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有色金属大宗金属周报:流动性冲击缓解,铜价大跌后反弹-20250413
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-04-13 08:18
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the non-ferrous metals industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - Copper prices rebounded after a significant drop, with attention on the ongoing US-China trade dynamics and recession expectations in the US. The weekly performance showed US copper up 3.75%, London copper up 2.97%, and Shanghai copper down 4.6%. The decline in copper prices led to increased downstream activity and accelerated inventory depletion, with copper rod operating rates at 74.76%, up 0.21 percentage points week-on-week. Social inventory of electrolytic copper decreased by 14.80% to 267,200 tons, while Shanghai copper inventory fell by 18.96% to 182,900 tons. Short-term price rebounds may be limited by US recession expectations, with key focus areas being US-China trade developments, US economic and inflation data, and Federal Reserve interest rate expectations. Recommended stocks include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Jincheng Mining, and Tongling Nonferrous Metals [4] - Aluminum prices fell due to tariff impacts, with signs of weakening demand in the peak season and continued inventory depletion. The alumina market remains oversupplied, with prices dropping 5.12% to 2,870 RMB/ton. The operating capacity of alumina plants decreased by 1.91 million tons to 84.82 million tons/year. Electrolytic aluminum prices fell 3.72% to 19,675 RMB/ton, with profit margins down 15.54% to 3,650 RMB/ton. Overall, the supply side of electrolytic aluminum shows no increase in capacity, leading to a potential shortage this year, which could drive aluminum prices up significantly. Recommended stocks include Hongchuang Holdings, Yun Aluminum, Tianshan Aluminum, Shenhuo Co., and China Aluminum [4] - Lithium prices continued to decline, with carbonate lithium down 3.11% to 71,600 RMB/ton. The supply side remains oversupplied, with inventory increasing by 1.3% to 131,000 tons. Demand growth is hindered by tariff impacts on downstream exports, with expectations for a narrowing of the oversupply throughout the year. Recommended stocks include Yahua Group, Zhongjin Lingnan, Yongxing Materials, and Ganfeng Lithium [4] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The US March CPI was lower than expected at 2.4%, with initial jobless claims matching expectations at 223,000 [8] 2. Industrial Metals 2.1. Copper - London copper rose 2.97%, while Shanghai copper fell 4.60%. Inventory levels decreased significantly, with Shanghai copper inventory down 18.96% [21][24] 2.2. Aluminum - London aluminum increased by 0.50%, while Shanghai aluminum decreased by 3.72%. The operating profit for aluminum companies fell by 15.54% [33] 2.3. Lead and Zinc - London lead prices fell 0.57%, while Shanghai lead prices decreased by 2.44%. London zinc prices rose 0.34%, but Shanghai zinc prices fell 2.36% [48] 2.4. Tin and Nickel - London tin prices dropped 12.17%, and Shanghai tin prices fell 13.22%. Nickel prices also saw a decline [61] 3. Energy Metals 3.1. Lithium - Lithium carbonate prices fell 3.11% to 71,600 RMB/ton, with continued oversupply in the market [77] 3.2. Cobalt - Overseas MB cobalt prices increased by 0.16% to 15.88 USD/pound, while domestic cobalt prices fell [88]
紫金矿业2024年报点评:扩产增储降本增效,矿业龙头迈向巅峰
Orient Securities· 2025-04-13 06:23
扩产增储降本增效,矿业龙头迈向巅峰 ——紫金矿业 2024 年报点评 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 公司是全球铜金矿业龙头,拥有世界级的矿产资源,行业顶尖的技术水平与管理能 力。我们原预测公司 2025 年 EPS 为 1.25 元,由于金、铜价格上涨,故上调 2025 年 盈利预测,并新增 2026-2027 年盈利预测。预计公司 2025-2027 年 EPS 分别为 1.49、1.82、2.20 元。根据可比公司 2025 年的市盈率估值情况,给予公司 2025 年 16X 市盈率,目标价 23.84 元,维持买入评级。 风险提示 公司矿产铜、矿产金产品的量、价、利润率不及预期;海外并购当地政局不稳定风险; 投资收益波动风险 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 293,403 | 303,640 | 392,933 | 431,466 | 470,162 | | 同比增长 (%) | 8.5% | 3.5% | 29.4% | ...
