Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining announced an expected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 of 51-52 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 59%-62% [1] Financial Performance - The projected non-GAAP net profit is approximately 47.5-48.5 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 50%-53% [1] - The previous year's net profit was 32.051 billion yuan, and the non-GAAP net profit was 31.693 billion yuan [1] Production and Sales - The increase in performance is primarily due to a year-on-year rise in the production of major mineral products and an increase in sales prices for gold, copper, and silver [1] - The company has set production targets for 2026, including 105 tons of gold, 1.2 million tons of copper, 120,000 tons of lithium carbonate equivalent, and 520 tons of silver [1]

Group 1 - A-shares maintained a "zero破发" status in 2025, with an average first-day increase of approximately 256%, marking the best performance in three years [2][4] - A total of 114 new companies were listed on A-shares in 2025, a 14% increase from the previous year, raising a total of 130.64 billion yuan, which is a 94% increase year-on-year [2] - The top ten IPOs in A-shares included Huadian New Energy, which raised 18.17 billion yuan, and Moer Technology, which raised 8 billion yuan [2] Group 2 - Hong Kong's IPO market saw a significant increase in 2025, with 117 new listings raising a total of 285.69 billion HKD, reclaiming the title of the world's largest IPO market [4][5] - The average first-day increase for new stocks in Hong Kong was 38%, with a 28% rate of breaking [4] - Notably, six of the top ten IPOs in Hong Kong were companies that originated from A-shares, indicating a high "含A率" [4] Group 3 - The main industries driving IPOs in A-shares included electronics, power equipment, automotive, basic chemicals, and machinery, accounting for over 60% of new listings [3] - In Hong Kong, the healthcare, consumer discretionary, and information technology sectors had the highest number of new listings, collectively exceeding 60% [5] Group 4 - Looking ahead to 2026, there is optimism for continued IPO activity in both A-shares and Hong Kong, with expectations of 150-200 new listings in Hong Kong and a fundraising target exceeding 300 billion HKD [9][10] - The upcoming IPOs are expected to focus on sectors such as AI, new energy, high-end manufacturing, and biotechnology, aligning with national development priorities [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the steel industry and a "Positive" rating for the non-ferrous metals industry, with "Buy" ratings for specific companies including Luoyang Molybdenum (603993), Zhongjin Gold (600489), Huayou Cobalt (603799), Zijin Mining (601899), and China Aluminum (601600) [5][6]. Core Insights - The steel industry is expected to see improved profitability due to the implementation of stable growth policies and an anticipated increase in demand from shipbuilding and construction sectors. The focus on "equipment upgrades" and "low-carbon transformation" is expected to drive industry development [3][5]. - In the copper sector, global copper supply is projected to tighten further due to incidents at major mines, providing support for copper prices. Demand is expected to increase as major economies enter a rate-cutting cycle, enhancing the industry's outlook [3][5]. - The aluminum sector is facing a supply surplus, with stable supply conditions and weak demand expected to keep prices under pressure in the short term. However, the industry is anticipated to benefit from improved profitability as the "anti-involution" policy takes effect [5][6]. - Gold prices are influenced by geopolitical risks and changes in U.S. economic data, with long-term trends favoring gold due to central bank purchases and the weakening of the U.S. dollar [5][6]. - The rare earth sector is expected to see a revaluation of related companies due to China's export control upgrades, with significant demand growth anticipated from robotics and new energy sectors [5][6]. - The cobalt market is expected to remain tight due to constrained supply from the Democratic Republic of Congo, with demand driven by electric vehicles and consumer electronics [5][6]. Summary by Sections Steel Industry - The steel industry is experiencing a seasonal decline in demand, with limited improvement expected. Steel inventory pressures may accumulate further as demand weakens [2][3][16]. - As of December 26, 2025, the total steel inventory was 12.58 million tons, a decrease of 2.73% from the previous week but an increase of 12.07% year-on-year [24][25]. - The average price of steel on December 26 was 3,439.15 CNY per ton, reflecting a decrease of 0.28% from the previous week [31][32]. Copper Industry - The copper market is facing a seasonal demand slowdown, with high prices suppressing downstream demand. Supply is expected to contract as the year ends, leading to weaker price drivers in the short term [4][34]. - On December 26, the price of copper was 98,000 CNY per ton, an increase of 5.79% from the previous week [38]. Aluminum Industry - The aluminum sector is characterized by stable supply and weak demand, with prices expected to remain under pressure. The average price of aluminum on December 26 was 22,000 CNY per ton, a 0.92% increase from the previous week [42]. Gold Industry - Geopolitical tensions and U.S. economic data are key factors influencing gold prices, which are expected to experience increased volatility in the short term. On December 26, gold prices were 4,562.00 USD per ounce, up 4.42% from the previous week [47]. Rare Earth and Cobalt Industries - The rare earth sector is poised for growth due to strategic importance and demand from emerging technologies. The cobalt market is expected to remain tight, driven by electric vehicle demand [5][6].

