游戏板块 增长。24Q4、25Q1传媒板块合计实现收入1,393亿元、1,240亿元,同比下滑2%、增长5%;板块增速实现 企稳回升,整体表现略好于市场预期。其中受爆款催化的影视院线及游戏板块表现出色,其他板块整体 表现相对平稳。 东吴证券主要观点如下: 营销 2025年迎来"开门红",期待后续内容表现。24Q4影视院线行业实现收入98.4亿元,同比下滑6%,主要 受优质电影数量有限影响;25Q1影视院线行 ...