紫金矿业:2025年一季报深度点评:单季利润创新高,真金不怕火炼-20250413
Minsheng Securities· 2025-04-13 05:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company achieved a record high net profit in Q1 2025, driven by increased copper and gold prices and production [12][16] - The company is expected to see continuous growth in copper and gold production, with projected net profits of 41.81 billion, 46.13 billion, and 48.16 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][47] Summary by Sections Q1 2025 Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 789.3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5.55% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.76% [12] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 101.7 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 62.39% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 32.15% [12][16] Revenue and Profit Breakdown - The year-on-year increase in net profit was primarily due to a gross profit increase of 56.5 billion, attributed to rising copper and gold prices [16] - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 22.9%, up 6.3 percentage points year-on-year [21] Production and Sales - Copper and gold production saw significant growth, with copper production increasing by 7.33% and gold production by 6.92% quarter-on-quarter [31] - The company benefited from the ramp-up of production at various projects, including the La Arena project in Peru [31] Cost and Pricing - The average prices for copper and gold increased by 5.05% and 11.98% respectively in Q1 2025 [31] - The cost of production for copper and gold increased slightly, with gold costs rising by 6.82% [32] Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue benefiting from rising copper and gold prices, with projected net profits of 418 billion, 461 billion, and 482 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][47] - The company has initiated a share buyback program, purchasing 64.32 million shares at an average price of 15.55 per share, reflecting confidence in its market value [14]
紫金矿业最近几年的动作和收获
雪球· 2025-04-13 04:07
Core Viewpoint - The investment capability of Zijin Mining has become the most important driving factor for its development, combining technology, management, and investment ability, enhanced by its private mechanism and state-owned enterprise credibility [3]. Group 1: Acquisitions Overview - Since 2020, Zijin Mining has made significant acquisitions in the mining sector, including: - In 2020, Zijin acquired 100% of Guyana Goldfields for CAD 323 million (approximately RMB 1.699 billion), with a resource reserve of about 178 tons of gold [5]. - In 2020, Zijin acquired 50.1% of Jilong Copper for approximately RMB 3.883 billion, with a recorded copper metal amount of 10.72 million tons [5]. - In 2021, Zijin acquired Canadian Lithium Company for CAD 960 million, focusing on the 3Q salt lake project in Argentina [6]. - In 2022, Zijin invested RMB 4 billion to acquire 30% of Ruihai Mining, which holds 100% of the Haiyu Gold Mine, the largest single gold mine in China [7]. - In 2023, Zijin completed the acquisition of the Rosebel Gold Mine, one of the largest and most cost-effective gold mines globally [11]. Group 2: Future Investment Plans - For 2024, Zijin plans to invest USD 1 billion (approximately RMB 707.1 million) to acquire 100% of the Akyem Gold Mine in Ghana, which has a gold resource of 54.4 tons [13]. - Zijin also plans to acquire 100% of La Arena Copper Mine in Peru for USD 245 million, with additional payments contingent on future production [13]. - In 2025, Zijin intends to acquire control of Zangge Mining for RMB 13.7 billion, enhancing its domestic mineral resource portfolio [14]. Group 3: Capital Raising Activities - In 2024, Zijin's subsidiary signed a share subscription agreement to invest approximately CAD 129.6 million (about RMB 690 million) in Solaris Resources, becoming the second-largest shareholder [15]. - Zijin also participated in private placements, including an investment of CAD 57.3 million (approximately RMB 300 million) in Montage Gold, acquiring 9.9% of the company [15]. - In September 2024, Zijin agreed to subscribe for shares in Wan Guo Gold Group for a total consideration of HKD 1.3794 billion (approximately RMB 1.249 billion) [16].