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reports that the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) has issued an article titled "Vigorously Promoting the Optimization and Upgrading of Traditional Industries," which emphasizes the management and optimization of the alumina and copper smelting industries, encouraging large backbone enterprises in these sectors to pursue mergers and acquisitions [1] Industry Summary - The new policy may restrict the planning of new alumina production capacity, which is expected to benefit industry leaders such as China Aluminum and China Hongqiao [1] - The anticipated lower annual copper concentrate processing/refining fees and long-term contract concentrate volumes may indicate a reduction in refined copper production by 2026 [1] - These factors, combined with relatively stable demand, are expected to support copper prices at high levels, benefiting companies like Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Minmetals Resources, and Jiangxi Copper [1]

人民财讯12月30日电，企查查APP显示，近日，福建紫新锂电材料有限公司成立，法定代表人为罗忠 岩，注册资本为1亿元，经营范围包含：电子专用材料制造；电子专用材料研发；电子专用材料销售； 新材料技术研发等。企查查股权穿透显示，该公司由紫金矿业（601899）全资子公司厦门紫金新能源新 材料科技有限公司、佛塑科技（000973）等共同持股。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing a strong upward trend driven by macroeconomic benefits, policy support, and supply constraints, leading to optimistic market sentiment [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets showed a fluctuating upward trend, with the non-ferrous metal ETF (512400.SH) rising by 1.76% and Zijin Mining increasing by 2.11% [1] - Precious metals are gaining strength due to a weaker US dollar and escalating geopolitical risks, supported by their financial and safe-haven attributes [1] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The industrial metals sector is performing strongly, driven by expectations of macroeconomic easing and rigid supply [1] - Policy encouragement for mergers and acquisitions is expected to enhance the bargaining power of leading companies, reinforcing the sector's logic [1] - Copper is driven by expectations of future supply shortages, while aluminum benefits from low inventory and favorable policies, indicating potential for price recovery [1] Group 3: Sub-sector Insights - The performance of new energy metals and minor metals shows divergence, with raw material shortages being a key variable [1] - Cobalt is supported by expectations of overseas supply disruptions, lithium prices are fluctuating at high levels, and rare earths are adjusting in the short term due to demand impacts, with long-term value reassessment driven by policy [1] - The non-ferrous metal sector is expected to maintain a strong trend supported by macroeconomic, policy, and supply factors, with a focus on the rigid supply logic of copper and aluminum, as well as the allocation value of precious metals [1]

Core Viewpoint - The A500 ETF Southern (159352) is experiencing significant market activity and positive performance, reflecting a broader bullish sentiment in the Chinese stock market, particularly as it approaches key resistance levels like the 4000-point mark on the Shanghai Composite Index [1][2]. Group 1: A500 ETF Performance - As of December 30, 2025, the A500 ETF Southern (159352) increased by 0.48%, with a turnover rate of 18.06% and a total transaction volume of 8.405 billion yuan, indicating active market participation [1]. - In the past five trading days, the A500 ETF Southern saw net inflows on four occasions, totaling 6.774 billion yuan [1]. - The A500 ETF closely tracks the CSI A500 Index, which is recognized as a "barometer of China's new productive forces," covering approximately 90 sub-industries and focusing on industry leaders and ESG criteria [1]. Group 2: Index Composition and Strategy - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI A500 Index include major companies such as CATL, Kweichow Moutai, and Ping An Insurance, highlighting the index's focus on significant market players [1]. - The index employs a unique construction logic that prioritizes industry leaders and excludes negative ESG performers, aligning with national strategic industries and providing a diversified investment vehicle [1]. - The A500 ETF Southern offers a low management fee of 0.15% and a custody fee of 0.05%, making it an attractive option for investors seeking high precision and low-cost investment channels [2]. Group 3: Market Outlook - Guotai Junan Securities predicts that the Chinese stock market will stabilize and surpass critical levels, with the potential for a "transformation bull market" as the Shanghai Composite Index reaches new highs [2]. - The A500 ETF Southern is noted for its low tracking error and significant excess return rates, reinforcing its position as a reliable investment tool in the current market environment [2].