紫金矿业一季报净利润为101.67亿元 经营质量全面提升
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-04-13 02:44
【环球网财经综合报道】2025年4月12日,紫金矿业(股票代码:601899.SH)发布2025年第一季度业 绩报告。数据显示,公司多项核心财务指标实现显著突破,营收、净利润、现金流等关键数据均创同期 历史新高。 报告期内,公司实现营业总收入789.28亿元,较去年同期增加41.52亿元,同比增长5.55%;归母净利润 达101.67亿元,同比大幅增长62.39%,连续两年保持上升趋势。摊薄每股收益0.38元,同比增幅 60.92%,盈利能力持续增强。 公司经营活动现金净流入125.28亿元,同比激增53.31%,连续五年实现正增长,凸显主营业务造血能 力。资产负债率进一步降至54.89%,同比降低3.41个百分点,环比下降0.30个百分点,财务结构更趋稳 健。 本季度公司毛利率达22.89%,同比提升6.28个百分点,连续七个季度环比增长,反映成本管控及高附加 值业务占比提升成效显著。净资产收益率(ROE)同比增加1.60个百分点至6.97%,资产周转效率持续 优化。此外,总资产周转率0.20次、存货周转率1.76次,均显示资产运营效率稳中向好。 市场分析人士指出,紫金矿业凭借资源储备优势与全球化运营能力, ...
紫金矿业(601899):单季利润创新高 真金不怕火炼
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-13 00:34
核心看点:①铜金产量内生性增长。铜板块,塞尔维亚Timok+Bor、刚果金卡莫阿、西藏的巨龙、朱 诺、雄村,三大世界级铜矿业集群2025-2028 年均将持续贡献增量;金板块,多项目齐头并进,波格拉 复产、海域金矿、Rosebel、萨瓦亚尔顿构成新生增量,黄金产量持续增长。②外延并购硕果累累。 2024 年以来,公司接连并购多项资产。其中有以较小的代价参股项目的,例如参股SolarisResources、 蒙太奇黄金、万国黄金集团,也有收购控股权,例如收购La Arena铜金矿、Akyem 金矿(还未完成交 割)。③估值历史最低位附近,短期超跌,公司真金白银斥资10 亿底部闪电回购6432 万股。 事件:公司发布2025 年一季报。2025Q1 公司实现营业收入789.3 亿元,同比增长5.55%,环比增长 7.76%,归母净利润101.7 亿元,同比增长62.39%,环比增长32.15%,实现扣非归母净利润98.81 亿元, 同比增长58.76%,环比增长24.37%。业绩符合我们预期。 同比来看,公司Q1 归母净利润同比增长39.06 亿元。主要是由于毛利同比增长56.5 亿元,主要是得益于 铜金量价齐升 ...
邓晓峰、“中东土豪”出手,加仓4400亿巨头!
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-04-12 04:27
Financial Performance - In the first quarter of 2025, the company's net profit attributable to shareholders reached 10.17 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 62.39% [4][9] - The company's operating income for the same period was approximately 78.93 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 5.55% compared to the previous year [5] - The net cash flow from operating activities was 12.53 billion yuan, up 53.31% year-on-year [5] Production and Market Performance - The company reported a 13% year-on-year increase in gold production and a 9% increase in copper production in the first quarter of 2025 [10] - The average price of gold was 641.51 yuan per gram, up 40.07% year-on-year, while the average price of copper was 62,030 yuan per ton, an increase of 16.69% [12][13] Shareholder Activity - Abu Dhabi Investment Authority and two investment platforms managed by Deng Xiaofeng increased their holdings in the company during the first quarter [15][20] - As of the end of the first quarter of 2025, Abu Dhabi Investment Authority became one of the top ten shareholders, holding approximately 163 million shares [17][21] - The company’s stock price was reported at 17.15 yuan, with a market capitalization exceeding 440 billion yuan [22]
上市公司动态 | 万泰生物2024年净利润降九成,紫金矿业一季度净利同比增62%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-12 04:06
免疫诊断方向,已基本完成覆盖高中低通量的仪器布局,包括三款全自动化学发光免疫分析仪 (Caris200、Wan200+、Wan100)以及配套115项试剂,满足临床检验各种应用场景的核心需求,公司 国产自研的一款高速化学发光免疫分析仪Wan600开发已经进入行政审批阶段,将进一步提升检测效率 和准确性。生化诊断方向,公司推出一款高通量全自动生化分析仪WanBC2800。 西部矿业2024年净利润同比增长5% -- 重点要闻– 万泰生物2024年净利润1.06亿元 万泰生物(603392.SH)发布2024年年报,致力于为我国临床医疗体系提供优质、全面的体外诊断解决方 案。2024年营业收入为22.45亿元,相较上年同比减少-59.25%;归属于上市公司股东的净利润1.06亿 元,同比减少91.49%;归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的净利润-1.86亿元,同比减少 117.29%。 | | | | 甲 W: 儿 | 1114: Acch | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主要会计数据 | 2024年 | 2023年 | 本期比上年 同期增减 | 2022年 | | | ...
净利超百亿元,矿产龙头一季报业绩炸裂!
券商中国· 2025-04-12 02:44
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant performance of Zijin Mining in Q1 2025, showcasing its revenue growth and profit increase, alongside the upcoming stock unlock events in the A-share market. Group 1: Zijin Mining Performance - Zijin Mining reported a Q1 2025 revenue of 789.28 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.55% and a net profit of 101.67 billion, up 62.39% year-on-year, attributed to improved operational management and increased production of key minerals [3][5]. - The production data indicates a 13% increase in gold output and a 9% increase in copper output, while zinc production saw a 10% decline. The company's gross profit margin reached 59.94%, an increase of 5.44 percentage points year-on-year [5]. Group 2: Stock Unlock Events - Next week, 31 stocks will have their lock-up lifted, with a total unlock market value exceeding 11 billion [8]. - Among the stocks, 10 will have unlock values over 500 million, with Zhuozhao Point Glue and Weijie Chuangxin leading at 1.799 billion and 1.753 billion respectively [9]. - The unlock ratio, which reflects the impact on stock prices, shows that 15 of the 31 stocks have an unlock ratio exceeding 5%, with 8 stocks over 10% [12]. - Zhuozhao Point Glue has the highest unlock ratio at 71.66%, followed by Jindao Technology at 37.5%, and others exceeding 25% [13].
紫金矿业(601899) - 紫金矿业集团股份有限公司关于2023年员工持股计划锁定期届满的提示性公告
2025-04-11 13:16
关于2023年员工持股计划锁定期届满的提示性公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 紫金矿业集团股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")于 2023 年 11 月 14 日召开 第八届董事会 2023 年第 16 次临时会议、第八届监事会 2023 年第 4 次临时会议, 并于 2023 年 12 月 8 日召开 2023 年第一次临时股东会,审议通过了《关于公司<2023 年员工持股计划(草案)>及其摘要的议案》及其他相关议案,具体内容详见公司在 上海证券交易所及公司网站披露的相关公告。 根据《关于上市公司实施员工持股计划试点的指导意见》《上海证券交易所上 市公司自律监管指引第 1 号——规范运作》及公司《2023 年员工持股计划(草案)》 的相关规定,现将公司 2023 年员工持股计划(以下简称"本员工持股计划")的 锁定期届满情况公告如下: 一、本员工持股计划持有股份情况 证券代码:601899 股票简称:紫金矿业 编号:临 2025-037 紫金矿业集团股份有限公司 本员工持股计划的股票来源为公司回购专用证券账户 ...