MACD金叉信号形成，这些股涨势不错！ 2025年港股IPO规模能够重返全球第一，离不开宁德时代、紫金黄金国际等大型IPO的助力，二者分别 为今年全球第一大和第二大IPO。值得注意的是，在这些大型IPO中，"含A率"极高，不少都是A股公司 赴港上市或分拆而来。在前十大IPO中，有6家都是A股公司，紫金黄金国际则是由A股公司紫金矿业分 拆而来。 格隆汇12月30日｜2025年，在宁德时代等一批大型IPO的带动下，港股IPO规模持续高歌猛进，2025年 港股全年IPO规模达2856.9亿港元，重返全球第一。此前的2015年、2016年、2018年和2019年，港股IPO 规模曾雄冠全球。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the active performance of non-ferrous metal stocks, with significant gains observed in companies such as China Aluminum, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Zijin Mining [1] - China Aluminum (601600) increased by 5.61%, reaching HKD 12.23; Luoyang Molybdenum (603993) rose by 3.3% to HKD 19.08; Zijin Mining (601899) saw a 3.05% increase to HKD 35.16; Jiangxi Copper (600362) gained 2.47% to HKD 40.64; and China Hongqiao (01378) was up by 1.7% to HKD 32.3 [1] - Precious metals have regained upward momentum, with spot gold rising over 1% to touch USD 4,380, and spot silver increasing by over 4% to surpass USD 75 [1] Group 2 - CITIC Construction Investment (601066) noted that insufficient capital expenditure, limited resource supply, strong AI demand prospects, expanding fiscal deficits, and a downward interest rate cycle are contributing factors to the uneven distribution of physical commodities between the US and non-US markets [1] - The article suggests that these factors are leading to a lack of liquidity in certain commodities, prompting capital inflows to take long positions [1] - A new resource pricing paradigm is emerging globally, driven by the interplay of limited resources and weakening US dollar credit, indicating a vibrant market for non-ferrous metals [1]

Core Insights - The report recommends key stocks across various industries for January 2026, highlighting potential investment opportunities based on market trends and company performance [2][3]. Industry Summaries Construction - Shenghui Integration (603163.SH) is a Taiwanese cleanroom engineering service provider and a core supplier for Google's TPU supply chain, poised to benefit from TSMC's expansion in the U.S. with potential orders from TSMC Arizona and multiple North American data centers [2]. Social Services - China Duty Free Group (601888.SH) is expected to benefit from a new cycle in domestic duty-free sales, with a boost from the upcoming consumption peak during the New Year and Spring Festival, leading to improved performance expectations [2]. Electronics - Lante Optics (688127.SH) is experiencing significant growth in its optical prism product line and is collaborating with multiple waveguide manufacturers for AR glasses, indicating strong profit elasticity and expansion potential [2]. Utilities and Environmental Protection - China General Nuclear Power (003816.SZ) is set to benefit from the normalization of nuclear power approvals and improvements in market pricing mechanisms, with expected production increases in Guangdong province [2]. Nonferrous Metals - Zijin Mining (601899.SH) is a leading player in the nonferrous sector, with high profit contributions from gold and copper, and is entering a rapid growth phase in lithium production, making it a highly valued investment opportunity for 2026 [2]. Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery - Youran Dairy (9858.HK), a global leader in dairy farming, is expected to benefit from rising milk prices and beef price increases, leading to significant performance recovery [2]. Internet - Tencent Holdings (0700.HK) is well-positioned for the AI era, leveraging its ecosystem advantages, with potential growth from e-commerce and AI agent capabilities not yet reflected in current profit forecasts [2]. Pharmaceuticals - WuXi AppTec (603259.SH) is supported by strong performance, order growth, and capital expenditure, with favorable regulatory changes expected to enhance the valuation of the CXO sector [2]. Light Industry - Sun Paper (002078.SZ) is entering a new capacity release phase with significant production increases expected, making it a compelling investment with reasonable valuation metrics [2]. Textiles and Apparel - Anta Sports (2020.HK) is anticipated to benefit from the performance of its premium sports brands, with a favorable valuation and upcoming catalysts from Q4 operational disclosures and the Spring Festival consumption peak [2].